| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 29 | |
| 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 19 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 8:11 | Dougie Hamilton (6)PP Jack Hughes (22), Connor Brown (10) · snap xG 0.11 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 7:37 | Ryker Evans (4) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.02 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 7:04 | Matty Beniers (12) Jordan Eberle (16) · backhand xG 0.06 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 7:22 | Berkly Catton (5) Chandler Stephenson (17), Eeli Tolvanen (20) · wrist xG 0.46 | 1–3 ▶ | |
| 8:14 | Jack Hughes (12)PP Dougie Hamilton (13), Connor Brown (11) · wrist xG 0.04 | 2–3 ▶ | |
| 18:48 | Jordan Eberle (18)EN Unassisted · wrist xG 0.92 | 2–4 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| NJD | SEA | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.91 | Expected goals | 3.23 |
| 2 | Goals (no shootout) | 4 |
| 1.36 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.49 |
| 70 | Shot attempts | 45 |
| 47 | Unblocked attempts | 28 |
| 29 | Shots on goal | 19 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 16:20 | NJD | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced SEA 1.32–0.11
In xG over 10 minutes, 8:20 to 18:20 of the 2nd; neither team scored |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 17:35 | NJD | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Markstrom, down 3–2
With 2:25 left; SEA scored at 18:48 of the 3rd (2–4) |
| 18:54 | NJD | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Markstrom, down 4–2
With 1:06 left |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 86 | Jack Hughes | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 | 0.30 | 0 | 0 | 24:16 |
| 63 | Jesper Bratt | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 8 | 0.66 | 0 | 0 | 21:23 |
| 13 | Nico Hischier | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.33 | 0 | 1 | 20:39 |
| 28 | Timo Meier | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 7 | 0.37 | 3 | 1 | 20:05 |
| 12 | Cody Glass | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.04 | 0 | 1 | 16:32 |
| 29 | Lenni Hameenaho | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.14 | 0 | 1 | 14:05 |
| 81 | Arseny Gritsyuk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.11 | 2 | 0 | 13:52 |
| 16 | Connor Brown | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 1 | 0.12 | 0 | 1 | 13:28 |
| 91 | Dawson Mercer | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.20 | 0 | 0 | 11:53 |
| 81 | Ondrej Palat | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 09:19 |
| 33 | Evgenii Dadonov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 07:38 |
| 47 | Paul Cotter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.13 | 2 | 0 | 06:31 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 7 | Dougie Hamilton | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 12 | 0.24 | 0 | 1 | 21:30 |
| 71 | Simon Nemec | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 5 | 0.12 | 1 | 3 | 20:46 |
| 5 | Brenden Dillon | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.02 | 3 | 0 | 20:39 |
| 71 | Jonas Siegenthaler | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 20:09 |
| 22 | Brett Pesce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 3 | 16:55 |
| 8 | Johnathan Kovacevic | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 5 | 0.07 | 0 | 3 | 15:04 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Markstrom | 18 | 3 | 15 | .833 | 2.00 | -1.00 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 9 | Chandler Stephenson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.27 | 1 | 2 | 19:50 |
| 10 | Matty Beniers | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 0.08 | 0 | 0 | 19:02 |
| 17 | Eeli Tolvanen | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.07 | 3 | 0 | 17:59 |
| 71 | Jaden Schwartz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.00 | 2 | 2 | 17:52 |
| 7 | Jordan Eberle | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 1.18 | 0 | 0 | 17:45 |
| 19 | Jared McCann | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 0.02 | 1 | 0 | 17:25 |
| 51 | Shane Wright | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.34 | 1 | 2 | 15:31 |
| 84 | Kaapo Kakko | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 14:04 |
| 89 | Frederick Gaudreau | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 13:39 |
| 27 | Berkly Catton | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.54 | 0 | 2 | 10:11 |
| 26 | Ryan Winterton | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 08:26 |
| 63 | Jacob Melanson | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.13 | 7 | 0 | 07:41 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 62 | Brandon Montour | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.23 | 0 | 2 | 23:43 |
