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Vegas Golden KnightsVGK 1–7 Final Ottawa SenatorsOTT

Sunday, January 25, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Vegas Golden KnightsVGK 001 1 20
Ottawa SenatorsOTT 133 7 32

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
9:25 OTT Fabian Zetterlund (12) Stephen Halliday (7) · wrist xG 0.05 0–1 ▶
2nd Period
5:51 OTT Dylan Cozens (16) Ridly Greig (16), Brady Tkachuk (18) · backhand xG 0.21 0–2 ▶
6:07 OTT Jordan Spence (4) Tyler Kleven (7), Brady Tkachuk (19) · wrist xG 0.01 0–3 ▶
17:50 OTT Stephen Halliday (2) Thomas Chabot (15), Tim Stützle (30) · wrist xG 0.12 0–4 ▶
3rd Period
1:22 OTT Dylan Cozens (17) Brady Tkachuk (20) · wrist xG 0.11 0–5 ▶
2:05 OTT Stephen Halliday (3) Tyler Kleven (8) · tip-in xG 0.10 0–6 ▶
3:56 OTT Nick Jensen (4) Thomas Chabot (16), Shane Pinto (12) · wrist xG 0.01 0–7 ▶
15:05 VGK Rasmus Andersson (11) Tomas Hertl (24) · wrist xG 0.20 1–7 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

VGK 37%Deserve to win63% OTT
VGKOTT
2.54Expected goals3.33
1Goals (no shootout)7
1.75Expected goals, 5 on 52.88
49Shot attempts73
31Unblocked attempts55
20Shots on goal32

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
13:42 VGK Deserve to win Deserve to win · VGK takes the lead, 63–37%
OTT had led since 8:49 of the 1st, by as much as 65%
2nd Period
0:20 VGK xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced OTT 1.67–0.09
In xG over 10 minutes, 12:10 of the 1st to 2:10 of the 2nd; neither team scored
14:52 OTT Goalie Goalie · Sogaard +2.0 goals saved
0 goals on 2.05 xG, 11 shots on goal
17:50 VGK Goalie Goalie · Hill −2.1 goals saved
4 goals on 1.87 xG, 16 shots on goal
3rd Period
3:56 VGK Goalie Goalie · Hill −4.7 goals saved
7 goals on 2.32 xG, 23 shots on goal
8:33 OTT Deserve to win Deserve to win · OTT takes the lead, 60–40%
VGK had led since 13:42 of the 1st, by as much as 77%
8:50 OTT xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced VGK 1.14–0.04
In xG over 10 minutes, 18:50 of the 2nd to 8:50 of the 3rd; goals 3–0

