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Nashville PredatorsNSH 2–3 Final/OT Boston BruinsBOS

Tuesday, January 27, 2026

Final/OT 1st2nd3rdOT T SOG
Nashville PredatorsNSH 0110 2 30
Boston BruinsBOS 1101 3 28

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
13:16 BOS Hampus Lindholm (4) Mason Lohrei (17), Fraser Minten (13) · snap xG 0.02 0–1 ▶
2nd Period
2:48 BOS Morgan Geekie (30) David Pastrnak (47), Jonathan Aspirot (2) · snap xG 0.15 0–2 ▶
19:25 NSH Roman Josi (9)PP Ryan O'Reilly (33), Steven Stamkos (13) · slap xG 0.10 1–2 ▶
3rd Period
13:17 NSH Nick Blankenburg (6) Adam Wilsby (7), Luke Evangelista (31) · snap xG 0.05 2–2 ▶
Overtime
0:15 BOS David Pastrnak (22) Charlie McAvoy (31), Marat Khusnutdinov (12) · tip-in xG 0.45 2–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

NSH 55%Deserve to win45% BOS
NSHBOS
2.68Expected goals2.41
2Goals (no shootout)3
1.89Expected goals, 5 on 51.31
64Shot attempts46
53Unblocked attempts38
30Shots on goal28

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
11:00 NSH No shift No shift · Svechkov, 33:44 on the bench
No shift after 13:27 of the 1st; 4 shifts (3:05) before that
3rd Period
6:10 BOS No shift No shift · Lindholm, 21:37 on the bench
No shift after 15:17 of the 2nd; 12 shifts (11:03) before that

Shot map

NSH shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ BOS shoots
Morgan Geekie: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 0:43) Michael Bunting: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.19 (P1 1:09) Nick Blankenburg: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 2:04) Fedor Svechkov: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 2:05) Brady Skjei: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 3:23) David Pastrnak: slap, 35 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 3:34) Nikita Zadorov: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 7:11) Elias Lindholm: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 7:52) Charlie McAvoy: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 8:04) Tanner Jeannot: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 10:06) Jonathan Marchessault: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 10:29) Luke Evangelista: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 10:34) Ryan O'Reilly: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 10:56) Filip Forsberg: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 11:09) Luke Evangelista: deflected, 8 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 11:19) Erik Haula: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 11:51) Steven Stamkos: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 13:35) Elias Lindholm: tip-in, 18 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 15:50) Fraser Minten: backhand, 30 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 16:39) Erik Haula: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 18:09) Viktor Arvidsson: slap, 37 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 18:30) Roman Josi: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 19:42) Filip Forsberg: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 0:48) Luke Evangelista: slap, 34 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 0:52) Nick Perbix: snap, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:58) Viktor Arvidsson: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:10) Nikita Zadorov: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 1:37) Andrew Peeke: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:42) Jonathan Marchessault: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 1:51) Jonathan Marchessault: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 1:52) Steven Stamkos: wrist, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 2:10) Filip Forsberg: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 3:14) Jonathan Marchessault: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:35) Cole Smith: wrap-around, 9 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 4:24) Charlie McAvoy: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 5:03) Sean Kuraly: bat, 68 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 5:20) Filip Forsberg: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 6:11) Mark Kastelic: backhand, 23 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 6:20) Steven Stamkos: slap, 37 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 7:03) Viktor Arvidsson: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 7:17) David Pastrnak: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 9:03) David Pastrnak: deflected, 8 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 9:04) Morgan Geekie: slap, 26 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 9:06) Marat Khusnutdinov: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 9:36) Luke Evangelista: deflected, 9 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 10:25) Roman Josi: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 10:30) Mason Lohrei: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 12:07) Roman Josi: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 12:44) Jonathan Marchessault: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 13:12) Filip Forsberg: tip-in, 15 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 13:14) Nick Perbix: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 15:04) Michael Bunting: deflected, 6 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 15:05) Michael Bunting: bat, 6 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 15:05) Michael Bunting: bat, 7 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 15:06) Nick Blankenburg: wrist, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 16:43) Pavel Zacha: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 16:54) Jonathan Aspirot: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 17:53) Charlie McAvoy: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 17:58) Sean Kuraly: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 18:02) Filip Forsberg: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 18:40) Marat Khusnutdinov: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 19:28) Casey Mittelstadt: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 0:23) Michael Bunting: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 1:37) Andrew Peeke: snap, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 3:03) Adam Wilsby: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 4:54) Brady Skjei: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:29) Jonathan Aspirot: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 6:11) Filip Forsberg: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 6:43) Ryan O'Reilly: snap, 6 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 6:44) Roman Josi: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 6:49) Roman Josi: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 7:01) Viktor Arvidsson: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 7:47) Viktor Arvidsson: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 7:48) David Pastrnak: backhand, 35 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 9:55) Filip Forsberg: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 12:09) Roman Josi: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 12:10) Adam Wilsby: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 12:52) Jonathan Aspirot: wrist, 116 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 14:03) Adam Wilsby: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 14:18) Ryan O'Reilly: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 15:39) Michael McCarron: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 16:40) David Pastrnak: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 16:52) Michael Bunting: wrist, 82 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 16:58) Erik Haula: backhand, 16 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 18:06) Michael Bunting: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 18:44) David Pastrnak: backhand, 120 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 19:48) Hampus Lindholm: GOAL, snap, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 13:16) Morgan Geekie: GOAL, snap, 20 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 2:48) Roman Josi: GOAL, slap, 39 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 19:25) Nick Blankenburg: GOAL, snap, 47 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 13:17) David Pastrnak: GOAL, tip-in, 4 ft, xG 0.45 (OT 0:15)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Nashville Predators

