Anaheim DucksANA 2–1 Final/SO Colorado AvalancheCOL

Wednesday, January 21, 2026

Final/SO	1st	2nd	3rd	OT	SO	T	SOG
Anaheim DucksANA	0	1	0	0	2	2	16
Colorado AvalancheCOL	0	0	1	0	0	1	41

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
1:27	ANA	Jeffrey Viel (2) Cutter Gauthier (21), Radko Gudas (9) · wrist xG 0.11	1–0 ▶
3rd Period
16:21	COL	Artturi Lehkonen (17) Brock Nelson (18), Brent Burns (17) · snap xG 0.12	1–1 ▶
Overtime
No scoring
Shootout
	ANA	Mikael Granlund vs Scott Wedgewood	Goal
	COL	Brock Nelson vs Lukas Dostal	Saved
	ANA	Beckett Sennecke vs Scott Wedgewood	Saved
	COL	Martin Necas vs Lukas Dostal	Saved
	ANA	Cutter Gauthier vs Scott Wedgewood	Goal

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

ANA 12%Deserve to win88% COL

ANA		COL
1.99	Expected goals	4.82
1	Goals (no shootout)	1
1.12	Expected goals, 5 on 5	3.66
45	Shot attempts	86
29	Unblocked attempts	58
16	Shots on goal	41

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
11:33	ANA	Goalie	Goalie · Dostal +2.0 goals saved 0 goals on 2.02 xG, 17 shots on goal
3rd Period
3:30	COL	No shift	No shift · Bardakov, 26:32 on the bench No shift after 11:24 of the 2nd; 7 shifts (5:12) before that
16:20	COL	No shift	No shift · Brindley, 13:43 on the bench No shift after 6:17 of the 3rd; 11 shifts (6:48) before that
16:50	COL	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced ANA 1.22–0.15 In xG over 10 minutes, 8:10 to 18:10 of the 3rd; goals 1–0

Shot map

ANA shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ COL shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Anaheim Ducks

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
17	Alex Killorn	0	0	0	0	1	0.21	0	0	20:13
64	Mikael Granlund	0	0	0	0	3	0.03	0	3	19:42
61	Cutter Gauthier	0	1	1	0	7	0.39	1	1	18:00
25	Ryan Poehling	0	0	0	0	4	0.24	0	3	17:58
45	Beckett Sennecke	0	0	0	0	5	0.44	1	0	16:26
22	Chris Kreider	0	0	0	0	3	0.14	2	1	15:53
10	Jansen Harkins	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	3	0	14:34
42	Tim Washe	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	2	2	13:48
25	Jeffrey Viel	1	0	1	0	3	0.11	2	1	13:42
22	Ryan Strome	0	0	0	0	3	0.12	1	1	13:36
49	Ross Johnston	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	11:40
Defense
2	Jackson LaCombe	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	2	1	28:21
65	Jacob Trouba	0	0	0	0	6	0.02	3	3	27:33
98	Pavel Mintyukov	0	0	0	-1	3	0.10	1	2	22:37
14	Drew Helleson	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	4	3	18:35
6	Radko Gudas	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	2	1	14:01
8	Olen Zellweger	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	0	2	13:51
3	Ian Moore	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	0	0	10:30

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Lukas Dostal	41	1	40	.976	4.82	+3.82

Colorado Avalanche

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
29	Nathan MacKinnon	0	0	0	-1	7	0.40	3	0	29:18
88	Martin Necas	0	0	0	-1	4	0.12	2	2	27:03
11	Brock Nelson	0	1	1	+1	6	0.53	0	0	21:51
95	Victor Olofsson	0	0	0	-1	4	0.24	1	1	21:11
62	Artturi Lehkonen	1	0	1	+1	6	0.51	0	0	16:50
18	Jack Drury	0	0	0	0	5	0.48	0	0	16:07
43	Valeri Nichushkin	0	0	0	+1	2	0.07	0	1	15:49
79	Ross Colton	0	0	0	0	7	0.53	0	0	12:30
17	Parker Kelly	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	12:04
16	Taylor Makar	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	2	0	07:13
54	Gavin Brindley	0	0	0	0	3	0.27	0	0	06:48
93	Zakhar Bardakov	0	0	0	0	2	0.61	0	0	05:12
Defense
8	Cale Makar	0	0	0	-1	18	0.63	2	2	29:51
49	Samuel Girard	0	0	0	+1	3	0.03	1	0	21:59
70	Sam Malinski	0	0	0	-1	7	0.05	0	0	21:11
42	Josh Manson	0	0	0	0	6	0.11	2	3	18:19
84	Brent Burns	0	1	1	+1	5	0.13	0	3	18:12
47	Jack Ahcan	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	11:32

