| Final/OT | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 29 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 27 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 0:30 | Cam York (4) Christian Dvorak (20), Travis Sanheim (16) · snap xG 0.27 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 4:36 | Christian Dvorak (11) Travis Konecny (27), Noah Juulsen (7) · wrist xG 0.37 | 2–0 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 0:58 | Bobby Brink (12)PP Trevor Zegras (26), Jamie Drysdale (16) · wrist xG 0.30 | 3–0 ▶ | |
| 5:35 | JJ Peterka (17) Daniil But (4) · wrist xG 0.25 | 3–1 ▶ | |
| 6:11 | Lawson Crouse (13) Nick Schmaltz (27), Clayton Keller (34) · slap xG 0.13 | 3–2 ▶ | |
| 10:28 | Christian Dvorak (12)PP Trevor Zegras (27), Jamie Drysdale (17) · wrist xG 0.11 | 4–2 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 12:47 | Dylan Guenther (24)PP Nick Schmaltz (28), Mikhail Sergachev (26) · tip-in xG 0.03 | 4–3 ▶ | |
| 19:25 | Clayton Keller (14) Unassisted · backhand xG 0.21 | 4–4 ▶ | |
| Overtime | |||
| 2:01 | Clayton Keller (15) Dylan Guenther (19) · snap xG 0.24 | 4–5 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| PHI | UTA | |
|---|---|---|
| 4.39 | Expected goals | 2.92 |
| 4 | Goals (no shootout) | 5 |
| 2.64 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.87 |
| 60 | Shot attempts | 69 |
| 47 | Unblocked attempts | 51 |
| 29 | Shots on goal | 27 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | PHI | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced UTA 1.86–0.26
In xG over 10 minutes, the start of the 1st to 10:00 of the 1st; goals 2–0 |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 17:00 | PHI | No shift | No shift · Andrae, 12:33 on the bench
No shift after 5:57 of the 3rd; 14 shifts (11:18) before that |
| 18:14 | UTA | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Vejmelka, down 4–3
With 1:46 left |
| Overtime | |||
| 2:01 | PHI | Goalie | Goalie · Ersson −2.1 goals saved
5 goals on 2.92 xG, 27 shots on goal |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 22 | Christian Dvorak | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 6 | 1.06 | 0 | 0 | 22:15 |
| 46 | Trevor Zegras | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 0.28 | 0 | 0 | 20:43 |
| 11 | Travis Konecny | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.37 | 3 | 0 | 19:06 |
| 10 | Bobby Brink | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 8 | 0.74 | 0 | 1 | 18:51 |
| 14 | Sean Couturier | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.16 | 1 | 0 | 17:50 |
| 27 | Noah Cates | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 | 15:29 |
| 74 | Owen Tippett | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.40 | 0 | 1 | 13:46 |
| 86 | Denver Barkey | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.40 | 0 | 1 | 12:49 |
| 21 | Garnet Hathaway | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 5 | 4 | 12:19 |
| 39 | Matvei Michkov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 8 | 0.33 | 1 | 0 | 12:11 |
| 17 | Nikita Grebenkin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.06 | 2 | 0 | 11:54 |
| 29 | Lane Pederson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.00 | 6 | 1 | 09:29 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 8 | Cam York | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0.27 | 0 | 2 | 26:48 |
| 6 | Travis Sanheim | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0.05 | 2 | 2 | 23:37 |
| 9 | Jamie Drysdale | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 3 | 0.18 | 0 | 1 | 22:36 |
| 24 | Nick Seeler | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 2 | 17:09 |
| 47 | Noah Juulsen | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.02 | 3 | 0 | 12:55 |
| 36 | Emil Andrae | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 3 | 11:18 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Ersson | 27 | 5 | 22 | .815 | 2.92 | -2.08 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 67 | Lawson Crouse | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.29 | 4 | 1 | 20:40 |
| 8 | Nick Schmaltz | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 0.16 | 1 | 1 | 19:35 |
| 9 | Clayton Keller | 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 9 | 0.71 | 0 | 1 | 19:19 |
| 11 | Dylan Guenther | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 | 0.26 | 1 | 1 | 19:13 |
| 27 | Barrett Hayton | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | 1 | 0 | 16:51 |
| 82 | Kevin Stenlund | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.06 | 1 | 0 | 16:05 |
| 22 | Jack McBain | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.10 | 4 | 1 | 15:00 |
| 53 | Michael Carcone | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.26 | 2 | 0 | 14:25 |
| 10 | JJ Peterka | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.30 | 1 | 0 | 14:08 |
| 50 | Daniil But | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 11:26 |
| 13 | Brandon Tanev | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.28 | 2 | 0 | 07:33 |