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
90 Ryan O'Reilly 011 -1 30.29 0023:45
9 Filip Forsberg 000 -2 90.41 4022:19
91 Steven Stamkos 011 0 30.12 4019:46
77 Luke Evangelista 011 +1 40.33 0019:29
81 Jonathan Marchessault 000 0 60.22 1016:59
22 Cole Smith 000 0 10.02 1016:57
56 Erik Haula 000 -1 40.16 1216:54
47 Michael McCarron 000 0 10.08 1016:04
58 Michael Bunting 000 0 80.48 1015:42
71 Matthew Wood 000 -1 00.00 1007:04
9 Fedor Svechkov 000 -1 10.02 1003:05
Defense
59 Roman Josi 101 -2 90.25 1029:59
76 Brady Skjei 000 -2 20.02 0125:24
2 Adam Wilsby 011 +1 40.12 0116:14
48 Nick Perbix 000 0 40.06 0115:13
3 Nick Blankenburg 101 0 40.08 0012:41
72 Justin Barron 000 -1 10.00 0208:05
24 Andreas Englund 000 0 00.00 0007:43
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Juuse Saros 28325 .893 2.41 -0.59

Boston Bruins

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
88 David Pastrnak 112 +2 90.74 3023:46
39 Morgan Geekie 101 0 30.36 1019:10
93 Fraser Minten 011 +2 20.03 0118:53
18 Pavel Zacha 000 -1 10.10 1017:33
11 Casey Mittelstadt 000 0 10.04 1014:31
33 Viktor Arvidsson 000 0 70.30 0214:10
92 Marat Khusnutdinov 011 +2 20.15 2213:55
52 Sean Kuraly 000 0 30.06 1012:28
47 Mark Kastelic 000 0 10.06 5011:43
28 Elias Lindholm 000 0 20.18 0011:03
84 Tanner Jeannot 000 0 10.03 3009:13
81 Michael Eyssimont 000 +1 20.00 2007:56
Defense
73 Charlie McAvoy 011 +2 30.12 1127:14
91 Nikita Zadorov 000 0 20.05 0021:53
27 Hampus Lindholm 101 0 10.02 1119:13
20 Andrew Peeke 000 0 20.01 3217:34
45 Jonathan Aspirot 011 +1 30.04 0016:42
6 Mason Lohrei 011 0 10.12 1215:19
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jeremy Swayman 30228 .933 2.68 +0.68

