| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 21 |
 |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Scoring
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| No scoring | |||
| 2nd Period | |||
| 0:33 | |
Jason Zucker (12) Jack Quinn (19), Ryan McLeod (22) · snap xG 0.15 | 1–0 ▶ |
| 19:47 | |
Tage Thompson (27) Zach Benson (18), Mattias Samuelsson (19) · snap xG 0.17 | 2–0 ▶ |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 0:25 | |
Jason Zucker (13) Ryan McLeod (23) · snap xG 0.29 | 3–0 ▶ |
| 14:02 | |
Rasmus Dahlin (8)EN Peyton Krebs (15) · wrist xG 0.46 | 4–0 ▶ |
| 14:38 | |
Alex Tuch (18) Mattias Samuelsson (20), Michael Kesselring (1) · deflected xG 0.10 | 5–0 ▶ |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| BUF | NYI | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.70 | Expected goals | 2.42 |
| 5 | Goals (no shootout) | 0 |
| 2.23 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.61 |
| 46 | Shot attempts | 54 |
| 32 | Unblocked attempts | 41 |
| 21 | Shots on goal | 26 |
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 14:53 | NYI | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · NYI takes the lead, 60–40%
BUF had led since 4:42 of the 1st, by as much as 61% |
| 19:33 | BUF | Goalie | Goalie · Lyon +2.1 goals saved
0 goals on 2.08 xG, 20 shots on goal |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 9:50 | NYI | Shortened bench | Shortened bench · 3 forwards sat
Duclair, Barzal and Lee: no shift after 19:47 of the 2nd |
Shot map
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
Box score
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 71 | Ryan McLeod | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 0.12 | 0 | 0 | 18:14 |
| 89 | Alex Tuch | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 0.14 | 0 | 2 | 17:57 |
| 6 | Zach Benson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 17:32 |
| 72 | Tage Thompson | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 0.39 | 2 | 0 | 17:06 |
| 86 | Noah Ostlund | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.11 | 0 | 1 | 16:56 |
| 91 | Josh Doan | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 15:19 |
| 17 | Jason Zucker | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 0.49 | 0 | 2 | 13:44 |
| 22 | Jack Quinn | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 0.26 | 0 | 0 | 13:12 |
| 19 | Peyton Krebs | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 12:44 |
| 29 | Beck Malenstyn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 12:26 |
| 94 | Konsta Helenius | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.18 | 2 | 0 | 11:03 |
| 48 | Tyson Kozak | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 09:44 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 26 | Rasmus Dahlin | 1 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6 | 0.77 | 2 | 0 | 24:44 |
| 25 | Owen Power | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.07 | 0 | 1 | 24:30 |
| 24 | Bowen Byram | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 | 21:18 |
| 23 | Mattias Samuelsson | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 0.01 | 2 | 1 | 21:12 |
| 7 | Michael Kesselring | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 0.05 | 0 | 3 | 14:05 |
| 73 | Zach Metsa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 10:14 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Lyon | 26 | 0 | 26 | 1.000 | 2.42 | +2.42 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 92 | Simon Holmstrom | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 | 19:51 |
| 14 | Bo Horvat | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 7 | 0.44 | 2 | 0 | 19:20 |
| 92 | Jonathan Drouin | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 17:18 |
| 44 | Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 1 | 16:58 |
| 51 | Emil Heineman | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 10 | 0.34 | 3 | 0 | 16:36 |
| 64 | Calum Ritchie | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.09 | 3 | 0 | 15:01 |
| 49 | Maxim Shabanov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.14 | 1 | 0 | 14:43 |
| 13 | Mathew Barzal | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.06 | 0 | 0 | 12:45 |
| 53 | Casey Cizikas | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.04 | 3 | 2 | 12:43 |
| 32 | Kyle MacLean | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.04 | 2 | 1 | 12:35 |
| 11 | Anthony Duclair | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.08 | 0 | 4 | 12:15 |
| 72 | Anders Lee | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 8 | 0.51 | 1 | 0 | 11:28 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 48 | Matthew Schaefer | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.08 | 1 | 1 | 23:14 |
| 77 | Tony DeAngelo | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 5 | 0.20 | 0 | 0 | 21:28 |
