| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 29 |
 |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 32 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Scoring
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1:09 | |
Macklin Celebrini (25)PP Tyler Toffoli (20), Will Smith (18) · wrist xG 0.50 | 0–1 ▶ |
| 3:08 | |
Pavol Regenda (8)PP Michael Misa (5), Collin Graf (14) · backhand xG 0.12 | 0–2 ▶ |
| 7:37 | |
Macklin Celebrini (26) Will Smith (19), Collin Graf (15) · slap xG 0.14 | 0–3 ▶ |
| 12:50 | |
Sam Carrick (3) Taylor Raddysh (5), Anton Blidh (1) · wrist xG 0.51 | 1–3 ▶ |
| 2nd Period | |||
| No scoring | |||
| 3rd Period | |||
| No scoring | |||
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| NYR | SJS | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.22 | Expected goals | 3.60 |
| 1 | Goals (no shootout) | 3 |
| 2.32 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.06 |
| 66 | Shot attempts | 61 |
| 47 | Unblocked attempts | 50 |
| 29 | Shots on goal | 32 |
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | SJS | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced NYR 1.76–0.38
In xG over 10 minutes, the start of the 1st to 10:00 of the 1st; goals 3–0 |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 16:04 | NYR | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Martin, down 3–1
With 3:56 left |
| 18:36 | SJS | Goalie | Goalie · Nedeljkovic +2.1 goals saved
1 goal on 3.09 xG, 28 shots on goal |
Shot map
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
Box score
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 93 | Mika Zibanejad | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 8 | 0.27 | 1 | 0 | 23:12 |
| 10 | J.T. Miller | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.18 | 1 | 0 | 22:49 |
| 10 | Artemi Panarin | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 11 | 0.65 | 0 | 0 | 21:10 |
| 16 | Vincent Trocheck | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.25 | 1 | 0 | 20:18 |
| 50 | Will Cuylle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.33 | 1 | 0 | 15:12 |
| 42 | Noah Laba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 15:07 |
| 13 | Alexis Lafrenière | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.16 | 2 | 0 | 14:20 |
| 94 | Gabe Perreault | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.33 | 2 | 1 | 13:40 |
| 10 | Sam Carrick | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.51 | 0 | 0 | 09:07 |
| 78 | Brennan Othmann | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | 2 | 0 | 09:01 |
| 14 | Taylor Raddysh | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.10 | 0 | 1 | 08:24 |
| 25 | Anton Blidh | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.15 | 0 | 0 | 06:14 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 44 | Vladislav Gavrikov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 28:02 |
| 4 | Braden Schneider | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 22:46 |
| 29 | Matthew Robertson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.01 | 3 | 1 | 17:45 |
| 60 | Scott Morrow | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 8 | 0.04 | 1 | 1 | 16:11 |
| 17 | Will Borgen | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.03 | 1 | 5 | 15:19 |
| 7 | Carson Soucy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 12:50 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Martin | 32 | 3 | 29 | .906 | 3.60 | +0.60 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 71 | Macklin Celebrini | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 0.94 | 0 | 0 | 24:36 |
| 21 | Alexander Wennberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.26 | 0 | 4 | 24:28 |
| 2 | Will Smith | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 0.15 | 0 | 0 | 20:02 |
| 51 | Collin Graf | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 0.01 | 2 | 0 | 19:13 |
| 84 | Pavol Regenda | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.66 | 2 | 0 | 18:55 |
| 27 | William Eklund | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.08 | 1 | 1 | 18:10 |
| 73 | Tyler Toffoli | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0.71 | 0 | 0 | 16:11 |
| 77 | Michael Misa | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 12:28 |
| 81 | Adam Gaudette | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.06 | 0 | 1 | 12:18 |
| 63 | Zack Ostapchuk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.23 | 1 | 0 | 08:51 |
| 23 | Barclay Goodrow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 07:31 |
| 75 | Ryan Reaves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 1 | 1 | 03:56 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 9 | Dmitry Orlov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.06 | 2 | 0 | 20:40 |
| 38 | Mario Ferraro | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.03 | 1 | 2 | 19:52 |
