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Vegas Golden KnightsVGK 6–3 Final Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

Friday, January 23, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Vegas Golden KnightsVGK 222 6 31
Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 030 3 21

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
1:06 VGK Jack Eichel (19) Mark Stone (32), Ivan Barbashev (22) · wrist xG 0.13 1–0 ▶
4:31 VGK Keegan Kolesar (4) Jonas Rondbjerg (1), Reilly Smith (7) · snap xG 0.31 2–0 ▶
2nd Period
0:13 TOR John Tavares (19) Matthew Knies (30), Matias Maccelli (13) · backhand xG 0.36 2–1 ▶
3:32 VGK Pavel Dorofeyev (22) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.15 3–1 ▶
5:16 VGK Braeden Bowman (7) Tanner Laczynski (2), Alexander Holtz (4) · wrist xG 0.08 4–1 ▶
10:04 TOR Scott Laughton (8) Matthew Knies (31) · backhand xG 0.14 4–2 ▶
18:19 TOR Bobby McMann (16) Max Domi (18), Morgan Rielly (24) · tip-in xG 0.10 4–3 ▶
3rd Period
15:11 VGK Mark Stone (19) Ivan Barbashev (23) · wrist xG 0.09 5–3 ▶
19:01 VGK Mark Stone (20)EN Jack Eichel (42), Rasmus Andersson (21) · wrist xG 0.48 6–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

VGK 62%Deserve to win38% TOR
VGKTOR
3.59Expected goals2.43
6Goals (no shootout)3
2.81Expected goals, 5 on 52.38
50Shot attempts54
41Unblocked attempts36
31Shots on goal21

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
15:11 TOR Goalie Goalie · Stolarz −2.3 goals saved
5 goals on 2.71 xG, 26 shots on goal
17:21 TOR Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Stolarz, down 5–3
With 2:39 left; VGK scored at 19:01 of the 3rd (6–3)

Shot map

VGK shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ TOR shoots
Tanner Laczynski: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 2:05) Matthew Knies: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 2:53) Keegan Kolesar: snap, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 4:28) Jonas Rondbjerg: bat, 21 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 4:29) Calle Jarnkrok: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 5:25) Rasmus Andersson: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 6:52) Tomas Hertl: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 7:14) Mark Stone: deflected, 8 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 8:05) Jack Eichel: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 8:26) Rasmus Andersson: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 9:53) Bobby McMann: backhand, 43 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 10:52) Oliver Ekman-Larsson: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 10:57) Alexander Holtz: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 11:54) Nicolas Roy: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 12:45) Jonas Rondbjerg: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.22 (P1 15:56) John Tavares: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 16:19) Tanner Laczynski: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 17:55) Max Domi: wrist, 97 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 18:11) Tomas Hertl: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 18:53) Jack Eichel: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 19:40) Matthew Knies: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 0:10) Jack Eichel: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 0:25) Auston Matthews: bat, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:38) Max Domi: snap, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:40) Jonas Rondbjerg: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 1:28) Tanner Laczynski: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 2:40) Pavel Dorofeyev: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 3:28) Reilly Smith: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 4:47) John Tavares: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 5:29) Oliver Ekman-Larsson: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 5:45) Auston Matthews: wrap-around, 8 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 6:44) Tanner Laczynski: snap, 19 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 8:46) Tanner Laczynski: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 8:58) Bobby McMann: tip-in, 20 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 10:15) Auston Matthews: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 10:25) Matthew Knies: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 12:16) Bobby McMann: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:47) Morgan Rielly: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 14:15) Morgan Rielly: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 14:39) Bobby McMann: tip-in, 4 ft, xG 0.25 (P2 15:26) Auston Matthews: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 15:57) Matthew Knies: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 17:00) Easton Cowan: backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 17:52) Jonas Rondbjerg: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 18:44) Matthew Knies: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 0:09) Auston Matthews: snap, 17 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 0:55) Braeden Bowman: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 2:19) Steven Lorentz: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 2:45) Tomas Hertl: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 2:57) Mitch Marner: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 3:00) Jeremy Lauzon: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 3:03) Ivan Barbashev: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 4:16) Simon Benoit: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 6:48) Bobby McMann: wrist, 98 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 7:29) Jeremy Lauzon: wrist, 70 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 7:58) Keegan Kolesar: wrap-around, 9 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 8:04) Matthew Knies: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 8:21) Pavel Dorofeyev: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 9:56) Alexander Holtz: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 10:10) Bobby McMann: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 11:51) Pavel Dorofeyev: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 12:27) Steven Lorentz: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 15:41) Keegan Kolesar: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 16:30) Keegan Kolesar: snap, 16 ft, xG 0.34 (P3 16:34) Jack Eichel: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 16:51) Mark Stone: backhand, 44 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 17:00) Auston Matthews: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 18:30) John Tavares: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 18:39) Jack Eichel: GOAL, wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 1:06) Keegan Kolesar: GOAL, snap, 8 ft, xG 0.31 (P1 4:31) John Tavares: GOAL, backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.36 (P2 0:13) Pavel Dorofeyev: GOAL, wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 3:32) Braeden Bowman: GOAL, wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 5:16) Scott Laughton: GOAL, backhand, 15 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 10:04) Bobby McMann: GOAL, tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 18:19) Mark Stone: GOAL, wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 15:11) Mark Stone: GOAL, wrist, 139 ft, xG 0.48 (P3 19:01)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Vegas Golden Knights

