| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 33 | |
| 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 32 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2:49 | Max Sasson (10) Linus Karlsson (12), Nils Hoglander (1) · snap xG 0.19 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 10:11 | Anthony Duclair (10) Tony DeAngelo (18), Matthew Schaefer (20) · snap xG 0.10 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 14:48 | Evander Kane (8) Elias Pettersson (6), David Kampf (2) · tip-in xG 0.10 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 14:34 | Anthony Duclair (11)PP Calum Ritchie (7), Mathew Barzal (28) · snap xG 0.17 | 2–2 ▶ | |
| 15:58 | Ryan Pulock (2) Matthew Schaefer (21), Jean-Gabriel Pageau (11) · snap xG 0.11 | 3–2 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 10:15 | Tony DeAngelo (3) Mathew Barzal (29), Anders Lee (17) · wrist xG 0.18 | 4–2 ▶ | |
| 18:09 | Drew O'Connor (11) Filip Hronek (25) · tip-in xG 0.08 | 4–3 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| NYI | VAN | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.30 | Expected goals | 3.90 |
| 4 | Goals (no shootout) | 3 |
| 2.53 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 3.19 |
| 58 | Shot attempts | 63 |
| 48 | Unblocked attempts | 44 |
| 33 | Shots on goal | 32 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 3rd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 0:10 | NYI | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced VAN 1.43–0.07
In xG over 10 minutes, 12:20 of the 2nd to 2:20 of the 3rd; goals 2–0 |
| 13:40 | NYI | No shift | No shift · Tsyplakov, 12:54 on the bench
No shift after 17:59 of the 2nd; 7 shifts (6:43) before that |
| 15:44 | VAN | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Lankinen, down 4–2
With 4:16 left |
| 18:15 | VAN | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Lankinen, down 4–3
With 1:45 left |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 13 | Mathew Barzal | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 20:38 |
| 92 | Simon Holmstrom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 18:15 |
| 92 | Jonathan Drouin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.32 | 1 | 2 | 17:32 |
| 11 | Anthony Duclair | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 8 | 0.89 | 0 | 2 | 17:03 |
| 51 | Emil Heineman | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.12 | 2 | 3 | 16:31 |
| 53 | Casey Cizikas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.09 | 2 | 0 | 16:04 |
| 72 | Anders Lee | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 0.17 | 1 | 1 | 15:00 |
| 44 | Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.21 | 2 | 0 | 13:58 |
| 64 | Calum Ritchie | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | 0.10 | 0 | 2 | 13:25 |
| 32 | Kyle MacLean | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | 3 | 0 | 12:59 |
| 17 | Marc Gatcomb | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.01 | 2 | 0 | 11:12 |
| 72 | Maxim Tsyplakov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.31 | 0 | 0 | 06:43 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 48 | Matthew Schaefer | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 0.19 | 0 | 1 | 25:04 |
| 6 | Ryan Pulock | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.13 | 0 | 2 | 22:08 |
| 3 | Adam Pelech | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.09 | 1 | 1 | 19:58 |
| 24 | Scott Mayfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.10 | 1 | 0 | 18:14 |
| 77 | Tony DeAngelo | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0.26 | 2 | 2 | 17:08 |
| 34 | Adam Boqvist | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 14:08 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin | 32 | 3 | 29 | .906 | 3.90 | +0.90 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 40 | Elias Pettersson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0.63 | 3 | 0 | 21:28 |
| 91 | Evander Kane | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.62 | 4 | 0 | 19:10 |
| 6 | Brock Boeser | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.58 | 1 | 0 | 17:37 |
| 74 | Jake DeBrusk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.28 | 1 | 0 | 17:04 |
| 18 | Drew O'Connor | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 0.19 | 1 | 0 | 16:20 |
| 83 | Conor Garland | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 15:22 |
| 64 | David Kampf | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0.37 | 3 | 0 | 14:54 |
| 54 | Aatu Räty | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.38 | 2 | 0 | 13:51 |
| 94 | Linus Karlsson | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.18 | 1 | 0 | 12:50 |
| 92 | Liam Ohgren | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.29 | 0 | 1 | 11:38 |
| 21 | Nils Hoglander | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.11 | 1 | 0 | 11:36 |
| 63 | Max Sasson | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.19 | 0 | 0 | 09:35 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 17 | Filip Hronek | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 28:01 |
