Sunday, January 25, 2026
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken,
the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
FLA 56%Deserve to win 44% CHI
FLA CHI
2.72 Expected goals 1.95
5 Goals (no shootout) 1
1.85 Expected goals, 5 on 5 1.69
47 Shot attempts 39
33 Unblocked attempts 33
25 Shots on goal 22
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is
counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the
shots' expected goals (xG).
3rd Period
17:11
CHI
Pulled goalie
Pulled goalie · Pulled Knight, down 3–1
With 2:49 left; FLA scored at 18:11 of the 3rd (4–1)
Shot map
FLA shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal → CHI shoots
Carter Verhaeghe: deflected, 13 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 1:35)
Connor Murphy: snap, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 3:37)
Ilya Mikheyev: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 3:47)
Wyatt Kaiser: slap, 42 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 5:20)
Tyler Bertuzzi: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 6:49)
Nick Lardis: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 8:16)
Jeff Petry: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 8:53)
Mackie Samoskevich: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 8:54)
Sam Bennett: backhand, 16 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 9:14)
Matthew Tkachuk: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 11:57)
Connor Murphy: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 12:20)
Connor Bedard: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 12:28)
Evan Rodrigues: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 13:05)
Louis Crevier: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 14:51)
Alex Vlasic: slap, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 14:56)
Alex Vlasic: snap, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 15:01)
Brad Marchand: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 15:52)
Tyler Bertuzzi: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 16:44)
Sam Bennett: deflected, 20 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 17:13)
Mackie Samoskevich: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 17:57)
Evan Rodrigues: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 18:36)
Ilya Mikheyev: backhand, 38 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 19:16)
Sandis Vilmanis: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 0:56)
Sam Reinhart: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 1:23)
Mackie Samoskevich: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 2:48)
Evan Rodrigues: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 3:14)
Matthew Tkachuk: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 4:14)
Artyom Levshunov: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 4:50)
Tyler Bertuzzi: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 4:52)
Connor Bedard: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 6:16)
Tyler Bertuzzi: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 7:09)
Sam Bennett: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 7:25)
Andre Burakovsky: tip-in, 20 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 9:25)
Brad Marchand: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 9:56)
Frank Nazar: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 10:06)
Niko Mikkola: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 10:38)
Uvis Balinskis: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 10:57)
Aaron Ekblad: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:10)
Jason Dickinson: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 13:17)
Louis Crevier: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 13:20)
Ilya Mikheyev: deflected, 7 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 15:13)
Evan Rodrigues: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 15:23)
Connor Bedard: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 17:07)
Tobias Bjornfot: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 17:47)
Mackie Samoskevich: tip-in, 29 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 18:27)
Louis Crevier: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 1:24)
Gustav Forsling: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 2:50)
Sam Bennett: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 3:33)
Tyler Bertuzzi: slap, 22 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 4:09)
Tyler Bertuzzi: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.25 (P3 4:11)
Connor Murphy: slap, 53 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 4:19)
Aaron Ekblad: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:31)
Sam Bennett: snap, 15 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 6:25)
Ilya Mikheyev: slap, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 6:34)
Nick Lardis: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 9:34)
Jason Dickinson: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 10:01)
Louis Crevier: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 10:05)
Frank Nazar: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 10:43)
Sam Reinhart: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 14:20)
Alex Vlasic: snap, 51 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 18:50)
Tobias Bjornfot: GOAL, wrap-around, 3 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 15:33)
Tyler Bertuzzi: GOAL, wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 19:30)
Mackie Samoskevich: GOAL, wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 5:20)
Carter Verhaeghe: GOAL, wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 7:24)
Sam Reinhart: GOAL, backhand, 95 ft, xG 0.46 (P3 18:11)
Tobias Bjornfot: GOAL, wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 19:38)
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot
from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the
share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how
often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count
as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map
leaves them out.
