Monday, January 19, 2026
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken,
the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
PHI 34%Deserve to win 66% VGK
PHI VGK
2.17 Expected goals 3.06
2 Goals (no shootout) 1
1.57 Expected goals, 5 on 5 1.73
49 Shot attempts 58
36 Unblocked attempts 37
17 Shots on goal 25
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is
counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the
shots' expected goals (xG).
3rd Period
19:57
PHI
Goalie
Goalie · Ersson +2.0 goals saved
1 goal on 3.03 xG, 24 shots on goal
Shot map
PHI shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal → VGK shoots
Noah Hanifin: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 0:18)
Mark Stone: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 0:50)
Pavel Dorofeyev: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 1:43)
Jaycob Megna: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 2:12)
Alexander Holtz: tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 3:04)
Jeremy Lauzon: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:03)
Matvei Michkov: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 4:13)
Jeremy Lauzon: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 4:26)
Ivan Barbashev: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 4:44)
Noah Cates: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 7:43)
Noah Hanifin: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 8:03)
Tomas Hertl: snap, 16 ft, xG 0.20 (P1 12:00)
Bobby Brink: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 12:53)
Christian Dvorak: tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 12:56)
Trevor Zegras: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 12:57)
Shea Theodore: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 13:58)
Mitch Marner: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 15:07)
Pavel Dorofeyev: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 15:38)
Tanner Laczynski: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 16:24)
Tanner Laczynski: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 16:28)
Cam York: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 18:44)
Tanner Laczynski: bat, 9 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 1:54)
Emil Andrae: wrist, 70 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 2:40)
Nick Seeler: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:23)
Owen Tippett: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 4:08)
Owen Tippett: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 4:24)
Nick Seeler: slap, 48 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 6:35)
Bobby Brink: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 7:14)
Owen Tippett: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 8:34)
Sean Couturier: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 8:40)
Nick Seeler: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 8:45)
Carl Grundstrom: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 9:18)
Tanner Laczynski: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 10:20)
Jeremy Lauzon: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.31 (P2 11:15)
Pavel Dorofeyev: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 11:16)
Reilly Smith: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 11:45)
Travis Sanheim: backhand, 4 ft, xG 0.35 (P2 12:02)
Jamie Drysdale: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:09)
Nick Seeler: wrist, 73 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 14:38)
Ivan Barbashev: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 15:14)
Bobby Brink: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 15:23)
Denver Barkey: deflected, 27 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 15:41)
Sean Couturier: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 15:48)
Jeremy Lauzon: snap, 90 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 16:31)
Pavel Dorofeyev: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.23 (P2 18:50)
Christian Dvorak: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 0:52)
Travis Konecny: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 1:23)
Travis Konecny: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 1:49)
Travis Konecny: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 1:58)
Emil Andrae: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:02)
Travis Konecny: snap, 54 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 3:51)
Travis Konecny: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 4:22)
Lane Pederson: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 5:03)
Pavel Dorofeyev: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:55)
Mark Stone: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 6:57)
Christian Dvorak: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 8:22)
Keegan Kolesar: deflected, 6 ft, xG 0.21 (P3 9:25)
Reilly Smith: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 12:24)
Alexander Holtz: tip-in, 24 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 13:08)
Tanner Laczynski: tip-in, 25 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 13:19)
Tanner Laczynski: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 13:27)
Tanner Laczynski: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 13:28)
Nick Seeler: wrist, 184 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 14:26)
Braeden Bowman: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 15:19)
Ivan Barbashev: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 15:30)
Carl Grundstrom: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 17:07)
Denver Barkey: tip-in, 91 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 17:27)
Jack Eichel: slap, 33 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 19:37)
Mitch Marner: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 19:57)
Ivan Barbashev: deflected, 13 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 19:58)
Travis Konecny: GOAL, wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.22 (P1 3:46)
Tomas Hertl: GOAL, tip-in, 15 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 19:28)
Travis Konecny: GOAL, wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.25 (P3 7:22)
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot
from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the
share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how
often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count
as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map
leaves them out.
