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Philadelphia FlyersPHI 7–3 Final Colorado AvalancheCOL

Friday, January 23, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Philadelphia FlyersPHI 214 7 20
Colorado AvalancheCOL 030 3 35

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
15:02 PHI Owen Tippett (16) Denver Barkey (6), Cam York (17) · wrist xG 0.12 1–0 ▶
18:57 PHI Denver Barkey (2)PP Matvei Michkov (15), Owen Tippett (15) · wrist xG 0.12 2–0 ▶
2nd Period
7:17 COL Parker Kelly (10) Zakhar Bardakov (8), Jack Ahcan (2) · backhand xG 0.26 2–1 ▶
10:29 COL Victor Olofsson (10) Nathan MacKinnon (48), Martin Necas (39) · wrist xG 0.05 2–2 ▶
11:01 PHI Bobby Brink (13) Noah Cates (16) · wrist xG 0.15 3–2 ▶
12:12 COL Cale Makar (15) Nathan MacKinnon (49), Martin Necas (40) · wrist xG 0.06 3–3 ▶
3rd Period
0:56 PHI Owen Tippett (17) Sean Couturier (21) · wrist xG 0.12 4–3 ▶
2:00 PHI Matvei Michkov (11) Emil Andrae (10), Garnet Hathaway (1) · tip-in xG 0.05 5–3 ▶
10:24 PHI Owen Tippett (18)SH Unassisted · wrist xG 0.33 6–3 ▶
16:53 PHI Matvei Michkov (12)EN Travis Konecny (28) · wrist xG 0.80 7–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

PHI 55%Deserve to win45% COL
PHICOL
4.10Expected goals3.01
7Goals (no shootout)3
2.31Expected goals, 5 on 51.89
43Shot attempts74
32Unblocked attempts50
20Shots on goal35

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
10:00 COL xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced PHI 1.21–0.16
In xG over 10 minutes, the start of the 1st to 10:00 of the 1st; neither team scored
2nd Period
3:40 PHI xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced COL 1.44–0.24
In xG over 10 minutes, 14:50 of the 1st to 4:50 of the 2nd; goals 2–0
3rd Period
2:00 COL Goalie Goalie · Blackwood −2.3 goals saved
5 goals on 2.65 xG, 15 shots on goal
14:42 COL Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Blackwood, down 6–3
With 5:18 left

