| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 42 |
 |
2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 30 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Scoring
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1:29 | |
Mathew Barzal (14) Anthony Duclair (14), Tony DeAngelo (20) · wrist xG 0.09 | 0–1 ▶ |
| 5:57 | |
Matthew Schaefer (15) Ryan Pulock (20), Mathew Barzal (32) · snap xG 0.15 | 0–2 ▶ |
| 9:59 | |
Filip Forsberg (21)PP Roman Josi (23), Steven Stamkos (14) · wrist xG 0.05 | 1–2 |
| 12:53 | |
Matthew Wood (9) Jonathan Marchessault (5), Tyson Jost (5) · snap xG 0.24 | 2–2 ▶ |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 7:21 | |
Jean-Gabriel Pageau (12) Anders Lee (19), Simon Holmstrom (15) · wrist xG 0.14 | 2–3 ▶ |
| 14:11 | |
Filip Forsberg (22) Matthew Wood (8) · wrist xG 0.10 | 3–3 ▶ |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 18:46 | |
Roman Josi (10) Adam Wilsby (9), Erik Haula (18) · wrist xG 0.04 | 4–3 ▶ |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| NSH | NYI | |
|---|---|---|
| 5.19 | Expected goals | 2.86 |
| 4 | Goals (no shootout) | 3 |
| 4.33 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.60 |
| 71 | Shot attempts | 45 |
| 56 | Unblocked attempts | 39 |
| 42 | Shots on goal | 30 |
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 12:53 | NSH | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · NSH takes the lead, 60–40%
NYI had led since 3:39 of the 1st, by as much as 64% |
| 17:50 | NSH | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced NYI 1.26–0.25
In xG over 10 minutes, 7:50 to 17:50 of the 1st; goals 2–0 |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 13:50 | NSH | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced NYI 1.63–0.29
In xG over 10 minutes, 4:20 to 14:20 of the 2nd; goals 1–1 |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 15:38 | NYI | Goalie | Goalie · Sorokin +2.1 goals saved
3 goals on 5.06 xG, 41 shots on goal |
| 18:50 | NYI | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Sorokin, down 4–3
With 1:10 left |
Shot map
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
Box score
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 90 | Ryan O'Reilly | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | 0 | 1 | 19:05 |
| 77 | Luke Evangelista | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 5 | 0.35 | 0 | 0 | 17:15 |
| 56 | Erik Haula | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.58 | 0 | 1 | 17:14 |
| 9 | Filip Forsberg | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 0.50 | 1 | 0 | 16:58 |
| 47 | Michael McCarron | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.41 | 4 | 0 | 15:59 |
| 22 | Cole Smith | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 5 | 1 | 15:24 |
| 58 | Michael Bunting | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 9 | 0.92 | 0 | 1 | 15:20 |
| 91 | Steven Stamkos | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.39 | 2 | 0 | 15:15 |
| 81 | Jonathan Marchessault | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.35 | 2 | 0 | 12:17 |
| 89 | Ozzy Wiesblatt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | 2 | 0 | 11:08 |
| 17 | Tyson Jost | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | 1 | 0 | 09:31 |
| 71 | Matthew Wood | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.32 | 0 | 1 | 08:02 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 59 | Roman Josi | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 9 | 0.22 | 2 | 1 | 29:15 |
| 76 | Brady Skjei | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.15 | 2 | 0 | 27:39 |
| 2 | Adam Wilsby | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.43 | 1 | 0 | 18:35 |
| 48 | Nick Perbix | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.26 | 0 | 0 | 17:49 |
| 72 | Justin Barron | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 12:43 |
| 24 | Andreas Englund | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 12:31 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juuse Saros | 30 | 3 | 27 | .900 | 2.86 | -0.14 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 14 | Bo Horvat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.15 | 0 | 0 | 20:18 |
| 51 | Emil Heineman | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.28 | 3 | 0 | 19:13 |
| 13 | Mathew Barzal | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0.27 | 1 | 1 | 19:04 |
| 81 | Ondrej Palat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.53 | 1 | 0 | 17:31 |
| 92 | Simon Holmstrom | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | 0 | 1 | 16:45 |
| 11 | Anthony Duclair | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.19 | 0 | 0 | 16:07 |
| 49 | Maxim Shabanov | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.29 | 1 | 1 | 14:12 |
| 72 | Anders Lee | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | 1 | 0 | 13:44 |
| 44 | Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | 0 | 1 | 13:21 |
| 53 | Casey Cizikas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.16 | 1 | 0 | 10:37 |
| 32 | Kyle MacLean | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.32 | 3 | 0 | 10:00 |