All columns
Box score
Florida Panthers
Chicago Blackhawks
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
Florida Panthers
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
22 Tobias Bjornfot D
+2.33
+1.50
+0.22
+0.63
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
12:57
23 Carter Verhaeghe C
+2.24
+1.45
+0.12
+0.71
0.00
0.00
-0.04
—
15:17
42 Gustav Forsling D
+1.81
+1.25
+0.01
+0.51
0.00
0.00
+0.04
—
23:20
17 Evan Rodrigues C
+1.75
+1.40
+0.12
+0.37
-0.15
-0.01
+0.02
—
16:44
11 Mackie Samoskevich R
+1.62
+0.75
+0.21
+0.68
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
10:15
13 Sam Reinhart C
+1.57
+0.75
+0.49
+0.32
0.00
+0.01
0.00
—
15:51
79 Cole Schwindt R
+1.25
+0.70
0.00
+0.52
0.00
+0.03
0.00
—
9:36
95 Sandis Vilmanis L
+1.21
0.00
+0.05
+0.96
+0.15
+0.01
+0.04
—
15:29
40 Daniil Tarasov G
+0.95
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
+0.95
60:00
2 Jeff Petry D
+0.71
0.00
+0.02
+0.69
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
17:00
19 Matthew Tkachuk L
+0.66
0.00
+0.13
+0.60
0.00
-0.01
-0.06
—
15:49
9 Sam Bennett C
+0.61
0.00
+0.33
+0.29
0.00
-0.03
+0.02
—
19:16
10 A.J. Greer L
+0.44
0.00
0.00
+0.54
-0.15
0.00
+0.05
—
9:24
5 Aaron Ekblad D
+0.34
0.00
+0.01
+0.49
-0.15
0.00
-0.02
—
20:00
15 Anton Lundell C
+0.11
+0.55
0.00
-0.51
0.00
+0.04
+0.03
—
17:15
77 Niko Mikkola D
-0.49
0.00
+0.01
-0.56
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
23:44
26 Uvis Balinskis D
-0.61
0.00
+0.01
-0.58
0.00
0.00
-0.04
—
21:08
27 Eetu Luostarinen C
-0.63
+0.55
0.00
-1.28
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
16:09
63 Brad Marchand L
-1.25
0.00
+0.04
-1.25
0.00
0.00
-0.04
—
14:46
Chicago Blackhawks
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
59 Tyler Bertuzzi L
+2.86
+0.75
+0.55
+1.41
+0.15
0.00
0.00
—
18:17
95 Ilya Mikheyev R
+1.99
+0.70
+0.18
+1.11
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
18:09
16 Jason Dickinson C
+0.50
0.00
+0.10
+0.39
0.00
-0.04
+0.05
—
16:28
44 Wyatt Kaiser D
+0.31
+0.55
+0.01
-0.33
0.00
0.00
+0.08
—
18:43
5 Connor Murphy D
+0.29
0.00
+0.07
-0.07
+0.15
0.00
+0.15
—
17:27
8 Ryan Donato C
+0.06
0.00
0.00
-0.09
+0.15
0.00
0.00
—
11:50
48 Matt Grzelcyk D
-0.05
0.00
0.00
-0.10
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
18:57
72 Alex Vlasic D
-0.12
0.00
+0.02
-0.20
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
19:17
55 Artyom Levshunov D
-0.16
0.00
+0.04
-0.22
0.00
0.00
+0.02
—
21:47
91 Frank Nazar C
-0.20
0.00
+0.08
-0.29
0.00
+0.05
-0.04
—
18:07
84 Landon Slaggert L
-0.24
0.00
0.00
-0.24
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
10:53
17 Nick Foligno L
-0.28
0.00
0.00
-0.22
0.00
-0.04
-0.02
—
13:23
46 Louis Crevier D
-0.33
0.00
+0.06
-0.33
-0.15
0.00
+0.10
—
18:49
76 Nick Lardis L
-0.42
0.00
+0.07
-0.53
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
14:10
98 Connor Bedard C
-0.61
0.00
+0.06
-0.64
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
17:41
11 Oliver Moore C
-0.82
0.00
0.00
-0.81
0.00
-0.03
+0.02
—
15:45
28 Andre Burakovsky L
-0.94
0.00
+0.04
-1.03
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
15:50
20 Ryan Greene C
-0.95
0.00
0.00
-0.93
0.00
+0.02
-0.04
—
13:27
30 Spencer Knight G
-1.74
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
-1.74
59:00
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a
player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays,
all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.