Shot map

PHI shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ COL shoots
Martin Necas: snap, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:15) Martin Necas: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 1:11) Victor Olofsson: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 2:02) Martin Necas: snap, 6 ft, xG 0.33 (P1 2:04) Joel Kiviranta: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 4:02) Denver Barkey: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:13) Brent Burns: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 6:16) Valeri Nichushkin: snap, 19 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 6:38) Brent Burns: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 6:58) Joel Kiviranta: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 7:21) Josh Manson: snap, 54 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 7:39) Gavin Brindley: tip-in, 24 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 7:43) Gavin Brindley: tip-in, 20 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 7:44) Joel Kiviranta: tip-in, 18 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 8:12) Zakhar Bardakov: slap, 12 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 8:19) Lane Pederson: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 9:24) Owen Tippett: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 11:29) Josh Manson: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 12:49) Travis Konecny: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 13:19) Christian Dvorak: snap, 14 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 13:21) Samuel Girard: snap, 51 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 14:31) Martin Necas: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 14:48) Bobby Brink: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 15:29) Brock Nelson: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 16:25) Martin Necas: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 16:49) Christian Dvorak: wrap-around, 7 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 17:09) Martin Necas: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 17:31) Nick Seeler: wrist, 72 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:13) Brent Burns: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:34) Travis Konecny: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 19:49) Sam Malinski: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:16) Trevor Zegras: slap, 12 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 0:37) Trevor Zegras: snap, 8 ft, xG 0.36 (P2 0:39) Noah Cates: tip-in, 28 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 2:58) Cam York: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 3:09) Owen Tippett: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 3:27) Matvei Michkov: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.22 (P2 3:33) Matvei Michkov: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 3:34) Jack Ahcan: backhand, 33 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 8:41) Artturi Lehkonen: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 8:49) Samuel Girard: snap, 72 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 8:56) Brock Nelson: slap, 27 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 9:06) Gavin Brindley: slap, 32 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 9:58) Noah Cates: snap, 18 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 10:53) Christian Dvorak: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 13:36) Garnet Hathaway: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:59) Noah Cates: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 14:49) Martin Necas: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 17:16) Parker Kelly: tip-in, 23 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 17:53) Valeri Nichushkin: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 18:38) Jack Drury: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 19:00) Owen Tippett: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 0:45) Christian Dvorak: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.21 (P3 2:42) Travis Konecny: snap, 18 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 2:48) Cale Makar: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 3:21) Nathan MacKinnon: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 5:06) Sean Couturier: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 5:45) Matvei Michkov: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 6:50) Cale Makar: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 9:07) Victor Olofsson: slap, 35 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 9:17) Victor Olofsson: slap, 37 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 9:22) Cale Makar: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 10:03) Samuel Girard: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 12:09) Martin Necas: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 12:37) Martin Necas: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 12:47) Sam Malinski: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 13:06) Cale Makar: slap, 34 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 13:30) Parker Kelly: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 14:40) Martin Necas: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 15:50) Cale Makar: snap, 72 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:58) Joel Kiviranta: slap, 38 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 17:27) Taylor Makar: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 19:17) Owen Tippett: GOAL, wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 15:02) Denver Barkey: GOAL, wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 18:57) Parker Kelly: GOAL, backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.26 (P2 7:17) Victor Olofsson: GOAL, wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 10:29) Bobby Brink: GOAL, wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 11:01) Cale Makar: GOAL, wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 12:12) Owen Tippett: GOAL, wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 0:56) Matvei Michkov: GOAL, tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 2:00) Owen Tippett: GOAL, wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.33 (P3 10:24) Matvei Michkov: GOAL, wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.80 (P3 16:53)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Philadelphia Flyers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
22 Christian Dvorak 000 -1 50.47 0120:48
11 Travis Konecny 011 0 40.18 0019:53
14 Sean Couturier 011 0 10.04 1117:37
74 Owen Tippett 314 +1 70.80 0216:04
46 Trevor Zegras 000 -1 20.52 1115:12
27 Noah Cates 011 +3 40.31 1115:00
39 Matvei Michkov 213 +3 51.18 1014:31
86 Denver Barkey 112 0 20.13 0013:51
10 Bobby Brink 101 +1 30.24 0013:13
91 Carl Grundstrom 000 0 00.00 3011:30
29 Lane Pederson 000 +1 10.15 4108:43
21 Garnet Hathaway 011 +1 10.01 3108:10
Defense
9 Jamie Drysdale 000 +3 10.00 0422:30
24 Nick Seeler 000 +1 20.01 2322:16
6 Travis Sanheim 000 +1 00.00 0322:05
8 Cam York 011 +1 30.05 1221:33
47 Noah Juulsen 000 0 20.00 3115:50
36 Emil Andrae 011 0 00.00 1013:20
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Samuel Ersson 35332 .914 3.01 +0.01

Colorado Avalanche

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
29 Nathan MacKinnon 022 -1 20.05 1026:15
88 Martin Necas 022 0 110.65 3025:16
11 Brock Nelson 000 -2 40.16 0222:38
95 Victor Olofsson 101 0 60.40 0120:39
43 Valeri Nichushkin 000 -1 40.21 3116:29
62 Artturi Lehkonen 000 -2 30.08 1015:17
18 Jack Drury 000 -2 30.08 0114:38
17 Parker Kelly 101 -1 30.35 0114:06
54 Gavin Brindley 000 -2 30.23 0111:00
22 Joel Kiviranta 000 0 40.22 1009:36
16 Taylor Makar 000 -1 10.01 3007:16
93 Zakhar Bardakov 011 0 10.13 1105:54
Defense
8 Cale Makar 101 0 110.24 0126:21
84 Brent Burns 000 -2 40.07 0017:54
42 Josh Manson 000 -1 30.04 2017:50
70 Sam Malinski 000 +1 30.03 0117:47
49 Samuel Girard 000 -1 50.06 0017:36
47 Jack Ahcan 011 -1 30.01 0012:34
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Mackenzie Blackwood 19613 .684 3.30 -2.70

