Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 6–2 Final Edmonton OilersEDM

Thursday, January 22, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 321 6 23
Edmonton OilersEDM 011 2 32

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
2:20 PIT Anthony Mantha (15) Justin Brazeau (9), Connor Clifton (2) · tip-in xG 0.10 1–0 ▶
2:42 PIT Anthony Mantha (16) Justin Brazeau (10), Brett Kulak (5) · wrist xG 0.18 2–0 ▶
2:57 PIT Sidney Crosby (27) Ryan Shea (16), Jack St. Ivany (6) · tip-in xG 0.06 3–0 ▶
2nd Period
5:19 EDM Jake Walman (4)SH Mattias Janmark (7) · wrist xG 0.07 3–1 ▶
12:29 PIT Rickard Rakell (9) Evgeni Malkin (27), Bryan Rust (21) · wrist xG 0.11 4–1 ▶
14:27 PIT Evgeni Malkin (12) Unassisted · backhand xG 0.10 5–1 ▶
3rd Period
2:50 PIT Egor Chinakhov (8) Tommy Novak (18), Jack St. Ivany (7) · wrist xG 0.06 6–1 ▶
13:57 EDM Matt Savoie (9) Evan Bouchard (38), Mattias Ekholm (19) · wrist xG 0.04 6–2 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

PIT 65%Deserve to win35% EDM
PITEDM
3.45Expected goals2.54
6Goals (no shootout)2
2.56Expected goals, 5 on 52.04
50Shot attempts57
40Unblocked attempts45
23Shots on goal32

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
2:57 EDM Goalie Goalie · Jarry −2.5 goals saved
3 goals on 0.53 xG, 4 shots on goal

Shot map

PIT shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ EDM shoots
Mattias Ekholm: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:14) Mattias Ekholm: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 0:29) Isaac Howard: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 0:36) Noel Acciari: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 0:50) Vasily Podkolzin: wrist, 78 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 3:02) Vasily Podkolzin: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 3:07) Noel Acciari: tip-in, 26 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 3:23) Evan Bouchard: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 4:31) Egor Chinakhov: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 5:24) Connor Dewar: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 7:02) Zach Hyman: bat, 6 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 7:29) Zach Hyman: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 7:38) Zach Hyman: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 8:13) Justin Brazeau: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 10:14) Justin Brazeau: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 10:37) Rickard Rakell: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 11:01) Bryan Rust: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 11:14) Ryan Shea: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 11:48) Connor McDavid: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 13:21) Evan Bouchard: slap, 36 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 13:31) Blake Lizotte: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 14:12) Rickard Rakell: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 15:24) Darnell Nurse: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 16:57) Connor Dewar: slap, 31 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 17:37) Zach Hyman: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 19:07) Leon Draisaitl: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 19:29) Zach Hyman: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 19:44) Andrew Mangiapane: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:51) Darnell Nurse: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:20) Ryan Shea: snap, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:55) Justin Brazeau: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 2:18) Evgeni Malkin: tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.20 (P2 4:53) Rickard Rakell: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 5:41) Blake Lizotte: deflected, 79 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 5:57) Rickard Rakell: tip-in, 25 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 8:14) Tommy Novak: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 8:52) Egor Chinakhov: tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 9:18) Evgeni Malkin: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 9:22) Tommy Novak: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 9:32) Mattias Ekholm: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 9:40) Isaac Howard: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 11:35) Evan Bouchard: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 13:46) Mattias Ekholm: tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 14:08) Andrew Mangiapane: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.21 (P2 14:54) Leon Draisaitl: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 15:26) Jake Walman: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 15:47) Leon Draisaitl: snap, 17 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 17:06) Bryan Rust: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.20 (P2 17:28) Evan Bouchard: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 17:45) Leon Draisaitl: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 18:33) Connor Dewar: backhand, 20 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 19:00) Sidney Crosby: deflected, 77 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 19:43) Jack Roslovic: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 19:55) Vasily Podkolzin: backhand, 28 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 0:34) Andrew Mangiapane: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 1:03) Isaac Howard: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 1:50) Anthony Mantha: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 2:02) Spencer Stastney: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 2:23) Connor Dewar: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 3:59) Tommy Novak: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 5:38) Mattias Ekholm: snap, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 6:05) Trent Frederic: backhand, 31 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 7:00) Spencer Stastney: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 8:31) Leon Draisaitl: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 8:32) Evgeni Malkin: slap, 32 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 9:21) Isaac Howard: slap, 40 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 9:52) Curtis Lazar: snap, 11 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 10:37) Blake Lizotte: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 11:22) Erik Karlsson: slap, 51 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 15:03) Trent Frederic: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 16:36) Mattias Janmark: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 16:38) Sidney Crosby: deflected, 13 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 16:50) Brett Kulak: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 16:59) Connor Clifton: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 18:00) Mattias Ekholm: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 18:22) Evan Bouchard: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 19:00) Jake Walman: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 19:45) Anthony Mantha: GOAL, tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 2:20) Anthony Mantha: GOAL, wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 2:42) Sidney Crosby: GOAL, tip-in, 22 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 2:57) Jake Walman: GOAL, wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 5:19) Rickard Rakell: GOAL, wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 12:29) Evgeni Malkin: GOAL, backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 14:27) Egor Chinakhov: GOAL, wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 2:50) Matt Savoie: GOAL, wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 13:57)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Pittsburgh Penguins

