San Jose SharksSJS 4–1 Final Florida PanthersFLA

Monday, January 19, 2026

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
San Jose SharksSJS	0	3	1	4	28
Florida PanthersFLA	0	0	1	1	36

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
0:50	SJS	Will Smith (14) Timothy Liljegren (9), Alexander Wennberg (23) · wrist xG 0.47	1–0 ▶
2:41	SJS	Vincent Desharnais (1) Igor Chernyshov (7), Michael Misa (3) · wrist xG 0.44	2–0 ▶
6:12	SJS	Mario Ferraro (4) Igor Chernyshov (8), Michael Misa (4) · wrist xG 0.32	3–0 ▶
3rd Period
0:43	FLA	Eetu Luostarinen (5) Aaron Ekblad (17) · wrist xG 0.02	3–1 ▶
17:21	SJS	Barclay Goodrow (4)EN Unassisted · wrist xG 0.93	4–1 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

SJS 72%Deserve to win28% FLA

SJS		FLA
4.92	Expected goals	2.59
4	Goals (no shootout)	1
2.83	Expected goals, 5 on 5	1.91
54	Shot attempts	67
39	Unblocked attempts	44
28	Shots on goal	36

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
2:20	FLA	No shift	No shift · Schwindt, 10:18 on the bench No shift from 12:13 of the 1st to 2:31 of the 2nd; 4 shifts (2:05) before that
2:20	FLA	No shift	No shift · Vilmanis, 10:20 on the bench No shift from 12:14 of the 1st to 2:34 of the 2nd; 3 shifts (2:33) before that
6:10	SJS	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced FLA 1.69–0.24 In xG over 10 minutes, 18:30 of the 1st to 8:30 of the 2nd; goals 3–0
3rd Period
4:30	FLA	No shift	No shift · Boqvist, 18:11 on the bench No shift from 12:24 of the 2nd to 17:21 of the 3rd; 8 shifts (5:16) before that
4:40	FLA	No shift	No shift · Schwindt, 11:55 on the bench No shift from 12:26 of the 2nd to 8:31 of the 3rd; 7 shifts (5:03) before that
9:50	FLA	No shift	No shift · Mikkola, 15:14 on the bench No shift after 15:39 of the 2nd; 19 shifts (12:36) before that
16:47	FLA	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Bobrovsky, down 3–1 With 3:13 left; SJS scored at 17:21 of the 3rd (4–1)

Shot map

SJS shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ FLA shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

San Jose Sharks

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
21	Alexander Wennberg	0	1	1	+2	1	0.13	0	0	20:03
71	Macklin Celebrini	0	0	0	-1	5	0.31	0	0	19:57
51	Collin Graf	0	0	0	-1	4	0.27	1	0	18:20
2	Will Smith	1	0	1	0	5	0.58	1	1	17:45
27	William Eklund	0	0	0	+1	5	0.68	0	1	17:37
84	Pavol Regenda	0	0	0	+2	3	0.15	3	0	13:21
23	Barclay Goodrow	1	0	1	+2	3	0.95	1	4	13:14
92	Igor Chernyshov	0	2	2	+2	4	0.26	2	0	13:10
73	Tyler Toffoli	0	0	0	0	3	0.41	0	1	12:59
63	Zack Ostapchuk	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	2	11:38
77	Michael Misa	0	2	2	+2	4	0.09	0	1	11:17
75	Ryan Reaves	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	06:57
Defense
38	Mario Ferraro	1	0	1	+3	2	0.32	1	2	23:44
27	Timothy Liljegren	0	1	1	+2	2	0.02	2	0	20:50
9	Dmitry Orlov	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	2	1	20:25
6	Sam Dickinson	0	0	0	+1	4	0.21	2	1	18:10
3	John Klingberg	0	0	0	-1	4	0.09	2	4	18:03
73	Vincent Desharnais	1	0	1	+2	4	0.46	6	1	14:59

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Alex Nedeljkovic	36	1	35	.972	2.59	+1.59

Florida Panthers

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
13	Sam Reinhart	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	1	1	21:40
9	Sam Bennett	0	0	0	-2	7	0.35	1	0	21:22
19	Matthew Tkachuk	0	0	0	-1	6	0.31	1	1	20:58
15	Anton Lundell	0	0	0	0	8	0.43	2	0	19:44
23	Carter Verhaeghe	0	0	0	-2	6	0.22	0	1	18:01
27	Eetu Luostarinen	1	0	1	+1	3	0.20	2	1	16:28
17	Evan Rodrigues	0	0	0	-1	2	0.11	1	0	16:06
11	Mackie Samoskevich	0	0	0	-1	2	0.04	2	2	11:10
18	A.J. Greer	0	0	0	-2	7	0.34	4	0	11:00
95	Sandis Vilmanis	0	0	0	-1	1	0.04	1	0	08:46
79	Cole Schwindt	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	06:55
70	Jesper Boqvist	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	1	0	05:55
Defense
42	Gustav Forsling	0	0	0	+1	7	0.04	0	1	26:32
5	Aaron Ekblad	0	1	1	+1	2	0.01	1	3	24:29
26	Uvis Balinskis	0	0	0	-4	6	0.17	1	0	19:07
2	Jeff Petry	0	0	0	0	4	0.02	1	1	15:12
77	Niko Mikkola	0	0	0	-3	0	0.00	2	0	12:36