| 3 | Adam Pelech | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 3 | 0.03 | 3 | 1 | 20:26 |
| 24 | Scott Mayfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.04 | 2 | 2 | 19:26 |
| 34 | Adam Boqvist | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | 2 | 0 | 15:54 |
| 36 | Isaiah George | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 13:56 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Rittich | 20 | 4 | 16 | .800 | 2.23 | -1.77 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jason Zucker L | +2.62 | +1.50 | +0.32 | +0.77 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.04 | — | 13:44 |
| 34 Alex Lyon G | +2.27 | 0.00 | — | — | -0.15 | — | — | +2.42 | 60:00 |
| 26 Rasmus Dahlin D | +2.20 | +0.75 | +0.50 | +0.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 24:44 |
| 71 Ryan McLeod C | +1.98 | +1.25 | +0.08 | +0.76 | 0.00 | -0.11 | 0.00 | — | 18:14 |
| 23 Mattias Samuelsson D | +1.74 | +1.25 | +0.01 | +0.60 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 21:32 |
| 22 Jack Quinn R | +1.54 | +0.70 | +0.17 | +0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:12 |
| 6 Zach Benson L | +1.15 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:32 |
| 72 Tage Thompson C | +1.13 | +0.75 | +0.25 | +0.11 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.04 | — | 17:06 |
| 19 Peyton Krebs C | +0.92 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.30 | 0.00 | -0.06 | -0.02 | — | 12:44 |
| 8 Michael Kesselring D | +0.87 | +0.55 | +0.03 | +0.28 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 13:45 |
| 89 Alex Tuch R | +0.82 | +0.75 | +0.09 | -0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 17:57 |
| 4 Bowen Byram D | +0.59 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 21:18 |
| 94 Konsta Helenius C | +0.57 | 0.00 | +0.12 | +0.29 | +0.15 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 11:03 |
| 86 Noah Ostlund C | +0.42 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.17 | +0.15 | -0.04 | +0.07 | — | 16:56 |
| 48 Tyson Kozak C | +0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.41 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 9:44 |
| 25 Owen Power D | +0.37 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 24:30 |
| 29 Beck Malenstyn L | +0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:26 |
| 91 Josh Doan R | +0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 15:19 |
| 73 Zach Metsa D | -0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 10:14 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mathew Barzal C | +0.32 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.01 | +0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:45 |
| 27 Anders Lee L | +0.19 | 0.00 | +0.33 | 0.00 | -0.15 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 11:28 |
| 48 Matthew Schaefer D | +0.17 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.28 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 23:14 |
| 11 Anthony Duclair L | +0.14 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.18 | — | 12:15 |
| 44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau C | -0.03 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.32 | +0.15 | +0.06 | +0.07 | — | 16:58 |
| 51 Emil Heineman L | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.22 | -0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:36 |
| 14 Bo Horvat C | -0.16 | 0.00 | +0.29 | -0.51 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.04 | — | 19:20 |
| 49 Max Shabanov R | -0.23 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 14:43 |
| 53 Casey Cizikas C | -0.28 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.45 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.08 | — | 12:43 |
| 10 Simon Holmstrom R | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 19:51 |
| 34 Adam Boqvist D | -0.32 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 15:54 |
| 77 Tony DeAngelo D | -0.33 | 0.00 | +0.13 | -0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 21:28 |
| 24 Scott Mayfield D | -0.39 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 19:26 |
| 32 Kyle MacLean C | -0.40 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 12:35 |
| 64 Calum Ritchie C | -0.42 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.49 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 15:01 |
| 29 Jonathan Drouin L | -0.43 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 17:18 |
| 36 Isaiah George D | -0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 13:56 |
| 3 Adam Pelech D | -0.81 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 20:26 |
| 33 David Rittich G | -1.77 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.77 | 58:03 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.