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Los Angeles KingsLAK 1–4 Final Buffalo SabresBUF

Thursday, January 29, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Los Angeles KingsLAK 010 1 38
Buffalo SabresBUF 211 4 32

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
7:14 BUF Alex Tuch (20)PP Ryan McLeod (25), Jack Quinn (20) · snap xG 0.10 0–1 ▶
11:17 BUF Mattias Samuelsson (9) Rasmus Dahlin (32), Jack Quinn (21) · slap xG 0.05 0–2 ▶
2nd Period
6:29 BUF Alex Tuch (21) Bowen Byram (16), Zach Benson (19) · tip-in xG 0.10 0–3 ▶
7:47 LAK Adrian Kempe (18)PP Kevin Fiala (20), Brandt Clarke (20) · tip-in xG 0.09 1–3 ▶
3rd Period
19:00 BUF Alex Tuch (22)EN Jack Quinn (22), Ryan McLeod (26) · snap xG 0.58 1–4 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

LAK 54%Deserve to win46% BUF
LAKBUF
2.78Expected goals3.12
1Goals (no shootout)4
2.43Expected goals, 5 on 52.21
68Shot attempts52
53Unblocked attempts39
38Shots on goal32

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
18:54 LAK Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Kuemper, down 3–1
With 1:06 left; BUF scored at 19:00 of the 3rd (1–4)

Shot map

LAK shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ BUF shoots
Corey Perry: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:09) Adrian Kempe: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 0:11) Andrei Kuzmenko: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 1:55) Owen Power: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 3:30) Josh Doan: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 4:56) Rasmus Dahlin: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 6:18) Alex Tuch: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 7:07) Brian Dumoulin: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 7:41) Brian Dumoulin: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 7:59) Andrei Kuzmenko: tip-in, 26 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 8:09) Mikey Anderson: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.20 (P1 9:05) Tage Thompson: deflected, 7 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 10:22) Brandt Clarke: wrist, 181 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 10:37) Mikey Anderson: backhand, 36 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 11:57) Michael Kesselring: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 12:13) Rasmus Dahlin: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 12:25) Cody Ceci: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 12:43) Warren Foegele: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 13:53) Warren Foegele: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 14:02) Adrian Kempe: tip-in, 33 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 14:44) Corey Perry: snap, 5 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 14:45) Brandt Clarke: snap, 65 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 14:55) Taylor Ward: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 15:57) Kevin Fiala: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 17:59) Owen Power: wrist, 76 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 19:56) Alex Tuch: snap, 10 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 0:21) Tage Thompson: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 0:22) Alex Tuch: wrist, 4 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 0:23) Quinton Byfield: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 0:47) Mikey Anderson: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 0:50) Konsta Helenius: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 2:44) Zach Benson: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 2:57) Joel Edmundson: slap, 36 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 3:10) Taylor Ward: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:33) Peyton Krebs: deflected, 12 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 4:12) Ryan McLeod: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 4:52) Alex Laferriere: snap, 12 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 5:08) Konsta Helenius: deflected, 13 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 5:46) Tage Thompson: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 5:55) Warren Foegele: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 8:02) Cody Ceci: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 8:05) Warren Foegele: tip-in, 18 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 8:40) Joel Armia: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 9:03) Taylor Ward: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 10:22) Jeff Malott: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 10:24) Jeff Malott: deflected, 10 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 10:37) Cody Ceci: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 10:54) Noah Ostlund: tip-in, 67 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 11:29) Joel Edmundson: snap, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 12:02) Rasmus Dahlin: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:00) Owen Power: slap, 20 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 13:22) Tyson Kozak: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 13:45) Corey Perry: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 15:27) Alex Laferriere: snap, 56 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 15:33) Adrian Kempe: slap, 23 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 15:38) Alex Laferriere: slap, 28 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 15:41) Zach Benson: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 16:35) Tage Thompson: backhand, 16 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 16:38) Zach Benson: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 16:43) Owen Power: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 16:52) Kevin Fiala: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 17:41) Joel Armia: slap, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 17:51) Alex Laferriere: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 19:07) Jack Quinn: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 0:55) Joel Armia: backhand, 17 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 1:33) Kevin Fiala: wrap-around, 6 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 1:54) Zach Benson: tip-in, 86 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 2:34) Brandt Clarke: tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 2:45) Taylor Ward: slap, 41 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 2:55) Trevor Moore: backhand, 22 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 3:50) Corey Perry: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 4:39) Tage Thompson: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 5:20) Zach Metsa: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 5:36) Alex Tuch: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 8:52) Peyton Krebs: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 9:11) Josh Doan: tip-in, 22 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 10:22) Michael Kesselring: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 11:17) Andrei Kuzmenko: tip-in, 23 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 11:37) Trevor Moore: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 12:41) Mikey Anderson: slap, 41 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 12:44) Joel Edmundson: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 13:31) Bowen Byram: slap, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 13:46) Quinton Byfield: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 14:31) Cody Ceci: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 14:41) Joel Edmundson: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 17:02) Rasmus Dahlin: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 18:25) Drew Doughty: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 18:51) Alex Tuch: GOAL, snap, 30 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 7:14) Mattias Samuelsson: GOAL, slap, 58 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 11:17) Alex Tuch: GOAL, tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 6:29) Adrian Kempe: GOAL, tip-in, 20 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 7:47) Alex Tuch: GOAL, snap, 62 ft, xG 0.58 (P3 19:00)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Los Angeles Kings

