hockeystats.io

New York IslandersNYI 2–1 Final New York RangersNYR

Thursday, January 29, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
New York IslandersNYI 020 2 21
New York RangersNYR 001 1 21

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
17:18 NYI Carson Soucy (4) Max Shabanov (12), Scott Mayfield (7) · snap xG 0.03 1–0 ▶
18:53 NYI Matthew Schaefer (14) Bo Horvat (14) · wrist xG 0.04 2–0 ▶
3rd Period
2:48 NYR Mika Zibanejad (23)PP Vladislav Gavrikov (11), J.T. Miller (21) · slap xG 0.09 2–1 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

NYI 41%Deserve to win59% NYR
NYINYR
2.18Expected goals1.63
2Goals (no shootout)1
1.25Expected goals, 5 on 51.38
47Shot attempts49
36Unblocked attempts31
21Shots on goal21

Shot map

NYI shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ NYR shoots
Braden Schneider: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 0:55) Carson Soucy: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:44) Marc Gatcomb: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:32) Ryan Pulock: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 2:43) Kyle MacLean: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 2:50) Jean-Gabriel Pageau: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 3:13) Bo Horvat: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 3:53) Mathew Barzal: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 4:39) Matthew Schaefer: wrist, 73 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 4:42) Gabe Perreault: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 5:12) Scott Morrow: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 5:15) Matt Rempe: tip-in, 18 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 5:19) Brett Berard: backhand, 23 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 5:31) Scott Morrow: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 5:38) Mika Zibanejad: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 8:50) Vladislav Gavrikov: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 11:06) Emil Heineman: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 11:23) Tony DeAngelo: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 11:48) J.T. Miller: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 12:33) Mika Zibanejad: deflected, 76 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 16:29) Maxim Shabanov: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 16:40) Matt Rempe: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 17:06) Ryan Pulock: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 19:14) Braden Schneider: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 19:30) Mika Zibanejad: wrist, 153 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 19:51) Emil Heineman: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 1:57) Bo Horvat: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 2:00) Urho Vaakanainen: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 2:21) Jean-Gabriel Pageau: deflected, 8 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 2:41) Braden Schneider: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:09) Vladislav Gavrikov: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:12) Adam Pelech: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 6:17) Gabe Perreault: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 7:48) Vincent Trocheck: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 10:09) Alexis Lafrenière: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 11:23) Tony DeAngelo: snap, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 12:44) Braden Schneider: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:26) Ondrej Palat: tip-in, 23 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 14:18) J.T. Miller: snap, 17 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 16:11) Maxim Shabanov: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 17:13) Anders Lee: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 18:17) Ondrej Palat: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 18:58) J.T. Miller: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 19:38) Braden Schneider: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 19:39) J.T. Miller: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 2:07) Mathew Barzal: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 3:18) Urho Vaakanainen: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 4:12) Matt Rempe: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 4:13) Ondrej Palat: snap, 17 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 5:41) Ryan Pulock: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 5:47) Tony DeAngelo: snap, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 9:38) Gabe Perreault: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.23 (P3 10:01) Tony DeAngelo: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 10:27) Emil Heineman: deflected, 21 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 10:42) Gabe Perreault: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 11:18) Gabe Perreault: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 11:19) Carson Soucy: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 11:32) Kyle MacLean: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 11:39) Maxim Shabanov: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 11:58) Kyle MacLean: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 12:06) Bo Horvat: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 14:21) Mika Zibanejad: slap, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 14:48) Tony DeAngelo: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:05) Anders Lee: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.92 (P3 19:26) Carson Soucy: GOAL, snap, 35 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 17:18) Matthew Schaefer: GOAL, wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 18:53) Mika Zibanejad: GOAL, slap, 38 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 2:48)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

New York Islanders

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
14 Bo Horvat 011 +1 40.10 1219:55
51 Emil Heineman 000 0 30.16 2118:37
92 Simon Holmstrom 000 +1 10.00 0118:31
13 Mathew Barzal 000 0 50.05 0018:25
44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau 000 0 20.13 3016:01
72 Anders Lee 000 +1 50.98 1015:08
92 Jonathan Drouin 000 0 10.00 0014:52
81 Ondrej Palat 000 0 30.20 1014:43
11 Anthony Duclair 000 0 00.00 0013:58
17 Marc Gatcomb 000 +1 10.01 5109:32
32 Kyle MacLean 000 +1 30.15 1008:37
49 Maxim Shabanov 011 +1 30.13 0007:59
Defense
48 Matthew Schaefer 101 +1 30.04 0023:25
3 Adam Pelech 000 0 10.03 1521:19
6 Ryan Pulock 000 +1 30.06 0421:15
77 Tony DeAngelo 000 0 60.06 0220:09
24 Scott Mayfield 011 +1 00.00 1115:33
7 Carson Soucy 101 +1 30.06 0014:39
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Ilya Sorokin 21120 .952 1.63 +0.63

