Boston BruinsBOS 2–6 Final Dallas StarsDAL

Tuesday, January 20, 2026

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Boston BruinsBOS	0	0	2	2	18
Dallas StarsDAL	2	2	2	6	37

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
16:08	DAL	Wyatt Johnston (26)PP Roope Hintz (23), Miro Heiskanen (30) · snap xG 0.11	0–1 ▶
19:47	DAL	Mavrik Bourque (8)PP Thomas Harley (15), Justin Hryckowian (8) · snap xG 0.48	0–2 ▶
2nd Period
8:26	DAL	Esa Lindell (5) Miro Heiskanen (31), Justin Hryckowian (9) · slap xG 0.02	0–3 ▶
19:29	DAL	Justin Hryckowian (8) Thomas Harley (16) · deflected xG 0.04	0–4 ▶
3rd Period
3:15	DAL	Jason Robertson (28) Miro Heiskanen (32), Roope Hintz (24) · wrap-around xG 0.10	0–5 ▶
6:37	DAL	Jason Robertson (29) Mavrik Bourque (10), Radek Faksa (15) · snap xG 0.05	0–6 ▶
12:11	BOS	Morgan Geekie (26)PP David Pastrnak (40), Elias Lindholm (25) · tip-in xG 0.10	1–6 ▶
15:39	BOS	Fraser Minten (12) Nikita Zadorov (15) · backhand xG 0.13	2–6 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

BOS 27%Deserve to win73% DAL

BOS		DAL
2.20	Expected goals	3.55
2	Goals (no shootout)	6
1.67	Expected goals, 5 on 5	2.22
43	Shot attempts	69
30	Unblocked attempts	51
18	Shots on goal	37

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
19:50	DAL	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced BOS 1.32–0.14 In xG over 10 minutes, 10:10 of the 1st to 0:10 of the 2nd; goals 2–0
2nd Period
17:50	DAL	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced BOS 1.13–0.01 In xG over 10 minutes, 9:30 to 19:30 of the 2nd; goals 1–0
3rd Period
6:37	BOS	Goalie	Goalie · Swayman −2.7 goals saved 6 goals on 3.29 xG, 34 shots on goal
6:37	BOS	Goalie change	Goalie change · Korpisalo in for Swayman 6:37 of the 3rd; Swayman had allowed 6 goals on 34 shots (3.29 xG)
17:30	BOS	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced DAL 1.20–0.14 In xG over 10 minutes, 8:40 to 18:40 of the 3rd; goals 2–0

Shot map

BOS shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ DAL shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Boston Bruins

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
28	Elias Lindholm	0	1	1	-2	4	0.26	1	2	20:11
88	David Pastrnak	0	1	1	-2	1	0.03	1	2	18:52
47	Mark Kastelic	0	0	0	-1	3	0.04	5	1	15:28
11	Casey Mittelstadt	0	0	0	-1	2	0.23	1	1	14:53
33	Viktor Arvidsson	0	0	0	-1	5	0.49	1	0	14:32
52	Sean Kuraly	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	14:26
18	Pavel Zacha	0	0	0	-1	3	0.22	0	0	14:14
92	Marat Khusnutdinov	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	1	14:07
39	Morgan Geekie	1	0	1	0	3	0.12	0	1	13:38
93	Fraser Minten	1	0	1	0	4	0.26	0	0	13:31
84	Tanner Jeannot	0	0	0	+1	2	0.29	9	1	12:48
21	Alex Steeves	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	5	1	11:42
Defense
73	Charlie McAvoy	0	0	0	-2	1	0.00	1	2	22:20
20	Andrew Peeke	0	0	0	+1	3	0.00	0	0	21:13
27	Hampus Lindholm	0	0	0	-2	4	0.17	1	2	20:13
91	Nikita Zadorov	0	1	1	+1	3	0.02	5	0	20:10
45	Jonathan Aspirot	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	4	3	16:51
6	Mason Lohrei	0	0	0	-2	3	0.06	0	0	16:34

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Jeremy Swayman	34	6	28	.824	3.29	-2.71
Joonas Korpisalo	3	0	3	1.000	0.26	+0.26

Dallas Stars

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
21	Jason Robertson	2	0	2	+2	17	0.82	0	0	18:54
53	Wyatt Johnston	1	0	1	0	4	0.20	0	0	18:28
95	Matt Duchene	0	0	0	0	5	0.40	0	1	18:09
22	Mavrik Bourque	1	1	2	+2	4	0.61	1	0	17:37
24	Roope Hintz	0	2	2	+2	3	0.66	0	0	16:06
18	Sam Steel	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	14:39
49	Justin Hryckowian	1	2	3	+2	3	0.12	0	0	14:31
10	Oskar Bäck	0	0	0	+2	1	0.00	1	0	13:23
15	Colin Blackwell	0	0	0	-1	3	0.10	2	2	12:53
14	Jamie Benn	0	0	0	+2	3	0.23	0	0	12:44
12	Radek Faksa	0	1	1	-1	2	0.13	0	0	12:23
11	Nathan Bastian	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	09:27
Defense
55	Thomas Harley	0	2	2	+1	3	0.03	2	3	23:08
4	Miro Heiskanen	0	3	3	+2	6	0.07	0	1	21:52
23	Esa Lindell	1	0	1	+2	3	0.07	0	3	21:52
46	Ilya Lyubushkin	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	1	1	17:56
5	Nils Lundkvist	0	0	0	+1	3	0.04	0	0	17:07
36	Alexander Petrovic	0	0	0	0	8	0.02	2	2	15:45

