hockeystats.io

Florida PanthersFLA 2–1 Final/SO Winnipeg JetsWPG

Thursday, January 22, 2026

Final/SO 1st2nd3rdOTSO T SOG
Florida PanthersFLA 01002 2 20
Winnipeg JetsWPG 00100 1 18

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
18:49 FLA Sam Bennett (18) Matthew Tkachuk (1) · slap xG 0.09 1–0 ▶
3rd Period
5:24 WPG Cole Perfetti (4) Jonathan Toews (12) · backhand xG 0.33 1–1 ▶
Overtime
No scoring
Shootout
WPG Kyle Connor vs Daniil Tarasov Saved
FLA Anton Lundell vs Connor Hellebuyck Goal
WPG Mark Scheifele vs Daniil Tarasov Missed
FLA Sam Reinhart vs Connor Hellebuyck Goal

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

FLA 51%Deserve to win49% WPG
FLAWPG
2.15Expected goals2.08
1Goals (no shootout)1
1.38Expected goals, 5 on 51.31
47Shot attempts47
37Unblocked attempts33
20Shots on goal18

Shot map

FLA shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ WPG shoots
Niko Mikkola: backhand, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:17) Mackie Samoskevich: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 1:37) Evan Rodrigues: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 1:43) Sandis Vilmanis: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 2:40) Dylan DeMelo: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 3:19) Mark Scheifele: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 4:08) A.J. Greer: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 4:48) Morgan Barron: tip-in, 18 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 6:43) Morgan Barron: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 6:44) Matthew Tkachuk: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 8:27) Evan Rodrigues: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 9:27) Mackie Samoskevich: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 9:44) A.J. Greer: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 9:50) Cole Perfetti: slap, 18 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 10:09) Jeff Petry: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 12:29) Carter Verhaeghe: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 12:30) Cole Perfetti: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 12:43) Gustav Forsling: wrist, 72 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 12:56) Jeff Petry: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 15:39) Mackie Samoskevich: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 15:44) Sam Bennett: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.19 (P1 18:22) Adam Lowry: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 18:36) Nino Niederreiter: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 18:55) Gustav Forsling: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 1:06) A.J. Greer: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 2:09) Tanner Pearson: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:47) Sandis Vilmanis: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:56) Cole Koepke: snap, 11 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 4:11) Adam Lowry: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 4:49) Mark Scheifele: tip-in, 22 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 4:55) Jonathan Toews: slap, 48 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 6:22) Jonathan Toews: tip-in, 88 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 6:48) Jeff Petry: wrist, 136 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 10:28) Adam Lowry: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 10:44) Vladislav Namestnikov: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 10:52) Dylan Samberg: wrist, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:04) A.J. Greer: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 12:44) Dylan DeMelo: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 14:17) Mark Scheifele: backhand, 17 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 15:09) Mackie Samoskevich: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 17:54) Aaron Ekblad: snap, 58 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 17:58) Gabriel Vilardi: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 1:34) Elias Salomonsson: slap, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:27) Dylan DeMelo: wrist, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:54) Sam Bennett: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 3:11) Carter Verhaeghe: backhand, 21 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 4:55) Evan Rodrigues: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 6:49) Mackie Samoskevich: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 7:00) Josh Morrissey: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 8:53) Josh Morrissey: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 10:27) Nino Niederreiter: bat, 7 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 10:28) Logan Stanley: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 10:49) Kyle Connor: slap, 35 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 11:02) Mark Scheifele: backhand, 14 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 11:28) Uvis Balinskis: slap, 41 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 12:01) Gustav Forsling: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 13:37) Jeff Petry: slap, 53 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 13:42) Evan Rodrigues: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:48) Matthew Tkachuk: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 16:22) Josh Morrissey: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 18:14) Niko Mikkola: backhand, 101 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 19:33) Anton Lundell: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.10 (OT 0:47) Dylan Samberg: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.08 (OT 1:09) Evan Rodrigues: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.07 (OT 2:24) Josh Morrissey: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.12 (OT 3:15) Sam Bennett: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.16 (OT 4:02) Aaron Ekblad: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.14 (OT 4:12) Mark Scheifele: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.20 (OT 4:44) Sam Bennett: GOAL, slap, 36 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 18:49) Cole Perfetti: GOAL, backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.33 (P3 5:24)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Florida Panthers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
9 Sam Bennett 101 +1 50.53 2121:42
13 Sam Reinhart 000 0 00.00 2221:19
15 Anton Lundell 000 0 10.10 3120:31
23 Carter Verhaeghe 000 0 40.19 2019:22
19 Matthew Tkachuk 011 +1 30.08 1018:31
17 Evan Rodrigues 000 -1 50.15 2217:50
27 Eetu Luostarinen 000 0 00.00 3016:13
11 Mackie Samoskevich 000 0 70.38 1014:15
18 A.J. Greer 000 0 50.28 4012:51
95 Sandis Vilmanis 000 0 20.07 3108:49
71 Luke Kunin 000 0 00.00 1007:23
79 Cole Schwindt 000 0 00.00 0005:30
Defense
42 Gustav Forsling 000 0 40.05 0127:19
5 Aaron Ekblad 000 -1 30.14 0126:39
26 Uvis Balinskis 000 0 10.01 0123:03
77 Niko Mikkola 000 +1 20.02 1122:14
2 Jeff Petry 000 0 40.15 1114:36
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Daniil Tarasov 18117 .944 2.08 +1.08

