Ottawa SenatorsOTT 4–1 Final Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ

Tuesday, January 20, 2026

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Ottawa SenatorsOTT	2	0	2	4	21
Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ	1	0	0	1	22

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
3:34	OTT	Tyler Kleven (1) Claude Giroux (26), Michael Amadio (11) · snap xG 0.06	1–0 ▶
7:46	CBJ	Sean Monahan (7) Boone Jenner (17), Kent Johnson (10) · snap xG 0.15	1–1 ▶
10:15	OTT	Tim Stützle (22) Thomas Chabot (13), Nick Jensen (10) · wrist xG 0.09	2–1 ▶
2nd Period
No scoring
3rd Period
6:49	OTT	Ridly Greig (7) Dylan Cozens (22), Thomas Chabot (14) · backhand xG 0.25	3–1 ▶
16:54	OTT	Brady Tkachuk (11)EN Tim Stützle (29), Ridly Greig (15) · wrist xG 0.94	4–1 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

OTT 54%Deserve to win46% CBJ

OTT		CBJ
3.36	Expected goals	2.21
4	Goals (no shootout)	1
1.41	Expected goals, 5 on 5	1.03
49	Shot attempts	50
36	Unblocked attempts	34
21	Shots on goal	22

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
17:50	OTT	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced CBJ 1.10–0.02 In xG over 10 minutes, 7:50 to 17:50 of the 1st; goals 1–0
20:00	CBJ	Goalie change	Goalie change · Greaves in for Merzlikins The start of the 2nd; Merzlikins had allowed 2 goals on 7 shots (1.31 xG)
2nd Period
2:20	CBJ	No shift	No shift · Voronkov, 11:01 on the bench No shift from 10:15 of the 1st to 3:16 of the 2nd; 3 shifts (3:08) before that
3rd Period
16:13	CBJ	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Greaves, down 3–1 With 3:47 left; OTT scored at 16:54 of the 3rd (4–1)

Shot map

OTT shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ CBJ shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Ottawa Senators

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
18	Tim Stützle	1	1	2	+1	4	0.15	0	0	20:31
12	Shane Pinto	0	0	0	+1	2	0.05	1	1	18:32
28	Claude Giroux	0	1	1	+1	3	0.04	1	1	16:40
22	Michael Amadio	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	1	16:30
71	Ridly Greig	1	1	2	+2	2	0.35	1	0	15:44
24	Dylan Cozens	0	1	1	+1	4	0.33	2	0	15:19
19	Drake Batherson	0	0	0	0	3	0.21	0	0	15:17
8	Brady Tkachuk	1	0	1	+2	5	1.02	3	0	14:08
16	David Perron	0	0	0	0	2	0.47	1	0	12:33
20	Lars Eller	0	0	0	0	2	0.15	2	0	11:16
20	Fabian Zetterlund	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	10:57
21	Nick Cousins	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	10:32
Defense
85	Jake Sanderson	0	0	0	+1	3	0.15	1	4	24:24
72	Thomas Chabot	0	2	2	+1	5	0.15	0	2	22:10
2	Artem Zub	0	0	0	+1	2	0.02	0	3	20:18
4	Nick Jensen	0	1	1	+1	5	0.01	0	0	16:47
43	Tyler Kleven	1	0	1	+1	3	0.08	0	1	15:30
10	Jordan Spence	0	0	0	+1	3	0.17	0	1	15:23

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
James Reimer	22	1	21	.955	2.21	+1.21

Columbus Blue Jackets

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
19	Adam Fantilli	0	0	0	-1	5	0.41	4	1	21:48
86	Kirill Marchenko	0	0	0	-1	5	0.25	1	0	18:23
91	Kent Johnson	0	1	1	+1	4	0.07	0	0	17:56
3	Charlie Coyle	0	0	0	-2	2	0.20	0	0	17:22
22	Boone Jenner	0	1	1	+1	7	0.18	4	1	17:21
4	Cole Sillinger	0	0	0	0	4	0.02	2	0	16:48
23	Sean Monahan	1	0	1	0	3	0.18	0	0	16:39
24	Mathieu Olivier	0	0	0	-1	2	0.24	4	0	13:00
10	Dmitri Voronkov	0	0	0	-3	3	0.26	1	0	10:29
58	Danton Heinen	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	4	0	10:18
50	Brendan Gaunce	0	0	0	-2	3	0.20	1	1	09:30
21	Zachary Aston-Reese	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	3	1	07:42
Defense
8	Zach Werenski	0	0	0	-2	3	0.14	0	0	25:12
9	Ivan Provorov	0	0	0	0	3	0.02	0	3	23:30
78	Damon Severson	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	2	20:52
44	Erik Gudbranson	0	0	0	0	4	0.02	0	4	20:49
2	Jake Christiansen	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	13:41
6	Egor Zamula	0	0	0	-1	2	0.01	0	0	11:24

