| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 36 | |
| 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 27 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 0:18 | Adrian Kempe (17) Brandt Clarke (18), Corey Perry (14) · slap xG 0.07 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 8:18 | Will Cuylle (11) Scott Morrow (6), Noah Laba (8) · deflected xG 0.12 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 9:00 | Kevin Fiala (18) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.12 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 16:36 | J.T. Miller (12) Mika Zibanejad (27), Braden Schneider (8) · tip-in xG 0.10 | 2–2 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 4:23 | Taylor Ward (1) Jeff Malott (2), Samuel Helenius (1) · snap xG 0.22 | 2–3 ▶ | |
| 12:37 | Andrei Kuzmenko (10) Kevin Fiala (18), Alex Turcotte (9) · backhand xG 0.38 | 2–4 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 19:33 | J.T. Miller (13) Vladislav Gavrikov (9), Vincent Trocheck (21) · snap xG 0.04 | 3–4 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| NYR | LAK | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.80 | Expected goals | 3.93 |
| 3 | Goals (no shootout) | 4 |
| 1.26 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.71 |
| 64 | Shot attempts | 71 |
| 49 | Unblocked attempts | 48 |
| 36 | Shots on goal | 27 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 19:21 | LAK | Goalie change | Goalie change · Forsberg in for Kuemper
19:21 of the 1st; Kuemper had allowed 2 goals on 8 shots (0.53 xG) |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 7:00 | NYR | No shift | No shift · Brodzinski, 20:24 on the bench
No shift after 12:37 of the 2nd; 7 shifts (5:43) before that |
| 13:00 | LAK | Goalie | Goalie · Forsberg +2.0 goals saved
0 goals on 2.00 xG, 24 shots on goal |
| 17:11 | NYR | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Quick, down 4–2
With 2:49 left; NYR scored at 19:33 of the 3rd (3–4) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 10 | Artemi Panarin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.22 | 0 | 0 | 21:54 |
| 93 | Mika Zibanejad | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.10 | 0 | 1 | 21:40 |
| 10 | J.T. Miller | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 11 | 0.86 | 3 | 1 | 21:35 |
| 16 | Vincent Trocheck | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0.33 | 0 | 2 | 21:32 |
| 13 | Alexis Lafrenière | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.15 | 0 | 0 | 17:54 |
| 94 | Gabe Perreault | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | 0 | 0 | 16:24 |
| 42 | Noah Laba | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.07 | 2 | 0 | 15:14 |
| 50 | Will Cuylle | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 0.39 | 2 | 0 | 13:47 |
| 78 | Brennan Othmann | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.13 | 2 | 0 | 10:28 |
| 14 | Taylor Raddysh | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.04 | 1 | 1 | 09:42 |
| 10 | Sam Carrick | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 0 | 06:33 |
| 22 | Jonny Brodzinski | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | 5 | 1 | 05:43 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 44 | Vladislav Gavrikov | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0.03 | 1 | 5 | 25:24 |
| 4 | Braden Schneider | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 3 | 0.03 | 4 | 2 | 22:12 |
| 17 | Will Borgen | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.04 | 0 | 1 | 19:25 |
| 7 | Carson Soucy | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.05 | 2 | 3 | 18:02 |
| 60 | Scott Morrow | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.16 | 0 | 2 | 14:59 |
| 29 | Matthew Robertson | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.04 | 1 | 2 | 14:26 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Quick | 27 | 4 | 23 | .852 | 3.03 | -0.97 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 14 | Alex Laferriere | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 6 | 0.11 | 4 | 1 | 19:54 |
| 90 | Corey Perry | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 19:32 |
| 9 | Adrian Kempe | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 13 | 0.82 | 1 | 0 | 19:01 |
| 40 | Joel Armia | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.04 | 1 | 0 | 17:58 |
| 22 | Kevin Fiala | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 | 17:43 |
| 55 | Quinton Byfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.24 | 1 | 2 | 16:19 |
| 62 | Andrei Kuzmenko | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 0.59 | 0 | 0 | 16:19 |
| 37 | Warren Foegele | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 5 | 0.27 | 2 | 1 | 15:22 |
| 15 | Alex Turcotte | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 8 | 0.53 | 1 | 0 | 14:28 |
| 79 | Samuel Helenius | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.05 | 2 | 1 | 09:39 |
| 17 | Taylor Ward | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0.41 | 0 | 0 | 09:00 |
| 39 | Jeff Malott | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | 2 | 0 | 05:47 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 5 | Cody Ceci | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.44 | 0 | 3 | 23:26 |
