Philadelphia FlyersPHI 4–5 Final/OT Utah MammothUTA

Wednesday, January 21, 2026

Final/OT 1st2nd3rdOT T SOG
Philadelphia FlyersPHI 2200 4 29
Utah MammothUTA 0221 5 27

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
0:30 PHI Cam York (4) Christian Dvorak (20), Travis Sanheim (16) · snap xG 0.27 1–0 ▶
4:36 PHI Christian Dvorak (11) Travis Konecny (27), Noah Juulsen (7) · wrist xG 0.37 2–0 ▶
2nd Period
0:58 PHI Bobby Brink (12)PP Trevor Zegras (26), Jamie Drysdale (16) · wrist xG 0.30 3–0 ▶
5:35 UTA JJ Peterka (17) Daniil But (4) · wrist xG 0.25 3–1 ▶
6:11 UTA Lawson Crouse (13) Nick Schmaltz (27), Clayton Keller (34) · slap xG 0.13 3–2 ▶
10:28 PHI Christian Dvorak (12)PP Trevor Zegras (27), Jamie Drysdale (17) · wrist xG 0.11 4–2 ▶
3rd Period
12:47 UTA Dylan Guenther (24)PP Nick Schmaltz (28), Mikhail Sergachev (26) · tip-in xG 0.03 4–3 ▶
19:25 UTA Clayton Keller (14) Unassisted · backhand xG 0.21 4–4 ▶
Overtime
2:01 UTA Clayton Keller (15) Dylan Guenther (19) · snap xG 0.24 4–5 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

PHI 72%Deserve to win28% UTA
PHIUTA
4.39Expected goals2.92
4Goals (no shootout)5
2.64Expected goals, 5 on 51.87
60Shot attempts69
47Unblocked attempts51
29Shots on goal27

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
10:00 PHI xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced UTA 1.86–0.26
In xG over 10 minutes, the start of the 1st to 10:00 of the 1st; goals 2–0
3rd Period
17:00 PHI No shift No shift · Andrae, 12:33 on the bench
No shift after 5:57 of the 3rd; 14 shifts (11:18) before that
18:14 UTA Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Vejmelka, down 4–3
With 1:46 left
Overtime
2:01 PHI Goalie Goalie · Ersson −2.1 goals saved
5 goals on 2.92 xG, 27 shots on goal