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Elvis Merzlikins	7	2	5	.714	1.31	-0.69
Jet Greaves	13	1	12	.923	1.11	+0.11

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Ottawa Senators

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
71 Ridly Greig C	+2.00	+1.30	+0.23	+0.30	+0.15	+0.02	0.00	—	15:44
72 Thomas Chabot D	+1.72	+1.25	+0.10	+0.26	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	22:10
7 Brady Tkachuk L	+1.70	+0.75	+0.66	+0.30	0.00	+0.01	-0.02	—	14:08
24 Dylan Cozens C	+1.62	+0.70	+0.21	+0.68	0.00	+0.01	+0.02	—	15:19
18 Tim Stützle C	+1.61	+1.45	+0.10	+0.08	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	20:31
43 Tyler Kleven D	+1.31	+0.75	+0.05	+0.43	0.00	0.00	+0.09	—	15:30
47 James Reimer G	+1.21	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+1.21	59:29
28 Claude Giroux R	+1.04	+0.70	+0.03	+0.25	0.00	+0.01	+0.05	—	16:40
3 Nick Jensen D	+0.74	+0.55	0.00	+0.19	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	16:47
10 Jordan Spence D	+0.62	0.00	+0.11	+0.48	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	15:23
22 Michael Amadio R	+0.48	+0.55	0.00	+0.06	-0.15	+0.01	+0.01	—	16:30
85 Jake Sanderson D	+0.39	0.00	+0.09	+0.10	0.00	0.00	+0.20	—	24:24
57 David Perron L	+0.34	0.00	+0.31	+0.03	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	12:33
19 Drake Batherson R	+0.25	0.00	+0.14	+0.15	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	—	15:17
20 Fabian Zetterlund L	+0.24	0.00	+0.01	+0.09	+0.15	0.00	0.00	—	10:57
21 Nick Cousins C	+0.22	0.00	0.00	+0.22	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	10:32
2 Artem Zub D	+0.08	0.00	+0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	+0.07	—	20:18
89 Lars Eller C	+0.08	0.00	+0.10	-0.06	0.00	+0.04	0.00	—	11:16
12 Shane Pinto C	-0.01	0.00	+0.03	+0.09	-0.15	+0.01	+0.01	—	18:32

Columbus Blue Jackets

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
91 Kent Johnson C	+0.62	+0.55	+0.05	+0.07	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	17:56
38 Boone Jenner C	+0.59	+0.70	+0.12	-0.12	-0.15	+0.01	+0.03	—	17:21
23 Sean Monahan C	+0.54	+0.75	+0.12	-0.13	-0.15	-0.02	-0.02	—	16:39
19 Adam Fantilli C	+0.43	0.00	+0.27	+0.03	+0.15	-0.03	+0.01	—	21:48
86 Kirill Marchenko R	+0.33	0.00	+0.16	+0.17	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	18:23
3 Charlie Coyle C	+0.20	0.00	+0.13	-0.04	+0.15	-0.05	0.00	—	17:19
4 Cole Sillinger C	+0.17	0.00	+0.01	+0.16	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	16:48
73 Jet Greaves G	+0.11	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+0.11	39:19
44 Erik Gudbranson D	+0.04	0.00	+0.01	-0.11	0.00	0.00	+0.14	—	20:49
24 Mathieu Olivier R	-0.06	0.00	+0.15	-0.20	0.00	-0.01	0.00	—	13:00
8 Zach Werenski D	-0.17	0.00	+0.09	-0.37	+0.15	0.00	-0.04	—	25:12
6 Egor Zamula D	-0.18	0.00	+0.01	-0.22	0.00	0.00	+0.04	—	11:24
10 Dmitri Voronkov L	-0.19	0.00	+0.17	-0.37	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	10:29
9 Ivan Provorov D	-0.19	0.00	+0.01	-0.14	-0.15	0.00	+0.09	—	23:30
78 Damon Severson D	-0.23	0.00	0.00	-0.25	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	20:52
43 Danton Heinen L	-0.29	0.00	0.00	-0.29	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	10:18
2 Jake Christiansen D	-0.44	0.00	0.00	-0.44	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	13:41
16 Brendan Gaunce C	-0.53	0.00	+0.13	-0.69	0.00	-0.02	+0.05	—	9:30
27 Zachary Aston-Reese L	-0.64	0.00	0.00	-0.70	0.00	+0.01	+0.05	—	7:42
90 Elvis Merzlikins G	-0.69	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-0.69	20:00

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.