New York IslandersNYI 4–0 Final Philadelphia FlyersPHI

Monday, January 26, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
New York IslandersNYI 121 4 23
Philadelphia FlyersPHI 000 0 21

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
14:29 NYI Jean-Gabriel Pageau (9)SH Casey Cizikas (8), Adam Pelech (5) · wrist xG 0.17 1–0 ▶
2nd Period
5:41 NYI Mathew Barzal (12) Isaiah George (1), Anthony Duclair (12) · tip-in xG 0.08 2–0 ▶
12:50 NYI Tony DeAngelo (4)PP Mathew Barzal (31), Anthony Duclair (13) · slap xG 0.11 3–0 ▶
3rd Period
13:38 NYI Jean-Gabriel Pageau (10) Maxim Tsyplakov (1), Anders Lee (18) · wrist xG 0.16 4–0 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

NYI 35%Deserve to win65% PHI
NYIPHI
1.62Expected goals2.35
4Goals (no shootout)0
0.66Expected goals, 5 on 51.20
39Shot attempts43
29Unblocked attempts31
23Shots on goal21

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
12:50 PHI Goalie Goalie · Ersson −2.4 goals saved
3 goals on 0.62 xG, 13 shots on goal
3rd Period
12:42 NYI Goalie Goalie · Sorokin +2.0 goals saved
0 goals on 2.02 xG, 18 shots on goal

Shot map

NYI shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ PHI shoots
Bo Horvat: snap, 48 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 1:05) Trevor Zegras: tip-in, 29 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 1:48) Jonathan Drouin: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:00) Noah Cates: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 3:09) Owen Tippett: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 3:36) Cam York: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 4:22) Cam York: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 4:34) Noah Cates: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.21 (P1 4:36) Noah Cates: backhand, 5 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 5:05) Christian Dvorak: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 6:54) Scott Mayfield: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:39) Matthew Schaefer: wrist, 177 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 10:08) Matvei Michkov: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 14:47) Owen Tippett: snap, 53 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 15:29) Matvei Michkov: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 15:55) Christian Dvorak: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 16:18) Tony DeAngelo: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 17:12) Emil Heineman: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 17:32) Casey Cizikas: tip-in, 79 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 18:58) Marc Gatcomb: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:00) Matvei Michkov: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 2:27) Owen Tippett: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 3:24) Cam York: slap, 78 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 3:37) Owen Tippett: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.20 (P2 3:48) Isaiah George: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 4:58) Tony DeAngelo: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 5:03) Nick Seeler: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 6:09) Adam Pelech: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 6:35) Tony DeAngelo: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:32) Tony DeAngelo: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 7:35) Anthony Duclair: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 8:47) Jamie Drysdale: slap, 40 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 13:59) Cam York: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 14:59) Matvei Michkov: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 15:48) Christian Dvorak: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 18:35) Tony DeAngelo: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 19:11) Tony DeAngelo: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 0:58) Maxim Tsyplakov: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 1:58) Nick Seeler: slap, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:48) Owen Tippett: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 3:13) Cam York: slap, 35 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 6:52) Anders Lee: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 7:50) Anders Lee: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.32 (P3 7:52) Jonathan Drouin: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 8:13) Jonathan Drouin: slap, 40 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 8:18) Anders Lee: deflected, 7 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 8:35) Owen Tippett: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 9:18) Casey Cizikas: backhand, 19 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 10:18) Marc Gatcomb: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:58) Bobby Brink: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 11:53) Carl Grundstrom: tip-in, 70 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 12:27) Cam York: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 12:42) Tony DeAngelo: wrist, 94 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 13:40) Denver Barkey: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 16:24) Noah Cates: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 17:14) Travis Konecny: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 18:17) Jean-Gabriel Pageau: GOAL, wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 14:29) Mathew Barzal: GOAL, tip-in, 18 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 5:41) Tony DeAngelo: GOAL, slap, 37 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 12:50) Jean-Gabriel Pageau: GOAL, wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 13:38)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

New York Islanders

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
14 Bo Horvat 000 0 30.03 2019:17
13 Mathew Barzal 112 +1 30.08 0117:29
51 Emil Heineman 000 0 10.08 1117:15
11 Anthony Duclair 022 +1 30.02 0016:02
53 Casey Cizikas 011 +1 20.02 0115:36
49 Maxim Shabanov 000 0 10.00 0014:51
92 Jonathan Drouin 000 +1 30.13 0014:48
72 Anders Lee 011 +1 40.56 0013:54
44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau 202 +2 30.33 0113:30
17 Marc Gatcomb 000 0 20.02 3012:39
32 Kyle MacLean 000 0 00.00 3012:12
72 Maxim Tsyplakov 011 +1 10.07 2010:04
Defense
3 Adam Pelech 011 +2 10.03 0124:09
77 Tony DeAngelo 101 +2 90.22 0322:32
48 Matthew Schaefer 000 0 10.00 1122:19
24 Scott Mayfield 000 +1 10.01 1120:51
34 Adam Boqvist 000 0 00.00 1114:17
36 Isaiah George 011 +1 10.02 1012:39
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Ilya Sorokin 21021 1.000 2.35 +2.35

