| Final/SO | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | SO | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 32 | |
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 23 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1:19 | Teuvo Teravainen (10) Connor Bedard (29), Louis Crevier (11) · backhand xG 0.82 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 15:14 | Ryan Donato (11) Unassisted · slap xG 0.17 | 2–0 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 5:54 | Ilya Mikheyev (10) Alex Vlasic (11), Jason Dickinson (5) · wrist xG 0.06 | 3–0 ▶ | |
| 12:33 | Yakov Trenin (4) Daemon Hunt (4) · snap xG 0.11 | 3–1 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 3:57 | Joel Eriksson Ek (13) Marcus Johansson (22), Quinn Hughes (45) · wrist xG 0.22 | 3–2 ▶ | |
| 17:58 | Jared Spurgeon (5) Joel Eriksson Ek (22), Matt Boldy (26) · backhand xG 0.26 | 3–3 ▶ | |
| Overtime | |||
| No scoring | |||
| Shootout | |||
| Mats Zuccarello vs Spencer Knight | Missed | ||
| Frank Nazar vs Jesper Wallstedt | Missed | ||
| Kirill Kaprizov vs Spencer Knight | Goal | ||
| Connor Bedard vs Jesper Wallstedt | No shot | ||
| Matt Boldy vs Spencer Knight | Saved | ||
| Ryan Donato vs Jesper Wallstedt | Saved | ||
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| CHI | MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 4.42 | Expected goals | 2.84 |
| 3 | Goals (no shootout) | 3 |
| 3.07 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.84 |
| 61 | Shot attempts | 47 |
| 44 | Unblocked attempts | 41 |
| 32 | Shots on goal | 23 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | CHI | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced MIN 1.66–0.25
In xG over 10 minutes, the start of the 1st to 10:00 of the 1st; goals 1–0 |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 17:53 | MIN | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Wallstedt, down 3–2
With 2:07 left; MIN scored at 17:58 of the 3rd (3–3) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 98 | Connor Bedard | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 11 | 1.19 | 2 | 0 | 23:50 |
| 59 | Tyler Bertuzzi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.42 | 1 | 0 | 21:50 |
| 91 | Frank Nazar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.56 | 0 | 0 | 21:30 |
| 86 | Teuvo Teravainen | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 5 | 1.00 | 0 | 0 | 21:19 |
| 95 | Ilya Mikheyev | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.27 | 0 | 0 | 20:13 |
| 16 | Jason Dickinson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.07 | 2 | 0 | 16:34 |
| 11 | Oliver Moore | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 | 14:54 |
| 95 | Andre Burakovsky | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 | 13:11 |
| 71 | Nick Foligno | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.05 | 2 | 0 | 12:50 |
| 8 | Ryan Donato | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 | 11:59 |
| 20 | Ryan Greene | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.14 | 0 | 0 | 10:38 |
| 84 | Landon Slaggert | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.05 | 0 | 1 | 10:30 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 72 | Alex Vlasic | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 22:04 |
| 55 | Artyom Levshunov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.08 | 3 | 1 | 20:37 |
| 44 | Wyatt Kaiser | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.06 | 0 | 0 | 18:45 |
| 46 | Louis Crevier | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 18:28 |
| 5 | Connor Murphy | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.14 | 0 | 2 | 18:20 |
| 24 | Matt Grzelcyk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 17:24 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Knight | 23 | 3 | 20 | .870 | 2.84 | -0.16 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 97 | Kirill Kaprizov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.30 | 2 | 0 | 21:58 |
| 12 | Matt Boldy | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 0.32 | 2 | 0 | 20:48 |
| 14 | Joel Eriksson Ek | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 0.46 | 1 | 1 | 18:40 |
| 38 | Ryan Hartman | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 7 | 0.19 | 1 | 3 | 17:28 |
| 36 | Mats Zuccarello | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.08 | 0 | 1 | 16:29 |
| 90 | Marcus Johansson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.37 | 0 | 0 | 15:53 |
| 17 | Marcus Foligno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.27 | 4 | 0 | 14:35 |
| 22 | Danila Yurov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.03 | 2 | 0 | 13:47 |
| 91 | Vladimir Tarasenko | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 | 13:07 |
| 13 | Yakov Trenin | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.21 | 6 | 1 | 10:42 |
| 78 | Nico Sturm | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 10:10 |
| 18 | Vinnie Hinostroza | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 06:40 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 7 | Brock Faber | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.05 | 0 | 1 | 30:01 |
