Anaheim DucksANA 4–7 Final Edmonton OilersEDM

Monday, January 26, 2026

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Anaheim DucksANA	1	2	1	4	41
Edmonton OilersEDM	1	4	2	7	32

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
3:24	ANA	Mikael Granlund (10)PP Chris Kreider (11), Cutter Gauthier (24) · snap xG 0.17	1–0 ▶
17:14	EDM	Zach Hyman (21)PP Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (30), Leon Draisaitl (46) · wrist xG 0.41	1–1 ▶
2nd Period
0:55	ANA	Alex Killorn (6) Ryan Poehling (15), Jacob Trouba (14) · wrist xG 0.21	2–1 ▶
4:36	EDM	Spencer Stastney (2) Ty Emberson (9), Leon Draisaitl (47) · wrist xG 0.09	2–2 ▶
6:28	EDM	Mattias Ekholm (4) Zach Hyman (14), Connor McDavid (59) · tip-in xG 0.08	2–3 ▶
7:34	EDM	Darnell Nurse (7) Unassisted · snap xG 0.11	2–4 ▶
8:25	EDM	Mattias Ekholm (5) Matt Savoie (9) · snap xG 0.18	2–5 ▶
13:41	ANA	Mikael Granlund (11)PP Beckett Sennecke (24) · snap xG 0.08	3–5 ▶
3rd Period
13:38	ANA	Mikael Granlund (12)PP Beckett Sennecke (25), Jackson LaCombe (28) · snap xG 0.13	4–5 ▶
18:12	EDM	Connor McDavid (33)EN Leon Draisaitl (48), Evan Bouchard (42) · wrist xG 0.92	4–6 ▶
19:49	EDM	Mattias Ekholm (6)EN Leon Draisaitl (49) · wrist xG 0.43	4–7 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

ANA 44%Deserve to win56% EDM

ANA		EDM
3.65	Expected goals	5.37
4	Goals (no shootout)	7
2.51	Expected goals, 5 on 5	2.23
71	Shot attempts	58
60	Unblocked attempts	42
41	Shots on goal	32

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
17:14	EDM	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · EDM takes the lead, 64–36% ANA had led since 3:12 of the 1st, by as much as 71%
17:30	EDM	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced ANA 1.35–0.32 In xG over 10 minutes, 7:30 to 17:30 of the 1st; goals 1–0
3rd Period
5:20	ANA	No shift	No shift · Strome, 21:11 on the bench No shift after 15:12 of the 2nd; 7 shifts (4:42) before that
17:41	ANA	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Husso, down 5–4 With 2:19 left; EDM scored at 18:12 of the 3rd (4–6)
18:31	ANA	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Husso, down 6–4 With 1:29 left; EDM scored at 19:49 of the 3rd (4–7)

Shot map

ANA shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ EDM shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Anaheim Ducks

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
45	Beckett Sennecke	0	2	2	-4	11	0.80	1	0	25:31
64	Mikael Granlund	3	0	3	-2	10	0.79	0	1	24:17
17	Alex Killorn	1	0	1	-2	2	0.21	0	0	19:18
25	Ryan Poehling	0	1	1	-2	1	0.07	2	2	18:53
61	Cutter Gauthier	0	1	1	-4	8	0.45	1	0	17:55
22	Chris Kreider	0	1	1	-2	6	0.49	0	0	17:18
25	Jeffrey Viel	0	0	0	-1	1	0.05	2	0	12:47
10	Jansen Harkins	0	0	0	-1	3	0.16	1	0	11:26
42	Tim Washe	0	0	0	0	4	0.09	3	0	10:34
49	Ross Johnston	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	3	1	09:39
22	Ryan Strome	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	1	04:42
Defense
2	Jackson LaCombe	0	1	1	-2	4	0.05	4	3	26:16
65	Jacob Trouba	0	1	1	0	9	0.22	1	3	22:49
98	Pavel Mintyukov	0	0	0	-1	2	0.02	0	2	18:45
8	Olen Zellweger	0	0	0	-2	4	0.11	0	0	15:09
6	Radko Gudas	0	0	0	-2	1	0.00	3	1	14:59
14	Drew Helleson	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	3	0	14:56
3	Ian Moore	0	0	0	0	3	0.10	1	0	12:53

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Ville Husso	30	5	25	.833	4.02	-0.98

Edmonton Oilers

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
97	Connor McDavid	1	1	2	+3	5	1.47	0	0	23:36
29	Leon Draisaitl	0	4	4	+2	5	0.19	0	0	20:09
18	Zach Hyman	1	1	2	+2	6	0.73	0	2	19:22
93	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins	0	1	1	+1	2	0.09	1	0	19:15
92	Vasily Podkolzin	0	0	0	+1	3	0.14	3	0	16:09
42	Kasperi Kapanen	0	0	0	+2	3	0.25	1	0	15:34
13	Mattias Janmark	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	13:46
20	Curtis Lazar	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	3	0	11:24
96	Jack Roslovic	0	0	0	+1	4	0.39	0	0	11:13
22	Matt Savoie	0	1	1	+1	3	0.28	0	0	10:41
10	Trent Frederic	0	0	0	0	3	0.23	1	0	07:59
81	Josh Samanski	0	0	0	+2	1	0.00	0	0	07:43
Defense
2	Evan Bouchard	0	1	1	+2	2	0.05	2	2	22:47
96	Jake Walman	0	0	0	+1	5	0.16	0	0	22:33
25	Darnell Nurse	1	0	1	+1	6	0.26	1	2	22:23
14	Mattias Ekholm	3	0	3	+3	6	0.97	1	2	19:58
49	Ty Emberson	0	1	1	+1	1	0.01	0	2	14:52
24	Spencer Stastney	1	0	1	+2	1	0.09	0	0	14:23