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
71 Evgeni Malkin 112 +3 40.45 0019:02
87 Sidney Crosby 101 +2 40.20 0017:03
67 Rickard Rakell 101 +1 50.40 2016:13
17 Bryan Rust 011 +1 20.33 0116:01
19 Connor Dewar 000 +1 50.50 3115:17
81 Ben Kindel 000 +1 00.00 0214:31
52 Noel Acciari 000 0 20.22 0014:07
18 Tommy Novak 011 +2 40.30 0013:58
46 Blake Lizotte 000 -1 30.14 2013:48
39 Anthony Mantha 202 +1 30.44 0013:43
16 Justin Brazeau 022 +1 40.20 0013:07
59 Egor Chinakhov 101 0 30.12 1012:04
Defense
27 Brett Kulak 011 +2 30.01 0021:15
65 Erik Karlsson 000 +1 20.02 0019:58
75 Connor Clifton 011 +2 30.03 2019:56
29 Parker Wotherspoon 000 0 10.00 1219:13
6 Jack St. Ivany 022 +2 00.00 2218:59
6 Ryan Shea 011 +2 20.09 0118:19
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Arturs Silovs 32230 .938 2.54 +0.54

Edmonton Oilers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
97 Connor McDavid 000 -2 20.07 1020:56
29 Leon Draisaitl 000 -1 60.41 2019:17
93 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins 000 -2 20.00 0018:35
18 Zach Hyman 000 -2 50.50 0018:27
96 Jack Roslovic 000 -2 20.03 1116:22
92 Vasily Podkolzin 000 -1 30.03 2014:25
53 Isaac Howard 000 0 50.33 0113:46
22 Matt Savoie 101 0 10.04 0013:11
13 Mattias Janmark 011 0 10.01 0111:40
10 Trent Frederic 000 -1 20.03 1111:19
26 Andrew Mangiapane 000 -1 30.27 4010:53
20 Curtis Lazar 000 -1 10.19 0109:39
Defense
2 Evan Bouchard 011 -3 80.33 0124:48
25 Darnell Nurse 000 0 30.02 3021:13
14 Mattias Ekholm 011 -2 70.14 0020:07
49 Ty Emberson 000 -1 00.00 6119:11
96 Jake Walman 101 -1 40.11 0017:20
24 Spencer Stastney 000 -1 20.04 0214:51
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Tristan Jarry 23617 .739 3.45 -2.55

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
39 Anthony Mantha R +2.52 +1.50 +0.29 +0.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:43
71 Evgeni Malkin C +2.37 +1.45 +0.29 +0.67 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 19:02
16 Justin Brazeau R +2.37 +1.40 +0.13 +0.88 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 13:07
5 Ryan Shea D +1.48 +0.70 +0.06 +0.60 0.00 0.00 +0.12 — 18:19
18 Tommy Novak C +1.32 +0.70 +0.20 +0.43 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 13:58
3 Jack St. Ivany D +1.24 +1.10 0.00 +0.06 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 18:59
59 Egor Chinakhov R +1.18 +0.75 +0.08 +0.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:04
81 Ben Kindel C +1.08 0.00 0.00 +1.06 0.00 -0.02 +0.04 — 14:31
75 Connor Clifton D +0.86 +0.55 +0.02 +0.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 19:56
65 Erik Karlsson D +0.85 0.00 +0.01 +0.70 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 19:58
19 Connor Dewar C +0.81 0.00 +0.32 +0.44 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 15:17
67 Rickard Rakell R +0.77 +0.75 +0.26 -0.22 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 16:13
28 Parker Wotherspoon D +0.66 0.00 0.00 +0.62 0.00 0.00 +0.04 — 19:13
77 Brett Kulak D +0.62 +0.55 +0.01 +0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 21:15
87 Sidney Crosby C +0.57 +0.75 +0.13 -0.16 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 17:03
37 Arturs Silovs G +0.54 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.54 59:26
17 Bryan Rust R +0.32 +0.55 +0.21 -0.48 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 16:01
55 Noel Acciari C +0.21 0.00 +0.14 +0.10 0.00 -0.04 0.00 — 14:07
46 Blake Lizotte C -0.19 0.00 +0.09 -0.30 0.00 +0.02 0.00 — 13:48

Edmonton Oilers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
2 Evan Bouchard D +0.48 +0.70 +0.22 -0.47 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 24:48
14 Mattias Ekholm D +0.40 +0.55 +0.09 -0.22 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 20:07
13 Mattias Janmark C +0.40 +0.70 0.00 -0.34 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 11:40
22 Matt Savoie C +0.38 +0.75 +0.03 -0.36 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 13:11
96 Jake Walman D +0.35 +0.75 +0.07 -0.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 17:20
29 Leon Draisaitl C +0.30 0.00 +0.27 +0.07 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 19:17
88 Andrew Mangiapane L +0.19 0.00 +0.17 +0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 10:53
53 Isaac Howard L +0.12 0.00 +0.21 -0.14 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 13:46
20 Curtis Lazar C +0.09 0.00 +0.12 -0.11 0.00 +0.03 +0.05 — 9:39
18 Zach Hyman L +0.02 0.00 +0.33 -0.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 18:27
24 Spencer Stastney D -0.12 0.00 +0.03 -0.07 -0.15 0.00 +0.08 — 14:51
92 Vasily Podkolzin R -0.17 0.00 +0.02 -0.15 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 14:25
49 Ty Emberson D -0.26 0.00 0.00 -0.33 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 19:11
97 Connor McDavid C -0.36 0.00 +0.05 -0.41 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 20:56
10 Trent Frederic C -0.39 0.00 +0.02 -0.43 0.00 +0.01 +0.01 — 11:19
28 Jack Roslovic C -0.65 0.00 +0.02 -0.71 0.00 +0.03 +0.01 — 16:22
25 Darnell Nurse D -0.72 0.00 +0.01 -0.71 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 21:13
93 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C -0.72 0.00 0.00 -0.71 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 18:35
35 Tristan Jarry G -2.55 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -2.55 60:00

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.