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Jake Oettinger	18	2	16	.889	2.20	+0.20

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Boston Bruins

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
93 Fraser Minten C	+0.84	+0.75	+0.17	-0.01	0.00	-0.07	0.00	—	13:31
91 Nikita Zadorov D	+0.83	+0.70	+0.01	+0.31	-0.15	0.00	-0.04	—	20:10
71 Viktor Arvidsson L	+0.81	0.00	+0.32	+0.51	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	14:32
11 Casey Mittelstadt C	+0.69	0.00	+0.15	+0.51	0.00	-0.02	+0.05	—	14:53
84 Tanner Jeannot L	+0.63	0.00	+0.19	+0.41	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	12:48
52 Sean Kuraly C	+0.52	0.00	+0.01	+0.51	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	14:26
39 Morgan Geekie C	+0.50	+0.75	+0.08	-0.51	+0.15	+0.01	+0.03	—	13:38
26 Andrew Peeke D	+0.26	0.00	0.00	+0.28	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	21:13
70 Joonas Korpisalo G	+0.26	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+0.26	13:23
18 Pavel Zacha C	+0.04	0.00	+0.14	-0.10	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	14:14
47 Mark Kastelic C	-0.04	0.00	+0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	+0.05	—	15:28
27 Hampus Lindholm D	-0.42	0.00	+0.11	-0.62	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	20:13
21 Alex Steeves C	-0.45	0.00	0.00	-0.50	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	11:42
6 Mason Lohrei D	-0.60	0.00	+0.04	-0.60	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	16:34
73 Charlie McAvoy D	-0.60	0.00	0.00	-0.66	0.00	0.00	+0.06	—	22:20
28 Elias Lindholm C	-0.66	+0.55	+0.17	-1.45	0.00	-0.04	+0.12	—	20:11
45 Jonathan Aspirot D	-0.69	0.00	0.00	-0.82	0.00	0.00	+0.13	—	16:51
88 David Pastrnak R	-0.78	+0.70	+0.02	-1.40	-0.15	-0.01	+0.06	—	18:52
92 Marat Khusnutdinov C	-0.93	0.00	0.00	-0.96	0.00	-0.02	+0.05	—	14:07
1 Jeremy Swayman G	-2.71	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-2.71	46:37

Dallas Stars

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
21 Jason Robertson L	+3.50	+1.50	+0.53	+1.62	-0.15	0.00	0.00	—	18:54
22 Mavrik Bourque C	+3.35	+1.45	+0.40	+1.51	0.00	+0.05	-0.06	—	17:37
4 Miro Heiskanen D	+3.19	+1.95	+0.04	+1.17	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	21:52
24 Roope Hintz C	+2.99	+1.25	+0.43	+1.28	0.00	+0.05	-0.02	—	16:06
49 Justin Hryckowian C	+2.54	+1.85	+0.08	+0.54	0.00	+0.07	0.00	—	14:31
23 Esa Lindell D	+2.36	+0.75	+0.05	+1.42	0.00	0.00	+0.15	—	21:52
55 Thomas Harley D	+1.67	+1.40	+0.02	+0.06	0.00	0.00	+0.19	—	23:08
14 Jamie Benn L	+0.65	0.00	+0.15	+0.50	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	12:44
53 Wyatt Johnston C	+0.53	+0.75	+0.13	-0.39	0.00	+0.04	0.00	—	18:28
10 Oskar Bäck C	+0.46	0.00	0.00	+0.44	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	13:23
29 Jake Oettinger G	+0.20	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+0.20	60:00
95 Matt Duchene C	+0.19	0.00	+0.26	-0.23	+0.15	-0.02	+0.03	—	18:09
12 Radek Faksa C	+0.07	+0.55	+0.09	-0.54	0.00	-0.04	+0.02	—	12:23
5 Nils Lundkvist D	-0.05	0.00	+0.03	-0.08	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	17:07
46 Ilya Lyubushkin D	-0.12	0.00	+0.03	-0.16	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	17:56
15 Colin Blackwell C	-0.19	0.00	+0.06	-0.54	+0.15	+0.03	+0.10	—	12:53
28 Alexander Petrovic D	-0.25	0.00	+0.02	-0.29	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	15:45
18 Sam Steel C	-0.50	0.00	0.00	-0.52	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	14:39
11 Nathan Bastian R	-0.51	0.00	0.00	-0.51	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	9:27

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.