| 6 | Adam Larsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 3 | 20:15 |
| 29 | Vince Dunn | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 18:42 |
| 4 | Jamie Oleksiak | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 17:54 |
| 55 | Ryan Lindgren | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 4 | 17:32 |
| 41 | Ryker Evans | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 16:43 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Daccord | 29 | 2 | 27 | .931 | 2.91 | +0.91 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86 Jack Hughes C | +2.09 | +1.45 | +0.19 | +0.50 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.04 | — | 24:16 |
| 7 Dougie Hamilton D | +1.89 | +1.45 | +0.16 | +0.43 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 21:30 |
| 16 Connor Brown R | +1.16 | +1.10 | +0.08 | -0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 13:28 |
| 63 Jesper Bratt L | +1.08 | 0.00 | +0.43 | +0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 21:23 |
| 28 Timo Meier R | +0.78 | 0.00 | +0.24 | +0.35 | +0.15 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 20:05 |
| 12 Cody Glass C | +0.50 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.11 | +0.30 | +0.02 | +0.05 | — | 16:32 |
| 81 Arseny Gritsyuk R | +0.33 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 13:52 |
| 71 Jonas Siegenthaler D | +0.26 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.12 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 20:09 |
| 22 Brett Pesce D | +0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 16:55 |
| 17 Simon Nemec D | -0.04 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 20:46 |
| 33 Evgenii Dadonov L | -0.21 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 7:38 |
| 47 Paul Cotter L | -0.23 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.15 | -0.15 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 6:31 |
| 29 Lenni Hameenaho R | -0.23 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 14:05 |
| 5 Brenden Dillon D | -0.54 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 20:39 |
| 8 Johnathan Kovacevic D | -0.72 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 15:04 |
| 13 Nico Hischier C | -0.77 | 0.00 | +0.21 | -0.98 | 0.00 | -0.03 | +0.03 | — | 20:39 |
| 91 Dawson Mercer C | -0.89 | 0.00 | +0.13 | -0.88 | -0.15 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 11:53 |
| 25 Jacob Markstrom G | -1.00 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.00 | 57:16 |
| 18 Ondrej Palat L | -1.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.03 | -0.15 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 9:19 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Jordan Eberle R | +2.51 | +1.45 | +0.77 | +0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:45 |
| 27 Berkly Catton C | +1.54 | +0.75 | +0.35 | +0.32 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.10 | — | 10:11 |
| 9 Chandler Stephenson C | +1.38 | +0.70 | +0.18 | +0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 19:50 |
| 10 Matty Beniers C | +1.03 | +0.75 | +0.05 | +0.06 | +0.15 | +0.04 | -0.02 | — | 19:02 |
| 35 Joey Daccord G | +0.91 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.91 | 60:00 |
| 20 Eeli Tolvanen R | +0.89 | +0.55 | +0.04 | +0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:59 |
| 41 Ryker Evans D | +0.70 | +0.75 | +0.01 | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:43 |
| 62 Brandon Montour D | +0.53 | 0.00 | +0.15 | +0.43 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 23:43 |
| 26 Ryan Winterton C | +0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.24 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 8:26 |
| 55 Ryan Lindgren D | +0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 17:32 |
| 6 Adam Larsson D | +0.41 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 20:15 |
| 24 Jamie Oleksiak D | +0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.48 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 17:54 |
| 63 Jacob Melanson R | +0.35 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 7:41 |
| 19 Jared McCann L | +0.27 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 17:25 |
| 89 Frederick Gaudreau C | +0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.21 | 0.00 | -0.04 | 0.00 | — | 13:39 |
| 29 Vince Dunn D | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 18:42 |
| 84 Kaapo Kakko R | -0.09 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:04 |
| 51 Shane Wright C | -0.10 | 0.00 | +0.22 | -0.24 | -0.15 | -0.05 | +0.12 | — | 15:31 |
| 17 Jaden Schwartz L | -0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.27 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.08 | — | 17:52 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.