| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 25 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 20 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 6:36 | Cole Caufield (27) Mike Matheson (20), Jake Evans (6) · snap xG 0.21 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 1:45 | Viktor Arvidsson (12)PP Fraser Minten (12), Casey Mittelstadt (14) · snap xG 0.30 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 7:37 | Cole Caufield (28)PP Nick Suzuki (42), Juraj Slafkovský (22) · slap xG 0.09 | 2–1 ▶ | |
| 9:46 | Morgan Geekie (27)PP David Pastrnak (43), Charlie McAvoy (27) · snap xG 0.24 | 2–2 ▶ | |
| 13:29 | Cole Caufield (29)PP Nick Suzuki (43), Lane Hutson (44) · wrist xG 0.09 | 3–2 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 13:55 | Fraser Minten (13) Hampus Lindholm (13), Charlie McAvoy (28) · backhand xG 0.11 | 3–3 ▶ | |
| 14:07 | Morgan Geekie (28)PP Charlie McAvoy (29), Pavel Zacha (22) · slap xG 0.05 | 3–4 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| MTL | BOS | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.74 | Expected goals | 3.53 |
| 3 | Goals (no shootout) | 4 |
| 1.50 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.52 |
| 57 | Shot attempts | 51 |
| 42 | Unblocked attempts | 40 |
| 25 | Shots on goal | 20 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 10:10 | BOS | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced MTL 1.31–0.29
In xG over 10 minutes, 0:10 to 10:10 of the 2nd; goals 2–1 |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 15:40 | MTL | No shift | No shift · Xhekaj, 11:50 on the bench
No shift after 3:07 of the 3rd; 10 shifts (9:19) before that |
| 17:24 | MTL | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Montembeault, down 4–3
With 2:36 left |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 14 | Nick Suzuki | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 0.22 | 0 | 1 | 21:25 |
| 20 | Juraj Slafkovský | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0.31 | 1 | 0 | 19:53 |
| 13 | Cole Caufield | 3 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 10 | 1.11 | 0 | 0 | 19:14 |
| 93 | Ivan Demidov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 19:11 |
| 85 | Alexandre Texier | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.13 | 3 | 0 | 16:51 |
| 24 | Phillip Danault | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.19 | 1 | 2 | 16:11 |
| 91 | Oliver Kapanen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 14:43 |
| 71 | Jake Evans | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.15 | 0 | 0 | 13:19 |
| 17 | Josh Anderson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.10 | 1 | 1 | 13:05 |
| 7 | Brendan Gallagher | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | 2 | 1 | 11:42 |
| 76 | Zachary Bolduc | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.16 | 3 | 1 | 11:17 |
| 77 | Kirby Dach | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 07:57 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 48 | Lane Hutson | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.06 | 1 | 1 | 26:32 |
| 8 | Mike Matheson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 23:37 |
| 53 | Noah Dobson | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 6 | 0.08 | 0 | 0 | 20:58 |
| 45 | Alexandre Carrier | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 16:47 |
| 21 | Kaiden Guhle | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 16:27 |
| 72 | Arber Xhekaj | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 09:19 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Montembeault | 20 | 4 | 16 | .800 | 3.11 | -0.89 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 18 | Pavel Zacha | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.25 | 0 | 1 | 19:38 |
| 28 | Elias Lindholm | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.09 | 0 | 1 | 19:01 |
| 39 | Morgan Geekie | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 8 | 0.70 | 2 | 1 | 18:34 |
| 88 | David Pastrnak | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 11 | 0.72 | 1 | 0 | 18:34 |
| 11 | Casey Mittelstadt | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.44 | 0 | 0 | 17:05 |
| 33 | Viktor Arvidsson | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1.04 | 2 | 2 | 16:51 |
| 47 | Mark Kastelic | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 12:39 |
| 52 | Sean Kuraly | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | 2 | 1 | 12:25 |
| 93 | Fraser Minten | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 0.11 | 1 | 0 | 12:23 |
| 92 | Marat Khusnutdinov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.07 | 1 | 0 | 11:51 |
| 84 | Tanner Jeannot | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 3 | 1 | 10:38 |
| 21 | Alex Steeves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 1 | 1 | 08:35 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 73 | Charlie McAvoy | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 2 | 27:43 |
