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Colorado AvalancheCOL 5–0 Final Detroit Red WingsDET

Saturday, January 31, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Colorado AvalancheCOL 221 5 21
Detroit Red WingsDET 000 0 28

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
6:44 COL Brent Burns (9) Nathan MacKinnon (51), Valeri Nichushkin (19) · snap xG 0.05 1–0 ▶
10:03 COL Nathan MacKinnon (39) Artturi Lehkonen (22) · wrist xG 0.02 2–0 ▶
2nd Period
1:24 COL Ross Colton (7) Brock Nelson (20), Josh Manson (19) · snap xG 0.27 3–0 ▶
13:33 COL Nathan MacKinnon (40) Artturi Lehkonen (23) · slap xG 0.20 4–0 ▶
3rd Period
7:35 COL Parker Kelly (12) Joel Kiviranta (5), Jack Drury (11) · backhand xG 0.16 5–0 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

COL 68%Deserve to win32% DET
COLDET
3.79Expected goals2.67
5Goals (no shootout)0
2.63Expected goals, 5 on 52.15
61Shot attempts57
46Unblocked attempts43
21Shots on goal28

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
20:00 DET Goalie change Goalie change · Talbot in for Gibson
The start of the 3rd; Gibson had allowed 4 goals on 17 shots (2.97 xG)
3rd Period
8:56 COL Goalie Goalie · Blackwood +2.1 goals saved
0 goals on 2.13 xG, 25 shots on goal

Shot map

COL shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ DET shoots
Alex DeBrincat: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 1:16) Joel Kiviranta: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.31 (P1 1:48) Valeri Nichushkin: deflected, 13 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 3:30) Patrick Kane: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 4:27) Zakhar Bardakov: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 5:16) Zakhar Bardakov: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 5:36) Cale Makar: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 5:50) Gavin Brindley: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 5:52) Alex DeBrincat: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 7:21) Lucas Raymond: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 7:59) Joel Kiviranta: wrist, 136 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 9:01) Parker Kelly: slap, 40 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 10:58) Ben Chiarot: snap, 69 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 11:29) Sam Malinski: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 12:37) Alex DeBrincat: backhand, 26 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 12:48) Ross Colton: wrist, 95 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 12:53) Ben Chiarot: snap, 72 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 13:34) Albert Johansson: slap, 48 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 13:59) Brent Burns: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 14:47) Cale Makar: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 15:12) Lucas Raymond: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 16:06) Lucas Raymond: slap, 30 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 16:12) Erik Gustafsson: snap, 51 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 17:08) James van Riemsdyk: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 17:22) Parker Kelly: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 17:50) Dylan Larkin: snap, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 18:22) Jacob Bernard-Docker: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 18:31) Dylan Larkin: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 19:22) Sam Malinski: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:21) Mason Appleton: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 2:29) Brock Nelson: slap, 38 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 3:07) Nathan MacKinnon: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 3:33) Cale Makar: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 3:45) Brock Nelson: slap, 39 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 3:56) Nathan MacKinnon: slap, 30 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 4:25) Artturi Lehkonen: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 4:32) Michael Rasmussen: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 4:51) Ross Colton: slap, 29 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 5:03) Victor Olofsson: slap, 40 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 5:26) Mason Appleton: tip-in, 146 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 6:36) Marco Kasper: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.20 (P2 7:23) Albert Johansson: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:28) Ross Colton: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 9:55) Dylan Larkin: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 10:05) Ben Chiarot: snap, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 10:24) Parker Kelly: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 10:41) Elmer Soderblom: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:51) Dylan Larkin: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 12:06) Jacob Bernard-Docker: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 12:21) Patrick Kane: snap, 16 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 12:36) Valeri Nichushkin: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 13:05) Sam Malinski: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 15:29) Alex DeBrincat: snap, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 16:10) Ben Chiarot: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 16:14) Sam Malinski: slap, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 16:39) Valeri Nichushkin: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 17:33) Nathan MacKinnon: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 18:57) Valeri Nichushkin: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 19:05) Brock Nelson: snap, 19 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 19:06) Nathan MacKinnon: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.26 (P2 19:09) Emmitt Finnie: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 19:34) J.T. Compher: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 19:50) Patrick Kane: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 0:38) Dylan Larkin: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 0:45) Michael Rasmussen: tip-in, 15 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 2:22) Michael Rasmussen: backhand, 16 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 2:53) Ross Colton: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 4:13) J.T. Compher: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 4:24) Valeri Nichushkin: snap, 18 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 5:54) Victor Olofsson: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 6:25) Gavin Brindley: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 6:28) James van Riemsdyk: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 6:41) Michael Rasmussen: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 6:46) Parker Kelly: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.20 (P3 7:34) Artturi Lehkonen: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 8:15) Valeri Nichushkin: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 8:30) Dylan Larkin: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 8:56) Dylan Larkin: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 9:05) Josh Manson: wrist, 133 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 9:50) Brent Burns: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:00) Lucas Raymond: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 11:47) Marco Kasper: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 11:49) Marco Kasper: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 12:05) Axel Sandin-Pellikka: slap, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 12:25) Brent Burns: GOAL, snap, 35 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 6:44) Nathan MacKinnon: GOAL, wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 10:03) Ross Colton: GOAL, snap, 10 ft, xG 0.27 (P2 1:24) Nathan MacKinnon: GOAL, slap, 18 ft, xG 0.20 (P2 13:33) Parker Kelly: GOAL, backhand, 5 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 7:35)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Colorado Avalanche

