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Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 4–1 Final Calgary FlamesCGY

Wednesday, January 21, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 112 4 25
Calgary FlamesCGY 010 1 19

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
7:49 PIT Evgeni Malkin (11) Ryan Shea (15), Jack St. Ivany (4) · tip-in xG 0.06 1–0 ▶
2nd Period
12:32 PIT Egor Chinakhov (7) Tommy Novak (17), Evgeni Malkin (26) · snap xG 0.13 2–0 ▶
19:57 CGY Yegor Sharangovich (11) Zach Whitecloud (6), Kevin Bahl (9) · tip-in xG 0.08 2–1 ▶
3rd Period
0:50 PIT Bryan Rust (18) Sidney Crosby (30), Rickard Rakell (13) · wrap-around xG 0.21 3–1 ▶
9:19 PIT Tommy Novak (9) Jack St. Ivany (5) · backhand xG 0.11 4–1 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

PIT 68%Deserve to win32% CGY
PITCGY
2.97Expected goals1.97
4Goals (no shootout)1
2.88Expected goals, 5 on 51.89
54Shot attempts59
42Unblocked attempts40
25Shots on goal19

Shot map

PIT shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ CGY shoots
Rickard Rakell: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 3:43) Evgeni Malkin: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 7:01) Jack St. Ivany: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 7:05) Evgeni Malkin: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 7:14) Egor Chinakhov: tip-in, 27 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 7:26) Yegor Sharangovich: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 8:17) Hunter Brzustewicz: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 8:21) Connor Dewar: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 8:39) Rickard Rakell: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 8:41) Ryan Shea: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 8:45) Yegor Sharangovich: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 9:23) Egor Chinakhov: backhand, 16 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 11:09) Zach Whitecloud: slap, 42 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 12:12) Matvei Gridin: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 12:17) Kevin Bahl: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 12:25) Connor Zary: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 12:28) Bryan Rust: tip-in, 78 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 13:01) Ryan Lomberg: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 13:49) Justin Kirkland: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 14:09) Justin Kirkland: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 14:15) Yegor Sharangovich: slap, 39 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 15:06) Bryan Rust: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 15:37) Connor Zary: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 16:57) Tommy Novak: slap, 34 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 17:31) Ryan Lomberg: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 18:05) Kevin Bahl: slap, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 18:10) Rickard Rakell: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 18:29) Mikael Backlund: backhand, 31 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:16) Jack St. Ivany: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:40) Ben Kindel: backhand, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:57) Matvei Gridin: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:19) Connor Dewar: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 3:25) Sidney Crosby: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 4:07) Rickard Rakell: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 4:13) Matt Coronato: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 5:08) Anthony Mantha: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 5:51) Zach Whitecloud: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 6:16) Ryan Shea: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 7:35) Connor Zary: tip-in, 24 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 7:45) MacKenzie Weegar: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 8:01) Tommy Novak: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 8:12) Connor Clifton: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 8:25) Ben Kindel: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 8:59) Ryan Lomberg: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 10:28) Zach Whitecloud: slap, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 10:50) Ryan Lomberg: tip-in, 64 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 11:00) Blake Lizotte: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 12:04) Matt Coronato: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:21) Ben Kindel: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 13:38) Anthony Mantha: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 13:47) Justin Brazeau: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 13:55) Justin Brazeau: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.26 (P2 14:03) Anthony Mantha: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 14:22) Mikael Backlund: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.20 (P2 15:15) Martin Pospisil: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 15:34) Matt Coronato: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 15:41) Yan Kuznetsov: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 16:18) Nazem Kadri: snap, 15 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 17:23) Yegor Sharangovich: backhand, 18 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 17:58) Matt Coronato: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 18:04) Matvei Gridin: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 1:25) Nazem Kadri: deflected, 6 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 1:26) Mikael Backlund: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:07) Yan Kuznetsov: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 8:21) Hunter Brzustewicz: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 9:09) Ryan Shea: snap, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:35) Connor Dewar: tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 11:43) Hunter Brzustewicz: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 12:36) Joel Hanley: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 12:39) Matvei Gridin: snap, 8 ft, xG 0.20 (P3 13:33) Egor Chinakhov: slap, 23 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 15:43) Connor Dewar: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 17:31) Ryan Shea: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 17:47) Sidney Crosby: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 17:48) Connor Dewar: snap, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 18:07) Ryan Shea: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.24 (P3 18:11) Justin Brazeau: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 19:35) Evgeni Malkin: GOAL, tip-in, 23 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 7:49) Egor Chinakhov: GOAL, snap, 33 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 12:32) Yegor Sharangovich: GOAL, tip-in, 22 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 19:57) Bryan Rust: GOAL, wrap-around, 3 ft, xG 0.21 (P3 0:50) Tommy Novak: GOAL, backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 9:19)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Pittsburgh Penguins

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
17 Bryan Rust 101 0 40.24 1117:14
87 Sidney Crosby 011 0 20.05 0116:23
67 Rickard Rakell 011 0 40.31 1116:18
71 Evgeni Malkin 112 +3 30.14 1115:26
39 Anthony Mantha 000 0 30.12 1015:06
59 Egor Chinakhov 101 +3 40.37 0114:35
81 Ben Kindel 000 0 40.09 0014:33
16 Justin Brazeau 000 0 30.49 0014:32
19 Connor Dewar 000 0 90.25 3014:13
18 Tommy Novak 112 +3 40.29 0114:13
46 Blake Lizotte 000 0 10.12 1013:57
52 Noel Acciari 000 0 00.00 2213:28
Defense
29 Parker Wotherspoon 000 +1 10.00 3122:14
27 Brett Kulak 000 0 00.00 1121:39
6 Ryan Shea 011 +2 70.40 0119:47
75 Connor Clifton 000 0 20.08 1119:06
27 Ryan Graves 000 +1 10.00 1318:21
6 Jack St. Ivany 022 +2 20.02 1216:55
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Stuart Skinner 19118 .947 1.97 +0.97