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Scott Wedgewood	16	1	15	.938	1.99	+0.99

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Anaheim Ducks

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
1 Lukas Dostal G	+3.82	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+3.82	65:00
25 Ryan Poehling C	+0.50	0.00	+0.15	+0.22	0.00	-0.04	+0.17	—	17:58
7 Radko Gudas D	+0.46	+0.55	+0.01	-0.15	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	14:01
28 Jeffrey Viel L	+0.39	+0.75	+0.07	-0.49	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	13:42
61 Cutter Gauthier L	+0.37	+0.70	+0.26	-0.54	0.00	-0.01	-0.03	—	18:00
20 Chris Kreider L	-0.03	0.00	+0.09	-0.17	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	15:53
51 Olen Zellweger D	-0.03	0.00	+0.01	-0.14	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	13:51
98 Pavel Mintyukov D	-0.27	0.00	+0.07	-0.43	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	22:37
16 Ryan Strome C	-0.28	0.00	+0.08	-0.39	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	13:36
24 Jansen Harkins C	-0.32	0.00	0.00	-0.44	+0.15	+0.01	-0.04	—	14:34
74 Ian Moore D	-0.38	0.00	+0.03	-0.41	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	10:30
14 Drew Helleson D	-0.41	0.00	0.00	-0.43	-0.15	0.00	+0.17	—	18:35
42 Tim Washe C	-0.68	0.00	+0.01	-0.82	0.00	+0.01	+0.12	—	13:48
44 Ross Johnston L	-0.85	0.00	0.00	-0.68	-0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	11:40
45 Beckett Sennecke R	-1.00	0.00	+0.28	-1.26	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	16:26
17 Alex Killorn L	-1.45	0.00	+0.14	-1.60	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	20:13
64 Mikael Granlund C	-1.66	0.00	+0.02	-1.79	0.00	-0.04	+0.15	—	19:42
65 Jacob Trouba D	-2.06	0.00	+0.02	-2.21	0.00	0.00	+0.13	—	27:33
2 Jackson LaCombe D	-2.13	0.00	+0.06	-2.22	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	28:21

Colorado Avalanche

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
11 Brock Nelson C	+2.31	+0.70	+0.35	+1.16	+0.15	-0.03	-0.02	—	21:51
42 Josh Manson D	+2.10	0.00	+0.07	+1.86	0.00	0.00	+0.17	—	18:19
62 Artturi Lehkonen L	+1.99	+0.75	+0.33	+0.90	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	16:50
13 Valeri Nichushkin R	+1.69	0.00	+0.05	+1.64	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	15:49
84 Brent Burns D	+1.53	+0.55	+0.08	+0.79	0.00	0.00	+0.11	—	18:12
49 Samuel Girard D	+1.50	0.00	+0.02	+1.50	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	21:59
20 Ross Colton C	+1.50	0.00	+0.35	+1.12	0.00	+0.01	+0.02	—	12:30
18 Jack Drury C	+1.29	0.00	+0.31	+1.12	-0.15	+0.01	0.00	—	16:07
88 Martin Necas C	+1.15	0.00	+0.08	+0.97	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	27:03
8 Cale Makar D	+0.99	0.00	+0.41	+0.56	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	29:51
41 Scott Wedgewood G	+0.99	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+0.99	65:00
93 Zakhar Bardakov C	+0.92	0.00	+0.40	+0.52	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	5:12
54 Gavin Brindley C	+0.82	0.00	+0.18	+0.51	+0.15	-0.01	0.00	—	6:48
70 Sam Malinski D	+0.65	0.00	+0.03	+0.68	0.00	0.00	-0.06	—	21:11
17 Parker Kelly C	+0.60	0.00	0.00	+0.59	0.00	-0.04	+0.05	—	12:04
29 Nathan MacKinnon C	+0.35	0.00	+0.26	+0.09	0.00	+0.12	-0.12	—	29:18
15 Jack Ahcan D	+0.22	0.00	0.00	+0.17	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	11:32
95 Victor Olofsson L	+0.11	0.00	+0.16	-0.13	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	21:11
16 Taylor Makar L	-0.01	0.00	+0.06	-0.09	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	7:13

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.