| 38 | Liam O'Brien | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | 4 | 0 | 06:06 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 98 | Mikhail Sergachev | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 4 | 0.02 | 0 | 3 | 26:34 |
| 5 | Sean Durzi | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 4 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 20:13 |
| 88 | Nate Schmidt | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.06 | 2 | 0 | 20:12 |
| 6 | John Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.05 | 1 | 0 | 19:48 |
| 28 | Ian Cole | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.07 | 0 | 1 | 16:51 |
| 57 | Nick DeSimone | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.16 | 0 | 0 | 13:39 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karel Vejmelka | 29 | 4 | 25 | .862 | 4.39 | +0.39 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Christian Dvorak C | +4.11 | +2.20 | +0.69 | +1.17 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.04 | — | 22:15 |
| 46 Trevor Zegras C | +2.77 | +1.40 | +0.18 | +1.21 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 20:43 |
| 11 Travis Konecny R | +2.01 | +0.70 | +0.24 | +1.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 19:06 |
| 6 Travis Sanheim D | +1.31 | +0.55 | +0.03 | +0.39 | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.04 | — | 23:37 |
| 8 Cam York D | +1.30 | +0.75 | +0.18 | +0.13 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 26:48 |
| 9 Jamie Drysdale D | +1.25 | +1.10 | +0.12 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 22:36 |
| 10 Bobby Brink R | +1.20 | +0.75 | +0.48 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 18:51 |
| 74 Owen Tippett R | +1.09 | 0.00 | +0.26 | +0.67 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 13:46 |
| 47 Noah Juulsen D | +0.79 | +0.55 | +0.01 | +0.38 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:55 |
| 36 Emil Andrae D | +0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 11:18 |
| 14 Sean Couturier C | +0.35 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.04 | +0.15 | +0.06 | 0.00 | — | 17:50 |
| 52 Denver Barkey C | +0.24 | 0.00 | +0.26 | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 12:49 |
| 24 Nick Seeler D | +0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.45 | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 17:09 |
| 39 Matvei Michkov R | +0.09 | 0.00 | +0.21 | -0.09 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 12:11 |
| 19 Garnet Hathaway R | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.25 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.20 | — | 12:19 |
| 29 Nikita Grebenkin R | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:54 |
| 27 Noah Cates L | -0.32 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.30 | 0.00 | -0.07 | 0.00 | — | 15:29 |
| 25 Lane Pederson C | -0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.68 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.03 | — | 9:29 |
| 33 Samuel Ersson G | -2.08 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -2.08 | 62:01 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Clayton Keller R | +2.12 | +2.05 | +0.46 | -0.44 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.07 | — | 19:19 |
| 77 JJ Peterka R | +1.18 | +0.75 | +0.20 | +0.27 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 14:08 |
| 19 Daniil But L | +1.08 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 11:26 |
| 8 Nick Schmaltz C | +0.91 | +1.40 | +0.10 | -0.44 | -0.15 | -0.04 | +0.03 | — | 19:35 |
| 11 Dylan Guenther R | +0.86 | +1.45 | +0.17 | -0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 19:13 |
| 98 Mikhail Sergachev D | +0.60 | +0.55 | +0.01 | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 26:34 |
| 67 Lawson Crouse L | +0.46 | +0.75 | +0.19 | -0.49 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.03 | — | 20:40 |
| 70 Karel Vejmelka G | +0.39 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.39 | 60:35 |
| 57 Nick DeSimone D | +0.37 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:39 |
| 13 Brandon Tanev L | +0.20 | 0.00 | +0.18 | +0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 7:33 |
| 22 Jack McBain C | +0.10 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.21 | +0.15 | +0.07 | +0.03 | — | 15:00 |
| 28 Ian Cole D | +0.07 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.13 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:51 |
| 38 Liam O'Brien C | +0.01 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.09 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 6:06 |
| 53 Michael Carcone L | -0.01 | 0.00 | +0.17 | -0.17 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 14:25 |
| 50 Sean Durzi D | -0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 20:13 |
| 82 Kevin Stenlund C | -0.38 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.38 | 0.00 | -0.04 | 0.00 | — | 16:05 |
| 27 Barrett Hayton C | -0.46 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.29 | -0.15 | -0.01 | -0.04 | — | 16:51 |
| 88 Nate Schmidt D | -0.71 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 20:12 |
| 6 John Marino D | -0.98 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 19:48 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.