hockeystats.io

Calgary FlamesCGY 1–4 Final Minnesota WildMIN

Thursday, January 29, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Calgary FlamesCGY 001 1 30
Minnesota WildMIN 202 4 24

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
2:43 MIN Danila Yurov (8) Vladimir Tarasenko (16), Daemon Hunt (5) · snap xG 0.14 0–1 ▶
10:37 MIN Vinnie Hinostroza (3) Jake Middleton (10), Jared Spurgeon (11) · wrist xG 0.13 0–2 ▶
2nd Period
No scoring
3rd Period
5:49 CGY Morgan Frost (11) Jonathan Huberdeau (14) · wrist xG 0.15 1–2 ▶
17:17 MIN Matt Boldy (29)PP Kirill Kaprizov (37), Quinn Hughes (46) · tip-in xG 0.10 1–3 ▶
17:45 MIN Kirill Kaprizov (29)EN Brock Faber (22), Joel Eriksson Ek (23) · wrist xG 0.46 1–4 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

CGY 54%Deserve to win46% MIN
CGYMIN
2.58Expected goals2.82
1Goals (no shootout)4
1.64Expected goals, 5 on 51.57
64Shot attempts57
47Unblocked attempts39
30Shots on goal24

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
17:38 CGY Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Cooley, down 3–1
With 2:22 left; MIN scored at 17:45 of the 3rd (1–4)

Shot map

CGY shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ MIN shoots
Zach Whitecloud: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 1:26) Danila Yurov: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:29) Yegor Sharangovich: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 3:34) Martin Pospisil: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 4:40) Jonathan Huberdeau: tip-in, 27 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 5:45) Jake Middleton: wrist, 154 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 6:37) Connor Zary: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 7:20) Connor Zary: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 7:22) Nazem Kadri: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 7:41) Jonathan Huberdeau: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 7:42) MacKenzie Weegar: slap, 48 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 7:48) Jonathan Huberdeau: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 7:54) Nazem Kadri: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 8:08) Matt Coronato: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:55) Zach Whitecloud: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 11:40) Zach Whitecloud: snap, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 11:50) Yegor Sharangovich: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 13:09) Yegor Sharangovich: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 13:13) Yan Kuznetsov: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 13:17) Mikael Backlund: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 14:12) Quinn Hughes: slap, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 17:17) Kirill Kaprizov: slap, 29 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 17:55) Joel Farabee: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 18:17) Matt Coronato: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 19:06) Matt Coronato: wrist, 78 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 0:50) Yan Kuznetsov: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 1:11) Kirill Kaprizov: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 2:05) Matt Boldy: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 4:09) Mikael Backlund: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 4:34) Ryan Hartman: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 6:10) Marcus Foligno: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 6:59) Joel Eriksson Ek: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 8:01) Jake Middleton: tip-in, 23 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 8:28) Martin Pospisil: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 9:25) Nazem Kadri: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 9:50) Martin Pospisil: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 9:51) Brock Faber: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 10:27) Yan Kuznetsov: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 10:52) Mikael Backlund: slap, 48 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 11:25) Hunter Brzustewicz: snap, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 12:02) Adam Klapka: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 12:57) Adam Klapka: slap, 24 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 13:11) Quinn Hughes: snap, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 14:21) Brock Faber: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 15:06) David Jiricek: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 15:12) Marcus Foligno: bat, 14 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 15:31) Jonathan Huberdeau: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 15:43) Yegor Sharangovich: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 17:08) Ryan Hartman: wrist, 90 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 19:58) Joel Eriksson Ek: snap, 16 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 0:46) Daemon Hunt: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 2:30) Yakov Trenin: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 2:50) Marcus Foligno: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 3:29) Kirill Kaprizov: tip-in, 20 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 4:13) Matvei Gridin: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 4:49) David Jiricek: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:41) Matvei Gridin: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 6:45) Morgan Frost: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 7:38) Mikael Backlund: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 7:48) Connor Zary: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 8:02) Quinn Hughes: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 8:20) Justin Kirkland: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 8:40) Quinn Hughes: wrist, 91 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 10:25) Matt Coronato: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 11:12) Matt Coronato: wrap-around, 6 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 11:30) Mats Zuccarello: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 15:41) Kirill Kaprizov: slap, 34 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 15:47) Vladimir Tarasenko: backhand, 36 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 16:03) Matt Boldy: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 16:11) Matt Boldy: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 16:34) Quinn Hughes: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 16:41) Matt Boldy: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 16:55) Kirill Kaprizov: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 16:57) Matvei Gridin: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 17:36) Adam Klapka: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 18:11) Joel Farabee: wrist, 75 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 18:24) Marcus Johansson: snap, 18 ft, xG 0.24 (P3 18:34) Matvei Gridin: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 19:05) Matvei Gridin: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 19:06) Vinnie Hinostroza: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 19:18) Marcus Foligno: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 19:29) Danila Yurov: GOAL, snap, 18 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 2:43) Vinnie Hinostroza: GOAL, wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 10:37) Morgan Frost: GOAL, wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 5:49) Matt Boldy: GOAL, tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 17:17) Kirill Kaprizov: GOAL, wrist, 86 ft, xG 0.46 (P3 17:45)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Calgary Flames

