San Jose SharksSJS 3–4 Final/OT Edmonton OilersEDM

Thursday, January 29, 2026

Final/OT	1st	2nd	3rd	OT	T	SOG
San Jose SharksSJS	3	0	0	0	3	21
Edmonton OilersEDM	0	0	3	1	4	32

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
0:26	SJS	Collin Graf (15) Will Smith (22), Macklin Celebrini (52) · wrist xG 0.09	1–0 ▶
1:35	SJS	Adam Gaudette (12) William Eklund (22) · backhand xG 0.23	2–0 ▶
11:40	SJS	Michael Misa (2) Timothy Liljegren (10), Sam Dickinson (8) · snap xG 0.18	3–0 ▶
2nd Period
No scoring
3rd Period
1:34	EDM	Leon Draisaitl (26) Evan Bouchard (43), Kasperi Kapanen (7) · wrist xG 0.46	3–1 ▶
16:55	EDM	Connor McDavid (34) Leon Draisaitl (50), Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (31) · snap xG 0.13	3–2 ▶
19:01	EDM	Evan Bouchard (15) Leon Draisaitl (51), Mattias Ekholm (21) · slap xG 0.08	3–3 ▶
Overtime
1:06	EDM	Zach Hyman (22) Connor McDavid (60), Evan Bouchard (44) · wrist xG 0.12	3–4 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

SJS 25%Deserve to win75% EDM

SJS		EDM
1.74	Expected goals	3.17
3	Goals (no shootout)	4
1.45	Expected goals, 5 on 5	1.99
36	Shot attempts	62
28	Unblocked attempts	46
21	Shots on goal	32

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
11:40	EDM	Goalie	Goalie · Ingram −2.5 goals saved 3 goals on 0.52 xG, 5 shots on goal
3rd Period
9:27	EDM	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · EDM takes the lead, 60–40% SJS had led since 1:35 of the 1st, by as much as 65%
10:30	EDM	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced SJS 1.03–0.00 In xG over 10 minutes, 0:30 to 10:30 of the 3rd; goals 1–0
16:02	EDM	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Ingram, down 3–1 With 3:58 left; EDM scored at 16:55 of the 3rd (3–2)
18:07	EDM	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Ingram, down 3–2 With 1:53 left; EDM scored at 19:01 of the 3rd (3–3)

Shot map

SJS shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ EDM shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

San Jose Sharks

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
71	Macklin Celebrini	0	1	1	-1	3	0.11	0	0	22:49
21	Alexander Wennberg	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	5	21:10
51	Collin Graf	1	0	1	0	3	0.29	0	2	20:22
2	Will Smith	0	1	1	0	4	0.14	0	0	19:45
27	William Eklund	0	1	1	+1	3	0.17	1	0	16:14
84	Pavol Regenda	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	2	0	13:52
73	Tyler Toffoli	0	0	0	0	3	0.20	0	0	12:52
77	Michael Misa	1	0	1	+1	1	0.18	2	0	12:51
81	Adam Gaudette	1	0	1	+1	2	0.23	0	0	12:20
23	Barclay Goodrow	0	0	0	-1	1	0.08	1	1	11:37
63	Zack Ostapchuk	0	0	0	-1	2	0.15	3	0	08:50
75	Ryan Reaves	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	07:35
Defense
27	Timothy Liljegren	0	1	1	+1	2	0.01	1	2	24:56
38	Mario Ferraro	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	2	1	23:47
9	Dmitry Orlov	0	0	0	-3	0	0.00	0	2	22:12
73	Vincent Desharnais	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	2	1	17:02
3	John Klingberg	0	0	0	-1	4	0.08	0	0	16:23
6	Sam Dickinson	0	1	1	+1	4	0.04	1	1	14:41

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Yaroslav Askarov	32	4	28	.875	3.17	-0.83

Edmonton Oilers

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
97	Connor McDavid	1	1	2	+2	5	0.24	1	0	26:10
29	Leon Draisaitl	1	2	3	+3	9	0.86	3	0	25:20
42	Kasperi Kapanen	0	1	1	+1	6	0.07	3	3	18:37
18	Zach Hyman	1	0	1	+1	4	0.56	0	0	17:53
93	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins	0	1	1	0	3	0.07	0	0	17:07
92	Vasily Podkolzin	0	0	0	0	4	0.20	3	0	16:09
96	Jack Roslovic	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	2	0	14:15
13	Mattias Janmark	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	09:42
22	Matt Savoie	0	0	0	-1	2	0.15	0	0	09:17
20	Curtis Lazar	0	0	0	0	4	0.30	2	2	08:45
10	Trent Frederic	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	2	0	08:26
81	Josh Samanski	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	08:12
Defense
2	Evan Bouchard	1	2	3	+2	8	0.37	2	0	25:06
25	Darnell Nurse	0	0	0	0	5	0.05	2	1	22:26
14	Mattias Ekholm	0	1	1	+1	1	0.09	0	1	21:52
96	Jake Walman	0	0	0	0	6	0.07	0	1	19:45
49	Ty Emberson	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	3	0	15:35
24	Spencer Stastney	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	0	0	14:28