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
14 Alex Laferriere 000 0 40.52 2117:40
22 Kevin Fiala 011 -1 40.24 0017:23
9 Adrian Kempe 101 -1 60.26 3016:49
40 Joel Armia 000 -1 50.11 2016:47
12 Trevor Moore 000 -1 30.03 3016:14
55 Quinton Byfield 000 -1 40.16 0015:54
62 Andrei Kuzmenko 000 0 40.16 0115:39
90 Corey Perry 000 -1 40.23 0115:27
37 Warren Foegele 000 -1 40.15 0014:27
17 Taylor Ward 000 -1 40.13 2011:48
79 Samuel Helenius 000 -1 10.00 4010:06
39 Jeff Malott 000 -1 30.13 6109:39
Defense
8 Drew Doughty 000 -1 20.01 2122:48
92 Brandt Clarke 011 -2 30.18 0321:04
44 Mikey Anderson 000 0 50.31 2019:30
5 Cody Ceci 000 -1 50.06 1218:52
6 Joel Edmundson 000 -1 40.07 1117:53
2 Brian Dumoulin 000 -1 30.03 2016:15
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Darcy Kuemper 31328 .903 2.54 -0.46

Buffalo Sabres

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
6 Zach Benson 011 +1 40.20 0018:26
72 Tage Thompson 000 +1 50.52 0018:04
89 Alex Tuch 303 +2 81.16 0017:57
17 Jason Zucker 000 +1 00.00 1017:17
71 Ryan McLeod 022 +2 10.13 0016:30
22 Jack Quinn 033 +2 10.17 0014:47
91 Josh Doan 000 0 20.10 0214:32
86 Noah Ostlund 000 0 10.00 0113:58
94 Konsta Helenius 000 0 30.12 0013:07
19 Peyton Krebs 000 0 30.11 0012:50
29 Beck Malenstyn 000 0 00.00 4112:27
48 Tyson Kozak 000 0 20.03 3111:45
Defense
26 Rasmus Dahlin 011 +1 70.22 1025:53
23 Mattias Samuelsson 101 +1 30.05 0123:24
25 Owen Power 000 +2 50.22 0022:24
24 Bowen Byram 011 +2 10.01 0220:40
7 Michael Kesselring 000 0 40.06 0214:29
73 Zach Metsa 000 0 20.00 0309:19
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Alex Lyon 38137 .974 2.78 +1.78