| 17 | Marc Gatcomb | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 5 | 1 | 08:52 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 48 | Matthew Schaefer | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.26 | 0 | 0 | 23:25 |
| 77 | Tony DeAngelo | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 22:36 |
| 3 | Adam Pelech | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 3 | 19:18 |
| 6 | Ryan Pulock | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.02 | 1 | 0 | 19:16 |
| 7 | Carson Soucy | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 15:30 |
| 24 | Scott Mayfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 15:15 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin | 42 | 4 | 38 | .905 | 5.19 | +1.19 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59 Roman Josi D | +3.43 | +1.45 | +0.14 | +1.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 29:15 |
| 58 Michael Bunting L | +2.57 | 0.00 | +0.60 | +1.94 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 15:20 |
| 9 Filip Forsberg L | +2.32 | +1.50 | +0.32 | +0.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 16:58 |
| 56 Erik Haula L | +2.14 | +0.55 | +0.38 | +1.16 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.03 | — | 17:14 |
| 91 Steven Stamkos C | +1.65 | +0.55 | +0.25 | +0.82 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.02 | — | 15:15 |
| 71 Matthew Wood R | +1.36 | +1.45 | +0.21 | -0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 8:02 |
| 81 Jonathan Marchessault R | +1.33 | +0.70 | +0.23 | +0.59 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 12:17 |
| 76 Brady Skjei D | +1.28 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +1.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 27:39 |
| 17 Tyson Jost C | +1.09 | +0.55 | +0.08 | +0.50 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.02 | — | 9:31 |
| 8 Andreas Englund D | +0.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.85 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 12:31 |
| 20 Justin Barron D | +0.87 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:43 |
| 77 Luke Evangelista R | +0.83 | 0.00 | +0.23 | +0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 17:15 |
| 47 Michael McCarron C | +0.82 | 0.00 | +0.26 | +0.62 | 0.00 | -0.08 | +0.02 | — | 15:59 |
| 83 Adam Wilsby D | +0.44 | +0.70 | +0.28 | -0.41 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 18:35 |
| 74 Juuse Saros G | -0.14 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.14 | 60:00 |
| 36 Cole Smith R | -0.17 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 15:24 |
| 89 Ozzy Wiesblatt C | -0.23 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:08 |
| 90 Ryan O'Reilly C | -0.46 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 19:05 |
| 48 Nick Perbix D | -0.66 | 0.00 | +0.17 | -0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 17:49 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Ilya Sorokin G | +1.19 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.19 | 58:50 |
| 13 Mathew Barzal C | +0.99 | +1.30 | +0.18 | -0.52 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.01 | — | 19:04 |
| 48 Matthew Schaefer D | +0.49 | +0.75 | +0.17 | -0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 23:25 |
| 6 Ryan Pulock D | +0.42 | +0.70 | +0.02 | -0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 19:16 |
| 11 Anthony Duclair L | +0.38 | +0.70 | +0.12 | -0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 16:07 |
| 81 Ondrej Palat L | +0.17 | 0.00 | +0.35 | -0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:31 |
| 44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau C | 0.00 | +0.75 | +0.12 | -0.99 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.05 | — | 13:21 |
| 53 Casey Cizikas C | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | 0.00 | — | 10:37 |
| 32 Kyle MacLean C | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.21 | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:00 |
| 16 Marc Gatcomb C | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 8:52 |
| 51 Emil Heineman L | -0.10 | 0.00 | +0.18 | -0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 19:13 |
| 10 Simon Holmstrom R | -0.10 | +0.55 | +0.07 | -0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 16:45 |
| 14 Bo Horvat C | -0.13 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.30 | +0.15 | -0.06 | -0.02 | — | 20:18 |
| 27 Anders Lee L | -0.22 | +0.70 | +0.05 | -0.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 13:44 |
| 49 Max Shabanov R | -0.23 | 0.00 | +0.19 | -0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 14:12 |
| 3 Adam Pelech D | -0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 19:18 |
| 77 Tony DeAngelo D | -0.43 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -1.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 22:36 |
| 4 Carson Soucy D | -0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:30 |
| 24 Scott Mayfield D | -0.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 15:15 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.