| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 |
 |
2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 36 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Scoring
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 14:59 | |
Ondrej Palat (5)PP Simon Holmstrom (13), Matthew Schaefer (22) · snap xG 0.19 | 0–1 ▶ |
| 16:10 | |
Simon Holmstrom (13) Tony DeAngelo (19), Jean-Gabriel Pageau (12) · tip-in xG 0.06 | 0–2 ▶ |
| 18:04 | |
Mika Zibanejad (22)PP J.T. Miller (20), Vladislav Gavrikov (10) · snap xG 0.15 | 1–2 ▶ |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 13:12 | |
Mathew Barzal (13)PP Simon Holmstrom (14), Bo Horvat (13) · snap xG 0.09 | 1–3 ▶ |
| 13:59 | |
Jean-Gabriel Pageau (11) Marc Gatcomb (2), Kyle MacLean (3) · backhand xG 0.07 | 1–4 ▶ |
| 15:42 | |
Taylor Raddysh (8) Noah Laba (10), Will Borgen (3) · wrist xG 0.08 | 2–4 ▶ |
| 19:12 | |
Emil Heineman (15) Adam Pelech (6), Ondrej Palat (7) · snap xG 0.23 | 2–5 ▶ |
| 3rd Period | |||
| No scoring | |||
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| NYR | NYI | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.80 | Expected goals | 3.30 |
| 2 | Goals (no shootout) | 5 |
| 1.20 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.87 |
| 44 | Shot attempts | 62 |
| 28 | Unblocked attempts | 48 |
| 16 | Shots on goal | 36 |
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00 | NYI | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced NYR 1.20–0.18
In xG over 10 minutes, 4:00 to 14:00 of the 2nd; goals 2–0 |
| 19:12 | NYR | Goalie | Goalie · Martin −2.3 goals saved
5 goals on 2.67 xG, 28 shots on goal |
Shot map
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
Box score
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 93 | Mika Zibanejad | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 0.36 | 0 | 0 | 21:39 |
| 10 | J.T. Miller | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 0.26 | 6 | 0 | 19:46 |
| 94 | Gabe Perreault | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.30 | 0 | 1 | 16:17 |
| 16 | Vincent Trocheck | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.07 | 0 | 1 | 15:50 |
| 42 | Noah Laba | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | 4 | 1 | 14:25 |
| 50 | Will Cuylle | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.03 | 4 | 0 | 14:18 |
| 78 | Brennan Othmann | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 4 | 0 | 13:48 |
| 14 | Taylor Raddysh | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 1 | 0 | 13:28 |
| 13 | Alexis Lafrenière | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 13:27 |
| 22 | Jonny Brodzinski | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 0 | 1 | 10:10 |
| 10 | Sam Carrick | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 09:50 |
| 73 | Matt Rempe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 0 | 09:49 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 44 | Vladislav Gavrikov | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.12 | 0 | 1 | 24:44 |
| 4 | Braden Schneider | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.09 | 3 | 1 | 22:52 |
| 29 | Matthew Robertson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.03 | 1 | 2 | 22:14 |
| 17 | Will Borgen | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 20:38 |
| 18 | Urho Vaakanainen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.04 | 1 | 1 | 13:54 |
| 60 | Scott Morrow | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 13:23 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Martin | 36 | 5 | 31 | .861 | 3.30 | -1.70 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 13 | Mathew Barzal | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 | 0.24 | 0 | 3 | 20:09 |
| 51 | Emil Heineman | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 0.45 | 4 | 0 | 17:10 |
| 14 | Bo Horvat | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.30 | 0 | 0 | 17:07 |
| 11 | Anthony Duclair | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.30 | 0 | 1 | 16:40 |
| 92 | Jonathan Drouin | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.10 | 0 | 0 | 16:23 |
| 92 | Simon Holmstrom | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 5 | 0.22 | 0 | 0 | 15:53 |
| 72 | Anders Lee | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 6 | 0.44 | 1 | 2 | 15:39 |
| 44 | Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 0.16 | 3 | 1 | 13:31 |
| 53 | Casey Cizikas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 13:07 |
| 32 | Kyle MacLean | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.04 | 2 | 1 | 12:12 |
| 81 | Ondrej Palat | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 0.28 | 2 | 1 | 11:53 |
| 17 | Marc Gatcomb | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.21 | 3 | 1 | 11:03 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 48 | Matthew Schaefer | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.25 | 2 | 3 | 24:36 |
