hockeystats.io

Winnipeg JetsWPG 2–1 Final Florida PanthersFLA

Saturday, January 31, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Winnipeg JetsWPG 002 2 21
Florida PanthersFLA 100 1 28

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
14:40 FLA Eetu Luostarinen (6) Evan Rodrigues (15), Gustav Forsling (19) · tip-in xG 0.07 0–1 ▶
2nd Period
No scoring
3rd Period
8:34 WPG Cole Perfetti (5) Gabriel Vilardi (27), Adam Lowry (9) · wrist xG 0.30 1–1 ▶
15:46 WPG Mark Scheifele (27) Kyle Connor (38), Gustav Nyquist (9) · wrist xG 0.13 2–1 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

WPG 56%Deserve to win44% FLA
WPGFLA
2.09Expected goals1.80
2Goals (no shootout)1
1.57Expected goals, 5 on 51.05
35Shot attempts56
27Unblocked attempts41
21Shots on goal28

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
13:34 FLA Deserve to win Deserve to win · FLA takes the lead, 61–39%
WPG had led since 3:51 of the 1st, by as much as 60%
3rd Period
19:17 FLA Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Bobrovsky, down 2–1
With 0:43 left

Shot map

WPG shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ FLA shoots
Morgan Barron: snap, 16 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 2:22) Logan Stanley: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 2:29) Aaron Ekblad: tip-in, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:01) Adam Lowry: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 3:09) Mark Scheifele: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 3:42) Josh Morrissey: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 3:51) Evan Rodrigues: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:14) Kyle Connor: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:30) Carter Verhaeghe: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 6:30) Matthew Tkachuk: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 6:31) Sam Bennett: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 6:36) Carter Verhaeghe: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 6:47) Matthew Tkachuk: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 7:04) Josh Morrissey: slap, 29 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 7:24) Niko Mikkola: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 7:43) Jeff Petry: snap, 66 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 11:49) Jesper Boqvist: snap, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 11:59) Jeff Petry: wrist, 72 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 12:09) Jeff Petry: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 12:20) Carter Verhaeghe: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 13:31) Matthew Tkachuk: slap, 32 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 13:34) Uvis Balinskis: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 13:51) Cole Koepke: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 14:16) Cole Schwindt: backhand, 20 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 14:51) Cole Perfetti: slap, 22 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 15:26) Josh Morrissey: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 15:31) Evan Rodrigues: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 15:41) Cole Perfetti: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 16:35) Carter Verhaeghe: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 18:14) Cole Perfetti: slap, 32 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 19:32) Gustav Forsling: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:48) Uvis Balinskis: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:06) Sam Bennett: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:54) Eetu Luostarinen: deflected, 40 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 4:46) Sam Reinhart: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 5:17) Sandis Vilmanis: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 5:53) Gabriel Vilardi: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 8:01) Luke Kunin: snap, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 9:26) Kyle Connor: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 10:40) Kyle Connor: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 10:46) Gabriel Vilardi: snap, 18 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 12:17) A.J. Greer: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 15:27) Carter Verhaeghe: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 15:35) Josh Morrissey: slap, 46 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 16:09) Dylan DeMelo: snap, 57 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 16:16) Elias Salomonsson: slap, 65 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 18:10) Kyle Connor: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 19:46) Cole Schwindt: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 1:54) Sam Bennett: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 3:44) Mackie Samoskevich: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 5:15) Carter Verhaeghe: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 6:21) Gabriel Vilardi: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 8:32) Evan Rodrigues: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 10:06) Dylan DeMelo: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:41) Kyle Connor: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 10:41) Carter Verhaeghe: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 11:36) A.J. Greer: backhand, 18 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 12:08) Aaron Ekblad: snap, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 16:13) Cole Schwindt: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 16:47) Morgan Barron: backhand, 4 ft, xG 0.21 (P3 16:58) Kyle Connor: slap, 50 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 17:12) Matthew Tkachuk: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 19:19) Sam Reinhart: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 19:30) Sam Bennett: wrist, 69 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 19:53) Sam Bennett: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 19:58) Eetu Luostarinen: GOAL, tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 14:40) Cole Perfetti: GOAL, wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.30 (P3 8:34) Mark Scheifele: GOAL, wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 15:46)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Winnipeg Jets

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
55 Mark Scheifele 101 +1 20.21 0025:26
81 Kyle Connor 011 +1 70.36 1024:04
13 Gabriel Vilardi 011 +1 40.25 0019:08
91 Cole Perfetti 101 +1 50.64 1017:34
14 Gustav Nyquist 011 +1 00.00 0114:36
19 Jonathan Toews 000 0 00.00 0014:31
9 Alex Iafallo 000 0 20.00 0213:11
17 Adam Lowry 011 +1 10.05 1112:18
7 Vladislav Namestnikov 000 0 00.00 1212:06
62 Nino Niederreiter 000 0 00.00 1012:02
36 Morgan Barron 000 -1 20.27 1110:45
45 Cole Koepke 000 -1 10.09 2007:57
Defense
44 Josh Morrissey 000 +1 60.15 0124:03
2 Dylan DeMelo 000 0 20.05 1021:03
54 Dylan Samberg 000 +1 00.00 1118:52
8 Logan Stanley 000 -1 10.02 3418:33
57 Elias Salomonsson 000 +1 10.02 0115:54
2 Luke Schenn 000 -1 10.00 5013:57
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Eric Comrie 28127 .964 1.80 +0.80

