Saturday, January 24, 2026
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken,
the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
DET 62%Deserve to win 38% WPG
DET WPG
3.53 Expected goals 2.07
5 Goals (no shootout) 1
2.18 Expected goals, 5 on 5 1.68
58 Shot attempts 55
42 Unblocked attempts 38
31 Shots on goal 27
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is
counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the
shots' expected goals (xG).
3rd Period
17:00
WPG
Pulled goalie
Pulled goalie · Pulled Hellebuyck, down 3–1
With 3:00 left; DET scored at 18:11 of the 3rd (4–1)
Shot map
DET shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal → WPG shoots
Axel Sandin-Pellikka: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 0:44)
Mason Appleton: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 0:45)
Mason Appleton: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 0:46)
Lucas Raymond: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:50)
Ben Chiarot: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 0:53)
Vladislav Namestnikov: backhand, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:15)
Alex DeBrincat: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 2:31)
Patrick Kane: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.24 (P1 2:33)
Lucas Raymond: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 4:04)
Ben Chiarot: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:09)
Josh Morrissey: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 6:45)
Kyle Connor: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 6:59)
Axel Sandin-Pellikka: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:39)
James van Riemsdyk: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 10:53)
Elias Salomonsson: slap, 71 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 11:32)
Cole Perfetti: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 11:38)
Logan Stanley: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 13:10)
Kyle Connor: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 13:17)
Dylan Samberg: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 13:52)
Lucas Raymond: snap, 14 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 14:17)
Alex DeBrincat: slap, 34 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 14:44)
Adam Lowry: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 14:53)
Axel Sandin-Pellikka: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 15:39)
Patrick Kane: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 16:13)
Dylan DeMelo: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 16:38)
Vladislav Namestnikov: deflected, 10 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 18:13)
Patrick Kane: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 18:36)
J.T. Compher: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 19:25)
James van Riemsdyk: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 19:31)
Mark Scheifele: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:52)
Cole Perfetti: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 2:30)
Josh Morrissey: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 3:19)
Logan Stanley: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 4:27)
Ben Chiarot: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 5:10)
Alex DeBrincat: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 5:14)
Albert Johansson: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 6:38)
Travis Hamonic: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 6:46)
Vladislav Namestnikov: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 7:38)
Dylan Samberg: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 9:07)
Cole Perfetti: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 9:20)
Josh Morrissey: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 10:01)
Josh Morrissey: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 10:45)
Elias Salomonsson: backhand, 51 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 10:57)
Marco Kasper: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 11:06)
Lucas Raymond: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 11:33)
Andrew Copp: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 12:01)
Mark Scheifele: tip-in, 26 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 12:31)
Albert Johansson: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 13:05)
James van Riemsdyk: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 14:28)
Lucas Raymond: slap, 37 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 14:46)
J.T. Compher: poke, 9 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 15:48)
Mark Scheifele: deflected, 7 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 16:47)
Cole Perfetti: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 17:25)
Dylan Samberg: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 17:47)
Vladislav Namestnikov: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 17:48)
Kyle Connor: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 19:21)
Dylan Larkin: wrist, 72 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 19:57)
Travis Hamonic: slap, 51 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 1:09)
Vladislav Namestnikov: tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 3:03)
Josh Morrissey: slap, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 3:33)
Kyle Connor: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 3:44)
Patrick Kane: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 4:01)
Patrick Kane: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 5:06)
Axel Sandin-Pellikka: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 7:12)
Adam Lowry: snap, 47 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 7:44)
Logan Stanley: slap, 37 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 10:51)
Marco Kasper: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 11:34)
Lucas Raymond: wrist, 69 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 11:43)
Kyle Connor: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 12:26)
Elias Salomonsson: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 12:29)
Elias Salomonsson: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 12:48)
Michael Rasmussen: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 14:49)
Nino Niederreiter: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 16:06)
Jonathan Toews: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 17:20)
Cole Koepke: GOAL, backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 10:08)
J.T. Compher: GOAL, wrist, 4 ft, xG 0.26 (P2 15:50)
J.T. Compher: GOAL, snap, 11 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 1:43)
Lucas Raymond: GOAL, bat, 10 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 8:11)
Alex DeBrincat: GOAL, snap, 27 ft, xG 0.81 (P3 18:11)
Marco Kasper: GOAL, wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 18:43)
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot
from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the
share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how
often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count
as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map
leaves them out.
All columns
Box score
Detroit Red Wings
Goalie
SA GA
SV SV%
xGA
GSAx
John Gibson
27 1 26
.963
2.07
+1.07
Winnipeg Jets
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
Detroit Red Wings
Winnipeg Jets
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
44 Josh Morrissey D
+0.60
0.00
+0.10
+0.42
0.00
0.00
+0.08
—
23:17
45 Cole Koepke L
+0.57
+0.75
+0.12
-0.30
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
11:18
54 Dylan Samberg D
+0.46
0.00
+0.04
+0.39
0.00
0.00
+0.02
—
22:16
36 Morgan Barron C
+0.45
+0.55
0.00
+0.09
-0.15
-0.02
-0.02
—
11:02
2 Dylan DeMelo D
+0.27
0.00
+0.01
+0.06
0.00
0.00
+0.20
—
22:25
57 Elias Salomonsson D
+0.15
0.00
+0.03
+0.11
0.00
0.00
+0.01
—
18:56
70 Tanner Pearson L
+0.10
0.00
0.00
+0.07
0.00
-0.02
+0.05
—
10:57
9 Alex Iafallo L
+0.10
0.00
0.00
+0.12
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
17:53
17 Adam Lowry C
+0.02
0.00
+0.12
-0.18
0.00
+0.05
+0.03
—
15:16
91 Cole Perfetti C
-0.01
0.00
+0.17
-0.18
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
10:17
81 Kyle Connor L
-0.05
0.00
+0.19
-0.29
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
22:28
19 Jonathan Toews C
-0.26
0.00
+0.11
-0.38
0.00
+0.01
0.00
—
12:10
62 Nino Niederreiter R
-0.30
0.00
+0.01
-0.31
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
13:52
55 Mark Scheifele C
-0.38
0.00
+0.12
-0.42
0.00
-0.06
-0.02
—
21:39
13 Gabriel Vilardi C
-0.54
0.00
0.00
-0.58
0.00
-0.01
+0.05
—
15:49
7 Vladislav Namestnikov C
-0.61
0.00
+0.21
-0.64
-0.15
-0.01
-0.02
—
14:48
64 Logan Stanley D
-0.72
+0.70
+0.12
-1.61
0.00
0.00
+0.08
—
16:50
5 Luke Schenn D
-1.26
0.00
0.00
-1.36
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
13:58
37 Connor Hellebuyck G
-1.29
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
-1.29
58:49
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a
player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays,
all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.