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Sergei Bobrovsky	27	3	24	.889	3.99	+0.99

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

San Jose Sharks

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
77 Michael Misa C	+2.70	+1.10	+0.06	+1.50	0.00	+0.01	+0.03	—	11:17
92 Igor Chernyshov L	+2.68	+1.40	+0.17	+1.11	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	13:10
37 Timothy Liljegren D	+2.43	+0.70	+0.02	+1.56	+0.15	0.00	0.00	—	20:50
38 Mario Ferraro D	+2.39	+0.75	+0.21	+1.31	0.00	0.00	+0.12	—	23:44
23 Barclay Goodrow C	+1.84	+0.75	+0.61	+0.27	0.00	0.00	+0.20	—	13:14
2 Will Smith C	+1.69	+0.75	+0.37	+0.58	0.00	-0.02	+0.01	—	17:45
33 Alex Nedeljkovic G	+1.47	0.00	—	—	-0.12	—	—	+1.59	60:00
5 Vincent Desharnais D	+1.46	+0.75	+0.30	+0.55	-0.18	0.00	+0.05	—	14:59
72 William Eklund L	+1.30	0.00	+0.44	+0.81	0.00	-0.01	+0.05	—	17:37
21 Alexander Wennberg C	+1.07	+0.55	+0.09	+0.42	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	20:03
6 Sam Dickinson D	+0.67	0.00	+0.13	+0.49	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	18:10
73 Tyler Toffoli C	+0.64	0.00	+0.26	+0.35	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	12:30
84 Pavol Regenda L	+0.31	0.00	+0.10	+0.41	-0.15	0.00	-0.04	—	13:21
75 Ryan Reaves R	+0.05	0.00	0.00	-0.10	+0.15	0.00	0.00	—	6:57
51 Collin Graf R	-0.05	0.00	+0.18	-0.19	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	18:20
63 Zack Ostapchuk C	-0.22	0.00	0.00	-0.48	+0.15	+0.03	+0.08	—	11:38
71 Macklin Celebrini C	-0.25	0.00	+0.20	-0.39	0.00	-0.03	-0.04	—	19:57
3 John Klingberg D	-0.53	0.00	+0.06	-0.76	0.00	0.00	+0.18	—	18:03
9 Dmitry Orlov D	-0.82	0.00	0.00	-0.87	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	20:25

Florida Panthers

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
5 Aaron Ekblad D	+1.49	+0.70	+0.01	+0.63	0.00	0.00	+0.15	—	24:29
27 Eetu Luostarinen C	+1.33	+0.75	+0.13	+0.44	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	16:28
72 Sergei Bobrovsky G	+1.07	0.00	—	—	+0.08	—	—	+0.99	59:26
22 Tobias Bjornfot D	+0.87	0.00	+0.19	+0.60	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	16:33
15 Anton Lundell C	+0.74	0.00	+0.28	+0.45	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	19:44
42 Gustav Forsling D	+0.60	0.00	+0.03	+0.52	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	26:32
13 Sam Reinhart C	+0.25	0.00	0.00	+0.26	0.00	-0.02	+0.01	—	21:40
2 Jeff Petry D	+0.07	0.00	+0.01	+0.03	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	15:12
19 Matthew Tkachuk L	+0.04	0.00	+0.20	-0.33	+0.15	0.00	+0.01	—	20:58
11 Mackie Samoskevich R	-0.18	0.00	+0.02	-0.34	+0.03	0.00	+0.10	—	11:10
17 Evan Rodrigues C	-0.18	0.00	+0.07	-0.28	0.00	+0.02	0.00	—	16:06
23 Carter Verhaeghe C	-0.30	0.00	+0.14	-0.55	0.00	+0.02	+0.09	—	18:01
9 Sam Bennett C	-0.34	0.00	+0.23	-0.55	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	21:22
10 A.J. Greer L	-0.57	0.00	+0.22	-0.64	-0.15	0.00	0.00	—	11:00
79 Cole Schwindt R	-0.78	0.00	0.00	-0.76	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	6:55
95 Sandis Vilmanis L	-0.86	0.00	+0.02	-0.88	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	8:46
70 Jesper Boqvist C	-1.08	0.00	+0.02	-0.78	-0.30	-0.02	0.00	—	5:55
77 Niko Mikkola D	-2.09	0.00	0.00	-2.05	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	12:36
26 Uvis Balinskis D	-2.10	0.00	+0.11	-2.36	+0.15	0.00	0.00	—	19:07

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.