Vegas Golden KnightsVGK 2–3 Final/OT Montréal CanadiensMTL

Tuesday, January 27, 2026

Final/OT	1st	2nd	3rd	OT	T	SOG
Vegas Golden KnightsVGK	1	0	1	0	2	34
Montréal CanadiensMTL	0	2	0	1	3	26

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
8:38	VGK	Pavel Dorofeyev (23) Unassisted · snap xG 0.13	1–0 ▶
2nd Period
4:24	MTL	Phillip Danault (2) Zachary Bolduc (10) · tip-in xG 0.05	1–1 ▶
8:55	MTL	Cole Caufield (30) Noah Dobson (23), Mike Matheson (21) · backhand xG 0.47	1–2 ▶
3rd Period
16:52	VGK	Pavel Dorofeyev (24) Ben Hutton (8), Braeden Bowman (12) · tip-in xG 0.04	2–2 ▶
Overtime
3:58	MTL	Jake Evans (6) Alexandre Texier (11) · backhand xG 0.27	2–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

VGK 58%Deserve to win42% MTL

VGK		MTL
4.17	Expected goals	3.67
2	Goals (no shootout)	3
2.49	Expected goals, 5 on 5	2.67
63	Shot attempts	63
45	Unblocked attempts	44
34	Shots on goal	26

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
0:50	VGK	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced MTL 2.18–0.08 In xG over 10 minutes, 15:10 of the 2nd to 5:10 of the 3rd; neither team scored
1:04	MTL	Goalie	Goalie · Dobes +2.0 goals saved 1 goal on 3.02 xG, 24 shots on goal
1:46	VGK	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · VGK takes the lead, 62–38% MTL had led since 17:52 of the 1st, by as much as 73%
12:00	VGK	No shift	No shift · Holtz, 17:31 on the bench No shift after 13:00 of the 2nd; 8 shifts (5:18) before that
16:30	VGK	Shortened bench	Shortened bench · 2 forwards sat Laczynski and Reinhardt: last shifts between 4:20 and 5:37 of the 3rd

Shot map

VGK shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ MTL shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Vegas Golden Knights

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
9	Jack Eichel	0	0	0	-2	6	0.21	1	0	26:00
61	Mark Stone	0	0	0	-1	8	1.19	0	0	23:00
93	Mitch Marner	0	0	0	+2	6	0.26	0	0	22:26
16	Pavel Dorofeyev	2	0	2	+2	10	0.80	0	0	19:16
48	Tomas Hertl	0	0	0	-1	4	0.74	2	1	18:54
49	Ivan Barbashev	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	2	1	16:20
42	Braeden Bowman	0	1	1	+2	4	0.16	3	0	15:26
55	Keegan Kolesar	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	6	1	15:13
19	Reilly Smith	0	0	0	-1	2	0.12	1	1	14:44
28	Tanner Laczynski	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	06:27
29	Cole Reinhardt	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	05:33
10	Alexander Holtz	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	0	0	05:18
Defense
27	Shea Theodore	0	0	0	-1	1	0.13	0	0	24:19
4	Rasmus Andersson	0	0	0	0	6	0.17	0	3	22:49
15	Noah Hanifin	0	0	0	-1	5	0.18	0	1	22:22
5	Jeremy Lauzon	0	0	0	-1	2	0.03	6	2	20:51
6	Kaedan Korczak	0	0	0	0	3	0.06	1	3	15:40
17	Ben Hutton	0	1	1	+1	3	0.02	1	2	13:14

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Akira Schmid	26	3	23	.885	3.67	+0.67

Montréal Canadiens

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
13	Cole Caufield	1	0	1	+1	6	0.78	0	0	19:27
71	Jake Evans	1	0	1	+1	6	0.79	1	1	19:23
14	Nick Suzuki	0	0	0	+1	4	0.24	2	0	19:17
20	Juraj Slafkovský	0	0	0	-1	2	0.28	2	0	17:54
85	Alexandre Texier	0	1	1	+1	3	0.31	2	2	16:45
93	Ivan Demidov	0	0	0	-1	7	0.27	0	0	16:23
91	Oliver Kapanen	0	0	0	-1	1	0.20	0	0	15:16
24	Phillip Danault	1	0	1	0	4	0.10	0	0	15:12
77	Kirby Dach	0	0	0	0	3	0.13	1	0	14:05
17	Josh Anderson	0	0	0	-1	2	0.10	3	0	12:34
76	Zachary Bolduc	0	1	1	+1	3	0.09	3	1	12:12
7	Brendan Gallagher	0	0	0	+1	1	0.16	0	0	12:04
Defense
48	Lane Hutson	0	0	0	-1	5	0.08	1	2	25:04
8	Mike Matheson	0	1	1	+2	5	0.06	0	2	24:25
45	Alexandre Carrier	0	0	0	-2	1	0.01	1	4	21:23
53	Noah Dobson	0	1	1	+2	5	0.06	2	3	20:41
21	Kaiden Guhle	0	0	0	0	5	0.01	4	3	19:42
72	Arber Xhekaj	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	2	0	08:16

