| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 23 | |
| 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 33 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 7:11 | Jimmy Snuggerud (9) Brayden Schenn (11), Dalibor Dvorsky (6) · wrist xG 0.23 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 7:48 | Isac Lundeström (2) Boone Jenner (18), Miles Wood (5) · wrist xG 0.14 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 12:54 | Denton Mateychuk (9) Kent Johnson (12), Sean Monahan (17) · wrist xG 0.02 | 2–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 3:15 | Jonatan Berggren (7)PP Pius Suter (8), Brayden Schenn (12) · wrist xG 0.14 | 2–2 ▶ | |
| 8:30 | Kent Johnson (6)PP Ivan Provorov (14), Dmitri Voronkov (15) · tip-in xG 0.11 | 3–2 ▶ | |
| 13:35 | Tyler Tucker (3) Jonatan Berggren (7), Jimmy Snuggerud (12) · wrist xG 0.01 | 3–3 ▶ | |
| 16:01 | Damon Severson (4) Zach Werenski (41) · slap xG 0.10 | 4–3 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 19:30 | Mason Marchment (13)EN Kirill Marchenko (27), Adam Fantilli (22) · wrist xG 0.59 | 5–3 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| CBJ | STL | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.98 | Expected goals | 2.75 |
| 5 | Goals (no shootout) | 3 |
| 1.48 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.70 |
| 52 | Shot attempts | 58 |
| 41 | Unblocked attempts | 47 |
| 23 | Shots on goal | 33 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 16:01 | STL | Goalie | Goalie · Binnington −2.7 goals saved
4 goals on 1.34 xG, 19 shots on goal |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 11:10 | CBJ | No shift | No shift · Monahan, 16:23 on the bench
No shift after 18:55 of the 2nd; 13 shifts (9:49) before that |
| 18:55 | STL | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Binnington, down 4–3
With 1:05 left; CBJ scored at 19:30 of the 3rd (5–3) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 3 | Charlie Coyle | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 | 18:52 |
| 19 | Adam Fantilli | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 0.13 | 5 | 0 | 18:48 |
| 86 | Kirill Marchenko | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 0.51 | 0 | 0 | 17:04 |
| 24 | Mathieu Olivier | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.14 | 4 | 1 | 16:49 |
| 27 | Mason Marchment | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 0.59 | 1 | 1 | 16:46 |
| 4 | Cole Sillinger | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.11 | 1 | 0 | 15:34 |
| 22 | Boone Jenner | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.14 | 5 | 0 | 13:44 |
| 18 | Miles Wood | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.18 | 1 | 1 | 12:16 |
| 21 | Isac Lundeström | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | 0 | 1 | 11:31 |
| 10 | Dmitri Voronkov | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 1 | 11:31 |
| 91 | Kent Johnson | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 | 0.22 | 0 | 0 | 11:00 |
| 23 | Sean Monahan | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.08 | 0 | 0 | 09:49 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 9 | Ivan Provorov | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 3 | 23:18 |
| 78 | Damon Severson | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.30 | 0 | 0 | 23:01 |
| 8 | Zach Werenski | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 0.20 | 0 | 0 | 22:58 |
| 44 | Erik Gudbranson | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.04 | 0 | 1 | 17:46 |
| 5 | Denton Mateychuk | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.06 | 0 | 1 | 17:04 |
| 6 | Egor Zamula | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 14:34 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jet Greaves | 33 | 3 | 30 | .909 | 2.75 | -0.25 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 89 | Pavel Buchnevich | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 6 | 0.28 | 0 | 0 | 18:20 |
| 22 | Pius Suter | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.09 | 0 | 0 | 18:05 |
| 25 | Jordan Kyrou | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 9 | 0.37 | 2 | 0 | 17:42 |
| 10 | Brayden Schenn | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 3 | 0.14 | 5 | 1 | 17:34 |
| 21 | Jimmy Snuggerud | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 | 0.32 | 0 | 1 | 17:06 |
| 15 | Dalibor Dvorsky | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.32 | 0 | 0 | 16:20 |
| 70 | Oskar Sundqvist | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | 1 | 0 | 14:26 |
| 29 | Jonatan Berggren | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0.36 | 1 | 0 | 13:46 |
| 72 | Nick Bjugstad | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.05 | 2 | 0 | 12:36 |
| 13 | Alexey Toropchenko | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.35 | 1 | 0 | 12:24 |
| 21 | Robby Fabbri | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 0 | 11:40 |
| 26 | Nathan Walker | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 4 | 2 | 11:33 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 6 | Philip Broberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 2 | 0.06 | 1 | 1 | 22:33 |
