| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | |
| 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 37 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 14:58 | Dominic James (5) Darren Raddysh (31), J.J. Moser (13) · snap xG 0.14 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 1:37 | Darren Raddysh (15) Yanni Gourde (13), Zemgus Girgensons (6) · slap xG 0.04 | 0–2 ▶ | |
| 12:25 | Kyle Connor (24) Dylan Samberg (9), Mark Scheifele (38) · tip-in xG 0.04 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 15:17 | Yanni Gourde (7) Nikita Kucherov (55), Darren Raddysh (32) · deflected xG 0.10 | 1–3 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 18:52 | Nikita Kucherov (27)EN Yanni Gourde (14), Zemgus Girgensons (7) · wrist xG 0.91 | 1–4 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| WPG | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.96 | Expected goals | 3.57 |
| 1 | Goals (no shootout) | 4 |
| 1.71 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.03 |
| 46 | Shot attempts | 61 |
| 37 | Unblocked attempts | 48 |
| 24 | Shots on goal | 37 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 0:50 | TBL | No shift | No shift · Kucherov, 10:50 on the bench
No shift from 10:47 of the 1st to 1:37 of the 2nd; 3 shifts (1:54) before that |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 17:16 | WPG | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Hellebuyck, down 3–1
With 2:44 left; TBL scored at 18:52 of the 3rd (1–4) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 81 | Kyle Connor | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 7 | 0.55 | 0 | 0 | 22:28 |
| 55 | Mark Scheifele | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 21:20 |
| 13 | Gabriel Vilardi | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.22 | 1 | 0 | 20:06 |
| 9 | Alex Iafallo | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 15:55 |
| 19 | Jonathan Toews | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 15:29 |
| 91 | Cole Perfetti | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 5 | 0.14 | 2 | 2 | 15:14 |
| 17 | Adam Lowry | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.21 | 2 | 1 | 14:25 |
| 7 | Vladislav Namestnikov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.09 | 2 | 0 | 13:25 |
| 62 | Nino Niederreiter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | 2 | 0 | 13:00 |
| 36 | Morgan Barron | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.28 | 1 | 0 | 11:39 |
| 45 | Cole Koepke | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.09 | 3 | 1 | 09:20 |
| 70 | Tanner Pearson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 2 | 0 | 09:09 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 44 | Josh Morrissey | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.06 | 0 | 1 | 26:35 |
| 54 | Dylan Samberg | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 21:26 |
| 2 | Dylan DeMelo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 2 | 1 | 19:59 |
| 57 | Elias Salomonsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 10 | 0.17 | 3 | 1 | 19:40 |
| 8 | Logan Stanley | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 2 | 0.01 | 0 | 2 | 16:38 |
| 2 | Luke Schenn | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | 6 | 2 | 11:48 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hellebuyck | 36 | 3 | 33 | .917 | 2.67 | -0.33 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 38 | Brandon Hagel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | 0 | 1 | 20:48 |
| 37 | Yanni Gourde | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 0.13 | 4 | 0 | 18:40 |
| 28 | Zemgus Girgensons | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 0.08 | 1 | 2 | 16:51 |
| 71 | Anthony Cirelli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.23 | 1 | 0 | 16:26 |
| 29 | Pontus Holmberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.31 | 0 | 0 | 15:53 |
| 86 | Nikita Kucherov | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 1.06 | 0 | 1 | 15:22 |
| 59 | Jake Guentzel | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 5 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 15:00 |
| 28 | Oliver Bjorkstrand | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 1 | 0 | 12:58 |
| 20 | Nick Paul | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.15 | 2 | 0 | 12:04 |
| 17 | Dominic James | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 0.29 | 1 | 0 | 11:30 |
| 93 | Gage Goncalves | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.26 | 1 | 0 | 10:40 |
| 37 | Jack Finley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 10:15 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 43 | Darren Raddysh | 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 6 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 | 23:43 |