Philadelphia Flyers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
22 Christian Dvorak 000 -3 30.33 1119:00
74 Owen Tippett 000 0 70.58 5017:36
14 Sean Couturier 000 0 00.00 0017:14
27 Noah Cates 000 0 70.54 2016:43
39 Matvei Michkov 000 -1 50.13 0016:10
46 Trevor Zegras 000 -1 20.04 0015:24
11 Travis Konecny 000 -3 10.12 1015:01
10 Bobby Brink 000 -1 10.01 2015:01
86 Denver Barkey 000 0 10.09 0014:41
17 Nikita Grebenkin 000 -1 30.00 0011:45
29 Lane Pederson 000 0 00.00 4010:41
91 Carl Grundstrom 000 0 10.00 3010:32
Defense
6 Travis Sanheim 000 -1 10.00 0222:39
8 Cam York 000 0 60.41 0322:27
24 Nick Seeler 000 0 40.03 3220:40
9 Jamie Drysdale 000 -2 10.07 0119:24
55 Rasmus Ristolainen 000 -1 00.00 0116:38
36 Emil Andrae 000 -1 00.00 2012:43
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Samuel Ersson 23419 .826 1.62 -2.38

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

New York Islanders

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
30 Ilya Sorokin G +2.35 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +2.35 59:36
13 Mathew Barzal C +1.88 +1.45 +0.05 +0.35 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 17:29
44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau C +1.82 +1.50 +0.22 -0.01 0.00 +0.07 +0.05 — 13:30
77 Tony DeAngelo D +1.81 +0.75 +0.14 +0.75 0.00 0.00 +0.17 — 22:32
11 Anthony Duclair L +1.36 +1.10 +0.01 +0.29 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 16:02
27 Anders Lee L +1.00 +0.55 +0.36 +0.10 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 13:54
3 Adam Pelech D +0.90 +0.55 +0.02 +0.28 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 24:09
7 Maxim Tsyplakov R +0.78 +0.70 +0.05 +0.18 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 10:04
53 Casey Cizikas C +0.69 +0.70 +0.01 -0.10 0.00 +0.05 +0.03 — 15:36
29 Jonathan Drouin L +0.46 0.00 +0.08 +0.35 0.00 +0.01 +0.02 — 14:48
36 Isaiah George D +0.40 +0.70 +0.01 -0.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:39
32 Kyle MacLean C +0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.09 +0.15 +0.02 +0.02 — 12:12
48 Matthew Schaefer D -0.27 0.00 0.00 -0.45 +0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 22:19
24 Scott Mayfield D -0.27 0.00 +0.01 -0.32 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 20:51
14 Bo Horvat C -0.41 0.00 +0.02 -0.53 +0.15 -0.05 0.00 — 19:17
16 Marc Gatcomb C -0.49 0.00 +0.01 -0.33 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 12:39
51 Emil Heineman L -0.49 0.00 +0.06 -0.57 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 17:15
49 Max Shabanov R -0.51 0.00 0.00 -0.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:51
34 Adam Boqvist D -0.63 0.00 0.00 -0.53 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 14:17

Philadelphia Flyers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
8 Cam York D +0.66 0.00 +0.27 +0.41 -0.15 0.00 +0.13 — 22:27
27 Noah Cates L +0.54 0.00 +0.35 +0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 16:43
9 Jamie Drysdale D +0.40 0.00 +0.05 +0.31 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 19:24
74 Owen Tippett R +0.39 0.00 +0.37 +0.19 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 17:36
6 Travis Sanheim D +0.39 0.00 0.00 +0.27 0.00 0.00 +0.12 — 22:39
46 Trevor Zegras C +0.34 0.00 +0.02 +0.33 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 15:24
52 Denver Barkey C +0.26 0.00 +0.06 +0.19 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 14:41
24 Nick Seeler D +0.25 0.00 +0.02 +0.15 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 20:40
91 Carl Grundstrom R +0.19 0.00 0.00 +0.21 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 10:32
14 Sean Couturier C +0.10 0.00 0.00 +0.16 0.00 -0.04 -0.02 — 17:14
10 Bobby Brink R +0.05 0.00 +0.01 +0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:01
22 Christian Dvorak C +0.04 0.00 +0.22 -0.16 0.00 -0.04 +0.03 — 19:00
25 Lane Pederson C +0.03 0.00 0.00 +0.06 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 10:41
36 Emil Andrae D +0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.13 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 12:43
39 Matvei Michkov R +0.01 0.00 +0.08 -0.23 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 16:10
29 Nikita Grebenkin R 0.00 0.00 0.00 +0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 11:45
11 Travis Konecny R -0.10 0.00 +0.08 -0.14 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 15:01
55 Rasmus Ristolainen D -0.37 0.00 0.00 -0.42 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 16:38
33 Samuel Ersson G -2.38 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -2.38 60:00

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.