| 44 | Mikey Anderson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 1 | 1 | 22:39 |
| 6 | Joel Edmundson | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 21:14 |
| 92 | Brandt Clarke | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 5 | 0.05 | 0 | 1 | 20:45 |
| 2 | Brian Dumoulin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 16:35 |
| 43 | Jacob Moverare | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 10:19 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darcy Kuemper | 8 | 2 | 6 | .750 | 0.53 | -1.47 |
| Anton Forsberg | 28 | 1 | 27 | .964 | 2.27 | +1.27 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 J.T. Miller C | +2.05 | +1.50 | +0.56 | -0.06 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.03 | — | 21:35 |
| 50 Will Cuylle L | +1.07 | +0.75 | +0.26 | -0.04 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 13:47 |
| 60 Scott Morrow D | +1.03 | +0.70 | +0.10 | +0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 14:59 |
| 16 Vincent Trocheck C | +0.79 | +0.55 | +0.21 | -0.32 | +0.15 | +0.09 | +0.10 | — | 21:32 |
| 93 Mika Zibanejad C | +0.78 | +0.70 | +0.07 | -0.10 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.03 | — | 21:40 |
| 42 Noah Laba C | +0.40 | +0.55 | +0.05 | -0.21 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 15:14 |
| 29 Matthew Robertson D | +0.08 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.09 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 14:26 |
| 94 Gabe Perreault R | -0.02 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:24 |
| 78 Brennan Othmann L | -0.09 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 10:28 |
| 44 Vladislav Gavrikov D | -0.12 | +0.70 | +0.02 | -1.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.21 | — | 25:24 |
| 13 Alexis Lafrenière L | -0.22 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.34 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 17:54 |
| 10 Artemi Panarin L | -0.25 | 0.00 | +0.14 | -0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 21:54 |
| 24 Carson Soucy D | -0.73 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | — | 18:02 |
| 4 Braden Schneider D | -0.75 | +0.55 | +0.02 | -1.14 | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 22:12 |
| 17 Will Borgen D | -0.93 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 19:25 |
| 32 Jonathan Quick G | -0.97 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.97 | 57:06 |
| 39 Sam Carrick C | -1.24 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -1.28 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 | — | 6:33 |
| 22 Jonny Brodzinski C | -1.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 5:43 |
| 14 Taylor Raddysh R | -1.35 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -1.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 9:42 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Kevin Fiala L | +2.85 | +1.45 | +0.12 | +1.13 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:43 |
| 92 Brandt Clarke D | +2.37 | +0.70 | +0.03 | +1.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 20:45 |
| 96 Andrei Kuzmenko L | +2.29 | +0.75 | +0.38 | +1.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 16:19 |
| 15 Alex Turcotte C | +2.04 | +0.55 | +0.35 | +1.12 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.04 | — | 14:28 |
| 52 Taylor Ward R | +1.53 | +0.75 | +0.27 | +0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 9:00 |
| 6 Joel Edmundson D | +1.39 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +1.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 21:14 |
| 9 Adrian Kempe R | +1.30 | +0.75 | +0.54 | +0.06 | 0.00 | -0.05 | 0.00 | — | 19:01 |
| 31 Anton Forsberg G | +1.27 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.27 | 40:39 |
| 39 Jeff Malott L | +1.26 | +0.70 | +0.07 | +0.51 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 5:47 |
| 79 Samuel Helenius C | +1.05 | +0.55 | +0.03 | +0.43 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.05 | — | 9:39 |
| 2 Brian Dumoulin D | +0.75 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 16:35 |
| 10 Corey Perry R | +0.63 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 19:32 |
| 43 Jacob Moverare D | +0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 10:19 |
| 37 Warren Foegele L | +0.49 | 0.00 | +0.17 | +0.30 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.03 | — | 15:22 |
| 55 Quinton Byfield R | +0.45 | 0.00 | +0.16 | +0.17 | +0.15 | -0.13 | +0.10 | — | 16:19 |
| 5 Cody Ceci D | +0.33 | 0.00 | +0.29 | -0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 23:26 |
| 40 Joel Armia R | +0.13 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.03 | -0.02 | — | 17:58 |
| 14 Alex Laferriere R | +0.08 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.10 | -0.15 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 19:54 |
| 44 Mikey Anderson D | -0.20 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 22:39 |
| 35 Darcy Kuemper G | -1.47 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.47 | 19:21 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.