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Connor Ingram	21	3	18	.857	1.74	-1.26

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

San Jose Sharks

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
77 Michael Misa C	+1.18	+0.75	+0.12	+0.31	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	12:51
37 Timothy Liljegren D	+1.09	+0.70	+0.01	+0.31	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	24:56
72 William Eklund L	+1.04	+0.70	+0.11	+0.22	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	16:14
81 Adam Gaudette R	+1.00	+0.75	+0.15	+0.12	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	12:20
6 Sam Dickinson D	+0.92	+0.55	+0.03	+0.31	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	14:41
51 Collin Graf R	+0.87	+0.75	+0.19	-0.15	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	20:22
2 Will Smith C	+0.63	+0.70	+0.09	-0.14	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	19:45
71 Macklin Celebrini C	+0.59	+0.55	+0.07	-0.12	+0.15	-0.04	-0.02	—	22:49
63 Zack Ostapchuk C	+0.47	0.00	+0.10	+0.21	+0.15	+0.02	0.00	—	8:50
23 Barclay Goodrow C	+0.26	0.00	+0.05	+0.13	0.00	0.00	+0.07	—	11:37
75 Ryan Reaves R	+0.06	0.00	0.00	+0.01	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	7:35
5 Vincent Desharnais D	-0.10	0.00	+0.01	-0.14	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	17:02
38 Mario Ferraro D	-0.16	0.00	0.00	-0.04	-0.15	0.00	+0.03	—	23:47
73 Tyler Toffoli C	-0.30	0.00	+0.13	-0.43	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	12:52
84 Pavol Regenda L	-0.40	0.00	+0.03	-0.42	0.00	-0.01	0.00	—	13:52
3 John Klingberg D	-0.43	0.00	+0.05	-0.48	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	16:23
21 Alexander Wennberg C	-0.45	0.00	0.00	-0.61	0.00	-0.09	+0.25	—	21:10
9 Dmitry Orlov D	-0.56	0.00	0.00	-0.55	0.00	0.00	-0.01	—	22:12
30 Yaroslav Askarov G	-0.83	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-0.83	61:06

Edmonton Oilers

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
29 Leon Draisaitl C	+3.88	+2.15	+0.56	+1.14	0.00	+0.06	-0.02	—	25:20
2 Evan Bouchard D	+2.50	+2.00	+0.24	+0.39	-0.15	0.00	+0.02	—	25:06
42 Kasperi Kapanen R	+1.88	+0.55	+0.05	+1.13	0.00	0.00	+0.15	—	18:37
97 Connor McDavid C	+1.84	+1.45	+0.16	+0.23	0.00	+0.04	-0.04	—	26:10
14 Mattias Ekholm D	+0.73	+0.55	+0.06	+0.30	-0.15	0.00	-0.03	—	21:52
20 Curtis Lazar C	+0.63	0.00	+0.19	+0.36	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	8:45
10 Trent Frederic C	+0.48	0.00	+0.04	+0.40	0.00	+0.04	0.00	—	8:26
13 Mattias Janmark C	+0.40	0.00	0.00	+0.40	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	9:42
92 Vasily Podkolzin R	+0.38	0.00	+0.13	+0.27	0.00	-0.01	0.00	—	16:09
18 Zach Hyman L	+0.32	+0.75	+0.36	-0.77	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	17:53
24 Spencer Stastney D	+0.15	0.00	0.00	+0.17	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	14:28
49 Ty Emberson D	+0.11	0.00	+0.01	+0.11	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	15:35
96 Jake Walman D	-0.07	0.00	+0.04	-0.14	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	19:45
25 Darnell Nurse D	-0.15	0.00	+0.03	-0.25	0.00	0.00	+0.07	—	22:26
22 Matt Savoie C	-0.24	0.00	+0.10	-0.34	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	9:17
93 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C	-0.29	+0.55	+0.04	-0.83	0.00	-0.04	-0.02	—	17:07
81 Josh Samanski C	-0.38	0.00	0.00	-0.41	0.00	+0.03	0.00	—	8:12
28 Jack Roslovic C	-0.53	0.00	+0.04	-0.57	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	14:15
39 Connor Ingram G	-1.26	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-1.26	59:19

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.