| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 22 | |
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 28 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| No scoring | |||
| 2nd Period | |||
| 10:00 | Samuel Helenius (2) Jeff Malott (4) · snap xG 0.14 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 6:46 | Andrei Kuzmenko (11)PP Adrian Kempe (23), Kevin Fiala (19) · snap xG 0.21 | 2–0 ▶ | |
| 17:45 | Alex DeBrincat (28) Moritz Seider (29), Patrick Kane (23) · wrist xG 0.09 | 2–1 ▶ | |
| 18:47 | Corey Perry (11)EN Alex Laferriere (12) · wrist xG 0.15 | 3–1 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| LAK | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.00 | Expected goals | 3.44 |
| 3 | Goals (no shootout) | 1 |
| 1.99 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.30 |
| 56 | Shot attempts | 69 |
| 39 | Unblocked attempts | 52 |
| 22 | Shots on goal | 28 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 3rd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 5:16 | LAK | Goalie | Goalie · Forsberg +2.0 goals saved
0 goals on 2.05 xG, 13 shots on goal |
| 16:25 | DET | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Gibson, down 2–0
With 3:35 left; DET scored at 17:45 of the 3rd (2–1) |
| 17:52 | DET | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Gibson, down 2–1
With 2:08 left; LAK scored at 18:47 of the 3rd (3–1) |
| 18:00 | DET | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · DET takes the lead, 60–40%
LAK had led since 9:59 of the 1st, by as much as 72% |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 14 | Alex Laferriere | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.36 | 7 | 0 | 18:34 |
| 55 | Quinton Byfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.14 | 1 | 1 | 18:15 |
| 12 | Trevor Moore | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 16:38 |
| 90 | Corey Perry | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.27 | 1 | 0 | 16:22 |
| 37 | Warren Foegele | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 7 | 0.45 | 1 | 0 | 15:44 |
| 9 | Adrian Kempe | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 | 15:37 |
| 22 | Kevin Fiala | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 5 | 0.18 | 1 | 0 | 15:26 |
| 62 | Andrei Kuzmenko | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.41 | 0 | 1 | 14:46 |
| 40 | Joel Armia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 | 13:58 |
| 79 | Samuel Helenius | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.26 | 3 | 0 | 10:50 |
| 17 | Taylor Ward | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.09 | 2 | 0 | 10:43 |
| 39 | Jeff Malott | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.22 | 3 | 0 | 08:00 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 8 | Drew Doughty | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 21:15 |
| 44 | Mikey Anderson | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 20:52 |
| 92 | Brandt Clarke | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.10 | 1 | 7 | 19:26 |
| 5 | Cody Ceci | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.01 | 1 | 3 | 18:57 |
| 6 | Joel Edmundson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 17:43 |
| 2 | Brian Dumoulin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.13 | 0 | 2 | 14:49 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anton Forsberg | 28 | 1 | 27 | .964 | 3.44 | +2.44 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 71 | Dylan Larkin | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 10 | 0.41 | 0 | 0 | 20:57 |
| 93 | Alex DeBrincat | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 0.49 | 0 | 0 | 19:59 |
| 18 | Andrew Copp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.22 | 1 | 2 | 19:24 |
| 23 | Lucas Raymond | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.10 | 0 | 0 | 19:03 |
| 88 | Patrick Kane | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.15 | 0 | 0 | 17:18 |
| 92 | Marco Kasper | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.56 | 1 | 2 | 16:21 |
| 37 | J.T. Compher | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 13:14 |
| 22 | Mason Appleton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 1 | 0 | 12:38 |
| 21 | James van Riemsdyk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 12:32 |
| 27 | Michael Rasmussen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.12 | 1 | 0 | 10:41 |
| 25 | Elmer Soderblom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 10:28 |
| 58 | Emmitt Finnie | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.34 | 1 | 0 | 08:53 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 53 | Moritz Seider | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.36 | 3 | 4 | 26:41 |
| 8 | Ben Chiarot | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.16 | 1 | 1 | 21:02 |
| 25 | Jacob Bernard-Docker | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | 0 | 2 | 19:20 |