Shot map

VGK shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ OTT shoots
Claude Giroux: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 1:19) Tyler Kleven: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 1:26) Mitch Marner: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 1:36) Shea Theodore: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:38) Claude Giroux: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 2:13) Brady Tkachuk: slap, 26 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 4:24) Dylan Cozens: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 5:32) Dylan Cozens: deflected, 9 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 5:39) Braeden Bowman: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 5:57) Shea Theodore: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 6:06) Thomas Chabot: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 6:41) Nick Cousins: tip-in, 34 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 6:46) Dylan Cozens: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 8:49) Artem Zub: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 11:32) Nick Cousins: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 11:50) Reilly Smith: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 12:34) Fabian Zetterlund: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 13:10) Cole Reinhardt: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 13:36) Ben Hutton: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 13:39) Tanner Laczynski: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.45 (P1 13:42) Artem Zub: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 14:21) Tim Stützle: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 16:02) Tanner Laczynski: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 16:48) Tomas Hertl: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 19:59) Jack Eichel: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 0:12) Mitch Marner: slap, 48 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 0:22) Tomas Hertl: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 0:24) Tomas Hertl: tip-in, 23 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 1:08) Jack Eichel: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 1:40) Braeden Bowman: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 2:07) Dylan Cozens: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 5:40) Stephen Halliday: tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 7:49) Fabian Zetterlund: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 7:56) Tyler Kleven: backhand, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 8:20) Brady Tkachuk: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 9:40) Jordan Spence: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 9:55) Artem Zub: slap, 53 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 10:21) Jake Sanderson: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 10:27) Claude Giroux: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 11:19) Claude Giroux: slap, 26 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 11:22) Stephen Halliday: slap, 31 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 11:38) Dylan Cozens: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 12:37) Tyler Kleven: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 12:46) Jordan Spence: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 13:24) Ben Hutton: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 14:22) Jeremy Lauzon: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 14:39) Pavel Dorofeyev: tip-in, 20 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 14:52) Tomas Hertl: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 15:09) Michael Amadio: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 15:57) Rasmus Andersson: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 16:27) Nick Cousins: wrist, 87 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 16:48) Jonas Rondbjerg: backhand, 30 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 17:30) Ridly Greig: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 18:58) Brady Tkachuk: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 19:11) Rasmus Andersson: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 0:16) Drake Batherson: slap, 26 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 1:59) Mark Stone: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 3:07) Nick Cousins: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 3:46) Stephen Halliday: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 5:06) Mark Stone: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 5:52) Shane Pinto: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 6:05) Claude Giroux: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 7:25) Fabian Zetterlund: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 7:49) Thomas Chabot: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 8:11) Brady Tkachuk: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 8:33) Tyler Kleven: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 8:43) Ridly Greig: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 8:49) Dylan Cozens: deflected, 10 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 11:06) Jack Eichel: wrist, 88 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 12:27) Nick Cousins: wrist, 84 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 13:00) Ben Hutton: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 14:21) Cole Reinhardt: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 14:50) Tomas Hertl: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:00) Mark Stone: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 16:53) Jake Sanderson: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 17:14) Jake Sanderson: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 17:21) Lars Eller: backhand, 18 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 17:50) Thomas Chabot: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 18:33) Fabian Zetterlund: GOAL, wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 9:25) Dylan Cozens: GOAL, backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.21 (P2 5:51) Jordan Spence: GOAL, wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 6:07) Stephen Halliday: GOAL, wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 17:50) Dylan Cozens: GOAL, wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 1:22) Stephen Halliday: GOAL, tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 2:05) Nick Jensen: GOAL, wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 3:56) Rasmus Andersson: GOAL, wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.20 (P3 15:05)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Vegas Golden Knights

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
9 Jack Eichel 000 0 50.19 0019:38
93 Mitch Marner 000 0 20.21 1117:59
16 Pavel Dorofeyev 000 0 20.05 0017:41
48 Tomas Hertl 011 -1 50.42 5117:40
49 Ivan Barbashev 000 0 00.00 2217:36
61 Mark Stone 000 0 40.06 0217:35
28 Tanner Laczynski 000 -3 40.49 0113:34
42 Braeden Bowman 000 -3 20.16 0013:10
19 Reilly Smith 000 -3 20.10 1012:45
29 Cole Reinhardt 000 -3 30.18 2112:23
55 Keegan Kolesar 000 -3 00.00 4112:04
46 Jonas Rondbjerg 000 -2 10.01 0011:38
Defense
27 Shea Theodore 000 -3 40.04 0122:00
15 Noah Hanifin 000 -1 30.00 0321:17
5 Jeremy Lauzon 000 -3 20.05 5020:33
4 Rasmus Andersson 101 -1 40.36 1219:35
6 Kaedan Korczak 000 -2 20.00 1015:37
17 Ben Hutton 000 -2 40.20 0115:16
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Adin Hill 32725 .781 3.33 -3.67

Ottawa Senators

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
12 Shane Pinto 011 0 30.17 0017:39
22 Michael Amadio 000 0 10.04 0017:38
18 Tim Stützle 011 +1 20.05 3117:30
28 Claude Giroux 011 +1 50.41 3016:31
71 Ridly Greig 011 +3 40.13 3116:11
19 Drake Batherson 000 0 30.10 0115:33
21 Nick Cousins 000 +1 50.11 3015:02
8 Brady Tkachuk 033 +2 50.41 5114:50
24 Dylan Cozens 202 +3 80.73 1013:45
20 Fabian Zetterlund 101 +2 50.15 1112:26
20 Lars Eller 000 +2 10.07 2111:10
34 Stephen Halliday 213 +3 60.46 1107:39
Defense
72 Thomas Chabot 011 +3 30.10 1422:55
85 Jake Sanderson 000 +1 50.13 3220:21
43 Tyler Kleven 022 +2 70.09 4119:46
2 Artem Zub 000 +1 50.06 0119:44
10 Jordan Spence 101 +2 40.11 3118:56
4 Nick Jensen 101 +3 10.01 2318:24
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Mads Sogaard 20119 .950 2.54 +1.54