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
9 Jack Eichel 112 +3 60.26 0019:16
61 Mark Stone 213 +3 40.71 0218:19
49 Ivan Barbashev 022 +2 10.12 0117:47
48 Tomas Hertl 000 -1 30.33 0017:25
93 Mitch Marner 000 0 20.01 0017:25
16 Pavel Dorofeyev 101 -1 50.32 0017:05
55 Keegan Kolesar 101 +1 50.72 2014:51
46 Jonas Rondbjerg 011 +1 40.30 0014:40
19 Reilly Smith 011 +1 10.16 0014:24
42 Braeden Bowman 101 0 40.13 0010:18
10 Alexander Holtz 011 0 20.14 2009:45
28 Tanner Laczynski 011 0 50.28 0009:31
Defense
15 Noah Hanifin 000 +1 00.00 0322:27
27 Shea Theodore 000 +1 00.00 0222:09
4 Rasmus Andersson 011 +1 30.10 0321:33
5 Jeremy Lauzon 000 +1 20.01 5321:27
6 Kaedan Korczak 000 +1 20.00 2115:11
17 Ben Hutton 000 +1 10.00 0014:27
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Adin Hill 21318 .857 2.43 -0.57

Toronto Maple Leafs

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
34 Auston Matthews 000 -1 90.29 2023:30
89 Matthew Knies 022 0 70.47 3020:09
63 Matias Maccelli 011 0 00.00 1019:58
91 John Tavares 101 -1 50.56 1019:08
11 Max Domi 011 -2 30.01 0018:48
74 Bobby McMann 101 -1 80.47 0017:19
10 Nicolas Roy 000 -2 10.06 0113:50
14 Nick Robertson 000 -1 00.00 0112:39
53 Easton Cowan 000 -1 10.13 1110:51
18 Steven Lorentz 000 -1 30.18 3109:33
21 Scott Laughton 101 0 10.14 2009:28
19 Calle Jarnkrok 000 -1 10.04 0008:42
Defense
95 Oliver Ekman-Larsson 000 0 30.02 1124:11
22 Jake McCabe 000 -2 10.00 2022:23
44 Morgan Rielly 011 -1 60.04 0221:03
28 Troy Stecher 000 -1 30.00 0116:51
25 Brandon Carlo 000 0 10.00 2015:51
44 Simon Benoit 000 -1 10.02 3015:26
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Anthony Stolarz 30525 .833 3.11 -1.89

