Philadelphia FlyersPHI 3–6 Final Boston BruinsBOS

Thursday, January 29, 2026

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Philadelphia FlyersPHI	0	2	1	3	36
Boston BruinsBOS	2	3	1	6	27

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
9:49	BOS	Viktor Arvidsson (13) Casey Mittelstadt (15), Fraser Minten (14) · snap xG 0.11	0–1 ▶
10:30	BOS	Pavel Zacha (15) Morgan Geekie (20), Jonathan Aspirot (3) · wrist xG 0.18	0–2 ▶
2nd Period
2:27	BOS	Fraser Minten (14) Casey Mittelstadt (16) · wrist xG 0.10	0–3 ▶
3:16	PHI	Travis Konecny (21) Christian Dvorak (22) · snap xG 0.17	1–3 ▶
16:12	BOS	Casey Mittelstadt (11) Andrew Peeke (6), Fraser Minten (15) · backhand xG 0.22	1–4 ▶
18:40	BOS	Tanner Jeannot (6) Andrew Peeke (7), Sean Kuraly (12) · tip-in xG 0.10	1–5 ▶
19:05	PHI	Nikita Grebenkin (4) Travis Konecny (29) · wrist xG 0.33	2–5 ▶
3rd Period
16:30	BOS	Marat Khusnutdinov (12)EN Charlie McAvoy (32), Jonathan Aspirot (4) · wrist xG 0.76	2–6 ▶
18:19	PHI	Matvei Michkov (13)PP Denver Barkey (7), Owen Tippett (16) · wrist xG 0.27	3–6 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

PHI 70%Deserve to win30% BOS

PHI		BOS
3.89	Expected goals	3.40
3	Goals (no shootout)	6
2.86	Expected goals, 5 on 5	2.45
57	Shot attempts	55
47	Unblocked attempts	38
36	Shots on goal	27

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
18:40	PHI	Goalie	Goalie · Ersson −2.8 goals saved 5 goals on 2.19 xG, 19 shots on goal
20:00	PHI	Goalie change	Goalie change · Vladar in for Ersson The start of the 3rd; Ersson had allowed 5 goals on 20 shots (2.33 xG)
3rd Period
3:10	BOS	No shift	No shift · Zacha, 23:41 on the bench No shift after 13:05 of the 2nd; 12 shifts (10:46) before that
16:16	PHI	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Vladar, down 5–2 With 3:44 left; BOS scored at 16:30 of the 3rd (2–6)
18:17	PHI	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · PHI takes the lead, 64–36% BOS had led since 3:05 of the 1st, by as much as 80%
18:40	PHI	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced BOS 1.17–0.11 In xG over 10 minutes, 9:20 to 19:20 of the 3rd; goals 1–1

Shot map

PHI shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ BOS shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Philadelphia Flyers

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
11	Travis Konecny	1	1	2	-1	5	0.48	1	0	17:31
46	Trevor Zegras	0	0	0	-2	2	0.05	1	1	16:41
86	Denver Barkey	0	1	1	-1	3	0.46	1	0	16:26
27	Noah Cates	0	0	0	-1	4	0.05	0	1	16:26
10	Bobby Brink	0	0	0	-1	2	0.00	2	1	16:11
74	Owen Tippett	0	1	1	-1	7	0.62	2	0	16:08
22	Christian Dvorak	0	1	1	-1	2	0.12	1	1	15:37
14	Sean Couturier	0	0	0	-1	6	0.35	5	0	13:57
17	Nikita Grebenkin	1	0	1	-1	5	0.81	1	0	13:43
21	Garnet Hathaway	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	7	3	12:50
39	Matvei Michkov	1	0	1	-1	3	0.40	0	1	12:49
44	Nicolas Deslauriers	0	0	0	-1	4	0.19	9	0	12:12
Defense
9	Jamie Drysdale	0	0	0	-1	2	0.00	0	1	23:06
55	Rasmus Ristolainen	0	0	0	-1	2	0.08	2	1	21:53
6	Travis Sanheim	0	0	0	-1	1	0.13	0	1	21:41
8	Cam York	0	0	0	-1	2	0.01	1	2	20:43
24	Nick Seeler	0	0	0	-2	5	0.12	0	2	14:45
47	Noah Juulsen	0	0	0	-2	1	0.00	3	2	13:35

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Samuel Ersson	20	5	15	.750	2.33	-2.67
Dan Vladar	6	0	6	1.000	0.31	+0.31

Boston Bruins

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
88	David Pastrnak	0	0	0	+3	5	0.03	2	0	22:40
39	Morgan Geekie	0	1	1	+2	1	0.03	1	0	17:58
52	Sean Kuraly	0	1	1	-1	5	0.34	1	1	16:00
84	Tanner Jeannot	1	0	1	-1	1	0.10	3	1	15:04
93	Fraser Minten	1	2	3	+3	4	0.24	1	0	15:00
11	Casey Mittelstadt	1	2	3	+3	3	0.25	0	0	14:54
47	Mark Kastelic	0	0	0	-2	4	0.05	2	0	14:10
33	Viktor Arvidsson	1	0	1	+3	5	0.17	0	0	13:07
92	Marat Khusnutdinov	1	0	1	+1	3	0.94	0	0	12:37
51	Matthew Poitras	0	0	0	0	5	0.29	0	1	11:28
18	Pavel Zacha	1	0	1	+1	2	0.27	0	0	10:46
81	Michael Eyssimont	0	0	0	0	5	0.12	1	0	10:02
Defense
73	Charlie McAvoy	0	1	1	0	4	0.33	1	1	20:54
91	Nikita Zadorov	0	0	0	+2	3	0.01	1	0	20:46
6	Mason Lohrei	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	0	2	20:35
27	Hampus Lindholm	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	0	3	20:04
20	Andrew Peeke	0	2	2	+3	2	0.17	2	0	20:03
45	Jonathan Aspirot	0	2	2	+1	1	0.04	0	0	17:26

