hockeystats.io

Tampa Bay LightningTBL 2–1 Final/SO Chicago BlackhawksCHI

Friday, January 23, 2026

Final/SO 1st2nd3rdOTSO T SOG
Tampa Bay LightningTBL 01003 2 31
Chicago BlackhawksCHI 10002 1 19

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
17:42 CHI Ryan Greene (7) Nick Lardis (2), Oliver Moore (11) · wrist xG 0.82 0–1 ▶
2nd Period
18:42 TBL Nikita Kucherov (25) Brandon Hagel (22), Anthony Cirelli (18) · backhand xG 0.13 1–1 ▶
3rd Period
No scoring
Overtime
No scoring
Shootout
CHI Nick Lardis vs Andrei Vasilevskiy Saved
TBL Charle-Edouard D'Astous vs Arvid Soderblom Saved
CHI Connor Bedard vs Andrei Vasilevskiy Saved
TBL Nikita Kucherov vs Arvid Soderblom Goal
CHI Frank Nazar vs Andrei Vasilevskiy Goal
TBL Jake Guentzel vs Arvid Soderblom Saved
CHI Louis Crevier vs Andrei Vasilevskiy Goal
TBL Gage Goncalves vs Arvid Soderblom Goal
CHI Oliver Moore vs Andrei Vasilevskiy Saved
TBL Dominic James vs Arvid Soderblom Goal

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

TBL 67%Deserve to win33% CHI
TBLCHI
3.96Expected goals2.91
1Goals (no shootout)1
3.03Expected goals, 5 on 51.94
72Shot attempts40
57Unblocked attempts29
31Shots on goal19

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
15:00 TBL xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced CHI 1.37–0.02
In xG over 10 minutes, 7:00 to 17:00 of the 1st; neither team scored
2nd Period
3:32 CHI Goalie Goalie · Soderblom +2.1 goals saved
0 goals on 2.06 xG, 11 shots on goal
3rd Period
5:50 TBL xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced CHI 1.32–0.16
In xG over 10 minutes, 16:10 of the 2nd to 6:10 of the 3rd; goals 1–0

Shot map

TBL shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ CHI shoots
Darren Raddysh: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 2:16) Jason Dickinson: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 3:02) Brandon Hagel: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 5:50) Max Crozier: wrist, 74 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 6:48) Nikita Kucherov: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 7:29) Darren Raddysh: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 7:55) Oliver Bjorkstrand: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 8:39) Oliver Bjorkstrand: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 8:48) Gage Goncalves: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 9:17) Yanni Gourde: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 10:04) Pontus Holmberg: tip-in, 25 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 10:06) Yanni Gourde: deflected, 9 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 10:21) Dominic James: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 12:57) Erik Cernak: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 13:17) Jake Guentzel: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 13:24) Alex Vlasic: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 13:53) Max Crozier: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 14:18) Nikita Kucherov: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 14:36) Zemgus Girgensons: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 14:56) Yanni Gourde: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 15:20) Jake Guentzel: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.22 (P1 16:57) Andre Burakovsky: snap, 16 ft, xG 0.19 (P1 18:50) Gage Goncalves: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 19:50) Anthony Cirelli: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 1:19) Erik Cernak: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 1:28) J.J. Moser: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.20 (P2 3:12) J.J. Moser: wrist, 71 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 3:20) Jake Guentzel: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 3:25) Nikita Kucherov: slap, 41 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 3:28) Jake Guentzel: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 3:32) Max Crozier: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 4:37) Anthony Cirelli: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 5:07) Artyom Levshunov: slap, 66 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 5:39) Darren Raddysh: slap, 35 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 9:13) Matt Grzelcyk: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 9:50) Artyom Levshunov: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 10:07) Charle-Edouard D'Astous: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 10:26) Darren Raddysh: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 13:22) Oliver Bjorkstrand: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 14:09) Andre Burakovsky: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 14:38) Frank Nazar: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 14:51) Max Crozier: slap, 41 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 16:29) Anthony Cirelli: deflected, 5 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 16:30) Brandon Hagel: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.20 (P2 16:32) Zemgus Girgensons: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 17:41) Pontus Holmberg: backhand, 22 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 18:22) Brandon Hagel: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 19:13) Connor Murphy: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 19:58) Dominic James: deflected, 8 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 0:12) Charle-Edouard D'Astous: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 1:11) Tyler Bertuzzi: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 3:16) Frank Nazar: tip-in, 20 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 3:22) Zemgus Girgensons: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 3:57) Pontus Holmberg: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 3:58) Yanni Gourde: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 4:19) Brandon Hagel: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 4:45) Darren Raddysh: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 5:46) Darren Raddysh: tip-in, 49 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 5:55) Oliver Bjorkstrand: tip-in, 18 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 6:08) Frank Nazar: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 6:39) Dominic James: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 8:15) Ryan Donato: tip-in, 25 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 8:39) Louis Crevier: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 9:00) Louis Crevier: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 9:02) Wyatt Kaiser: wrist, 75 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 9:50) Ilya Mikheyev: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 9:54) Andre Burakovsky: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.27 (P3 13:52) Brandon Hagel: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 14:00) Wyatt Kaiser: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 15:55) Tyler Bertuzzi: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 16:22) Nikita Kucherov: slap, 27 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 17:24) Alex Vlasic: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 18:06) Frank Nazar: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 18:09) Darren Raddysh: slap, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 19:06) Zemgus Girgensons: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 19:13) Pontus Holmberg: backhand, 19 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 19:15) J.J. Moser: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 19:56) Ilya Mikheyev: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.24 (OT 1:45) Andre Burakovsky: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.03 (OT 1:46) Nick Lardis: slap, 30 ft, xG 0.17 (OT 2:22) Nick Lardis: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.09 (OT 2:35) Wyatt Kaiser: deflected, 18 ft, xG 0.10 (OT 2:52) Gage Goncalves: backhand, 28 ft, xG 0.03 (OT 3:39) Andre Burakovsky: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.06 (OT 4:15) Ryan Greene: GOAL, wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.82 (P1 17:42) Nikita Kucherov: GOAL, backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 18:42)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Tampa Bay Lightning