| 27 | Hampus Lindholm | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 22:36 |
| 20 | Andrew Peeke | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.01 | 1 | 0 | 19:36 |
| 91 | Nikita Zadorov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 16:35 |
| 6 | Mason Lohrei | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 16:21 |
| 45 | Jonathan Aspirot | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 3 | 1 | 14:28 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman | 25 | 3 | 22 | .880 | 2.74 | -0.26 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Cole Caufield R | +2.74 | +2.25 | +0.72 | -0.21 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 19:14 |
| 14 Nick Suzuki C | +1.37 | +1.40 | +0.14 | -0.26 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.07 | — | 21:25 |
| 8 Mike Matheson D | +1.17 | +0.70 | +0.03 | +0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 23:37 |
| 71 Jake Evans C | +1.06 | +0.55 | +0.10 | +0.28 | +0.15 | +0.02 | -0.04 | — | 13:19 |
| 17 Josh Anderson R | +0.63 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.57 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.01 | — | 13:05 |
| 11 Brendan Gallagher R | +0.62 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.34 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 11:42 |
| 20 Juraj Slafkovský L | +0.61 | +0.55 | +0.20 | -0.24 | +0.15 | -0.02 | -0.04 | — | 19:53 |
| 48 Lane Hutson D | +0.59 | +0.55 | +0.04 | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 26:32 |
| 24 Phillip Danault C | +0.34 | 0.00 | +0.12 | +0.14 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.10 | — | 16:11 |
| 76 Zachary Bolduc R | +0.11 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.12 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 11:17 |
| 21 Kaiden Guhle D | +0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.17 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 16:27 |
| 72 Arber Xhekaj D | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 9:19 |
| 85 Alexandre Texier L | -0.10 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:51 |
| 53 Noah Dobson D | -0.11 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.02 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 20:58 |
| 91 Oliver Kapanen C | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.13 | 0.00 | -0.03 | -0.02 | — | 14:43 |
| 77 Kirby Dach C | -0.24 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 7:57 |
| 93 Ivan Demidov R | -0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 19:11 |
| 45 Alexandre Carrier D | -0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.55 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:47 |
| 35 Samuel Montembeault G | -0.89 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.89 | 57:24 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39 Morgan Geekie C | +2.44 | +1.50 | +0.46 | +0.44 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 18:37 |
| 73 Charlie McAvoy D | +2.39 | +1.80 | 0.00 | +0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 | — | 27:43 |
| 71 Viktor Arvidsson L | +1.74 | +0.75 | +0.68 | +0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 16:51 |
| 93 Fraser Minten C | +1.73 | +1.45 | +0.07 | +0.17 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 | — | 12:23 |
| 27 Hampus Lindholm D | +1.28 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 21:56 |
| 11 Casey Mittelstadt C | +1.11 | +0.55 | +0.28 | +0.19 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 17:05 |
| 88 David Pastrnak R | +0.96 | +0.70 | +0.47 | -0.06 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 19:52 |
| 18 Pavel Zacha C | +0.72 | +0.55 | +0.17 | +0.19 | -0.15 | -0.02 | -0.01 | — | 19:38 |
| 45 Jonathan Aspirot D | +0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 14:54 |
| 52 Sean Kuraly C | +0.09 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.14 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 11:59 |
| 21 Alex Steeves C | +0.02 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 8:35 |
| 6 Mason Lohrei D | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 15:52 |
| 84 Tanner Jeannot L | -0.06 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.23 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 10:21 |
| 47 Mark Kastelic C | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.09 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.02 | — | 12:26 |
| 28 Elias Lindholm C | -0.10 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.19 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.05 | — | 19:25 |
| 1 Jeremy Swayman G | -0.26 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.26 | 59:36 |
| 92 Marat Khusnutdinov C | -0.33 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.37 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 12:15 |
| 91 Nikita Zadorov D | -0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 16:35 |
| 26 Andrew Peeke D | -0.61 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 19:30 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.