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Jeremy Swayman	36	3	33	.917	3.89	+0.89

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Philadelphia Flyers

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
11 Travis Konecny R	+2.19	+1.45	+0.31	+0.47	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	17:31
29 Nikita Grebenkin R	+1.93	+0.75	+0.52	+0.50	+0.15	0.00	0.00	—	13:43
74 Owen Tippett R	+1.36	+0.55	+0.41	+0.23	+0.15	0.00	+0.02	—	16:08
22 Christian Dvorak C	+1.13	+0.70	+0.08	+0.32	0.00	-0.02	+0.05	—	15:37
55 Rasmus Ristolainen D	+0.67	0.00	+0.05	+0.42	+0.15	0.00	+0.05	—	21:53
52 Denver Barkey C	+0.59	+0.70	+0.30	-0.19	-0.15	-0.01	-0.06	—	16:26
14 Sean Couturier C	+0.48	0.00	+0.23	+0.30	0.00	-0.02	-0.02	—	13:57
19 Garnet Hathaway R	+0.46	0.00	+0.01	+0.30	0.00	-0.01	+0.15	—	12:50
27 Noah Cates L	+0.45	0.00	+0.03	+0.28	0.00	+0.09	+0.05	—	16:26
44 Nicolas Deslauriers L	+0.43	0.00	+0.12	+0.28	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	12:12
39 Matvei Michkov R	+0.41	+0.75	+0.26	-0.65	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	12:49
9 Jamie Drysdale D	+0.40	0.00	0.00	+0.39	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	23:06
80 Dan Vladar G	+0.31	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+0.31	19:46
6 Travis Sanheim D	+0.11	0.00	+0.09	+0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.01	—	21:41
8 Cam York D	-0.07	0.00	+0.01	-0.17	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	20:43
47 Noah Juulsen D	-0.23	0.00	0.00	-0.31	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	13:35
24 Nick Seeler D	-0.23	0.00	+0.07	-0.41	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	14:45
46 Trevor Zegras C	-0.89	0.00	+0.03	-0.83	0.00	-0.10	+0.01	—	16:41
10 Bobby Brink R	-0.92	0.00	0.00	-0.95	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	16:11
33 Samuel Ersson G	-2.67	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-2.67	40:00

Boston Bruins

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
11 Casey Mittelstadt C	+3.31	+2.15	+0.16	+1.01	0.00	+0.01	-0.02	—	14:54
93 Fraser Minten C	+3.21	+1.85	+0.15	+1.17	0.00	+0.03	0.00	—	15:00
71 Viktor Arvidsson L	+2.03	+0.75	+0.11	+1.19	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	13:07
92 Marat Khusnutdinov C	+1.40	+0.75	+0.61	+0.06	0.00	-0.03	0.00	—	12:37
26 Andrew Peeke D	+1.25	+1.40	+0.11	-0.11	-0.15	0.00	0.00	—	20:03
45 Jonathan Aspirot D	+0.97	+1.10	+0.02	-0.29	+0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	17:26
1 Jeremy Swayman G	+0.89	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+0.89	60:00
27 Hampus Lindholm D	+0.77	0.00	+0.02	+0.71	-0.15	0.00	+0.19	—	20:04
51 Matthew Poitras C	+0.65	0.00	+0.19	+0.44	0.00	-0.03	+0.05	—	11:28
39 Morgan Geekie C	+0.49	+0.70	+0.02	-0.18	0.00	-0.03	-0.02	—	17:58
6 Mason Lohrei D	+0.48	0.00	0.00	+0.53	-0.15	0.00	+0.10	—	20:35
18 Pavel Zacha C	+0.43	+0.75	+0.17	-0.44	0.00	-0.03	-0.02	—	10:46
81 Michael Eyssimont C	+0.43	0.00	+0.08	+0.34	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	10:02
73 Charlie McAvoy D	+0.34	+0.70	+0.21	-0.58	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	20:54
88 David Pastrnak R	-0.07	0.00	+0.02	-0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.06	—	22:40
84 Tanner Jeannot L	-0.17	+0.75	+0.06	-1.03	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	15:04
52 Sean Kuraly C	-0.17	+0.55	+0.22	-1.00	0.00	+0.05	+0.01	—	16:00
91 Nikita Zadorov D	-0.33	0.00	+0.01	-0.32	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	20:46
47 Mark Kastelic C	-1.37	0.00	+0.04	-1.49	0.00	+0.09	0.00	—	14:10

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.