| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 27 | |
| 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 31 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 0:38 | Charlie Coyle (12) Mathieu Olivier (8), Zach Werenski (37) · wrist xG 0.16 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 9:03 | Travis Konecny (18) Cam York (18), Noah Juulsen (8) · snap xG 0.15 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 19:40 | Kirill Marchenko (19) Zach Werenski (38), Adam Fantilli (21) · snap xG 0.18 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 1:58 | Erik Gudbranson (1) Cole Sillinger (16), Charlie Coyle (23) · slap xG 0.05 | 1–3 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 4:08 | Travis Konecny (19) Christian Dvorak (21), Jamie Drysdale (18) · wrist xG 0.10 | 2–3 ▶ | |
| 15:14 | Travis Konecny (20) Travis Sanheim (17) · wrist xG 0.15 | 3–3 ▶ | |
| 16:32 | Sean Monahan (9) Damon Severson (17), Kent Johnson (11) · wrist xG 0.13 | 3–4 ▶ | |
| 18:54 | Mathieu Olivier (5)EN Cole Sillinger (17) · wrist xG 0.88 | 3–5 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| PHI | CBJ | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.15 | Expected goals | 3.67 |
| 3 | Goals (no shootout) | 5 |
| 1.53 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.58 |
| 55 | Shot attempts | 60 |
| 43 | Unblocked attempts | 42 |
| 27 | Shots on goal | 31 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1:58 | PHI | Goalie | Goalie · Vladar −2.1 goals saved
3 goals on 0.88 xG, 9 shots on goal |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 17:12 | PHI | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Vladar, down 4–3
With 2:48 left; CBJ scored at 18:54 of the 3rd (3–5) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 22 | Christian Dvorak | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0.37 | 0 | 2 | 21:59 |
| 11 | Travis Konecny | 3 | 0 | 3 | +1 | 5 | 0.48 | 1 | 1 | 21:30 |
| 46 | Trevor Zegras | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 10 | 0.73 | 2 | 0 | 21:20 |
| 74 | Owen Tippett | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.21 | 1 | 1 | 18:08 |
| 10 | Bobby Brink | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 15:52 |
| 14 | Sean Couturier | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.21 | 3 | 1 | 15:41 |
| 39 | Matvei Michkov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.28 | 0 | 1 | 15:31 |
| 27 | Noah Cates | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.17 | 3 | 1 | 14:50 |
| 86 | Denver Barkey | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.21 | 1 | 0 | 14:12 |
| 17 | Nikita Grebenkin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 10:16 |
| 91 | Carl Grundstrom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 1 | 09:54 |
| 29 | Lane Pederson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 06:48 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 9 | Jamie Drysdale | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.19 | 1 | 0 | 26:46 |
| 8 | Cam York | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 5 | 0.16 | 0 | 2 | 23:53 |
| 6 | Travis Sanheim | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 3 | 0.13 | 1 | 2 | 23:36 |
| 24 | Nick Seeler | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 20:11 |
| 47 | Noah Juulsen | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 15:18 |
| 55 | Rasmus Ristolainen | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 01:01 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Vladar | 30 | 4 | 26 | .867 | 2.72 | -1.28 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 3 | Charlie Coyle | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 0.20 | 2 | 0 | 18:35 |
| 23 | Sean Monahan | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0.13 | 0 | 1 | 17:59 |
| 86 | Kirill Marchenko | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.34 | 0 | 0 | 17:47 |
| 22 | Boone Jenner | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.06 | 1 | 1 | 17:45 |
| 19 | Adam Fantilli | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 8 | 0.91 | 2 | 0 | 17:09 |
| 27 | Mason Marchment | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.32 | 0 | 0 | 16:46 |
| 4 | Cole Sillinger | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 0.09 | 1 | 0 | 14:10 |
| 24 | Mathieu Olivier | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 0.98 | 3 | 1 | 14:04 |
| 91 | Kent Johnson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.16 | 1 | 0 | 12:36 |
| 21 | Isac Lundeström | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 1 | 12:00 |
| 10 | Dmitri Voronkov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 08:38 |
| 18 | Miles Wood | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 07:30 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 8 | Zach Werenski | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0.21 | 0 | 1 | 22:58 |