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Nashville Predators

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
90 Ryan O'Reilly C +1.45 +0.70 +0.19 +0.59 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 23:45
59 Roman Josi D +1.19 +0.75 +0.17 +0.09 +0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 29:59
77 Luke Evangelista R +1.07 +0.55 +0.21 +0.33 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 19:29
83 Adam Wilsby D +0.90 +0.70 +0.08 +0.11 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 16:14
58 Michael Bunting L +0.73 0.00 +0.31 +0.27 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 15:42
37 Nick Blankenburg D +0.63 +0.75 +0.05 -0.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:41
48 Nick Perbix D +0.57 0.00 +0.04 +0.52 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 15:13
36 Cole Smith R +0.51 0.00 +0.02 +0.52 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 16:57
76 Brady Skjei D +0.50 0.00 +0.02 +0.57 -0.15 0.00 +0.07 — 25:24
47 Michael McCarron C +0.36 0.00 +0.05 +0.31 0.00 -0.02 +0.02 — 16:04
9 Filip Forsberg L +0.30 0.00 +0.27 +0.06 0.00 +0.01 -0.04 — 22:19
81 Jonathan Marchessault R +0.14 0.00 +0.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:59
56 Erik Haula L -0.03 0.00 +0.10 -0.19 0.00 -0.02 +0.08 — 16:54
8 Andreas Englund D -0.06 0.00 0.00 -0.04 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 7:43
40 Fedor Svechkov C -0.06 0.00 +0.01 -0.15 +0.15 -0.05 -0.02 — 3:05
91 Steven Stamkos C -0.08 +0.55 +0.08 -0.56 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 19:46
71 Matthew Wood R -0.15 0.00 0.00 -0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 7:04
20 Justin Barron D -0.29 0.00 0.00 -0.39 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 8:05
74 Juuse Saros G -0.59 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.59 59:37

Boston Bruins

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
88 David Pastrnak R +1.60 +1.45 +0.48 -0.27 0.00 0.00 -0.06 — 23:46
6 Mason Lohrei D +0.92 +0.70 +0.08 +0.08 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 15:08
92 Marat Khusnutdinov C +0.85 +0.55 +0.10 -0.06 +0.15 +0.01 +0.10 — 14:04
93 Fraser Minten C +0.80 +0.55 +0.02 +0.15 0.00 +0.03 +0.05 — 18:53
1 Jeremy Swayman G +0.68 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.68 60:15
39 Morgan Geekie C +0.54 +0.75 +0.23 -0.39 0.00 -0.01 -0.04 — 19:10
73 Charlie McAvoy D +0.48 +0.70 +0.08 -0.30 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 27:14
45 Jonathan Aspirot D +0.29 +0.55 +0.03 -0.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:35
91 Nikita Zadorov D +0.25 0.00 +0.04 +0.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 21:53
71 Viktor Arvidsson L +0.23 0.00 +0.20 -0.04 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 14:10
81 Michael Eyssimont C +0.23 0.00 0.00 +0.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 8:07
52 Sean Kuraly C +0.09 0.00 +0.04 +0.06 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 12:28
26 Andrew Peeke D +0.08 0.00 +0.01 -0.18 +0.15 0.00 +0.10 — 17:34
27 Hampus Lindholm D +0.07 +0.75 +0.01 -0.42 -0.30 0.00 +0.03 — 19:13
11 Casey Mittelstadt C +0.05 0.00 +0.03 +0.06 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 14:31
47 Mark Kastelic C +0.05 0.00 +0.04 -0.02 0.00 +0.01 +0.02 — 11:43
18 Pavel Zacha C -0.08 0.00 +0.06 -0.11 0.00 +0.01 -0.04 — 17:24
84 Tanner Jeannot L -0.14 0.00 +0.02 -0.01 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 9:20
28 Elias Lindholm C -0.22 0.00 +0.12 -0.38 0.00 +0.04 0.00 — 11:03

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.