hockeystats.io

Detroit Red WingsDET 3–4 Final/OT Minnesota WildMIN

Thursday, January 22, 2026

Final/OT 1st2nd3rdOT T SOG
Detroit Red WingsDET 1110 3 34
Minnesota WildMIN 1021 4 39

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
4:39 DET Lucas Raymond (16)PP Moritz Seider (28), Dylan Larkin (22) · wrist xG 0.06 1–0 ▶
17:19 MIN Kirill Kaprizov (26)PP Mats Zuccarello (21), Quinn Hughes (41) · snap xG 0.15 1–1 ▶
2nd Period
16:22 DET Lucas Raymond (17) Marco Kasper (6) · snap xG 0.19 2–1 ▶
3rd Period
0:37 MIN Mats Zuccarello (7) Quinn Hughes (42), Brock Faber (21) · backhand xG 0.26 2–2 ▶
5:36 DET James van Riemsdyk (14) Emmitt Finnie (11), Travis Hamonic (2) · tip-in xG 0.16 3–2 ▶
6:11 MIN Mats Zuccarello (8) Ryan Hartman (10), Kirill Kaprizov (35) · wrist xG 0.20 3–3 ▶
Overtime
0:45 MIN Kirill Kaprizov (27) Quinn Hughes (43) · wrist xG 0.08 3–4 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

DET 37%Deserve to win63% MIN
DETMIN
2.58Expected goals3.37
3Goals (no shootout)4
2.38Expected goals, 5 on 52.04
69Shot attempts72
49Unblocked attempts50
34Shots on goal39

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
16:50 MIN No shift No shift · Jiricek, 13:19 on the bench
No shift after 2:23 of the 3rd; 11 shifts (8:04) before that

Shot map

DET shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ MIN shoots
Andrew Copp: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 0:26) Dylan Larkin: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 0:54) Brock Faber: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:40) Emmitt Finnie: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 1:50) David Jiricek: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 2:17) Moritz Seider: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 2:40) Alex DeBrincat: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 2:52) Joel Eriksson Ek: backhand, 27 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 3:09) Marco Kasper: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 3:26) Alex DeBrincat: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 4:19) Mats Zuccarello: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 5:30) Marcus Foligno: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:11) Alex DeBrincat: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 6:24) Dylan Larkin: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 7:31) Nico Sturm: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 9:21) Quinn Hughes: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:28) Daemon Hunt: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:43) Joel Eriksson Ek: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 10:56) Quinn Hughes: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 12:31) Axel Sandin-Pellikka: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 14:02) Ben Chiarot: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 14:06) Ben Chiarot: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 18:34) Dylan Larkin: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 19:00) Vladimir Tarasenko: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:43) Jared Spurgeon: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 19:44) Jake Middleton: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 19:59) Kirill Kaprizov: wrist, 85 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 0:06) Brock Faber: wrist, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:17) Alex DeBrincat: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 0:22) Ryan Hartman: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 0:32) Patrick Kane: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 0:40) Ben Chiarot: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:46) Quinn Hughes: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 1:39) Vladimir Tarasenko: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 2:26) Joel Eriksson Ek: snap, 7 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 3:21) Joel Eriksson Ek: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 3:54) Moritz Seider: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 4:31) Axel Sandin-Pellikka: slap, 48 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 4:46) Andrew Copp: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 5:32) Moritz Seider: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 5:55) Michael Rasmussen: snap, 13 ft, xG 0.31 (P2 5:58) Jacob Bernard-Docker: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 6:26) Emmitt Finnie: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 7:27) Axel Sandin-Pellikka: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 7:44) Mason Appleton: tip-in, 103 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 9:50) Kirill Kaprizov: snap, 17 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 10:50) Ryan Hartman: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 11:03) Joel Eriksson Ek: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 12:22) Kirill Kaprizov: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 12:28) Joel Eriksson Ek: poke, 9 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 12:30) Kirill Kaprizov: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 12:40) Brock Faber: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 12:45) Marcus Foligno: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 13:18) Lucas Raymond: wrist, 86 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 13:44) Vladimir Tarasenko: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 15:04) Marcus Johansson: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 15:28) Ryan Hartman: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 15:57) Andrew Copp: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 16:56) Alex DeBrincat: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 17:09) Ryan Hartman: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 18:41) Ben Chiarot: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 19:04) Patrick Kane: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 19:05) Kirill Kaprizov: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 19:53) Patrick Kane: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 0:15) Quinn Hughes: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 0:34) Dylan Larkin: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 0:53) Daemon Hunt: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 1:48) Vinnie Hinostroza: backhand, 32 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 1:58) Daemon Hunt: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:01) Elmer Soderblom: tip-in, 90 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 4:16) Elmer Soderblom: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 4:43) Elmer Soderblom: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 8:46) Elmer Soderblom: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 8:54) Brock Faber: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 9:21) Mason Appleton: slap, 42 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 9:34) Albert Johansson: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 9:43) Elmer Soderblom: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 9:44) Albert Johansson: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 10:08) Kirill Kaprizov: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 10:56) Mats Zuccarello: slap, 30 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 11:44) Joel Eriksson Ek: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 12:47) Danila Yurov: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 13:02) Marcus Johansson: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 13:11) Vinnie Hinostroza: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 13:48) Kirill Kaprizov: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 15:45) Alex DeBrincat: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 16:23) Yakov Trenin: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 17:16) Jacob Bernard-Docker: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 18:38) Patrick Kane: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 18:42) Dylan Larkin: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 19:51) Jacob Bernard-Docker: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 19:57) Dylan Larkin: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.09 (OT 0:13) Lucas Raymond: GOAL, wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 4:39) Kirill Kaprizov: GOAL, snap, 32 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 17:19) Lucas Raymond: GOAL, snap, 16 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 16:22) Mats Zuccarello: GOAL, backhand, 14 ft, xG 0.26 (P3 0:37) James van Riemsdyk: GOAL, tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 5:36) Mats Zuccarello: GOAL, wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.20 (P3 6:11) Kirill Kaprizov: GOAL, wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.08 (OT 0:45)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Detroit Red Wings