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Tristan Jarry	41	4	37	.902	3.65	-0.35

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Anaheim Ducks

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
64 Mikael Granlund C	+3.33	+2.25	+0.52	+0.59	0.00	-0.03	+0.01	—	24:17
45 Beckett Sennecke R	+1.99	+1.40	+0.52	-0.09	+0.15	0.00	+0.02	—	25:31
17 Alex Killorn L	+1.81	+0.75	+0.14	+0.96	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	19:18
20 Chris Kreider L	+1.36	+0.70	+0.32	+0.36	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	17:18
65 Jacob Trouba D	+1.23	+0.55	+0.14	+0.56	-0.15	0.00	+0.13	—	22:49
2 Jackson LaCombe D	+1.03	+0.55	+0.04	+0.29	0.00	0.00	+0.15	—	26:16
61 Cutter Gauthier L	+0.72	+0.55	+0.29	-0.27	+0.15	-0.02	+0.02	—	17:55
25 Ryan Poehling C	+0.36	+0.70	+0.05	-0.47	0.00	+0.03	+0.06	—	18:53
74 Ian Moore D	+0.12	0.00	+0.06	+0.06	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	12:53
24 Jansen Harkins C	+0.01	0.00	+0.10	-0.10	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	11:26
51 Olen Zellweger D	-0.07	0.00	+0.07	-0.14	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	15:09
42 Tim Washe C	-0.10	0.00	+0.06	-0.19	0.00	+0.03	0.00	—	10:34
7 Radko Gudas D	-0.10	0.00	0.00	-0.35	+0.15	0.00	+0.10	—	14:59
16 Ryan Strome C	-0.18	0.00	+0.03	+0.04	-0.30	0.00	+0.05	—	4:42
98 Pavel Mintyukov D	-0.20	0.00	+0.01	-0.29	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	18:45
14 Drew Helleson D	-0.39	0.00	0.00	-0.35	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	14:56
28 Jeffrey Viel L	-0.39	0.00	+0.03	-0.44	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	12:47
44 Ross Johnston L	-0.79	0.00	0.00	-0.85	0.00	+0.01	+0.05	—	9:39
33 Ville Husso G	-0.98	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-0.98	57:37

Edmonton Oilers

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
14 Mattias Ekholm D	+2.80	+2.25	+0.63	-0.16	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	19:58
29 Leon Draisaitl C	+2.50	+2.50	+0.12	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	-0.06	—	20:09
97 Connor McDavid C	+1.85	+1.30	+0.95	-0.48	+0.15	-0.01	-0.06	—	23:36
25 Darnell Nurse D	+1.81	+0.75	+0.17	+0.51	+0.30	0.00	+0.08	—	22:23
18 Zach Hyman L	+1.43	+1.45	+0.48	-0.57	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	19:22
24 Spencer Stastney D	+1.06	+0.75	+0.06	+0.27	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	14:23
22 Matt Savoie C	+1.05	+0.70	+0.18	+0.45	-0.30	0.00	+0.02	—	10:41
42 Kasperi Kapanen R	+0.95	0.00	+0.17	+0.81	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	15:35
81 Josh Samanski C	+0.69	0.00	0.00	+0.67	0.00	+0.02	0.00	—	7:43
28 Jack Roslovic C	+0.60	0.00	+0.26	+0.50	-0.15	-0.01	0.00	—	11:13
96 Jake Walman D	+0.49	0.00	+0.10	+0.36	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	22:33
49 Ty Emberson D	+0.43	+0.70	+0.01	-0.22	-0.15	0.00	+0.10	—	14:52
92 Vasily Podkolzin R	+0.37	0.00	+0.09	+0.29	0.00	-0.01	0.00	—	16:09
93 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C	+0.31	+0.70	+0.06	-0.39	0.00	-0.02	-0.04	—	19:15
2 Evan Bouchard D	+0.15	+0.55	+0.03	-0.49	0.00	0.00	+0.06	—	22:47
20 Curtis Lazar C	-0.13	0.00	+0.03	-0.17	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	11:24
10 Trent Frederic C	-0.16	0.00	+0.15	-0.31	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	7:59
35 Tristan Jarry G	-0.20	0.00	—	—	+0.15	—	—	-0.35	60:00
13 Mattias Janmark C	-0.30	0.00	0.00	-0.30	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	13:45

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.