| 27 | Timothy Liljegren | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.06 | 1 | 2 | 19:41 |
| 3 | John Klingberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.17 | 2 | 2 | 19:26 |
| 73 | Vincent Desharnais | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | 0 | 2 | 16:35 |
| 6 | Sam Dickinson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.02 | 1 | 1 | 13:07 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Nedeljkovic | 29 | 1 | 28 | .966 | 3.22 | +2.22 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39 Sam Carrick C | +2.09 | +0.75 | +0.33 | +1.03 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 9:07 |
| 14 Taylor Raddysh R | +1.69 | +0.70 | +0.06 | +0.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 8:24 |
| 25 Anton Blidh L | +1.57 | +0.55 | +0.10 | +0.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 6:14 |
| 60 Scott Morrow D | +1.07 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:11 |
| 10 Artemi Panarin L | +0.91 | 0.00 | +0.43 | +0.33 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 21:10 |
| 4 Braden Schneider D | +0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 | — | 22:46 |
| 44 Vladislav Gavrikov D | +0.63 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 28:02 |
| 41 Spencer Martin G | +0.60 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.60 | 56:08 |
| 94 Gabe Perreault R | +0.47 | 0.00 | +0.22 | +0.37 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 13:40 |
| 8 J.T. Miller C | +0.36 | 0.00 | +0.12 | +0.20 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 | — | 22:49 |
| 13 Alexis Lafrenière L | +0.34 | 0.00 | +0.11 | +0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:20 |
| 93 Mika Zibanejad C | +0.25 | 0.00 | +0.17 | +0.23 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 23:12 |
| 24 Carson Soucy D | +0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.38 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 12:50 |
| 50 Will Cuylle L | +0.19 | 0.00 | +0.22 | -0.02 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 15:12 |
| 16 Vincent Trocheck C | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.16 | -0.07 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.02 | — | 20:19 |
| 29 Matthew Robertson D | +0.12 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.21 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 17:45 |
| 42 Noah Laba C | +0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 15:06 |
| 78 Brennan Othmann L | +0.08 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 9:01 |
| 17 Will Borgen D | -0.14 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.07 | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.21 | — | 15:19 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 Alex Nedeljkovic G | +2.22 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +2.22 | 60:00 |
| 73 Tyler Toffoli C | +1.52 | +0.70 | +0.46 | +0.07 | +0.30 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 16:11 |
| 84 Pavol Regenda L | +1.40 | +0.75 | +0.43 | -0.08 | +0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:55 |
| 71 Macklin Celebrini C | +1.26 | +1.50 | +0.61 | -0.94 | +0.15 | -0.04 | -0.02 | — | 24:36 |
| 2 Will Smith C | +1.21 | +1.25 | +0.10 | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 20:03 |
| 77 Michael Misa C | +0.98 | +0.70 | +0.02 | +0.07 | +0.15 | +0.06 | -0.02 | — | 12:28 |
| 51 Collin Graf R | +0.77 | +1.10 | +0.01 | -0.17 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 19:13 |
| 37 Timothy Liljegren D | +0.33 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 19:41 |
| 38 Mario Ferraro D | +0.23 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.24 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 19:51 |
| 21 Alexander Wennberg C | +0.06 | 0.00 | +0.17 | -0.26 | 0.00 | -0.05 | +0.20 | — | 24:28 |
| 6 Sam Dickinson D | -0.06 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 13:07 |
| 75 Ryan Reaves R | -0.16 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 3:56 |
| 5 Vincent Desharnais D | -0.19 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 | — | 16:35 |
| 23 Barclay Goodrow C | -0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 7:31 |
| 63 Zack Ostapchuk C | -0.28 | 0.00 | +0.15 | -0.41 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 8:51 |
| 72 William Eklund L | -0.69 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.78 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 18:10 |
| 81 Adam Gaudette R | -0.91 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 12:18 |
| 3 John Klingberg D | -1.22 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -1.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 19:26 |
| 9 Dmitry Orlov D | -1.42 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -1.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 20:40 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.