New York Rangers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
93 Mika Zibanejad 101 0 100.22 0023:50
10 J.T. Miller 011 0 40.36 1122:08
16 Vincent Trocheck 000 -1 30.03 3020:19
94 Gabe Perreault 000 -1 50.43 0018:22
13 Alexis Lafrenière 000 0 20.09 1117:54
50 Will Cuylle 000 -1 10.00 6117:15
42 Noah Laba 000 -1 00.00 1013:55
78 Brennan Othmann 000 -1 10.00 5011:02
14 Taylor Raddysh 000 -1 00.00 0010:35
10 Sam Carrick 000 0 00.00 1209:22
37 Brett Berard 000 0 10.04 2008:45
73 Matt Rempe 000 0 30.21 3007:45
Defense
44 Vladislav Gavrikov 011 -1 30.03 3126:55
4 Braden Schneider 000 -1 60.15 1020:38
29 Matthew Robertson 000 -1 30.00 0119:37
17 Will Borgen 000 -1 10.00 4218:07
60 Scott Morrow 000 0 30.02 0014:47
18 Urho Vaakanainen 000 0 30.05 0113:34
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jonathan Quick 21219 .905 1.25 -0.75

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

New York Islanders

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
4 Carson Soucy D +1.55 +0.75 +0.04 +0.78 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:39
14 Bo Horvat C +1.36 +0.70 +0.06 +0.54 0.00 -0.04 +0.10 — 19:55
27 Anders Lee L +1.20 0.00 +0.64 +0.41 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 15:08
24 Scott Mayfield D +1.16 +0.55 0.00 +0.56 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 15:33
49 Max Shabanov R +0.84 +0.70 +0.09 +0.07 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 7:59
30 Ilya Sorokin G +0.63 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.63 60:00
48 Matthew Schaefer D +0.54 +0.75 +0.03 -0.39 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 23:25
51 Emil Heineman L +0.50 0.00 +0.10 +0.35 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 18:37
10 Simon Holmstrom R +0.39 0.00 0.00 +0.36 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 18:31
16 Marc Gatcomb C +0.36 0.00 +0.01 +0.33 0.00 -0.01 +0.03 — 9:32
81 Ondrej Palat L +0.32 0.00 +0.13 +0.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:43
44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau C +0.30 0.00 +0.08 +0.14 0.00 +0.07 0.00 — 16:01
32 Kyle MacLean C +0.24 0.00 +0.10 +0.20 0.00 -0.04 -0.02 — 8:37
3 Adam Pelech D +0.17 0.00 +0.02 -0.12 0.00 0.00 +0.27 — 21:19
77 Tony DeAngelo D -0.05 0.00 +0.04 -0.02 -0.15 0.00 +0.08 — 20:09
6 Ryan Pulock D -0.42 0.00 +0.04 -0.49 -0.15 0.00 +0.18 — 21:15
11 Anthony Duclair L -0.59 0.00 0.00 -0.72 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 13:58
29 Jonathan Drouin L -0.75 0.00 0.00 -0.69 0.00 -0.06 0.00 — 14:52
13 Mathew Barzal C -0.88 0.00 +0.03 -0.69 -0.15 -0.06 -0.02 — 18:25

New York Rangers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
93 Mika Zibanejad C +1.39 +0.75 +0.14 +0.49 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 23:50
8 J.T. Miller C +1.09 +0.55 +0.24 +0.34 -0.15 +0.09 +0.03 — 22:08
44 Vladislav Gavrikov D +0.91 +0.70 +0.02 -0.01 +0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 26:55
94 Gabe Perreault R +0.72 0.00 +0.28 +0.29 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 18:22
4 Braden Schneider D +0.41 0.00 +0.10 +0.37 0.00 0.00 -0.06 — 20:38
18 Urho Vaakanainen D +0.37 0.00 +0.03 +0.29 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 13:34
39 Sam Carrick C +0.29 0.00 0.00 +0.19 0.00 +0.02 +0.08 — 9:22
73 Matt Rempe C +0.28 0.00 +0.14 +0.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 7:45
65 Brett Berard L +0.16 0.00 +0.03 +0.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 8:45
13 Alexis Lafrenière L +0.10 0.00 +0.06 +0.01 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 17:54
60 Scott Morrow D 0.00 0.00 +0.01 +0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:47
29 Matthew Robertson D -0.42 0.00 0.00 -0.45 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 19:37
78 Brennan Othmann L -0.43 0.00 0.00 -0.40 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 11:02
50 Will Cuylle L -0.43 0.00 0.00 -0.33 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 17:15
16 Vincent Trocheck C -0.45 0.00 +0.02 -0.28 -0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 20:19
17 Will Borgen D -0.46 0.00 0.00 -0.54 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 18:07
14 Taylor Raddysh R -0.46 0.00 0.00 -0.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 10:35
42 Noah Laba C -0.58 0.00 0.00 -0.61 0.00 +0.03 0.00 — 13:55
32 Jonathan Quick G -0.75 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.75 58:51

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.