| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 20 |
 |
2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 33 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Scoring
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 10:44 | |
Vladimir Tarasenko (12)PP Mats Zuccarello (19), Quinn Hughes (40) · snap xG 0.12 | 1–0 ▶ |
| 15:22 | |
Phillip Danault (1) Josh Anderson (6), Kaiden Guhle (2) · snap xG 0.36 | 1–1 ▶ |
| 19:08 | |
Alexandre Carrier (5) Mike Matheson (18), Ivan Demidov (31) · tip-in xG 0.07 | 1–2 ▶ |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 10:16 | |
Brock Faber (11) Kirill Kaprizov (33), Vinnie Hinostroza (6) · snap xG 0.01 | 2–2 ▶ |
| 12:35 | |
Lane Hutson (9) Ivan Demidov (32), Jayden Struble (7) · slap xG 0.04 | 2–3 ▶ |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 12:40 | |
Vladimir Tarasenko (13)PP Kirill Kaprizov (34), Mats Zuccarello (20) · snap xG 0.11 | 3–3 ▶ |
| 19:45 | |
Cole Caufield (25) Nick Suzuki (40), Lane Hutson (43) · slap xG 0.06 | 3–4 ▶ |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| MIN | MTL | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.21 | Expected goals | 2.78 |
| 3 | Goals (no shootout) | 4 |
| 1.50 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.61 |
| 47 | Shot attempts | 75 |
| 34 | Unblocked attempts | 49 |
| 20 | Shots on goal | 33 |
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 3rd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 19:00 | MIN | No shift | No shift · Jones, 10:49 on the bench
No shift after 6:35 of the 3rd; 11 shifts (7:19) before that |
| 19:45 | MIN | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Wallstedt, down 4–3
With 0:15 left; MTL scored at 19:45 of the 3rd (3–4) |
Shot map
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
Box score
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 97 | Kirill Kaprizov | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 0.68 | 0 | 0 | 23:40 |
| 36 | Mats Zuccarello | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 | 0.11 | 0 | 1 | 21:52 |
| 38 | Ryan Hartman | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.23 | 0 | 0 | 20:44 |
| 13 | Yakov Trenin | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 3 | 0.40 | 6 | 2 | 15:59 |
| 17 | Marcus Foligno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 0 | 15:50 |
| 91 | Vladimir Tarasenko | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 5 | 0.30 | 1 | 1 | 15:46 |
| 18 | Vinnie Hinostroza | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.07 | 0 | 1 | 13:30 |
| 22 | Danila Yurov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 13:26 |
| 37 | Hunter Haight | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.02 | 1 | 1 | 11:34 |
| 78 | Nico Sturm | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 11:27 |
| 18 | Ben Jones | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 3 | 07:19 |
| 19 | Tyler Pitlick | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 06:13 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 43 | Quinn Hughes | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.19 | 0 | 3 | 30:03 |
| 7 | Brock Faber | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.02 | 1 | 0 | 27:47 |
| 55 | Jake Middleton | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.04 | 2 | 1 | 19:54 |
| 46 | Jared Spurgeon | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 19:29 |
| 48 | Daemon Hunt | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.10 | 0 | 3 | 11:02 |
| 82 | David Spacek | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 09:31 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesper Wallstedt | 33 | 4 | 29 | .879 | 2.78 | -1.22 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 14 | Nick Suzuki | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.11 | 1 | 2 | 20:10 |
| 13 | Cole Caufield | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.19 | 0 | 1 | 18:37 |
| 20 | Juraj Slafkovský | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 6 | 0.26 | 1 | 0 | 17:08 |
| 77 | Kirby Dach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.13 | 1 | 3 | 16:46 |
| 93 | Ivan Demidov | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 0.21 | 1 | 0 | 15:07 |
| 24 | Phillip Danault | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 | 0.36 | 0 | 0 | 14:53 |
| 71 | Jake Evans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.25 | 0 | 2 | 14:03 |
| 90 | Joseph Veleno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.19 | 2 | 0 | 13:54 |
| 91 | Oliver Kapanen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.06 | 0 | 0 | 13:24 |
| 17 | Josh Anderson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.18 | 2 | 0 | 12:11 |
| 7 | Brendan Gallagher | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.07 | 1 | 0 | 11:55 |
| 76 | Zachary Bolduc | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.05 | 1 | 0 | 10:57 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 53 | Noah Dobson | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 7 | 0.06 | 1 | 1 | 24:00 |