| 26 | Marcus Pettersson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.01 | 0 | 2 | 22:19 |
| 8 | Zeev Buium | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 21:45 |
| 57 | Tyler Myers | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 18:43 |
| 5 | Tom Willander | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 13:10 |
| 25 | Elias Pettersson | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.04 | 2 | 1 | 13:09 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Lankinen | 33 | 4 | 29 | .879 | 3.20 | -0.80 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Anthony Duclair L | +2.50 | +1.50 | +0.58 | +0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 17:03 |
| 13 Mathew Barzal C | +1.47 | +1.25 | 0.00 | +0.27 | 0.00 | -0.03 | -0.02 | — | 20:38 |
| 77 Tony DeAngelo D | +1.35 | +1.45 | +0.17 | -0.52 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 17:08 |
| 48 Matthew Schaefer D | +1.10 | +1.25 | +0.13 | -0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 25:04 |
| 34 Adam Boqvist D | +1.06 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 14:08 |
| 27 Anders Lee L | +1.01 | +0.55 | +0.11 | +0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 15:00 |
| 30 Ilya Sorokin G | +0.90 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.90 | 60:00 |
| 44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau C | +0.49 | +0.55 | +0.14 | -0.20 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.02 | — | 13:58 |
| 64 Calum Ritchie C | +0.42 | +0.70 | +0.06 | -0.31 | -0.15 | -0.01 | +0.12 | — | 13:25 |
| 29 Jonathan Drouin L | +0.37 | 0.00 | +0.21 | +0.07 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.08 | — | 17:32 |
| 24 Scott Mayfield D | +0.36 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 18:14 |
| 10 Simon Holmstrom R | +0.31 | 0.00 | +0.17 | +0.14 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 18:15 |
| 51 Emil Heineman L | +0.12 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.26 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 16:31 |
| 6 Ryan Pulock D | +0.07 | +0.75 | +0.08 | -0.74 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 22:08 |
| 53 Casey Cizikas C | -0.28 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.31 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 16:04 |
| 7 Maxim Tsyplakov R | -0.29 | 0.00 | +0.20 | -0.47 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 6:43 |
| 32 Kyle MacLean C | -0.54 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.55 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 12:59 |
| 3 Adam Pelech D | -0.70 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.92 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 19:58 |
| 16 Marc Gatcomb C | -0.71 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:12 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Filip Hronek D | +1.20 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 28:01 |
| 94 Linus Karlsson C | +1.13 | +0.70 | +0.12 | +0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:50 |
| 40 Elias Pettersson C | +1.00 | 0.00 | +0.41 | +0.60 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 20:43 |
| 5 Tom Willander D | +0.95 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 13:10 |
| 6 Brock Boeser R | +0.93 | 0.00 | +0.38 | +0.60 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.04 | — | 17:37 |
| 18 Drew O'Connor L | +0.87 | +0.75 | +0.13 | +0.14 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:20 |
| 25 Elias Pettersson D | +0.83 | +0.70 | +0.03 | +0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 13:09 |
| 91 Evander Kane L | +0.80 | +0.75 | +0.40 | -0.32 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 19:10 |
| 74 Jake DeBrusk L | +0.78 | 0.00 | +0.18 | +0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:04 |
| 63 Max Sasson C | +0.77 | +0.75 | +0.13 | +0.08 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 9:35 |
| 24 Zeev Buium D | +0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.56 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 21:45 |
| 64 David Kampf C | +0.70 | +0.55 | +0.24 | -0.12 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.02 | — | 14:54 |
| 21 Nils Hoglander L | +0.69 | +0.55 | +0.07 | +0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 11:36 |
| 92 Liam Ohgren L | +0.46 | 0.00 | +0.19 | +0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 12:23 |
| 54 Aatu Räty C | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.02 | — | 13:51 |
| 29 Marcus Pettersson D | +0.02 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 22:19 |
| 8 Conor Garland R | -0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 15:22 |
| 32 Kevin Lankinen G | -0.80 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.80 | 56:04 |
| 57 Tyler Myers D | -0.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 18:43 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.