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Vegas Golden Knights

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
61 Mark Stone R +2.99 +2.20 +0.46 +0.25 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 18:19
55 Keegan Kolesar R +2.51 +0.75 +0.47 +1.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:51
9 Jack Eichel C +2.28 +1.45 +0.17 +0.78 0.00 -0.03 -0.10 — 19:16
46 Jonas Rondbjerg R +1.82 +0.70 +0.20 +0.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:40
49 Ivan Barbashev L +1.67 +1.25 +0.08 +0.32 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 17:47
19 Reilly Smith R +1.42 +0.55 +0.11 +0.84 0.00 -0.06 -0.02 — 14:24
6 Kaedan Korczak D +1.37 0.00 0.00 +1.32 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 15:11
42 Braeden Bowman R +0.98 +0.75 +0.09 +0.12 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 10:18
28 Tanner Laczynski C +0.93 +0.70 +0.18 +0.03 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 9:31
26 Alexander Holtz R +0.74 +0.55 +0.09 +0.12 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 9:45
27 Shea Theodore D +0.50 0.00 0.00 +0.42 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 22:09
17 Ben Hutton D +0.44 0.00 0.00 +0.46 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:27
4 Rasmus Andersson D +0.32 +0.55 +0.06 -0.57 +0.15 0.00 +0.13 — 21:33
5 Jeremy Lauzon D +0.18 0.00 0.00 +0.03 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 21:27
16 Pavel Dorofeyev R +0.05 +0.75 +0.21 -0.89 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 17:05
15 Noah Hanifin D +0.04 0.00 0.00 -0.11 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 22:27
33 Adin Hill G -0.57 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.57 60:00
93 Mitch Marner R -0.59 0.00 +0.01 -0.58 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 17:25
48 Tomas Hertl C -0.81 0.00 +0.22 -0.89 -0.15 +0.01 0.00 — 17:25

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
23 Matthew Knies L +2.68 +1.40 +0.31 +0.99 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 20:09
91 John Tavares C +1.60 +0.75 +0.37 +0.46 0.00 +0.02 0.00 — 19:08
63 Matias Maccelli L +0.94 +0.55 0.00 +0.41 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 19:58
44 Morgan Rielly D +0.90 +0.55 +0.02 +0.26 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 21:03
74 Bobby McMann C +0.82 +0.75 +0.31 -0.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 17:19
24 Scott Laughton C +0.81 +0.75 +0.09 +0.14 -0.15 -0.02 0.00 — 9:28
25 Brandon Carlo D +0.48 0.00 0.00 +0.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:51
11 Max Domi C +0.47 +0.70 0.00 -0.20 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 18:48
34 Auston Matthews C +0.27 0.00 +0.19 +0.04 0.00 +0.04 0.00 — 23:30
95 Oliver Ekman-Larsson D +0.11 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 24:11
18 Steven Lorentz C -0.09 0.00 +0.12 -0.26 0.00 +0.02 +0.03 — 9:33
19 Calle Jarnkrok C -0.11 0.00 +0.02 -0.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 8:42
22 Jake McCabe D -0.17 0.00 0.00 -0.15 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 22:23
2 Simon Benoit D -0.53 0.00 +0.01 -0.51 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 15:26
53 Easton Cowan R -0.63 0.00 +0.08 -0.77 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 10:51
55 Nicolas Roy C -1.30 0.00 +0.04 -1.41 0.00 +0.02 +0.05 — 13:50
89 Nick Robertson L -1.40 0.00 0.00 -1.40 0.00 +0.01 -0.01 — 12:39
28 Troy Stecher D -1.58 0.00 0.00 -1.63 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 16:51
41 Anthony Stolarz G -1.74 0.00 — — +0.15 — — -1.89 58:20

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.