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Vegas Golden Knights

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
48 Tomas Hertl C +0.70 +0.70 +0.27 -0.32 0.00 +0.01 +0.03 — 17:40
28 Tanner Laczynski C +0.55 0.00 +0.32 +0.13 0.00 +0.03 +0.07 — 13:34
4 Rasmus Andersson D +0.54 +0.75 +0.23 -0.54 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 19:35
93 Mitch Marner R +0.13 0.00 +0.14 -0.24 +0.15 +0.03 +0.05 — 17:59
42 Braeden Bowman R +0.04 0.00 +0.11 -0.04 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 13:10
23 Cole Reinhardt L +0.03 0.00 +0.12 -0.14 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 12:23
17 Ben Hutton D -0.17 0.00 +0.13 -0.35 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 15:16
61 Mark Stone R -0.34 0.00 +0.04 -0.50 0.00 +0.01 +0.10 — 17:35
15 Noah Hanifin D -0.38 0.00 0.00 -0.55 0.00 0.00 +0.17 — 21:17
9 Jack Eichel C -0.54 0.00 +0.13 -0.66 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 19:38
49 Ivan Barbashev L -0.57 0.00 0.00 -0.67 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 17:36
16 Pavel Dorofeyev R -0.59 0.00 +0.03 -0.49 -0.15 0.00 +0.02 — 17:41
6 Kaedan Korczak D -0.61 0.00 0.00 -0.57 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 15:37
46 Jonas Rondbjerg R -0.75 0.00 +0.01 -0.78 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 11:38
27 Shea Theodore D -0.90 0.00 +0.03 -0.97 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 22:00
55 Keegan Kolesar R -1.07 0.00 0.00 -1.12 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 12:04
5 Jeremy Lauzon D -1.30 0.00 +0.03 -1.29 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 20:33
19 Reilly Smith R -1.58 0.00 +0.07 -1.60 0.00 -0.01 -0.04 — 12:45
33 Adin Hill G -3.67 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -3.67 59:59

Ottawa Senators

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
24 Dylan Cozens C +3.31 +1.50 +0.48 +1.37 0.00 -0.03 0.00 — 13:45
7 Brady Tkachuk L +3.14 +1.80 +0.27 +1.05 0.00 -0.02 +0.05 — 14:48
83 Stephen Halliday C +2.79 +2.20 +0.30 +0.25 0.00 +0.01 +0.03 — 7:39
72 Thomas Chabot D +2.48 +1.40 +0.07 +0.80 0.00 0.00 +0.22 — 22:55
10 Jordan Spence D +1.88 +0.75 +0.07 +1.01 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 18:56
43 Tyler Kleven D +1.82 +1.40 +0.06 +0.46 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 19:46
71 Ridly Greig C +1.75 +0.70 +0.09 +1.07 -0.15 +0.02 +0.03 — 16:13
40 Mads Sogaard G +1.54 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.54 60:00
18 Tim Stützle C +1.40 +0.55 +0.03 +0.67 +0.15 -0.03 +0.03 — 17:30
3 Nick Jensen D +1.22 +0.75 +0.01 +0.38 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 18:24
2 Artem Zub D +1.00 0.00 +0.04 +0.91 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 19:42
28 Claude Giroux R +0.99 0.00 +0.26 +0.70 0.00 +0.03 0.00 — 16:31
85 Jake Sanderson D +0.91 0.00 +0.08 +0.72 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 20:21
20 Fabian Zetterlund L +0.87 +0.75 +0.10 -0.06 0.00 +0.01 +0.07 — 12:26
12 Shane Pinto C +0.84 +0.55 +0.11 +0.23 0.00 -0.05 0.00 — 17:39
21 Nick Cousins C +0.74 0.00 +0.07 +0.69 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 15:04
19 Drake Batherson R +0.65 0.00 +0.07 +0.54 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 15:33
22 Michael Amadio R +0.05 0.00 +0.03 +0.04 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 17:38
89 Lars Eller C -0.06 0.00 +0.04 -0.12 0.00 +0.01 +0.01 — 11:10

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.