Shot map

PHI shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ UTA shoots
Travis Konecny: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 0:16) Christian Dvorak: deflected, 5 ft, xG 0.21 (P1 0:28) Jack McBain: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 0:40) Denver Barkey: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 1:02) Dylan Guenther: slap, 50 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 2:02) Sean Couturier: wrist, 162 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 2:14) Nick DeSimone: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 3:06) Travis Konecny: tip-in, 28 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 4:11) Barrett Hayton: backhand, 18 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 4:23) Christian Dvorak: slap, 27 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 5:23) Travis Konecny: deflected, 8 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 5:24) Travis Konecny: snap, 10 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 5:54) Christian Dvorak: tip-in, 22 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 6:01) Owen Tippett: deflected, 9 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 6:29) Matvei Michkov: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 6:57) Nick DeSimone: snap, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 7:39) Sean Couturier: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 8:27) Matvei Michkov: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 10:27) Dylan Guenther: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 12:27) Brandon Tanev: backhand, 24 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 13:01) Nick Schmaltz: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 14:47) Denver Barkey: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 15:34) Denver Barkey: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 15:48) Denver Barkey: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.20 (P1 15:51) Jamie Drysdale: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 16:03) Noah Juulsen: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 16:32) Matvei Michkov: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 17:05) Noah Cates: tip-in, 22 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 17:09) Matvei Michkov: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 17:41) Nate Schmidt: snap, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 18:23) Michael Carcone: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:00) Lawson Crouse: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 0:13) Trevor Zegras: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 0:56) Matvei Michkov: snap, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:24) Jack McBain: slap, 36 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 2:02) Nick DeSimone: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 2:17) Dylan Guenther: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 2:21) Nick DeSimone: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 2:23) Mikhail Sergachev: snap, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 2:41) Clayton Keller: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 2:59) Clayton Keller: tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 3:12) Jack McBain: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:56) Michael Carcone: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 4:23) Brandon Tanev: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 5:02) Liam O'Brien: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 5:04) Michael Carcone: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 6:21) John Marino: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 6:49) Travis Sanheim: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:16) Clayton Keller: snap, 14 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 8:16) Matvei Michkov: snap, 54 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 8:24) Bobby Brink: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 9:33) Bobby Brink: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 10:11) Christian Dvorak: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 10:26) Ian Cole: snap, 183 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 11:12) Bobby Brink: snap, 48 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 11:47) Bobby Brink: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 12:06) Bobby Brink: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 12:19) Jamie Drysdale: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 12:39) Travis Sanheim: slap, 53 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 13:07) Nate Schmidt: snap, 68 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 13:41) Nikita Grebenkin: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 13:53) JJ Peterka: slap, 30 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 14:32) Clayton Keller: snap, 49 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 15:51) Michael Carcone: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 16:34) Ian Cole: snap, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 18:25) Michael Carcone: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 19:23) Sean Couturier: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 19:48) Barrett Hayton: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 1:59) Dylan Guenther: backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 3:13) Ian Cole: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 3:35) Trevor Zegras: snap, 19 ft, xG 0.22 (P3 3:43) Matvei Michkov: wrist, 73 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 4:21) Brandon Tanev: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 4:44) Owen Tippett: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.23 (P3 4:55) Owen Tippett: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 5:20) Clayton Keller: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 6:10) Brandon Tanev: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 8:15) Nate Schmidt: slap, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 8:47) Travis Konecny: wrist, 72 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 9:02) Nate Schmidt: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 11:47) Kevin Stenlund: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 13:01) Clayton Keller: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 15:38) Trevor Zegras: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 17:05) Bobby Brink: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 17:18) Noah Cates: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 17:23) Brandon Tanev: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 17:33) Kevin Stenlund: snap, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 19:46) Nate Schmidt: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 19:53) Nick Schmaltz: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.13 (OT 1:11) Cam York: GOAL, snap, 16 ft, xG 0.27 (P1 0:30) Christian Dvorak: GOAL, wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.37 (P1 4:36) Bobby Brink: GOAL, wrist, 4 ft, xG 0.30 (P2 0:58) JJ Peterka: GOAL, wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.25 (P2 5:35) Lawson Crouse: GOAL, slap, 29 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 6:11) Christian Dvorak: GOAL, wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 10:28) Dylan Guenther: GOAL, tip-in, 47 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 12:47) Clayton Keller: GOAL, backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.21 (P3 19:25) Clayton Keller: GOAL, snap, 23 ft, xG 0.24 (OT 2:01)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Philadelphia Flyers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
22 Christian Dvorak 213 +1 61.06 0022:15
46 Trevor Zegras 022 +2 30.28 0020:43
11 Travis Konecny 011 0 60.37 3019:06
10 Bobby Brink 101 -1 80.74 0118:51
14 Sean Couturier 000 -2 30.16 1017:50
27 Noah Cates 000 -1 30.07 0015:29
74 Owen Tippett 000 -1 50.40 0113:46
86 Denver Barkey 000 -1 40.40 0112:49
21 Garnet Hathaway 000 0 00.00 5412:19
39 Matvei Michkov 000 -1 80.33 1012:11
17 Nikita Grebenkin 000 0 30.06 2011:54
29 Lane Pederson 000 -1 20.00 6109:29
Defense
8 Cam York 101 -1 10.27 0226:48
6 Travis Sanheim 011 -1 30.05 2223:37
9 Jamie Drysdale 022 -2 30.18 0122:36
24 Nick Seeler 000 +1 10.00 2217:09
47 Noah Juulsen 011 +1 10.02 3012:55
36 Emil Andrae 000 -1 00.00 0311:18
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Samuel Ersson 27522 .815 2.92 -2.08

Utah Mammoth

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
67 Lawson Crouse 101 +1 30.29 4120:40
8 Nick Schmaltz 022 +1 30.16 1119:35
9 Clayton Keller 213 +2 90.71 0119:19
11 Dylan Guenther 022 +1 80.26 1119:13
27 Barrett Hayton 101 0 20.04 1016:51
82 Kevin Stenlund 000 -1 20.06 1016:05
22 Jack McBain 000 +1 30.10 4115:00
53 Michael Carcone 000 0 60.26 2014:25
10 JJ Peterka 101 +1 20.30 1014:08
50 Daniil But 000 +1 10.00 2111:26
13 Brandon Tanev 000 0 50.28 2007:33
38 Liam O'Brien 000 0 20.10 4006:06
Defense
98 Mikhail Sergachev 000 +2 40.02 0326:34
5 Sean Durzi 000 +2 40.00 0120:13
88 Nate Schmidt 000 -1 60.06 2020:12
6 John Marino 000 -1 20.05 1019:48
28 Ian Cole 000 0 30.07 0116:51
57 Nick DeSimone 000 0 40.16 0013:39
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Karel Vejmelka 29425 .862 4.39 +0.39