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
71 Dylan Larkin 011 +1 80.23 1023:32
18 Andrew Copp 000 -3 30.36 0020:02
23 Lucas Raymond 202 +1 60.25 0018:10
93 Alex DeBrincat 000 -3 90.43 1117:57
92 Marco Kasper 011 +1 10.06 2017:29
88 Patrick Kane 000 -2 50.14 1015:53
27 Michael Rasmussen 000 0 10.31 0312:51
22 Mason Appleton 000 0 40.02 0012:30
37 J.T. Compher 000 +1 10.00 0011:27
25 Elmer Soderblom 000 0 60.16 3110:12
21 James van Riemsdyk 101 +1 10.16 0009:16
58 Emmitt Finnie 011 +1 20.09 1007:29
Defense
53 Moritz Seider 011 -2 40.03 0327:38
8 Ben Chiarot 000 +1 70.06 2321:56
20 Albert Johansson 000 0 40.12 1120:11
25 Jacob Bernard-Docker 000 -1 30.06 1219:14
52 Travis Hamonic 011 0 10.00 2417:04
44 Axel Sandin-Pellikka 000 +1 30.09 0012:31
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Cam Talbot 39435 .897 3.37 -0.63

Minnesota Wild

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
97 Kirill Kaprizov 213 +3 100.72 0025:38
36 Mats Zuccarello 213 +2 60.65 0023:01
38 Ryan Hartman 011 +3 40.30 1522:25
14 Joel Eriksson Ek 000 -1 80.46 3119:49
91 Vladimir Tarasenko 000 -1 40.13 0017:59
90 Marcus Johansson 000 -1 60.11 1116:34
22 Danila Yurov 000 -1 30.08 1014:13
17 Marcus Foligno 000 -1 20.05 3010:54
13 Yakov Trenin 000 0 10.10 2009:30
18 Vinnie Hinostroza 000 -1 30.02 0009:16
19 Tyler Pitlick 000 0 00.00 2207:36
78 Nico Sturm 000 0 10.14 1107:16
Defense
43 Quinn Hughes 033 +2 80.17 0029:55
7 Brock Faber 011 +1 80.08 0225:24
55 Jake Middleton 000 -1 10.14 1321:15
46 Jared Spurgeon 000 -1 20.00 2120:38
48 Daemon Hunt 000 0 40.09 1310:10
5 David Jiricek 000 0 10.11 0108:04
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Filip Gustavsson 34331 .912 2.58 -0.42

