Dallas StarsDAL 3–2 Final Utah MammothUTA

Saturday, January 31, 2026

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Dallas StarsDAL	3	0	0	3	32
Utah MammothUTA	1	0	1	2	14

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
2:11	DAL	Thomas Harley (4)PP Mavrik Bourque (11), Jamie Benn (10) · snap xG 0.36	1–0 ▶
7:42	DAL	Wyatt Johnston (29)PP Mikko Rantanen (47), Miro Heiskanen (35) · tip-in xG 0.12	2–0 ▶
10:23	UTA	Kailer Yamamoto (8) JJ Peterka (17), John Marino (21) · snap xG 0.11	2–1 ▶
16:37	DAL	Matt Duchene (9) Jamie Benn (11), Sam Steel (16) · snap xG 0.22	3–1 ▶
2nd Period
No scoring
3rd Period
6:41	UTA	Kailer Yamamoto (9) JJ Peterka (18), Barrett Hayton (12) · wrist xG 0.13	3–2 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

DAL 69%Deserve to win31% UTA

DAL		UTA
3.35	Expected goals	2.06
3	Goals (no shootout)	2
1.89	Expected goals, 5 on 5	1.70
61	Shot attempts	40
50	Unblocked attempts	26
32	Shots on goal	14

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
18:20	UTA	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Vejmelka, down 3–2 With 1:40 left
19:33	UTA	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Vejmelka, down 3–2 With 0:27 left

Shot map

DAL shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ UTA shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Dallas Stars

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
53	Wyatt Johnston	1	0	1	0	10	0.47	2	1	21:23
96	Mikko Rantanen	0	1	1	0	7	0.33	0	0	20:47
21	Jason Robertson	0	0	0	-1	5	0.50	2	0	17:21
24	Roope Hintz	0	0	0	-1	2	0.10	0	2	15:56
95	Matt Duchene	1	0	1	0	3	0.37	0	0	14:37
22	Mavrik Bourque	0	1	1	-1	2	0.07	2	1	14:14
49	Justin Hryckowian	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	0	0	14:08
14	Jamie Benn	0	2	2	0	0	0.00	2	0	13:40
18	Sam Steel	0	1	1	-1	1	0.08	1	0	13:36
10	Oskar Bäck	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	1	12:13
12	Radek Faksa	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	11:12
73	Adam Erne	0	0	0	+1	1	0.18	7	0	10:12
Defense
4	Miro Heiskanen	0	1	1	0	8	0.18	1	3	25:35
23	Esa Lindell	0	0	0	0	5	0.30	1	0	22:39
55	Thomas Harley	1	0	1	-2	9	0.60	1	0	22:23
5	Nils Lundkvist	0	0	0	-2	2	0.01	0	0	18:00
36	Alexander Petrovic	0	0	0	+1	2	0.03	3	3	14:04
20	Kyle Capobianco	0	0	0	+1	2	0.03	1	1	12:00

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Casey DeSmith	14	2	12	.857	2.06	+0.06

Utah Mammoth

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
8	Nick Schmaltz	0	0	0	0	3	0.40	0	0	19:18
10	JJ Peterka	0	2	2	+2	5	0.22	0	0	17:50
27	Barrett Hayton	0	1	1	+2	1	0.09	2	0	17:28
67	Lawson Crouse	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	0	0	16:54
9	Clayton Keller	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	0	0	16:21
11	Dylan Guenther	0	0	0	0	5	0.06	0	0	15:32
82	Kevin Stenlund	0	0	0	-1	2	0.02	0	4	15:31
56	Kailer Yamamoto	2	0	2	+2	3	0.37	1	0	13:56
22	Jack McBain	0	0	0	0	3	0.43	4	0	13:20
53	Michael Carcone	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	13:06
50	Daniil But	0	0	0	-1	1	0.16	0	0	10:57
13	Brandon Tanev	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	5	0	08:00
Defense
98	Mikhail Sergachev	0	0	0	-1	3	0.02	0	0	25:17
6	John Marino	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	0	20:31
88	Nate Schmidt	0	0	0	+1	1	0.11	2	1	18:33
5	Sean Durzi	0	0	0	-1	2	0.02	1	2	18:26
28	Ian Cole	0	0	0	+1	3	0.02	0	1	17:27
57	Nick DeSimone	0	0	0	+1	4	0.08	1	0	14:37