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Jakub Dobes	34	2	32	.941	4.17	+2.17

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Vegas Golden Knights

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
16 Pavel Dorofeyev R	+3.37	+1.50	+0.52	+1.33	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	19:16
15 Noah Hanifin D	+1.42	0.00	+0.11	+1.29	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	22:22
42 Braeden Bowman R	+1.36	+0.55	+0.11	+0.72	0.00	-0.01	0.00	—	15:26
93 Mitch Marner R	+1.24	0.00	+0.17	+0.93	+0.15	-0.02	0.00	—	22:26
40 Akira Schmid G	+0.67	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+0.67	63:58
17 Ben Hutton D	+0.61	+0.70	+0.01	-0.20	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	13:14
48 Tomas Hertl C	+0.50	0.00	+0.48	-0.07	0.00	+0.02	+0.07	—	18:54
61 Mark Stone R	+0.48	0.00	+0.77	-0.40	+0.15	0.00	-0.04	—	23:00
4 Rasmus Andersson D	+0.32	0.00	+0.11	+0.23	-0.15	0.00	+0.13	—	22:49
6 Kaedan Korczak D	+0.20	0.00	+0.04	+0.05	0.00	0.00	+0.11	—	15:40
55 Keegan Kolesar R	+0.10	0.00	0.00	+0.07	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	15:13
49 Ivan Barbashev L	-0.19	0.00	+0.02	-0.29	0.00	0.00	+0.07	—	16:20
9 Jack Eichel C	-0.40	0.00	+0.13	-0.55	0.00	+0.02	0.00	—	26:00
28 Tanner Laczynski C	-0.50	0.00	0.00	-0.52	0.00	+0.02	0.00	—	6:27
23 Cole Reinhardt L	-0.52	0.00	0.00	-0.52	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	5:33
26 Alexander Holtz R	-0.56	0.00	+0.04	-0.45	-0.15	0.00	0.00	—	5:18
19 Reilly Smith R	-0.63	0.00	+0.08	-0.75	0.00	+0.01	+0.03	—	14:44
5 Jeremy Lauzon D	-0.78	0.00	+0.02	-0.88	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	20:51
27 Shea Theodore D	-1.07	0.00	+0.08	-0.98	-0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	24:19

Montréal Canadiens

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
75 Jakub Dobes G	+2.17	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+2.17	63:47
53 Noah Dobson D	+2.06	+0.70	+0.04	+1.17	0.00	0.00	+0.15	—	20:41
8 Mike Matheson D	+1.82	+0.55	+0.04	+1.15	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	24:25
71 Jake Evans C	+1.78	+0.75	+0.51	+0.34	+0.15	-0.04	+0.07	—	19:23
13 Cole Caufield R	+1.60	+0.75	+0.51	+0.52	-0.15	-0.01	-0.02	—	19:27
85 Alexandre Texier L	+1.59	+0.70	+0.20	+0.44	+0.15	0.00	+0.10	—	16:45
76 Zachary Bolduc R	+1.34	+0.70	+0.06	+0.55	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	12:12
24 Phillip Danault C	+1.00	+0.75	+0.07	0.00	+0.15	+0.03	0.00	—	15:12
11 Brendan Gallagher R	+0.55	0.00	+0.10	+0.45	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	12:04
77 Kirby Dach C	+0.49	0.00	+0.08	+0.39	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	14:05
14 Nick Suzuki C	+0.48	0.00	+0.15	+0.38	0.00	-0.04	-0.02	—	19:17
17 Josh Anderson R	-0.01	0.00	+0.07	-0.08	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	12:34
21 Kaiden Guhle D	-0.12	0.00	+0.01	-0.45	+0.15	0.00	+0.17	—	19:42
72 Arber Xhekaj D	-0.32	0.00	0.00	-0.30	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	8:16
45 Alexandre Carrier D	-0.46	0.00	+0.01	-0.67	0.00	0.00	+0.20	—	21:23
48 Lane Hutson D	-0.59	0.00	+0.05	-0.61	-0.15	0.00	+0.12	—	25:04
93 Ivan Demidov R	-0.63	0.00	+0.17	-0.78	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	16:23
20 Juraj Slafkovský L	-0.64	0.00	+0.18	-0.82	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	17:54
91 Oliver Kapanen C	-0.73	0.00	+0.13	-0.70	-0.15	+0.01	-0.02	—	15:16

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.