Chicago BlackhawksCHI 4–3 Final/SO Carolina HurricanesCAR

Thursday, January 22, 2026

Final/SO 1st2nd3rdOTSO T SOG
Chicago BlackhawksCHI 11102 4 22
Carolina HurricanesCAR 11101 3 31

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
11:12 CHI Ilya Mikheyev (9)SH Unassisted · backhand xG 0.37 1–0 ▶
12:50 CAR Joel Nystrom (1) Jesperi Kotkaniemi (6) · snap xG 0.10 1–1 ▶
2nd Period
4:35 CHI Nick Lardis (5) Ryan Donato (10), Oliver Moore (10) · snap xG 0.22 2–1 ▶
9:16 CAR Jordan Staal (11) Jordan Martinook (9), Jaccob Slavin (2) · wrist xG 0.10 2–2 ▶
3rd Period
13:38 CHI Connor Murphy (2) Tyler Bertuzzi (14), Ilya Mikheyev (8) · wrist xG 0.20 3–2 ▶
14:20 CAR Jackson Blake (16) Logan Stankoven (15), Taylor Hall (15) · snap xG 0.25 3–3 ▶
Overtime
No scoring
Shootout
CAR Jackson Blake vs Spencer Knight Saved
CHI Nick Lardis vs Frederik Andersen Saved
CAR Andrei Svechnikov vs Spencer Knight Goal
CHI Connor Bedard vs Frederik Andersen Goal
CAR Seth Jarvis vs Spencer Knight Missed
CHI Frank Nazar vs Frederik Andersen Saved
CAR K'Andre Miller vs Spencer Knight Missed
CHI Andre Burakovsky vs Frederik Andersen Saved
CAR Logan Stankoven vs Spencer Knight Saved
CHI Ryan Donato vs Frederik Andersen Saved
CAR Mark Jankowski vs Spencer Knight Saved
CHI Oliver Moore vs Frederik Andersen Goal

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

CHI 28%Deserve to win72% CAR
CHICAR
2.56Expected goals3.94
3Goals (no shootout)3
1.45Expected goals, 5 on 52.79
38Shot attempts71
32Unblocked attempts53
22Shots on goal31

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
2:40 CAR xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced CHI 1.21–0.02
In xG over 10 minutes, 13:00 of the 1st to 3:00 of the 2nd; neither team scored