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Los Angeles Kings

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
9 Adrian Kempe R +1.73 +0.75 +0.17 +0.86 0.00 -0.03 -0.02 — 16:49
22 Kevin Fiala L +1.14 +0.70 +0.15 +0.36 0.00 -0.01 -0.06 — 17:23
14 Alex Laferriere R +0.77 0.00 +0.34 +0.47 0.00 -0.07 +0.03 — 17:40
10 Corey Perry R +0.52 0.00 +0.15 +0.34 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 15:27
5 Cody Ceci D +0.47 0.00 +0.04 +0.35 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 18:52
96 Andrei Kuzmenko L +0.38 0.00 +0.10 +0.25 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 15:39
44 Mikey Anderson D +0.31 0.00 +0.20 +0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 19:30
8 Drew Doughty D +0.30 0.00 +0.01 +0.25 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 22:48
40 Joel Armia R +0.30 0.00 +0.07 +0.27 0.00 -0.03 -0.02 — 16:47
92 Brandt Clarke D +0.26 +0.55 +0.12 -0.54 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 21:04
2 Brian Dumoulin D +0.14 0.00 +0.02 +0.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:15
6 Joel Edmundson D -0.30 0.00 +0.05 -0.40 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 17:53
55 Quinton Byfield R -0.32 0.00 +0.10 -0.58 +0.15 +0.01 0.00 — 15:54
52 Taylor Ward R -0.33 0.00 +0.09 -0.41 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 11:48
12 Trevor Moore L -0.33 0.00 +0.02 -0.46 +0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 16:14
39 Jeff Malott L -0.34 0.00 +0.08 -0.30 -0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 9:39
79 Samuel Helenius C -0.35 0.00 0.00 -0.20 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 10:06
35 Darcy Kuemper G -0.46 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.46 59:54
37 Warren Foegele L -0.71 0.00 +0.10 -0.77 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 14:27

Buffalo Sabres

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
89 Alex Tuch R +3.90 +2.25 +0.76 +0.90 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 17:57
34 Alex Lyon G +1.78 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.78 60:00
6 Zach Benson L +1.76 +0.55 +0.13 +1.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 18:26
72 Tage Thompson C +1.57 0.00 +0.34 +1.26 0.00 +0.01 -0.04 — 18:04
22 Jack Quinn R +1.56 +1.80 +0.11 -0.33 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:47
71 Ryan McLeod C +1.06 +1.25 +0.08 -0.28 0.00 +0.03 -0.02 — 16:30
25 Owen Power D +0.87 0.00 +0.14 +0.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 22:24
23 Mattias Samuelsson D +0.60 +0.75 +0.03 -0.19 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 23:24
4 Bowen Byram D +0.56 +0.70 +0.01 -0.21 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 20:40
26 Rasmus Dahlin D +0.45 +0.70 +0.14 -0.22 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 25:53
8 Michael Kesselring D +0.28 0.00 +0.04 -0.05 +0.15 0.00 +0.14 — 14:29
73 Zach Metsa D +0.21 0.00 0.00 +0.06 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 9:19
94 Konsta Helenius C -0.04 0.00 +0.08 -0.13 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 13:07
91 Josh Doan R -0.21 0.00 +0.07 -0.36 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 14:32
17 Jason Zucker L -0.26 0.00 0.00 -0.28 0.00 +0.04 -0.02 — 17:17
48 Tyson Kozak C -0.27 0.00 +0.02 -0.38 0.00 +0.02 +0.07 — 11:45
29 Beck Malenstyn L -0.35 0.00 0.00 -0.38 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 12:27
19 Peyton Krebs C -0.37 0.00 +0.07 -0.48 0.00 +0.03 0.00 — 12:50
86 Noah Ostlund C -0.40 0.00 0.00 -0.44 0.00 +0.01 +0.03 — 13:58

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.