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
11 Mikael Backlund 000 -1 50.17 0020:30
27 Matt Coronato 000 -1 80.32 0018:15
17 Yegor Sharangovich 000 -1 50.13 0018:05
10 Jonathan Huberdeau 011 +1 40.20 0016:48
92 Matvei Gridin 000 -1 60.30 0116:26
16 Morgan Frost 101 0 20.20 0216:25
47 Connor Zary 000 -2 60.34 0016:22
91 Nazem Kadri 000 -2 30.25 0016:12
76 Martin Pospisil 000 -1 40.17 5012:36
86 Joel Farabee 000 -1 20.03 1111:25
28 Justin Kirkland 000 0 10.02 0010:35
43 Adam Klapka 000 0 30.24 3009:17
Defense
28 Zach Whitecloud 000 -1 50.09 3124:26
7 Kevin Bahl 000 -1 20.00 2223:08
52 MacKenzie Weegar 000 -1 20.05 1720:02
37 Yan Kuznetsov 000 0 30.04 1117:50
48 Hunter Brzustewicz 000 +1 20.01 0116:15
44 Joel Hanley 000 0 10.00 0112:20
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Devin Cooley 23320 .870 2.36 -0.64

Minnesota Wild

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
36 Mats Zuccarello 000 0 10.04 0019:27
97 Kirill Kaprizov 112 +1 60.77 0019:27
38 Ryan Hartman 000 0 20.06 0618:17
12 Matt Boldy 101 0 60.47 3017:26
14 Joel Eriksson Ek 011 0 30.05 0016:27
13 Yakov Trenin 000 +1 20.07 4016:08
22 Danila Yurov 101 +1 60.15 0013:58
90 Marcus Johansson 000 -1 20.24 0013:54
91 Vladimir Tarasenko 011 +1 30.03 0213:26
78 Nico Sturm 000 +1 10.00 0109:48
17 Marcus Foligno 000 +1 40.24 3008:34
18 Vinnie Hinostroza 101 +1 20.22 0008:21
Defense
43 Quinn Hughes 011 0 80.31 0027:57
7 Brock Faber 011 +1 20.02 0024:01
55 Jake Middleton 011 +2 40.07 0120:22
46 Jared Spurgeon 011 +1 00.00 1218:40
48 Daemon Hunt 011 0 20.07 0315:09
5 David Jiricek 000 0 30.02 0012:38
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Filip Gustavsson 30129 .967 2.58 +1.58

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Calgary Flames

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
10 Jonathan Huberdeau L +1.21 +0.70 +0.13 +0.42 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 16:48
16 Morgan Frost C +1.10 +0.75 +0.13 -0.14 +0.15 +0.06 +0.14 — 16:25
27 Matt Coronato R +0.55 0.00 +0.21 +0.31 0.00 +0.01 +0.02 — 18:15
28 Zach Whitecloud D +0.31 0.00 +0.06 +0.20 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 24:26
44 Joel Hanley D +0.29 0.00 0.00 +0.24 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 12:20
48 Hunter Brzustewicz D +0.25 0.00 +0.01 +0.20 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 16:15
7 Kevin Bahl D +0.23 0.00 0.00 +0.15 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 23:08
47 Connor Zary C +0.22 0.00 +0.22 +0.01 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 16:22
76 Martin Pospisil C +0.22 0.00 +0.11 +0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:36
91 Nazem Kadri C +0.20 0.00 +0.16 +0.08 0.00 -0.02 -0.02 — 16:12
11 Mikael Backlund C +0.12 0.00 +0.11 +0.11 0.00 -0.04 -0.06 — 20:30
17 Yegor Sharangovich C +0.06 0.00 +0.09 -0.05 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 18:05
52 MacKenzie Weegar D +0.03 0.00 +0.04 -0.17 -0.15 0.00 +0.31 — 20:02
43 Adam Klapka R -0.03 0.00 +0.16 -0.34 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 9:17
92 Matvei Gridin R -0.08 0.00 +0.20 -0.26 0.00 -0.01 -0.01 — 16:26
37 Yan Kuznetsov D -0.20 0.00 +0.03 -0.26 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 17:50
23 Justin Kirkland C -0.34 0.00 +0.02 -0.34 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 10:35
86 Joel Farabee L -0.64 0.00 +0.02 -0.67 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 11:25
1 Devin Cooley G -0.64 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.64 59:53

Minnesota Wild

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
97 Kirill Kaprizov L +1.89 +1.45 +0.50 -0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 19:27
32 Filip Gustavsson G +1.58 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.58 60:00
18 Vinnie Hinostroza C +1.31 +0.75 +0.14 +0.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 8:21
22 Danila Yurov R +1.09 +0.75 +0.10 +0.25 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 13:58
48 Daemon Hunt D +1.06 +0.55 +0.04 +0.34 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 15:09
91 Vladimir Tarasenko R +0.99 +0.70 +0.02 +0.04 +0.15 0.00 +0.08 — 13:26
5 Jake Middleton D +0.83 +0.70 +0.04 +0.06 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 20:22
43 Quinn Hughes D +0.74 +0.55 +0.20 +0.14 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 27:57
12 Matt Boldy L +0.55 +0.75 +0.31 -0.51 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 17:26
17 Marcus Foligno L +0.54 0.00 +0.16 +0.37 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 8:34
7 Brock Faber D +0.52 +0.70 +0.01 -0.04 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 24:01
46 Jared Spurgeon D +0.47 +0.55 0.00 -0.31 +0.15 0.00 +0.08 — 18:40
78 Nico Sturm C +0.32 0.00 0.00 +0.29 0.00 -0.02 +0.05 — 9:48
38 Ryan Hartman R +0.24 0.00 +0.04 +0.06 -0.15 +0.02 +0.28 — 18:17
13 Yakov Trenin C +0.17 0.00 +0.05 +0.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:08
55 David Jiricek D +0.15 0.00 +0.01 +0.16 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 12:38
14 Joel Eriksson Ek C +0.05 +0.55 +0.03 -0.52 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 16:27
36 Mats Zuccarello R -0.10 0.00 +0.03 -0.06 0.00 -0.01 -0.06 — 19:27
90 Marcus Johansson L -0.18 0.00 +0.16 -0.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:54

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.