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
86 Nikita Kucherov 101 +1 70.46 0023:48
38 Brandon Hagel 011 0 50.50 1023:45
59 Jake Guentzel 000 0 40.56 0122:22
71 Anthony Cirelli 011 +1 30.17 0119:21
37 Yanni Gourde 000 0 60.45 1017:16
28 Zemgus Girgensons 000 0 40.27 2015:32
93 Gage Goncalves 000 0 30.20 1015:16
29 Pontus Holmberg 000 0 50.17 0114:46
28 Oliver Bjorkstrand 000 0 50.39 0013:57
17 Dominic James 000 -1 30.17 2112:38
20 Nick Paul 000 0 10.00 0109:35
37 Jack Finley 000 0 00.00 0001:01
Defense
43 Darren Raddysh 000 -1 80.30 1126:51
90 J.J. Moser 000 0 40.21 0224:51
51 Charle-Edouard D'Astous 000 +1 30.04 4120:51
81 Erik Cernak 000 0 40.05 4019:33
24 Max Crozier 000 0 50.03 2015:16
72 Declan Carlile 000 -1 20.00 0112:21
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Andrei Vasilevskiy 19118 .947 2.91 +1.91

Chicago Blackhawks

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
98 Connor Bedard 000 -1 10.00 1121:36
95 Andre Burakovsky 000 0 50.72 2121:26
91 Frank Nazar 000 0 60.24 0020:37
95 Ilya Mikheyev 000 0 20.26 1020:16
59 Tyler Bertuzzi 000 -1 20.15 0118:12
20 Ryan Greene 101 0 10.82 1117:04
16 Jason Dickinson 000 0 20.14 0015:20
11 Oliver Moore 011 +1 00.00 1013:32
76 Nick Lardis 011 +1 30.26 1112:10
8 Ryan Donato 000 0 10.05 0012:09
84 Landon Slaggert 000 0 00.00 1111:20
71 Nick Foligno 000 +1 00.00 2105:41
Defense
72 Alex Vlasic 000 -1 50.03 1323:42
55 Artyom Levshunov 000 0 40.03 2021:59
44 Wyatt Kaiser 000 0 30.13 1021:45
46 Louis Crevier 000 -1 30.03 2020:45
5 Connor Murphy 000 0 10.03 0317:34
24 Matt Grzelcyk 000 +1 10.02 0013:52
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Arvid Soderblom 31130 .968 3.96 +2.96