| 17 | Cam Fowler | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.06 | 0 | 0 | 22:06 |
| 72 | Justin Faulk | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 | 21:58 |
| 55 | Colton Parayko | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 19:30 |
| 23 | Logan Mailloux | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.07 | 1 | 1 | 16:16 |
| 75 | Tyler Tucker | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.01 | 1 | 2 | 14:16 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Binnington | 22 | 4 | 18 | .818 | 1.96 | -2.04 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91 Kent Johnson C | +1.72 | +1.45 | +0.14 | +0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:00 |
| 86 Kirill Marchenko R | +1.44 | +0.70 | +0.33 | +0.29 | +0.15 | +0.01 | -0.04 | — | 17:04 |
| 17 Mason Marchment L | +1.27 | +0.75 | +0.38 | +0.26 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 16:46 |
| 21 Isac Lundeström C | +1.13 | +0.75 | +0.09 | +0.26 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 11:31 |
| 78 Damon Severson D | +1.12 | +0.75 | +0.20 | +0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 23:01 |
| 8 Zach Werenski D | +1.09 | +0.70 | +0.13 | +0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 22:58 |
| 23 Sean Monahan C | +0.99 | +0.55 | +0.05 | +0.37 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 9:49 |
| 5 Denton Mateychuk D | +0.95 | +0.75 | +0.04 | +0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 17:04 |
| 19 Adam Fantilli C | +0.70 | +0.55 | +0.08 | +0.23 | -0.15 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 18:48 |
| 9 Ivan Provorov D | +0.68 | +0.70 | +0.01 | -0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 23:18 |
| 38 Boone Jenner C | +0.65 | +0.70 | +0.09 | -0.12 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 13:44 |
| 10 Dmitri Voronkov L | +0.46 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 11:31 |
| 11 Miles Wood L | +0.30 | +0.55 | +0.12 | -0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 12:16 |
| 6 Egor Zamula D | -0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 14:34 |
| 24 Mathieu Olivier R | -0.22 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.35 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 16:49 |
| 73 Jet Greaves G | -0.25 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.25 | 59:51 |
| 44 Erik Gudbranson D | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 17:46 |
| 3 Charlie Coyle C | -0.38 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.45 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 18:52 |
| 4 Cole Sillinger C | -0.60 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.49 | -0.15 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 15:34 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jonatan Berggren R | +1.62 | +1.45 | +0.23 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 13:46 |
| 21 Jimmy Snuggerud R | +1.61 | +1.30 | +0.21 | -0.06 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 17:06 |
| 10 Brayden Schenn C | +1.46 | +1.25 | +0.09 | +0.06 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 17:34 |
| 54 Dalibor Dvorsky R | +1.11 | +0.55 | +0.21 | +0.27 | +0.15 | -0.03 | -0.04 | — | 16:20 |
| 75 Tyler Tucker D | +0.98 | +0.75 | +0.01 | +0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 14:16 |
| 22 Pius Suter C | +0.80 | +0.70 | +0.06 | +0.06 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.04 | — | 18:05 |
| 72 Justin Faulk D | +0.76 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 21:58 |
| 13 Alexey Toropchenko R | +0.49 | 0.00 | +0.23 | +0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:24 |
| 26 Nathan Walker L | +0.38 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.27 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.08 | — | 11:33 |
| 17 Cam Fowler D | +0.19 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 22:06 |
| 9 Robby Fabbri C | +0.18 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:40 |
| 77 Nick Bjugstad C | +0.17 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.29 | -0.15 | +0.02 | -0.02 | — | 12:36 |
| 70 Oskar Sundqvist C | +0.07 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.19 | +0.15 | +0.03 | +0.02 | — | 14:26 |
| 6 Philip Broberg D | +0.06 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.18 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 22:33 |
| 55 Colton Parayko D | -0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 19:30 |
| 89 Pavel Buchnevich L | -0.25 | 0.00 | +0.18 | -0.43 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 18:20 |
| 23 Logan Mailloux D | -0.36 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 16:16 |
| 25 Jordan Kyrou R | -0.37 | 0.00 | +0.24 | -0.43 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 17:42 |
| 50 Jordan Binnington G | -2.04 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -2.04 | 59:25 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.