| 9 | Ivan Provorov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.06 | 0 | 2 | 22:22 |
| 78 | Damon Severson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 0.07 | 1 | 1 | 22:18 |
| 44 | Erik Gudbranson | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.07 | 1 | 0 | 18:35 |
| 5 | Denton Mateychuk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 16:57 |
| 6 | Egor Zamula | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.03 | 1 | 3 | 13:38 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elvis Merzlikins | 27 | 3 | 24 | .889 | 3.15 | +0.15 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Travis Konecny R | +3.10 | +2.25 | +0.31 | +0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 21:30 |
| 9 Jamie Drysdale D | +1.32 | +0.55 | +0.12 | +0.49 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 26:46 |
| 8 Cam York D | +1.06 | +0.70 | +0.10 | +0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 23:53 |
| 22 Christian Dvorak C | +1.00 | +0.70 | +0.24 | +0.11 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 21:59 |
| 47 Noah Juulsen D | +0.83 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 15:18 |
| 46 Trevor Zegras C | +0.57 | 0.00 | +0.48 | +0.10 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 21:20 |
| 14 Sean Couturier C | +0.40 | 0.00 | +0.14 | +0.28 | 0.00 | -0.05 | +0.03 | — | 15:41 |
| 39 Matvei Michkov R | +0.40 | 0.00 | +0.18 | +0.01 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 15:31 |
| 6 Travis Sanheim D | +0.30 | +0.70 | +0.09 | -0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | — | 23:36 |
| 74 Owen Tippett R | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.14 | -0.21 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 18:08 |
| 29 Nikita Grebenkin R | +0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 10:16 |
| 52 Denver Barkey C | +0.05 | 0.00 | +0.14 | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:12 |
| 25 Lane Pederson C | +0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.05 | — | 6:48 |
| 91 Carl Grundstrom R | +0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 9:54 |
| 24 Nick Seeler D | -0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 20:11 |
| 10 Bobby Brink R | -0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.32 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 15:52 |
| 55 Rasmus Ristolainen D | -0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 1:01 |
| 27 Noah Cates L | -0.40 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.51 | 0.00 | -0.06 | +0.07 | — | 14:50 |
| 80 Dan Vladar G | -1.28 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.28 | 57:14 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mathieu Olivier R | +2.39 | +1.45 | +0.64 | +0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 14:04 |
| 19 Adam Fantilli C | +1.86 | +0.55 | +0.59 | +0.64 | 0.00 | +0.08 | 0.00 | — | 17:09 |
| 3 Charlie Coyle C | +1.57 | +1.30 | +0.13 | -0.15 | +0.30 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 18:35 |
| 86 Kirill Marchenko R | +1.29 | +0.75 | +0.22 | +0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:47 |
| 4 Cole Sillinger C | +1.17 | +1.40 | +0.06 | -0.13 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:10 |
| 8 Zach Werenski D | +1.07 | +1.25 | +0.14 | -0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 22:58 |
| 78 Damon Severson D | +0.78 | +0.70 | +0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 22:18 |
| 9 Ivan Provorov D | +0.65 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 22:22 |
| 91 Kent Johnson C | +0.53 | +0.55 | +0.10 | +0.03 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:36 |
| 5 Denton Mateychuk D | +0.43 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 16:57 |
| 23 Sean Monahan C | +0.34 | +0.75 | +0.09 | -0.57 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.05 | — | 17:59 |
| 44 Erik Gudbranson D | +0.24 | +0.75 | +0.04 | -0.38 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:35 |
| 90 Elvis Merzlikins G | +0.15 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.15 | 60:00 |
| 17 Mason Marchment L | +0.11 | 0.00 | +0.21 | +0.05 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:46 |
| 38 Boone Jenner C | +0.05 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 17:46 |
| 6 Egor Zamula D | +0.02 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | — | 13:38 |
| 10 Dmitri Voronkov L | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 8:38 |
| 21 Isac Lundeström C | -0.04 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.14 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.05 | — | 12:00 |
| 11 Miles Wood L | -0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 7:30 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.