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Karel Vejmelka	32	3	29	.906	3.16	+0.16

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Dallas Stars

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
53 Wyatt Johnston C	+1.36	+0.75	+0.30	+0.10	+0.15	+0.05	+0.01	—	21:23
4 Miro Heiskanen D	+0.97	+0.55	+0.12	+0.18	0.00	0.00	+0.13	—	25:35
14 Jamie Benn L	+0.91	+1.25	0.00	-0.35	0.00	-0.01	+0.02	—	13:40
22 Mavrik Bourque C	+0.89	+0.70	+0.04	+0.10	0.00	+0.02	+0.03	—	14:14
73 Adam Erne L	+0.87	0.00	+0.12	+0.78	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	—	10:12
55 Thomas Harley D	+0.75	+0.75	+0.39	-0.41	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	22:23
96 Mikko Rantanen R	+0.72	+0.70	+0.21	-0.03	-0.15	-0.01	0.00	—	20:47
95 Matt Duchene C	+0.71	+0.75	+0.24	-0.22	0.00	-0.04	-0.02	—	14:37
20 Kyle Capobianco D	+0.62	0.00	+0.02	+0.54	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	12:00
28 Alexander Petrovic D	+0.48	0.00	+0.02	+0.33	0.00	0.00	+0.13	—	14:04
23 Esa Lindell D	+0.43	0.00	+0.19	+0.24	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	22:39
21 Jason Robertson L	+0.39	0.00	+0.32	+0.06	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	17:21
24 Roope Hintz C	+0.29	0.00	+0.07	+0.09	0.00	+0.03	+0.10	—	15:56
10 Oskar Bäck C	+0.21	0.00	+0.01	+0.14	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	12:13
18 Sam Steel C	+0.15	+0.55	+0.05	-0.45	0.00	-0.01	0.00	—	13:36
12 Radek Faksa C	+0.14	0.00	0.00	+0.09	0.00	+0.05	0.00	—	11:12
1 Casey DeSmith G	+0.06	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+0.06	60:00
49 Justin Hryckowian C	-0.09	0.00	+0.05	-0.15	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	14:08
5 Nils Lundkvist D	-0.78	0.00	+0.01	-0.76	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	18:00

Utah Mammoth

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
56 Kailer Yamamoto R	+2.58	+1.50	+0.24	+0.81	0.00	+0.03	0.00	—	13:56
77 JJ Peterka R	+2.07	+1.40	+0.14	+0.54	0.00	-0.01	0.00	—	17:50
27 Barrett Hayton C	+1.21	+0.55	+0.06	+0.61	0.00	+0.01	-0.02	—	17:28
28 Ian Cole D	+0.79	0.00	+0.01	+0.73	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	17:27
57 Nick DeSimone D	+0.77	0.00	+0.05	+0.72	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	14:37
53 Michael Carcone L	+0.39	0.00	0.00	+0.45	0.00	0.00	-0.06	—	13:06
22 Jack McBain C	+0.21	0.00	+0.28	+0.13	-0.15	-0.03	-0.02	—	13:20
70 Karel Vejmelka G	+0.16	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+0.16	58:29
6 John Marino D	+0.13	+0.55	0.00	-0.44	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	20:31
8 Nick Schmaltz C	0.00	0.00	+0.26	-0.23	0.00	-0.05	+0.02	—	19:18
98 Mikhail Sergachev D	-0.09	0.00	+0.01	-0.09	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	25:17
11 Dylan Guenther R	-0.09	0.00	+0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	-0.08	—	15:32
67 Lawson Crouse L	-0.13	0.00	0.00	-0.14	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	16:54
9 Clayton Keller R	-0.26	0.00	+0.04	-0.27	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	16:21
82 Kevin Stenlund C	-0.46	0.00	+0.01	-0.66	0.00	-0.01	+0.20	—	15:31
13 Brandon Tanev L	-0.49	0.00	0.00	-0.64	+0.15	0.00	0.00	—	8:00
50 Sean Durzi D	-0.51	0.00	+0.01	-0.45	-0.15	0.00	+0.08	—	18:26
19 Daniil But L	-0.58	0.00	+0.10	-0.66	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	—	10:57
88 Nate Schmidt D	-0.86	0.00	+0.07	-0.67	-0.30	0.00	+0.03	—	18:33

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.