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
86 Nikita Kucherov R +2.67 +0.75 +0.30 +1.64 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 23:48
71 Anthony Cirelli C +2.08 +0.55 +0.11 +1.39 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 19:21
88 Andrei Vasilevskiy G +1.91 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.91 65:00
90 J.J. Moser D +1.88 0.00 +0.14 +1.48 +0.15 0.00 +0.12 — 24:51
37 Yanni Gourde C +1.15 0.00 +0.29 +0.87 0.00 +0.03 -0.04 — 17:16
38 Brandon Hagel L +1.11 +0.70 +0.33 +0.07 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 23:45
29 Pontus Holmberg R +1.07 0.00 +0.11 +0.91 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 14:46
28 Zemgus Girgensons C +1.05 0.00 +0.18 +0.72 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 15:32
59 Jake Guentzel C +0.91 0.00 +0.37 +0.49 0.00 +0.02 +0.03 — 22:22
51 Charle-Edouard D'Astous D +0.73 0.00 +0.02 +0.70 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 20:51
93 Gage Goncalves C +0.72 0.00 +0.13 +0.44 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 15:16
24 Max Crozier D +0.49 0.00 +0.02 +0.49 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 15:16
43 Darren Raddysh D +0.17 0.00 +0.20 +0.11 -0.15 0.00 +0.01 — 26:51
22 Oliver Bjorkstrand R -0.19 0.00 +0.25 -0.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:57
62 Jack Finley C -0.31 0.00 0.00 -0.16 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 1:01
20 Nick Paul L -0.46 0.00 0.00 -0.51 0.00 -0.02 +0.07 — 9:35
81 Erik Cernak D -0.52 0.00 +0.03 -0.51 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 19:33
17 Dominic James C -0.69 0.00 +0.11 -0.77 0.00 -0.01 -0.01 — 12:38
67 Declan Carlile D -0.86 0.00 0.00 -0.91 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 12:21

Chicago Blackhawks

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
40 Arvid Soderblom G +2.81 0.00 — — -0.15 — — +2.96 65:00
76 Nick Lardis L +1.79 +0.70 +0.17 +0.87 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 12:10
11 Oliver Moore C +1.42 +0.55 0.00 +0.89 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 13:32
20 Ryan Greene C +1.37 +0.75 +0.53 +0.07 0.00 -0.03 +0.05 — 17:04
17 Nick Foligno L +0.93 0.00 0.00 +0.73 +0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 5:41
48 Matt Grzelcyk D +0.57 0.00 +0.01 +0.58 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 13:52
91 Frank Nazar C +0.30 0.00 +0.15 +0.10 0.00 +0.04 0.00 — 20:37
28 Andre Burakovsky L -0.14 0.00 +0.47 -0.68 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 21:26
5 Connor Murphy D -0.17 0.00 +0.02 -0.34 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 17:34
44 Wyatt Kaiser D -0.29 0.00 +0.09 -0.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 21:45
95 Ilya Mikheyev R -0.35 0.00 +0.17 -0.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 20:16
59 Tyler Bertuzzi L -0.43 0.00 +0.10 -0.69 +0.15 0.00 +0.01 — 18:12
8 Ryan Donato C -0.45 0.00 +0.03 -0.44 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 12:09
84 Landon Slaggert L -0.67 0.00 0.00 -0.72 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 11:20
55 Artyom Levshunov D -0.73 0.00 +0.02 -0.52 -0.15 0.00 -0.08 — 21:59
16 Jason Dickinson C -0.93 0.00 +0.09 -0.84 -0.15 -0.03 0.00 — 15:20
72 Alex Vlasic D -1.21 0.00 +0.02 -1.40 0.00 0.00 +0.17 — 23:42
98 Connor Bedard C -1.36 0.00 0.00 -1.33 0.00 0.00 -0.03 — 21:36
46 Louis Crevier D -1.39 0.00 +0.02 -1.39 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 20:45

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.