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Philadelphia Flyers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
22 Christian Dvorak C +4.11 +2.20 +0.69 +1.17 0.00 +0.09 -0.04 — 22:15
46 Trevor Zegras C +2.77 +1.40 +0.18 +1.21 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 20:43
11 Travis Konecny R +2.01 +0.70 +0.24 +1.09 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 19:06
6 Travis Sanheim D +1.31 +0.55 +0.03 +0.39 +0.30 0.00 +0.04 — 23:37
8 Cam York D +1.30 +0.75 +0.18 +0.13 +0.15 0.00 +0.10 — 26:48
9 Jamie Drysdale D +1.25 +1.10 +0.12 -0.02 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 22:36
10 Bobby Brink R +1.20 +0.75 +0.48 -0.04 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 18:51
74 Owen Tippett R +1.09 0.00 +0.26 +0.67 +0.15 0.00 +0.01 — 13:46
47 Noah Juulsen D +0.79 +0.55 +0.01 +0.38 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 12:55
36 Emil Andrae D +0.52 0.00 0.00 +0.39 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 11:18
14 Sean Couturier C +0.35 0.00 +0.10 +0.04 +0.15 +0.06 0.00 — 17:50
52 Denver Barkey C +0.24 0.00 +0.26 -0.07 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 12:49
24 Nick Seeler D +0.23 0.00 0.00 +0.45 -0.30 0.00 +0.08 — 17:09
39 Matvei Michkov R +0.09 0.00 +0.21 -0.09 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 12:11
19 Garnet Hathaway R -0.06 0.00 0.00 -0.25 0.00 -0.01 +0.20 — 12:19
29 Nikita Grebenkin R -0.15 0.00 +0.04 -0.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 11:54
27 Noah Cates L -0.32 0.00 +0.04 -0.30 0.00 -0.07 0.00 — 15:29
25 Lane Pederson C -0.62 0.00 0.00 -0.68 0.00 +0.03 +0.03 — 9:29
33 Samuel Ersson G -2.08 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -2.08 62:01

Utah Mammoth

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
9 Clayton Keller R +2.12 +2.05 +0.46 -0.44 0.00 -0.02 +0.07 — 19:19
77 JJ Peterka R +1.18 +0.75 +0.20 +0.27 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 14:08
19 Daniil But L +1.08 +0.70 0.00 +0.33 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 11:26
8 Nick Schmaltz C +0.91 +1.40 +0.10 -0.44 -0.15 -0.04 +0.03 — 19:35
11 Dylan Guenther R +0.86 +1.45 +0.17 -0.79 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 19:13
98 Mikhail Sergachev D +0.60 +0.55 +0.01 -0.10 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 26:34
67 Lawson Crouse L +0.46 +0.75 +0.19 -0.49 0.00 -0.02 +0.03 — 20:40
70 Karel Vejmelka G +0.39 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.39 60:35
57 Nick DeSimone D +0.37 0.00 +0.10 +0.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:39
13 Brandon Tanev L +0.20 0.00 +0.18 +0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 7:33
22 Jack McBain C +0.10 0.00 +0.07 -0.21 +0.15 +0.07 +0.03 — 15:00
28 Ian Cole D +0.07 0.00 +0.04 +0.13 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 16:51
38 Liam O'Brien C +0.01 0.00 +0.07 +0.09 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 6:06
53 Michael Carcone L -0.01 0.00 +0.17 -0.17 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 14:25
50 Sean Durzi D -0.30 0.00 0.00 -0.33 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 20:13
82 Kevin Stenlund C -0.38 0.00 +0.04 -0.38 0.00 -0.04 0.00 — 16:05
27 Barrett Hayton C -0.46 0.00 +0.03 -0.29 -0.15 -0.01 -0.04 — 16:51
88 Nate Schmidt D -0.71 0.00 +0.04 -0.73 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 20:12
6 John Marino D -0.98 0.00 +0.03 -0.99 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 19:48

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.