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Philadelphia Flyers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
39 Matvei Michkov R +3.68 +2.20 +0.77 +0.58 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 14:31
74 Owen Tippett R +3.36 +2.80 +0.52 -0.08 0.00 0.00 +0.12 — 16:04
10 Bobby Brink R +1.50 +0.75 +0.16 +0.62 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 13:13
9 Jamie Drysdale D +1.40 0.00 0.00 +1.20 0.00 0.00 +0.20 — 22:30
27 Noah Cates L +1.25 +0.70 +0.20 +0.49 -0.15 0.00 +0.01 — 15:00
52 Denver Barkey C +1.25 +1.45 +0.09 -0.09 -0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 13:51
24 Nick Seeler D +0.82 0.00 0.00 +0.54 +0.15 0.00 +0.13 — 22:16
11 Travis Konecny R +0.82 +0.70 +0.12 +0.15 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 19:53
14 Sean Couturier C +0.72 +0.70 +0.03 -0.11 0.00 +0.05 +0.05 — 17:37
46 Trevor Zegras C +0.65 0.00 +0.34 +0.28 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 15:12
36 Emil Andrae D +0.61 +0.70 0.00 +0.08 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 13:20
8 Cam York D +0.52 +0.55 +0.03 -0.16 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 21:33
19 Garnet Hathaway R +0.50 +0.55 +0.01 -0.08 0.00 -0.01 +0.03 — 8:10
25 Lane Pederson C +0.31 0.00 +0.10 +0.19 0.00 -0.01 +0.03 — 8:43
22 Christian Dvorak C +0.26 0.00 +0.31 +0.03 0.00 -0.01 -0.07 — 20:48
33 Samuel Ersson G +0.01 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.01 59:54
47 Noah Juulsen D -0.03 0.00 0.00 -0.08 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 15:50
91 Carl Grundstrom R -0.17 0.00 0.00 -0.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 11:30
6 Travis Sanheim D -0.26 0.00 0.00 -0.37 0.00 0.00 +0.11 — 22:05

Colorado Avalanche

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
17 Parker Kelly C +1.49 +0.75 +0.23 +0.48 0.00 -0.02 +0.05 — 14:06
88 Martin Necas C +1.20 +1.10 +0.42 -0.45 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 25:16
93 Zakhar Bardakov C +1.08 +0.70 +0.08 +0.11 +0.15 -0.01 +0.05 — 5:54
8 Cale Makar D +0.99 +0.75 +0.16 +0.03 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 26:21
29 Nathan MacKinnon C +0.86 +1.40 +0.03 -0.53 0.00 -0.02 -0.02 — 26:15
95 Victor Olofsson L +0.78 +0.75 +0.26 -0.28 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 20:39
94 Joel Kiviranta L +0.65 0.00 +0.14 +0.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:36
15 Jack Ahcan D +0.28 +0.55 +0.01 -0.26 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 12:34
42 Josh Manson D +0.21 0.00 +0.03 +0.01 +0.15 0.00 +0.02 — 17:50
49 Samuel Girard D +0.20 0.00 +0.04 +0.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 17:36
11 Brock Nelson C +0.18 0.00 +0.10 -0.02 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 22:38
13 Valeri Nichushkin R +0.03 0.00 +0.13 -0.13 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 16:29
18 Jack Drury C -0.15 0.00 +0.05 -0.27 0.00 +0.02 +0.05 — 14:38
54 Gavin Brindley C -0.17 0.00 +0.15 -0.36 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 11:00
70 Sam Malinski D -0.34 0.00 +0.02 -0.39 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 17:47
16 Taylor Makar L -0.48 0.00 +0.01 -0.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 7:16
62 Artturi Lehkonen L -0.52 0.00 +0.05 -0.39 -0.15 +0.01 -0.04 — 15:17
84 Brent Burns D -0.73 0.00 +0.05 -0.76 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 17:54
39 Mackenzie Blackwood G -2.70 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -2.70 57:38

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.