Shot map

CHI shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ CAR shoots
Jaccob Slavin: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:40) Connor Bedard: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 1:25) Jackson Blake: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.21 (P1 2:02) Taylor Hall: snap, 6 ft, xG 0.33 (P1 2:06) Logan Stankoven: snap, 6 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 2:07) Jesperi Kotkaniemi: wrist, 83 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 3:08) Wyatt Kaiser: snap, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:49) Nick Foligno: snap, 12 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 6:15) Seth Jarvis: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 7:27) Jalen Chatfield: slap, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 9:06) Andrei Svechnikov: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 9:28) Ilya Mikheyev: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 11:10) Sebastian Aho: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 12:37) Jaccob Slavin: snap, 67 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 13:59) Nikolaj Ehlers: deflected, 12 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 14:51) Louis Crevier: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 15:37) Logan Stankoven: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 17:24) Jordan Staal: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 17:52) Andrei Svechnikov: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 18:48) K'Andre Miller: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 18:53) Sean Walker: snap, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 18:59) Mark Jankowski: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 19:07) William Carrier: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 19:18) Jordan Staal: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 0:18) Nikolaj Ehlers: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 0:41) Alexander Nikishin: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 0:46) Alexander Nikishin: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 1:44) Logan Stankoven: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 2:23) Jackson Blake: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 2:31) Logan Stankoven: snap, 8 ft, xG 0.21 (P2 2:49) K'Andre Miller: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 2:51) Frank Nazar: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:01) Matt Grzelcyk: snap, 58 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:22) Andre Burakovsky: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 3:26) Joel Nystrom: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 4:16) K'Andre Miller: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 7:32) Frank Nazar: tip-in, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 8:49) Taylor Hall: tip-in, 26 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 9:40) Nick Lardis: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 10:09) Jesperi Kotkaniemi: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 11:09) William Carrier: wrist, 145 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 11:37) Ryan Greene: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 12:14) Sean Walker: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 12:30) Taylor Hall: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 13:46) Seth Jarvis: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 14:33) Sebastian Aho: backhand, 15 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 14:34) Sebastian Aho: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 14:43) Connor Bedard: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 16:23) Frank Nazar: wrist, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 17:42) Sebastian Aho: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 19:36) Jordan Martinook: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 0:10) Connor Bedard: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 0:35) Seth Jarvis: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.21 (P3 0:50) Ryan Donato: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 0:56) Andrei Svechnikov: tip-in, 15 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 1:20) Connor Bedard: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 1:45) Nikolaj Ehlers: snap, 53 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 4:57) Sebastian Aho: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 5:25) Taylor Hall: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 6:24) Wyatt Kaiser: wrist, 158 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 6:31) Louis Crevier: snap, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 8:41) Frank Nazar: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 8:43) Matt Grzelcyk: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 9:29) Oliver Moore: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 9:44) Oliver Moore: backhand, 5 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 9:45) Frank Nazar: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 11:09) Sean Walker: slap, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 11:28) Connor Bedard: snap, 51 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 12:53) Jordan Martinook: snap, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 13:12) Taylor Hall: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 13:54) Sebastian Aho: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 15:06) William Carrier: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 16:43) Louis Crevier: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 17:22) Frank Nazar: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 19:09) Seth Jarvis: snap, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 19:59) Wyatt Kaiser: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.13 (OT 2:16) Frank Nazar: slap, 41 ft, xG 0.10 (OT 3:12) Nikolaj Ehlers: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.16 (OT 3:51) Oliver Moore: snap, 11 ft, xG 0.27 (OT 3:59) Ilya Mikheyev: GOAL, backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.37 (P1 11:12) Joel Nystrom: GOAL, snap, 33 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 12:50) Nick Lardis: GOAL, snap, 12 ft, xG 0.22 (P2 4:35) Jordan Staal: GOAL, wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 9:16) Connor Murphy: GOAL, wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.20 (P3 13:38) Jackson Blake: GOAL, snap, 4 ft, xG 0.25 (P3 14:20)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Chicago Blackhawks

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
98 Connor Bedard 000 -1 50.23 1020:49
20 Ryan Greene 000 0 10.07 0118:49
59 Tyler Bertuzzi 011 +1 00.00 2118:46
95 Ilya Mikheyev 112 +2 20.49 0118:35
91 Frank Nazar 000 0 70.45 1018:30
95 Andre Burakovsky 000 -1 10.04 0218:13
11 Oliver Moore 011 -1 30.46 0012:51
84 Landon Slaggert 000 0 00.00 0112:22
76 Nick Lardis 101 0 30.25 1011:30
8 Ryan Donato 011 -1 10.08 0010:49
34 Colton Dach 000 0 00.00 6110:11
71 Nick Foligno 000 0 10.06 5210:06
Defense
72 Alex Vlasic 000 0 00.00 0025:37
44 Wyatt Kaiser 000 0 40.14 0022:40
46 Louis Crevier 000 0 70.07 5422:21
5 Connor Murphy 101 +1 10.20 0122:17
55 Artyom Levshunov 000 -1 00.00 1016:37
24 Matt Grzelcyk 000 0 20.01 0013:57
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Spencer Knight 31328 .903 3.94 +0.94

Carolina Hurricanes

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
20 Sebastian Aho 000 -1 70.33 1023:36
24 Seth Jarvis 000 -1 50.35 2022:17
37 Andrei Svechnikov 000 -1 40.21 2122:12
27 Nikolaj Ehlers 000 -2 70.34 0119:30
11 Jordan Staal 101 0 30.30 3018:14
53 Jackson Blake 101 0 40.60 0015:37
71 Taylor Hall 011 0 50.59 0115:35
48 Jordan Martinook 011 0 20.07 5014:21
22 Logan Stankoven 011 0 40.53 1014:14
28 William Carrier 000 +2 30.09 4112:41
82 Jesperi Kotkaniemi 011 +1 30.08 3009:33
77 Mark Jankowski 000 +1 10.07 0009:23
Defense
19 K'Andre Miller 000 -2 60.04 0025:39
74 Jaccob Slavin 011 +2 20.01 0123:32
26 Sean Walker 000 -1 70.10 6020:18
5 Jalen Chatfield 000 +2 10.02 0019:59
21 Alexander Nikishin 000 0 40.11 2115:47
64 Joel Nystrom 101 0 30.12 0010:43
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Frederik Andersen 22319 .864 2.56 -0.44