| 90 | J.J. Moser | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 3 | 0.14 | 0 | 0 | 21:58 |
| 27 | Ryan McDonagh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.11 | 0 | 3 | 20:37 |
| 24 | Max Crozier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | 1 | 0 | 18:43 |
| 81 | Erik Cernak | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.09 | 3 | 2 | 17:52 |
| 72 | Declan Carlile | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.14 | 1 | 0 | 15:13 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrei Vasilevskiy | 24 | 1 | 23 | .958 | 1.96 | +0.96 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81 Kyle Connor L | +1.22 | +0.75 | +0.36 | +0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 22:28 |
| 55 Mark Scheifele C | +0.81 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 21:20 |
| 36 Morgan Barron C | +0.53 | 0.00 | +0.18 | +0.38 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 11:39 |
| 13 Gabriel Vilardi C | +0.53 | 0.00 | +0.14 | +0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 20:06 |
| 44 Josh Morrissey D | +0.42 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 26:35 |
| 2 Dylan DeMelo D | +0.36 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.50 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 19:59 |
| 54 Dylan Samberg D | +0.25 | +0.70 | 0.00 | -0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 21:26 |
| 17 Adam Lowry C | +0.01 | 0.00 | +0.13 | -0.20 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.05 | — | 14:25 |
| 45 Cole Koepke L | -0.02 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 9:20 |
| 70 Tanner Pearson L | -0.06 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:09 |
| 7 Vladislav Namestnikov C | -0.13 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 13:25 |
| 91 Cole Perfetti C | -0.14 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.30 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.08 | — | 15:14 |
| 62 Nino Niederreiter R | -0.16 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:00 |
| 57 Elias Salomonsson D | -0.23 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 19:40 |
| 64 Logan Stanley D | -0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 16:38 |
| 37 Connor Hellebuyck G | -0.33 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.33 | 58:24 |
| 5 Luke Schenn D | -0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 11:48 |
| 9 Alex Iafallo L | -0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:55 |
| 19 Jonathan Toews C | -0.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.78 | 0.00 | -0.03 | +0.05 | — | 15:29 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43 Darren Raddysh D | +2.20 | +2.00 | +0.11 | +0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 23:43 |
| 86 Nikita Kucherov R | +1.98 | +1.45 | +0.69 | -0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.03 | — | 15:22 |
| 17 Dominic James C | +1.81 | +0.75 | +0.19 | +0.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 11:30 |
| 37 Yanni Gourde C | +1.79 | +2.15 | +0.08 | -0.41 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.02 | — | 18:40 |
| 59 Jake Guentzel C | +1.27 | 0.00 | +0.16 | +1.08 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.02 | — | 15:00 |
| 93 Gage Goncalves C | +1.13 | 0.00 | +0.17 | +0.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:40 |
| 28 Zemgus Girgensons C | +0.97 | +1.10 | +0.05 | -0.29 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.10 | — | 16:51 |
| 88 Andrei Vasilevskiy G | +0.96 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.96 | 59:27 |
| 90 J.J. Moser D | +0.64 | +0.55 | +0.09 | +0.17 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 21:58 |
| 67 Declan Carlile D | +0.31 | 0.00 | +0.09 | +0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 15:13 |
| 27 Ryan McDonagh D | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 20:37 |
| 24 Max Crozier D | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:43 |
| 81 Erik Cernak D | +0.25 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 17:52 |
| 38 Brandon Hagel L | +0.25 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.01 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 20:48 |
| 71 Anthony Cirelli C | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.15 | -0.05 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.02 | — | 16:26 |
| 20 Nick Paul L | +0.06 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.04 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 12:04 |
| 22 Oliver Bjorkstrand R | -0.09 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:58 |
| 62 Jack Finley C | -0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.15 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 10:15 |
| 29 Pontus Holmberg R | -0.23 | 0.00 | +0.20 | -0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 15:53 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.