| 8 | Mike Matheson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 0.10 | 0 | 2 | 23:40 |
| 21 | Kaiden Guhle | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.05 | 2 | 1 | 19:31 |
| 48 | Lane Hutson | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 19:29 |
| 45 | Alexandre Carrier | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.45 | 1 | 0 | 18:01 |
| 3 | Jayden Struble | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.01 | 4 | 0 | 11:08 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Dobes | 20 | 3 | 17 | .850 | 2.21 | -0.79 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 97 Kirill Kaprizov L | +1.94 | +1.40 | +0.44 | +0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 23:40 |
| 36 Mats Zuccarello R | +1.33 | +1.25 | +0.07 | -0.16 | +0.15 | -0.01 | +0.03 | — | 21:52 |
| 43 Quinn Hughes D | +0.78 | +0.55 | +0.12 | +0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.09 | — | 30:03 |
| 18 Vinnie Hinostroza C | +0.78 | +0.55 | +0.05 | +0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 13:30 |
| 7 Brock Faber D | +0.52 | +0.75 | +0.01 | -0.39 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 27:47 |
| 91 Vladimir Tarasenko R | +0.40 | +1.50 | +0.20 | -1.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 15:46 |
| 38 Ryan Hartman R | +0.03 | 0.00 | +0.15 | +0.16 | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 20:44 |
| 17 Marcus Foligno L | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.15 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:50 |
| 19 Tyler Pitlick C | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 6:13 |
| 37 Hunter Haight C | -0.13 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.16 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.03 | — | 11:34 |
| 39 Ben Jones C | -0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.33 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.15 | — | 7:19 |
| 46 Jared Spurgeon D | -0.19 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 19:29 |
| 78 Nico Sturm C | -0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.53 | -0.15 | +0.01 | +0.03 | — | 11:27 |
| 5 Jake Middleton D | -0.66 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 19:54 |
| 82 David Spacek D | -0.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 9:31 |
| 48 Daemon Hunt D | -0.89 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -1.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 11:02 |
| 13 Yakov Trenin C | -1.05 | 0.00 | +0.26 | -1.52 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 15:59 |
| 22 Danila Yurov R | -1.10 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -1.14 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.03 | — | 13:26 |
| 30 Jesper Wallstedt G | -1.22 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.22 | 58:54 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45 Alexandre Carrier D | +2.38 | +0.75 | +0.29 | +1.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 18:01 |
| 93 Ivan Demidov R | +1.90 | +1.25 | +0.13 | +0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:07 |
| 21 Kaiden Guhle D | +1.67 | +0.55 | +0.03 | +1.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 19:31 |
| 14 Nick Suzuki C | +1.66 | +0.70 | +0.07 | +0.52 | +0.30 | -0.01 | +0.08 | — | 20:10 |
| 48 Lane Hutson D | +1.61 | +1.30 | +0.03 | +0.57 | -0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 19:29 |
| 24 Phillip Danault C | +1.52 | +0.75 | +0.23 | +0.64 | -0.15 | +0.05 | 0.00 | — | 14:53 |
| 13 Cole Caufield R | +1.31 | +0.75 | +0.13 | +0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 18:37 |
| 17 Josh Anderson R | +1.19 | +0.70 | +0.12 | +0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 12:11 |
| 20 Juraj Slafkovský L | +0.85 | 0.00 | +0.17 | +0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 17:08 |
| 8 Mike Matheson D | +0.81 | +0.70 | +0.06 | +0.10 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 23:40 |
| 47 Jayden Struble D | +0.72 | +0.55 | +0.01 | +0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 11:08 |
| 71 Jake Evans C | +0.57 | 0.00 | +0.16 | +0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 14:03 |
| 77 Kirby Dach C | +0.52 | 0.00 | +0.09 | +0.15 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 16:46 |
| 90 Joseph Veleno C | +0.44 | 0.00 | +0.12 | +0.35 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | 13:54 |
| 91 Oliver Kapanen C | +0.43 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.38 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 13:24 |
| 11 Brendan Gallagher R | +0.39 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 11:55 |
| 76 Zachary Bolduc R | +0.27 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:57 |
| 53 Noah Dobson D | +0.16 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 24:00 |
| 75 Jakub Dobes G | -0.79 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.79 | 60:00 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.