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Chicago Blackhawks

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
95 Ilya Mikheyev R +1.67 +1.30 +0.32 -0.04 0.00 0.00 +0.09 — 18:35
30 Spencer Knight G +0.94 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.94 65:00
59 Tyler Bertuzzi L +0.47 +0.70 0.00 -0.09 -0.15 -0.02 +0.03 — 18:46
91 Frank Nazar C +0.23 0.00 +0.29 -0.05 0.00 +0.03 -0.04 — 18:30
76 Nick Lardis L +0.21 +0.75 +0.16 -0.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 11:30
84 Landon Slaggert L +0.18 0.00 0.00 -0.02 +0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 12:22
5 Connor Murphy D +0.04 +0.75 +0.13 -0.87 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 22:17
17 Nick Foligno L -0.05 0.00 +0.04 -0.10 0.00 -0.08 +0.10 — 10:06
28 Andre Burakovsky L -0.09 0.00 +0.03 -0.19 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 18:13
46 Louis Crevier D -0.11 0.00 +0.04 -0.31 0.00 0.00 +0.16 — 22:21
34 Colton Dach C -0.16 0.00 0.00 -0.18 0.00 -0.01 +0.03 — 10:11
98 Connor Bedard C -0.19 0.00 +0.15 -0.36 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 20:49
44 Wyatt Kaiser D -0.32 0.00 +0.09 -0.43 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 22:40
11 Oliver Moore C -0.50 +0.55 +0.30 -1.17 -0.15 -0.01 -0.02 — 12:51
8 Ryan Donato C -0.53 +0.70 +0.05 -1.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 10:49
55 Artyom Levshunov D -0.57 0.00 0.00 -0.44 -0.15 0.00 +0.02 — 16:37
72 Alex Vlasic D -0.64 0.00 0.00 -0.45 -0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 25:37
20 Ryan Greene C -0.65 0.00 +0.05 -0.67 0.00 -0.09 +0.07 — 18:49
48 Matt Grzelcyk D -0.86 0.00 +0.01 -0.72 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 13:57

Carolina Hurricanes

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
53 Jackson Blake R +2.43 +0.75 +0.39 +1.16 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 15:37
22 Logan Stankoven C +2.29 +0.70 +0.34 +1.23 0.00 +0.02 0.00 — 14:14
71 Taylor Hall L +2.17 +0.55 +0.38 +1.22 0.00 -0.01 +0.03 — 15:35
82 Jesperi Kotkaniemi C +1.40 +0.70 +0.05 +0.53 +0.15 +0.01 -0.04 — 9:33
74 Jaccob Slavin D +1.34 +0.55 +0.01 +0.75 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 23:32
64 Joel Nystrom D +1.19 +0.75 +0.08 +0.51 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 10:43
11 Jordan Staal C +1.17 +0.75 +0.19 +0.17 0.00 +0.06 0.00 — 18:14
48 Jordan Martinook L +0.98 +0.70 +0.05 +0.10 +0.15 -0.01 0.00 — 14:21
5 Jalen Chatfield D +0.84 0.00 +0.01 +0.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 19:59
28 William Carrier L +0.82 0.00 +0.06 +0.72 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 12:41
21 Alexander Nikishin D +0.82 0.00 +0.07 +0.55 +0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 15:47
77 Mark Jankowski L +0.47 0.00 +0.04 +0.38 0.00 +0.04 0.00 — 9:23
27 Nikolaj Ehlers L +0.38 0.00 +0.22 +0.11 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 19:30
19 K'Andre Miller D +0.35 0.00 +0.03 +0.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 25:39
37 Andrei Svechnikov R +0.10 0.00 +0.13 -0.20 +0.15 0.00 +0.01 — 22:12
24 Seth Jarvis C +0.09 0.00 +0.23 -0.17 0.00 +0.01 +0.02 — 22:17
20 Sebastian Aho C +0.08 0.00 +0.21 -0.17 0.00 +0.06 -0.02 — 23:36
26 Sean Walker D +0.06 0.00 +0.07 +0.03 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 20:18
31 Frederik Andersen G -0.44 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.44 64:49

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.