Florida Panthers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
13 Sam Reinhart 000 -1 30.18 0120:24
17 Evan Rodrigues 011 0 40.06 1020:12
9 Sam Bennett 000 -1 50.26 0018:18
27 Eetu Luostarinen 101 0 20.10 3216:41
23 Carter Verhaeghe 000 -1 80.35 1115:16
18 A.J. Greer 000 0 20.13 3014:19
19 Matthew Tkachuk 000 -1 50.32 1014:13
70 Jesper Boqvist 000 0 20.01 2012:27
95 Sandis Vilmanis 000 0 10.10 2111:14
11 Mackie Samoskevich 000 +1 20.02 0011:12
79 Cole Schwindt 000 0 30.12 2009:58
71 Luke Kunin 000 0 30.02 1009:24
Defense
42 Gustav Forsling 011 +1 20.01 1024:27
5 Aaron Ekblad 000 +1 40.02 0121:45
77 Niko Mikkola 000 -1 10.01 9021:10
26 Uvis Balinskis 000 -1 30.06 1019:29
2 Jeff Petry 000 -1 60.01 3118:12
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Sergei Bobrovsky 21219 .905 2.09 +0.09

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Winnipeg Jets

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
91 Cole Perfetti C +2.00 +0.75 +0.42 +0.72 +0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 17:34
13 Gabriel Vilardi C +1.61 +0.70 +0.16 +0.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 19:08
81 Kyle Connor L +1.47 +0.70 +0.23 +0.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 24:04
17 Adam Lowry C +1.38 +0.55 +0.04 +0.72 0.00 +0.05 +0.03 — 12:18
55 Mark Scheifele C +1.37 +0.75 +0.13 +0.51 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 25:26
14 Gustav Nyquist R +0.98 +0.55 0.00 +0.37 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 — 14:36
44 Josh Morrissey D +0.80 0.00 +0.10 +0.63 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 24:03
1 Eric Comrie G +0.80 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.80 60:00
57 Elias Salomonsson D +0.53 0.00 +0.01 +0.49 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 15:54
54 Dylan Samberg D +0.49 0.00 0.00 +0.44 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 18:52
36 Morgan Barron C +0.44 0.00 +0.17 -0.06 +0.30 -0.02 +0.05 — 10:45
2 Dylan DeMelo D +0.24 0.00 +0.03 +0.23 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 21:03
7 Vladislav Namestnikov C -0.11 0.00 0.00 -0.17 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 12:06
62 Nino Niederreiter R -0.12 0.00 0.00 -0.27 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 12:02
9 Alex Iafallo L -0.15 0.00 0.00 -0.21 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 13:11
64 Logan Stanley D -0.19 0.00 +0.01 -0.23 -0.15 0.00 +0.18 — 18:33
19 Jonathan Toews C -0.22 0.00 0.00 -0.23 0.00 +0.05 -0.04 — 14:31
5 Luke Schenn D -0.36 0.00 0.00 -0.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:57
45 Cole Koepke L -0.40 0.00 +0.06 -0.27 -0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 7:57

Florida Panthers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
27 Eetu Luostarinen C +0.84 +0.75 +0.07 -0.06 0.00 -0.01 +0.10 — 16:41
17 Evan Rodrigues C +0.66 +0.70 +0.04 -0.02 0.00 -0.06 0.00 — 20:12
42 Gustav Forsling D +0.45 +0.55 +0.01 -0.09 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 24:27
79 Cole Schwindt R +0.13 0.00 +0.08 +0.08 0.00 -0.03 0.00 — 9:58
72 Sergei Bobrovsky G +0.09 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.09 59:11
95 Sandis Vilmanis L +0.09 0.00 +0.07 +0.12 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 11:14
11 Mackie Samoskevich R +0.08 0.00 +0.01 -0.08 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 11:12
10 A.J. Greer L +0.07 0.00 +0.08 +0.01 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 14:19
71 Luke Kunin C 0.00 0.00 +0.01 -0.03 0.00 +0.02 0.00 — 9:24
5 Aaron Ekblad D -0.10 0.00 +0.01 -0.16 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 21:45
13 Sam Reinhart C -0.13 0.00 +0.12 -0.31 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 — 20:24
2 Jeff Petry D -0.15 0.00 +0.01 -0.21 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 18:12
77 Niko Mikkola D -0.19 0.00 +0.01 -0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 21:10
23 Carter Verhaeghe C -0.20 0.00 +0.23 -0.48 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 15:16
22 Tobias Bjornfot D -0.35 0.00 0.00 -0.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:12
70 Jesper Boqvist C -0.35 0.00 +0.01 -0.33 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 12:27
19 Matthew Tkachuk L -0.41 0.00 +0.21 -0.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:13
9 Sam Bennett C -0.46 0.00 +0.17 -0.46 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 18:18
26 Uvis Balinskis D -0.54 0.00 +0.04 -0.41 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 19:29

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.