Calgary Flames

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
91 Nazem Kadri 000 -2 40.12 3019:37
27 Matt Coronato 000 0 60.12 0018:02
17 Yegor Sharangovich 101 0 70.30 0117:58
11 Mikael Backlund 000 -1 40.22 0017:50
86 Joel Farabee 000 -2 10.00 0016:05
47 Connor Zary 000 -1 30.22 0015:26
43 Adam Klapka 000 0 00.00 5114:05
16 Morgan Frost 000 -1 20.00 0013:26
94 Ryan Lomberg 000 0 40.29 2113:00
76 Martin Pospisil 000 -2 20.03 5112:51
92 Matvei Gridin 000 -1 50.28 0011:25
28 Justin Kirkland 000 +1 20.08 2009:51
Defense
7 Kevin Bahl 011 -1 50.08 0125:12
28 Zach Whitecloud 011 0 40.11 0023:34
52 MacKenzie Weegar 000 -2 20.03 3220:33
37 Yan Kuznetsov 000 -1 20.04 2317:54
48 Hunter Brzustewicz 000 -1 50.07 0115:55
44 Joel Hanley 000 -1 10.00 2015:16
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Dustin Wolf 25421 .840 2.97 -1.03

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
18 Tommy Novak C +2.54 +1.45 +0.19 +1.07 -0.15 -0.07 +0.05 — 14:13
3 Jack St. Ivany D +2.51 +1.25 +0.01 +1.16 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 16:55
71 Evgeni Malkin C +2.45 +1.30 +0.09 +1.07 0.00 0.00 -0.01 — 15:26
5 Ryan Shea D +2.39 +0.70 +0.26 +1.34 0.00 0.00 +0.09 — 19:47
59 Egor Chinakhov R +2.05 +0.75 +0.24 +1.08 0.00 -0.01 -0.01 — 14:35
74 Stuart Skinner G +0.97 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.97 60:00
17 Bryan Rust R +0.72 +0.75 +0.15 -0.24 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 17:14
16 Justin Brazeau R +0.68 0.00 +0.32 +0.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:32
19 Connor Dewar C +0.61 0.00 +0.16 +0.30 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 14:13
67 Rickard Rakell R +0.58 +0.55 +0.20 -0.20 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 16:18
87 Sidney Crosby C +0.55 +0.70 +0.03 -0.24 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 — 16:23
27 Ryan Graves D +0.44 0.00 0.00 +0.31 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 18:21
55 Noel Acciari C +0.43 0.00 0.00 +0.34 0.00 +0.01 +0.08 — 13:28
46 Blake Lizotte C +0.43 0.00 +0.08 +0.34 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 13:57
39 Anthony Mantha R +0.42 0.00 +0.08 +0.35 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 15:06
81 Ben Kindel C +0.40 0.00 +0.06 +0.37 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 14:33
28 Parker Wotherspoon D +0.36 0.00 0.00 +0.31 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 22:14
75 Connor Clifton D +0.10 0.00 +0.05 +0.02 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 19:06
77 Brett Kulak D -0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.07 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 21:39

Calgary Flames

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
28 Zach Whitecloud D +1.02 +0.70 +0.07 +0.29 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 23:34
17 Yegor Sharangovich C +0.80 +0.75 +0.19 -0.15 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 17:58
7 Kevin Bahl D +0.76 +0.55 +0.05 +0.15 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 25:12
23 Justin Kirkland C +0.59 0.00 +0.05 +0.55 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 9:51
92 Matvei Gridin R +0.23 0.00 +0.18 -0.08 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 11:25
27 Matt Coronato R -0.05 0.00 +0.08 -0.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 18:02
11 Mikael Backlund C -0.13 0.00 +0.14 -0.31 0.00 +0.01 +0.02 — 17:50
47 Connor Zary C -0.20 0.00 +0.14 -0.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:26
70 Ryan Lomberg L -0.28 0.00 +0.19 -0.37 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 13:00
43 Adam Klapka R -0.44 0.00 0.00 -0.51 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 14:05
16 Morgan Frost C -0.47 0.00 0.00 -0.51 0.00 +0.04 0.00 — 13:26
48 Hunter Brzustewicz D -0.58 0.00 +0.04 -0.64 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 15:55
76 Martin Pospisil C -0.63 0.00 +0.02 -0.67 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 12:51
44 Joel Hanley D -0.63 0.00 0.00 -0.62 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 15:16
86 Joel Farabee L -0.81 0.00 0.00 -0.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:05
37 Yan Kuznetsov D -0.91 0.00 +0.03 -1.06 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 17:54
32 Dustin Wolf G -1.03 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -1.03 60:00
52 MacKenzie Weegar D -1.07 0.00 +0.02 -1.18 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 20:33
91 Nazem Kadri C -1.22 0.00 +0.08 -1.27 0.00 +0.01 -0.04 — 19:37

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.