| 20 | Albert Johansson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.05 | 1 | 1 | 15:53 |
| 44 | Axel Sandin-Pellikka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.05 | 0 | 1 | 15:25 |
| 52 | Travis Hamonic | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 11:28 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Gibson | 21 | 2 | 19 | .905 | 2.63 | +0.63 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Anton Forsberg G | +2.44 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +2.44 | 60:00 |
| 79 Samuel Helenius C | +1.74 | +0.75 | +0.17 | +0.88 | 0.00 | -0.06 | 0.00 | — | 11:02 |
| 39 Jeff Malott L | +1.43 | +0.70 | +0.14 | +0.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 8:00 |
| 96 Andrei Kuzmenko L | +1.13 | +0.75 | +0.26 | +0.23 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 14:46 |
| 52 Taylor Ward R | +0.83 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.64 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 10:48 |
| 5 Cody Ceci D | +0.46 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 19:04 |
| 12 Trevor Moore L | +0.45 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:38 |
| 22 Kevin Fiala L | +0.30 | +0.55 | +0.12 | -0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 15:26 |
| 40 Joel Armia R | +0.27 | 0.00 | +0.12 | +0.16 | 0.00 | -0.03 | +0.02 | — | 14:05 |
| 92 Brandt Clarke D | +0.20 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.26 | — | 19:26 |
| 2 Brian Dumoulin D | +0.17 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 14:56 |
| 37 Warren Foegele L | +0.11 | 0.00 | +0.29 | -0.17 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 15:44 |
| 14 Alex Laferriere R | +0.06 | +0.70 | +0.23 | -0.97 | +0.15 | -0.07 | +0.02 | — | 19:35 |
| 10 Corey Perry R | +0.04 | +0.75 | +0.18 | -0.84 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.04 | — | 17:28 |
| 44 Mikey Anderson D | -0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 21:58 |
| 55 Quinton Byfield R | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.27 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.05 | — | 18:15 |
| 9 Adrian Kempe R | -0.26 | +0.70 | +0.12 | -0.89 | -0.15 | -0.02 | -0.02 | — | 16:38 |
| 8 Drew Doughty D | -0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.14 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 22:21 |
| 6 Joel Edmundson D | -0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 17:43 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53 Moritz Seider D | +1.74 | +0.70 | +0.24 | +0.47 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.18 | — | 26:41 |
| 93 Alex DeBrincat R | +1.16 | +0.75 | +0.32 | +0.06 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.02 | — | 19:59 |
| 92 Marco Kasper C | +0.96 | 0.00 | +0.36 | +0.51 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.08 | — | 16:21 |
| 23 Lucas Raymond L | +0.93 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.71 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 19:03 |
| 71 Dylan Larkin C | +0.87 | 0.00 | +0.26 | +0.77 | -0.15 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 20:57 |
| 36 John Gibson G | +0.63 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.63 | 57:45 |
| 88 Patrick Kane R | +0.59 | +0.55 | +0.09 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 17:18 |
| 8 Ben Chiarot D | +0.59 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.30 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 21:02 |
| 25 Jacob Bernard-Docker D | +0.41 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.41 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 19:20 |
| 44 Axel Sandin-Pellikka D | +0.17 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:38 |
| 18 Andrew Copp C | +0.10 | 0.00 | +0.14 | -0.22 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.10 | — | 19:24 |
| 58 Emmitt Finnie C | +0.07 | 0.00 | +0.22 | -0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 9:02 |
| 21 James van Riemsdyk L | +0.03 | 0.00 | +0.16 | -0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 12:45 |
| 37 J.T. Compher L | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.17 | 0.00 | +0.06 | 0.00 | — | 13:25 |
| 27 Michael Rasmussen C | -0.12 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.26 | 0.00 | +0.06 | 0.00 | — | 11:43 |
| 22 Mason Appleton C | -0.14 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.32 | +0.15 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 13:38 |
| 85 Elmer Soderblom L | -0.26 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 11:32 |
| 52 Travis Hamonic D | -0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 11:28 |
| 20 Albert Johansson D | -0.46 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.39 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 17:06 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.