All columns
Box score
Philadelphia Flyers
Vegas Golden Knights
Goalie
SA GA
SV SV%
xGA
GSAx
Adin Hill
17 2 15
.882
2.17
+0.17
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
Philadelphia Flyers
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
11 Travis Konecny R
+2.40
+1.50
+0.43
+0.26
+0.15
0.00
+0.05
—
17:19
33 Samuel Ersson G
+2.06
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
+2.06
60:00
6 Travis Sanheim D
+1.15
0.00
+0.23
+0.99
-0.15
0.00
+0.08
—
24:02
8 Cam York D
+0.83
0.00
+0.01
+0.62
0.00
0.00
+0.20
—
22:21
46 Trevor Zegras C
+0.72
0.00
+0.04
+0.69
0.00
+0.01
-0.02
—
14:44
24 Nick Seeler D
+0.44
0.00
+0.04
+0.39
0.00
0.00
+0.01
—
18:46
22 Christian Dvorak C
+0.40
0.00
+0.18
+0.27
-0.15
0.00
+0.10
—
19:25
14 Sean Couturier C
+0.35
0.00
+0.03
+0.29
0.00
+0.03
0.00
—
19:19
10 Bobby Brink R
+0.05
0.00
+0.12
-0.17
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
13:28
91 Carl Grundstrom R
+0.03
0.00
+0.02
-0.02
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
13:07
74 Owen Tippett R
0.00
0.00
+0.17
-0.03
-0.15
0.00
0.00
—
14:28
19 Garnet Hathaway R
-0.07
0.00
0.00
-0.04
0.00
-0.01
-0.02
—
11:02
52 Denver Barkey C
-0.14
0.00
+0.06
-0.03
-0.15
0.00
-0.02
—
11:36
47 Noah Juulsen D
-0.30
0.00
0.00
-0.33
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
17:31
25 Lane Pederson C
-0.35
0.00
+0.04
-0.35
0.00
0.00
-0.04
—
8:38
27 Noah Cates L
-0.41
0.00
+0.01
-0.29
-0.15
+0.07
-0.04
—
14:11
36 Emil Andrae D
-0.56
0.00
+0.01
-0.78
+0.15
0.00
+0.06
—
15:05
39 Matvei Michkov R
-0.77
0.00
+0.01
-0.61
-0.15
0.00
-0.02
—
12:03
9 Jamie Drysdale D
-1.10
0.00
+0.01
-1.01
-0.15
0.00
+0.05
—
19:57
Vegas Golden Knights
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
28 Tanner Laczynski C
+1.10
0.00
+0.34
+0.57
+0.15
-0.03
+0.07
—
12:04
9 Jack Eichel C
+0.68
+0.70
+0.05
-0.28
+0.30
-0.01
-0.08
—
24:55
26 Alexander Holtz R
+0.67
0.00
+0.11
+0.56
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
9:37
48 Tomas Hertl C
+0.58
+0.75
+0.19
-0.35
0.00
0.00
-0.01
—
21:58
61 Mark Stone R
+0.57
+0.55
+0.15
-0.22
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
23:12
5 Jeremy Lauzon D
+0.53
0.00
+0.21
+0.30
0.00
0.00
+0.02
—
17:00
23 Cole Reinhardt L
+0.53
0.00
0.00
+0.53
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
10:45
27 Shea Theodore D
+0.40
0.00
+0.02
+0.28
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
21:45
16 Pavel Dorofeyev R
+0.40
0.00
+0.27
+0.12
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
19:20
93 Mitch Marner R
+0.29
0.00
+0.10
+0.12
0.00
-0.03
+0.10
—
21:31
33 Adin Hill G
+0.17
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
+0.17
57:54
6 Kaedan Korczak D
+0.13
0.00
0.00
+0.03
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
17:43
88 Jaycob Megna D
+0.02
0.00
+0.02
-0.01
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
11:01
19 Reilly Smith R
-0.01
0.00
+0.11
-0.08
0.00
-0.02
-0.02
—
13:32
49 Ivan Barbashev L
-0.03
0.00
+0.14
-0.17
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
17:01
42 Braeden Bowman R
-0.04
0.00
+0.06
-0.10
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
13:01
15 Noah Hanifin D
-0.08
0.00
+0.08
-0.14
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
20:37
17 Ben Hutton D
-0.19
0.00
0.00
-0.41
+0.15
0.00
+0.07
—
11:22
55 Keegan Kolesar R
-0.51
0.00
+0.13
-0.63
0.00
-0.01
0.00
—
11:42
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a
player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays,
all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.