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
43 Valeri Nichushkin 011 +3 70.60 0022:57
29 Nathan MacKinnon 213 +3 90.76 0221:36
11 Brock Nelson 011 +1 40.27 0119:38
62 Artturi Lehkonen 022 +3 20.25 0018:41
18 Jack Drury 011 +1 00.00 0015:38
79 Ross Colton 101 +1 60.58 1014:56
17 Parker Kelly 101 +1 50.52 1014:20
22 Joel Kiviranta 011 +1 20.31 2113:35
95 Victor Olofsson 000 +1 20.09 0112:32
93 Zakhar Bardakov 000 0 20.10 1008:14
54 Gavin Brindley 000 0 20.08 0008:07
16 Taylor Makar 000 0 10.00 2008:01
Defense
8 Cale Makar 000 +3 40.11 1026:30
84 Brent Burns 101 +2 60.06 0020:52
70 Sam Malinski 000 +4 50.07 0420:44
42 Josh Manson 011 +1 30.00 2219:48
49 Samuel Girard 000 0 00.00 0218:56
67 Keaton Middleton 000 0 10.00 2008:55
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Mackenzie Blackwood 28028 1.000 2.67 +2.67

Detroit Red Wings

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
71 Dylan Larkin 000 -2 70.43 0019:11
18 Andrew Copp 000 -1 00.00 0117:25
88 Patrick Kane 000 -1 30.28 0017:00
93 Alex DeBrincat 000 -1 80.19 1016:49
23 Lucas Raymond 000 -2 50.34 0015:44
92 Marco Kasper 000 -2 30.48 0014:33
37 J.T. Compher 000 -2 20.08 1013:57
22 Mason Appleton 000 -2 20.00 1113:46
58 Emmitt Finnie 000 -2 10.13 1113:18
27 Michael Rasmussen 000 0 40.27 0112:26
21 James van Riemsdyk 000 0 20.22 0011:07
25 Elmer Soderblom 000 0 10.01 7210:56
Defense
53 Moritz Seider 000 -2 10.00 2124:26
20 Albert Johansson 000 -2 20.05 1321:24
64 Erik Gustafsson 000 -1 60.03 1020:06
25 Jacob Bernard-Docker 000 -2 20.06 0117:44
8 Ben Chiarot 000 -2 60.03 1216:56
44 Axel Sandin-Pellikka 000 -1 20.07 0116:55
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
John Gibson 17413 .765 2.97 -1.03
Cam Talbot 413 .750 0.83 -0.17