Winnipeg Jets

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
55 Mark Scheifele 000 -1 60.35 1124:50
81 Kyle Connor 000 -1 40.03 1023:18
9 Alex Iafallo 000 0 00.00 2018:14
19 Jonathan Toews 011 +1 20.04 0017:59
13 Gabriel Vilardi 000 -1 10.05 1016:41
91 Cole Perfetti 101 +1 50.53 1016:05
7 Vladislav Namestnikov 000 0 20.03 2116:01
62 Nino Niederreiter 000 0 20.19 0015:06
17 Adam Lowry 000 0 30.22 1014:27
70 Tanner Pearson 000 0 10.01 3008:48
36 Morgan Barron 000 0 30.13 2008:45
45 Cole Koepke 000 0 10.04 5008:12
Defense
44 Josh Morrissey 000 -1 60.28 0226:12
2 Dylan DeMelo 000 -1 40.09 1024:31
54 Dylan Samberg 000 +1 40.08 0024:08
8 Logan Stanley 000 +1 10.02 0118:37
57 Elias Salomonsson 000 0 20.01 1115:13
2 Luke Schenn 000 0 00.00 3314:06
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Connor Hellebuyck 20119 .950 2.15 +1.15

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Florida Panthers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
40 Daniil Tarasov G +1.08 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.08 65:00
9 Sam Bennett C +0.98 +0.75 +0.34 -0.13 0.00 -0.03 +0.05 — 21:42
11 Mackie Samoskevich R +0.67 0.00 +0.25 +0.46 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 14:15
10 A.J. Greer L +0.67 0.00 +0.18 +0.51 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 12:51
26 Uvis Balinskis D +0.47 0.00 0.00 +0.41 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 23:03
77 Niko Mikkola D +0.45 0.00 +0.01 +0.26 +0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 22:14
17 Evan Rodrigues C +0.44 0.00 +0.10 +0.43 -0.15 -0.02 +0.08 — 17:50
19 Matthew Tkachuk L +0.33 +0.70 +0.05 -0.42 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 18:31
95 Sandis Vilmanis L +0.28 0.00 +0.04 +0.18 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 — 8:49
71 Luke Kunin C +0.25 0.00 0.00 +0.26 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 7:23
22 Tobias Bjornfot D +0.09 0.00 0.00 +0.01 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 10:53
79 Cole Schwindt R +0.06 0.00 0.00 +0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 5:30
2 Jeff Petry D +0.03 0.00 +0.10 -0.12 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 14:36
42 Gustav Forsling D -0.01 0.00 +0.03 +0.10 -0.15 0.00 +0.01 — 27:19
13 Sam Reinhart C -0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.08 0.00 +0.01 +0.06 — 21:19
15 Anton Lundell C -0.02 0.00 +0.07 -0.13 0.00 +0.01 +0.03 — 20:31
5 Aaron Ekblad D -0.09 0.00 +0.09 -0.21 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 26:39
27 Eetu Luostarinen C -0.09 0.00 0.00 -0.08 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 16:13
23 Carter Verhaeghe C -0.28 0.00 +0.13 -0.38 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 19:22

Winnipeg Jets

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
37 Connor Hellebuyck G +1.15 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.15 64:47
91 Cole Perfetti C +0.85 +0.75 +0.34 -0.23 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 16:05
17 Adam Lowry C +0.77 0.00 +0.14 +0.58 0.00 +0.05 0.00 — 14:27
7 Vladislav Namestnikov C +0.76 0.00 +0.02 +0.70 0.00 +0.01 +0.03 — 16:01
19 Jonathan Toews C +0.58 +0.70 +0.03 -0.32 +0.15 0.00 +0.02 — 17:59
44 Josh Morrissey D +0.56 0.00 +0.18 +0.33 0.00 0.00 +0.04 — 26:12
62 Nino Niederreiter R +0.55 0.00 +0.12 +0.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:06
57 Elias Salomonsson D +0.29 0.00 +0.01 +0.21 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 15:13
36 Morgan Barron C +0.23 0.00 +0.08 +0.13 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 8:45
45 Cole Koepke L +0.15 0.00 +0.03 +0.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 8:12
5 Luke Schenn D +0.12 0.00 0.00 -0.03 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 14:06
2 Dylan DeMelo D +0.04 0.00 +0.06 -0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 24:31
70 Tanner Pearson L -0.05 0.00 +0.01 -0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 8:48
55 Mark Scheifele C -0.29 0.00 +0.23 -0.62 +0.15 -0.01 -0.03 — 24:50
9 Alex Iafallo L -0.31 0.00 0.00 -0.16 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 18:14
54 Dylan Samberg D -0.39 0.00 +0.05 -0.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 24:08
64 Logan Stanley D -0.46 0.00 +0.01 -0.50 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 18:37
81 Kyle Connor L -0.56 0.00 +0.02 -0.56 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 23:18
13 Gabriel Vilardi C -0.72 0.00 +0.03 -0.71 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 16:41

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.