| 43 | Quinn Hughes | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | 0.09 | 0 | 0 | 27:49 |
| 55 | Jake Middleton | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.01 | 0 | 3 | 24:00 |
| 46 | Jared Spurgeon | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.26 | 0 | 1 | 22:41 |
| 48 | Daemon Hunt | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 11:44 |
| 5 | David Jiricek | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 10:33 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesper Wallstedt | 32 | 3 | 29 | .906 | 4.42 | +1.42 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86 Teuvo Teravainen C | +3.24 | +0.75 | +0.65 | +1.83 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 21:19 |
| 98 Connor Bedard C | +3.21 | +0.70 | +0.77 | +1.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 23:50 |
| 72 Alex Vlasic D | +2.31 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +1.43 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 22:04 |
| 46 Louis Crevier D | +2.19 | +0.55 | +0.02 | +1.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:28 |
| 91 Frank Nazar C | +2.19 | 0.00 | +0.36 | +1.83 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 21:30 |
| 8 Ryan Donato C | +1.02 | +0.75 | +0.11 | +0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 | — | 11:59 |
| 95 Ilya Mikheyev R | +0.92 | +0.75 | +0.18 | -0.15 | +0.15 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 20:13 |
| 16 Jason Dickinson C | +0.79 | +0.55 | +0.05 | +0.12 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.02 | — | 16:34 |
| 5 Connor Murphy D | +0.16 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 18:20 |
| 55 Artyom Levshunov D | +0.14 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.11 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 20:37 |
| 20 Ryan Greene C | +0.13 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.11 | +0.15 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 10:38 |
| 11 Oliver Moore C | +0.09 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.09 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 14:54 |
| 44 Wyatt Kaiser D | +0.07 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 18:45 |
| 84 Landon Slaggert L | +0.05 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.02 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 10:30 |
| 28 Andre Burakovsky L | -0.06 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:11 |
| 59 Tyler Bertuzzi L | -0.09 | 0.00 | +0.28 | -0.38 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 21:50 |
| 30 Spencer Knight G | -0.16 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.16 | 65:00 |
| 48 Matt Grzelcyk D | -0.18 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.01 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 17:24 |
| 17 Nick Foligno L | -0.19 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.24 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 12:50 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Joel Eriksson Ek C | +2.06 | +1.45 | +0.30 | +0.31 | 0.00 | -0.05 | +0.05 | — | 18:40 |
| 30 Jesper Wallstedt G | +1.42 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.42 | 64:55 |
| 13 Yakov Trenin C | +1.07 | +0.75 | +0.14 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.03 | — | 10:42 |
| 48 Daemon Hunt D | +0.81 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 11:44 |
| 90 Marcus Johansson L | +0.73 | +0.70 | +0.24 | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:53 |
| 46 Jared Spurgeon D | +0.71 | +0.75 | +0.17 | -0.09 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 22:41 |
| 17 Marcus Foligno L | +0.49 | 0.00 | +0.18 | +0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:35 |
| 12 Matt Boldy L | +0.42 | +0.55 | +0.21 | -0.03 | -0.30 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 20:48 |
| 18 Vinnie Hinostroza C | +0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 6:40 |
| 91 Vladimir Tarasenko R | +0.11 | 0.00 | +0.12 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 13:07 |
| 55 David Jiricek D | +0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 10:33 |
| 5 Jake Middleton D | -0.01 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 24:00 |
| 78 Nico Sturm C | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.11 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.02 | — | 10:10 |
| 22 Danila Yurov R | -0.53 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.34 | -0.15 | -0.04 | -0.02 | — | 13:47 |
| 43 Quinn Hughes D | -0.89 | +0.55 | +0.06 | -1.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 27:49 |
| 38 Ryan Hartman R | -1.16 | 0.00 | +0.12 | -1.37 | 0.00 | -0.07 | +0.15 | — | 17:28 |
| 36 Mats Zuccarello R | -1.35 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -1.60 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:29 |
| 97 Kirill Kaprizov L | -1.50 | 0.00 | +0.20 | -1.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 21:58 |
| 7 Brock Faber D | -1.60 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -1.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 30:01 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.