| 6 | Ryan Pulock | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 19:53 |
| 77 | Tony DeAngelo | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 8 | 0.16 | 0 | 0 | 19:39 |
| 3 | Adam Pelech | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 17:29 |
| 24 | Scott Mayfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 3 | 1 | 17:05 |
| 7 | Carson Soucy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.06 | 2 | 1 | 16:38 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Rittich | 16 | 2 | 14 | .875 | 1.80 | -0.20 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 93 Mika Zibanejad C | +1.57 | +0.75 | +0.24 | +0.48 | +0.15 | -0.04 | 0.00 | — | 21:39 |
| 8 J.T. Miller C | +1.32 | +0.70 | +0.17 | +0.51 | 0.00 | -0.04 | -0.02 | — | 19:46 |
| 94 Gabe Perreault R | +0.73 | 0.00 | +0.20 | +0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:17 |
| 17 Will Borgen D | +0.63 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 20:38 |
| 44 Vladislav Gavrikov D | +0.37 | +0.55 | +0.08 | -0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 24:44 |
| 14 Taylor Raddysh R | +0.19 | +0.75 | +0.06 | -0.63 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.02 | — | 13:28 |
| 42 Noah Laba C | +0.13 | +0.70 | +0.06 | -0.63 | 0.00 | -0.05 | +0.05 | — | 14:25 |
| 4 Braden Schneider D | +0.09 | 0.00 | +0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 22:52 |
| 22 Jonny Brodzinski C | -0.03 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.13 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 10:10 |
| 18 Urho Vaakanainen D | -0.18 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 13:54 |
| 73 Matt Rempe C | -0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.09 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:49 |
| 39 Sam Carrick C | -0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.05 | -0.30 | +0.03 | -0.02 | — | 9:50 |
| 78 Brennan Othmann L | -0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.59 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 13:48 |
| 13 Alexis Lafrenière L | -0.66 | 0.00 | +0.16 | -0.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 13:27 |
| 29 Matthew Robertson D | -0.67 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 22:14 |
| 16 Vincent Trocheck C | -0.68 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.81 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.05 | — | 15:50 |
| 60 Scott Morrow D | -0.79 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 13:23 |
| 50 Will Cuylle L | -0.87 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.84 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.04 | — | 14:18 |
| 41 Spencer Martin G | -1.70 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.70 | 60:00 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Simon Holmstrom R | +2.78 | +2.15 | +0.14 | +0.34 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:53 |
| 44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau C | +2.36 | +1.30 | +0.11 | +0.87 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.05 | — | 13:31 |
| 3 Adam Pelech D | +1.80 | +0.70 | +0.01 | +1.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 17:29 |
| 16 Marc Gatcomb C | +1.67 | +0.70 | +0.14 | +0.63 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 11:03 |
| 32 Kyle MacLean C | +1.56 | +0.55 | +0.03 | +0.80 | +0.15 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 12:12 |
| 81 Ondrej Palat L | +1.54 | +1.30 | +0.18 | +0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 11:53 |
| 51 Emil Heineman L | +1.27 | +0.75 | +0.29 | +0.23 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 17:10 |
| 77 Tony DeAngelo D | +1.21 | +0.70 | +0.11 | +0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 19:39 |
| 13 Mathew Barzal C | +1.18 | +0.75 | +0.16 | -0.17 | +0.30 | -0.01 | +0.15 | — | 20:09 |
| 48 Matthew Schaefer D | +0.82 | +0.55 | +0.16 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 24:36 |
| 14 Bo Horvat C | +0.80 | +0.55 | +0.20 | +0.32 | -0.30 | +0.05 | -0.02 | — | 17:07 |
| 27 Anders Lee L | +0.72 | 0.00 | +0.29 | +0.32 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.08 | — | 15:39 |
| 6 Ryan Pulock D | +0.52 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.08 | — | 19:53 |
| 24 Scott Mayfield D | +0.18 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 17:05 |
| 11 Anthony Duclair L | +0.09 | 0.00 | +0.19 | -0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:40 |
| 4 Carson Soucy D | +0.01 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 16:38 |
| 53 Casey Cizikas C | -0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 13:07 |
| 29 Jonathan Drouin L | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.05 | -0.15 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 16:23 |
| 33 David Rittich G | -0.20 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.20 | 59:22 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.