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Colorado Avalanche

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
29 Nathan MacKinnon C +2.99 +2.20 +0.50 +0.30 0.00 -0.02 +0.02 — 21:36
39 Mackenzie Blackwood G +2.67 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +2.67 60:00
62 Artturi Lehkonen L +2.24 +1.40 +0.16 +0.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 18:41
17 Parker Kelly C +2.20 +0.75 +0.34 +0.99 +0.15 -0.03 0.00 — 14:20
94 Joel Kiviranta L +1.94 +0.70 +0.20 +0.99 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 13:35
18 Jack Drury C +1.70 +0.55 0.00 +1.10 0.00 +0.01 +0.04 — 15:38
13 Valeri Nichushkin R +1.37 +0.55 +0.39 +0.48 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 22:57
70 Sam Malinski D +1.25 0.00 +0.04 +1.02 0.00 0.00 +0.18 — 20:44
20 Ross Colton C +1.07 +0.75 +0.38 -0.03 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 14:56
84 Brent Burns D +0.92 +0.75 +0.04 +0.17 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 20:52
42 Josh Manson D +0.82 +0.55 0.00 +0.35 -0.15 0.00 +0.06 — 19:48
8 Cale Makar D +0.79 0.00 +0.07 +0.70 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 26:30
11 Brock Nelson C +0.60 +0.70 +0.18 -0.31 0.00 +0.01 +0.03 — 19:38
95 Victor Olofsson L +0.28 0.00 +0.06 +0.19 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 12:32
67 Keaton Middleton D +0.23 0.00 0.00 +0.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 8:55
49 Samuel Girard D +0.14 0.00 0.00 +0.06 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 18:56
93 Zakhar Bardakov C -0.06 0.00 +0.07 -0.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 8:14
54 Gavin Brindley C -0.20 0.00 +0.05 -0.23 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 8:07
16 Taylor Makar L -0.24 0.00 0.00 -0.23 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 8:01

Detroit Red Wings

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
27 Michael Rasmussen C +0.66 0.00 +0.18 +0.42 0.00 +0.03 +0.03 — 12:26
92 Marco Kasper C +0.42 0.00 +0.31 +0.10 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 14:33
23 Lucas Raymond L +0.19 0.00 +0.22 -0.07 0.00 0.00 +0.04 — 15:44
21 James van Riemsdyk L +0.19 0.00 +0.15 +0.05 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 11:07
71 Dylan Larkin C +0.09 0.00 +0.28 -0.17 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 19:11
20 Albert Johansson D +0.06 0.00 +0.04 -0.14 0.00 0.00 +0.17 — 21:44
53 Moritz Seider D +0.02 0.00 0.00 +0.01 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 24:26
85 Elmer Soderblom L +0.02 0.00 +0.01 -0.09 0.00 +0.01 +0.10 — 10:56
18 Andrew Copp C -0.04 0.00 0.00 -0.18 +0.15 -0.02 +0.01 — 17:25
88 Patrick Kane R -0.16 0.00 +0.18 -0.33 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 17:00
39 Cam Talbot G -0.17 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.17 20:00
93 Alex DeBrincat R -0.21 0.00 +0.12 -0.33 0.00 +0.02 -0.02 — 16:34
25 Jacob Bernard-Docker D -0.39 0.00 +0.04 -0.44 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 17:44
56 Erik Gustafsson D -0.41 0.00 +0.02 -0.24 -0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 20:06
44 Axel Sandin-Pellikka D -0.65 0.00 +0.05 -0.74 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 17:25
8 Ben Chiarot D -0.70 0.00 +0.02 -0.81 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 16:56
58 Emmitt Finnie C -0.85 0.00 +0.08 -0.99 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 13:03
36 John Gibson G -1.03 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -1.03 40:00
37 J.T. Compher L -1.04 0.00 +0.05 -1.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:54
22 Mason Appleton C -1.24 0.00 0.00 -1.29 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 13:46

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.