| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 23 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 14:29 | Jean-Gabriel Pageau (9)SH Casey Cizikas (8), Adam Pelech (5) · wrist xG 0.17 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 5:41 | Mathew Barzal (12) Isaiah George (1), Anthony Duclair (12) · tip-in xG 0.08 | 2–0 ▶ | |
| 12:50 | Tony DeAngelo (4)PP Mathew Barzal (31), Anthony Duclair (13) · slap xG 0.11 | 3–0 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 13:38 | Jean-Gabriel Pageau (10) Maxim Tsyplakov (1), Anders Lee (18) · wrist xG 0.16 | 4–0 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| NYI | PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.62 | Expected goals | 2.35 |
| 4 | Goals (no shootout) | 0 |
| 0.66 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.20 |
| 39 | Shot attempts | 43 |
| 29 | Unblocked attempts | 31 |
| 23 | Shots on goal | 21 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 12:50 | PHI | Goalie | Goalie · Ersson −2.4 goals saved
3 goals on 0.62 xG, 13 shots on goal |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 12:42 | NYI | Goalie | Goalie · Sorokin +2.0 goals saved
0 goals on 2.02 xG, 18 shots on goal |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 14 | Bo Horvat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.03 | 2 | 0 | 19:17 |
| 13 | Mathew Barzal | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 0.08 | 0 | 1 | 17:29 |
| 51 | Emil Heineman | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 1 | 1 | 17:15 |
| 11 | Anthony Duclair | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 16:02 |
| 53 | Casey Cizikas | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 15:36 |
| 49 | Maxim Shabanov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 14:51 |
| 92 | Jonathan Drouin | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 | 14:48 |
| 72 | Anders Lee | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.56 | 0 | 0 | 13:54 |
| 44 | Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 0.33 | 0 | 1 | 13:30 |
| 17 | Marc Gatcomb | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 3 | 0 | 12:39 |
| 32 | Kyle MacLean | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 12:12 |
| 72 | Maxim Tsyplakov | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.07 | 2 | 0 | 10:04 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 3 | Adam Pelech | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 24:09 |
| 77 | Tony DeAngelo | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 9 | 0.22 | 0 | 3 | 22:32 |
| 48 | Matthew Schaefer | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 22:19 |
| 24 | Scott Mayfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 1 | 20:51 |
| 34 | Adam Boqvist | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 14:17 |
| 36 | Isaiah George | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.02 | 1 | 0 | 12:39 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin | 21 | 0 | 21 | 1.000 | 2.35 | +2.35 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 22 | Christian Dvorak | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 3 | 0.33 | 1 | 1 | 19:00 |
| 74 | Owen Tippett | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.58 | 5 | 0 | 17:36 |
| 14 | Sean Couturier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 17:14 |
| 27 | Noah Cates | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.54 | 2 | 0 | 16:43 |
| 39 | Matvei Michkov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 | 16:10 |
| 46 | Trevor Zegras | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 15:24 |
| 11 | Travis Konecny | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 1 | 0.12 | 1 | 0 | 15:01 |
| 10 | Bobby Brink | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.01 | 2 | 0 | 15:01 |
| 86 | Denver Barkey | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | 0 | 0 | 14:41 |
| 17 | Nikita Grebenkin | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 11:45 |
| 29 | Lane Pederson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 0 | 10:41 |
| 91 | Carl Grundstrom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 10:32 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 6 | Travis Sanheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 22:39 |
| 8 | Cam York | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.41 | 0 | 3 | 22:27 |
| 24 | Nick Seeler | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.03 | 3 | 2 | 20:40 |
| 9 | Jamie Drysdale | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.07 | 0 | 1 | 19:24 |
| 55 | Rasmus Ristolainen | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 16:38 |
| 36 | Emil Andrae | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 12:43 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Ersson | 23 | 4 | 19 | .826 | 1.62 | -2.38 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Ilya Sorokin G | +2.35 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +2.35 | 59:36 |
| 13 Mathew Barzal C | +1.88 | +1.45 | +0.05 | +0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 17:29 |
| 44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau C | +1.82 | +1.50 | +0.22 | -0.01 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.05 | — | 13:30 |
| 77 Tony DeAngelo D | +1.81 | +0.75 | +0.14 | +0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.17 | — | 22:32 |
| 11 Anthony Duclair L | +1.36 | +1.10 | +0.01 | +0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 16:02 |
| 27 Anders Lee L | +1.00 | +0.55 | +0.36 | +0.10 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 13:54 |
| 3 Adam Pelech D | +0.90 | +0.55 | +0.02 | +0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 24:09 |
| 7 Maxim Tsyplakov R | +0.78 | +0.70 | +0.05 | +0.18 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:04 |
| 53 Casey Cizikas C | +0.69 | +0.70 | +0.01 | -0.10 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.03 | — | 15:36 |
| 29 Jonathan Drouin L | +0.46 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.35 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.02 | — | 14:48 |
| 36 Isaiah George D | +0.40 | +0.70 | +0.01 | -0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:39 |
| 32 Kyle MacLean C | +0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.09 | +0.15 | +0.02 | +0.02 | — | 12:12 |
| 48 Matthew Schaefer D | -0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.45 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 22:19 |
| 24 Scott Mayfield D | -0.27 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 20:51 |
| 14 Bo Horvat C | -0.41 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.53 | +0.15 | -0.05 | 0.00 | — | 19:17 |
| 16 Marc Gatcomb C | -0.49 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.33 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 12:39 |
| 51 Emil Heineman L | -0.49 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 17:15 |
| 49 Max Shabanov R | -0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:51 |
| 34 Adam Boqvist D | -0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.53 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 14:17 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Cam York D | +0.66 | 0.00 | +0.27 | +0.41 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 22:27 |
| 27 Noah Cates L | +0.54 | 0.00 | +0.35 | +0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 16:43 |
| 9 Jamie Drysdale D | +0.40 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 19:24 |
| 74 Owen Tippett R | +0.39 | 0.00 | +0.37 | +0.19 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 17:36 |
| 6 Travis Sanheim D | +0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 22:39 |
| 46 Trevor Zegras C | +0.34 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.33 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 15:24 |
| 52 Denver Barkey C | +0.26 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.19 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 14:41 |
| 24 Nick Seeler D | +0.25 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 20:40 |
| 91 Carl Grundstrom R | +0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 10:32 |
| 14 Sean Couturier C | +0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.16 | 0.00 | -0.04 | -0.02 | — | 17:14 |
| 10 Bobby Brink R | +0.05 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:01 |
| 22 Christian Dvorak C | +0.04 | 0.00 | +0.22 | -0.16 | 0.00 | -0.04 | +0.03 | — | 19:00 |
| 25 Lane Pederson C | +0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 10:41 |
| 36 Emil Andrae D | +0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.13 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:43 |
| 39 Matvei Michkov R | +0.01 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.23 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:10 |
| 29 Nikita Grebenkin R | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 11:45 |
| 11 Travis Konecny R | -0.10 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 15:01 |
| 55 Rasmus Ristolainen D | -0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:38 |
| 33 Samuel Ersson G | -2.38 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -2.38 | 60:00 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.