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Detroit Red Wings

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
23 Lucas Raymond L +2.33 +1.50 +0.16 +0.49 +0.15 0.00 +0.02 — 18:10
53 Moritz Seider D +1.24 +0.70 +0.02 +0.41 0.00 0.00 +0.11 — 27:38
92 Marco Kasper C +1.22 +0.70 +0.04 +0.49 0.00 +0.02 -0.02 — 17:29
58 Emmitt Finnie C +1.19 +0.70 +0.06 +0.30 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 7:29
21 James van Riemsdyk L +1.07 +0.75 +0.11 +0.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:16
71 Dylan Larkin C +1.07 +0.55 +0.15 +0.29 0.00 +0.08 0.00 — 23:32
8 Ben Chiarot D +0.52 0.00 +0.04 +0.33 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 21:56
44 Axel Sandin-Pellikka D +0.39 0.00 +0.06 +0.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:31
27 Michael Rasmussen C +0.29 0.00 +0.20 -0.05 0.00 -0.01 +0.15 — 12:51
93 Alex DeBrincat R +0.29 0.00 +0.28 -0.04 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 17:57
20 Albert Johansson D +0.21 0.00 +0.08 +0.08 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 20:11
88 Patrick Kane R +0.14 0.00 +0.09 +0.07 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 15:53
18 Andrew Copp C 0.00 0.00 +0.24 -0.26 0.00 +0.06 -0.04 — 20:02
37 J.T. Compher L -0.01 0.00 0.00 +0.10 -0.15 +0.04 0.00 — 11:27
85 Elmer Soderblom L -0.03 0.00 +0.10 -0.12 0.00 0.00 -0.01 — 10:12
52 Travis Hamonic D -0.03 +0.55 0.00 -0.46 -0.30 0.00 +0.18 — 17:04
25 Jacob Bernard-Docker D -0.16 0.00 +0.04 -0.15 -0.15 0.00 +0.10 — 19:14
22 Mason Appleton C -0.17 0.00 +0.01 -0.20 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 12:30
39 Cam Talbot G -0.63 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.63 60:45

Minnesota Wild

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
36 Mats Zuccarello R +3.26 +2.20 +0.42 +0.66 0.00 -0.03 0.00 — 23:01
97 Kirill Kaprizov L +3.19 +2.05 +0.47 +0.70 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 25:38
43 Quinn Hughes D +2.33 +1.95 +0.11 +0.31 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 29:55
38 Ryan Hartman R +1.77 +0.70 +0.20 +0.50 +0.15 -0.04 +0.27 — 22:25
7 Brock Faber D +1.13 +0.55 +0.05 +0.45 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 25:24
78 Nico Sturm C +0.36 0.00 +0.09 +0.21 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 — 7:16
22 Danila Yurov R +0.10 0.00 +0.05 -0.20 +0.30 -0.03 -0.02 — 14:13
48 Daemon Hunt D +0.08 0.00 +0.06 -0.12 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 10:10
55 David Jiricek D +0.02 0.00 +0.07 -0.08 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 8:04
13 Yakov Trenin C -0.09 0.00 +0.07 -0.14 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 9:31
90 Marcus Johansson L -0.23 0.00 +0.07 -0.51 +0.15 +0.01 +0.05 — 16:34
14 Joel Eriksson Ek C -0.23 0.00 +0.30 -0.31 -0.15 -0.11 +0.03 — 19:48
19 Tyler Pitlick C -0.28 0.00 0.00 -0.36 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 7:36
18 Vinnie Hinostroza C -0.42 0.00 +0.01 -0.41 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 9:16
32 Filip Gustavsson G -0.42 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.42 60:45
91 Vladimir Tarasenko R -0.45 0.00 +0.09 -0.50 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 17:59
46 Jared Spurgeon D -0.54 0.00 0.00 -0.58 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 20:38
5 Jake Middleton D -0.58 0.00 +0.09 -0.81 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 21:15
17 Marcus Foligno L -0.77 0.00 +0.03 -0.65 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 10:54

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.