Minnesota WildMIN 7–3 Final Edmonton OilersEDM

Saturday, January 31, 2026

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Minnesota WildMIN	2	3	2	7	29
Edmonton OilersEDM	2	0	1	3	42

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
3:16	EDM	Leon Draisaitl (27) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.19	0–1 ▶
6:15	MIN	Joel Eriksson Ek (14)PP Quinn Hughes (47), Jesper Wallstedt (1) · wrist xG 0.16	1–1 ▶
8:01	EDM	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (13) Connor McDavid (61), Evan Bouchard (45) · deflected xG 0.09	1–2 ▶
19:24	MIN	Kirill Kaprizov (30)PP Joel Eriksson Ek (24), Mats Zuccarello (23) · wrist xG 0.49	2–2 ▶
2nd Period
0:35	MIN	Mats Zuccarello (9) Ryan Hartman (11) · wrist xG 0.01	3–2 ▶
12:29	MIN	Quinn Hughes (5) Brock Faber (23) · slap xG 0.11	4–2 ▶
15:40	MIN	Vladimir Tarasenko (14) Marcus Foligno (5), Danila Yurov (13) · wrist xG 0.06	5–2 ▶
3rd Period
9:42	MIN	Tyler Pitlick (2) Yakov Trenin (12), Vinnie Hinostroza (7) · wrist xG 0.19	6–2 ▶
12:43	EDM	Jack Roslovic (15) Darnell Nurse (11), Josh Samanski (1) · snap xG 0.19	6–3 ▶
14:17	MIN	Brock Faber (12) Matt Boldy (27), Jake Middleton (11) · wrist xG 0.11	7–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

MIN 51%Deserve to win49% EDM

MIN		EDM
4.34	Expected goals	4.29
7	Goals (no shootout)	3
3.48	Expected goals, 5 on 5	3.81
63	Shot attempts	89
46	Unblocked attempts	66
29	Shots on goal	42

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
8:00	MIN	No shift	No shift · Pitlick, 11:30 on the bench No shift from 15:01 of the 1st to 9:23 of the 2nd; 4 shifts (2:43) before that
15:40	EDM	Goalie change	Goalie change · Ingram in for Jarry 15:40 of the 2nd; Jarry had allowed 5 goals on 20 shots (3.05 xG)
3rd Period
3:50	EDM	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced MIN 1.23–0.19 In xG over 10 minutes, 14:20 of the 2nd to 4:20 of the 3rd; goals 0–1

Shot map

MIN shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ EDM shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Minnesota Wild

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
12	Matt Boldy	0	1	1	-1	2	0.19	2	0	19:30
97	Kirill Kaprizov	1	0	1	+2	8	1.13	0	0	18:21
14	Joel Eriksson Ek	1	1	2	-1	5	0.28	1	0	17:01
38	Ryan Hartman	0	1	1	+3	6	0.45	0	2	16:22
36	Mats Zuccarello	1	1	2	+3	8	0.46	0	1	15:17
22	Danila Yurov	0	1	1	-1	4	0.17	1	1	14:29
91	Vladimir Tarasenko	1	0	1	-1	4	0.18	0	0	14:22
90	Marcus Johansson	0	0	0	0	3	0.18	0	0	14:11
17	Marcus Foligno	0	1	1	0	1	0.08	2	1	12:23
18	Vinnie Hinostroza	0	1	1	0	4	0.58	1	3	11:42
13	Yakov Trenin	0	1	1	+1	1	0.00	5	0	11:39
19	Tyler Pitlick	1	0	1	+1	2	0.19	2	1	08:56
Defense
7	Brock Faber	1	1	2	+3	3	0.24	0	4	25:50
43	Quinn Hughes	1	1	2	+4	6	0.19	0	1	25:14
55	Jake Middleton	0	1	1	-2	1	0.00	1	4	19:42
46	Jared Spurgeon	0	0	0	-1	4	0.02	1	1	18:58
5	David Jiricek	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	13:51
48	Daemon Hunt	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	2	13:12

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Jesper Wallstedt	42	3	39	.929	4.29	+1.29

Edmonton Oilers

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
97	Connor McDavid	0	1	1	-3	6	0.57	2	2	22:28
18	Zach Hyman	0	0	0	-1	6	0.35	2	1	20:33
93	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins	1	0	1	-1	6	0.37	0	0	19:01
29	Leon Draisaitl	1	0	1	-2	10	0.51	0	0	17:22
42	Kasperi Kapanen	0	0	0	0	6	0.12	2	0	15:24
92	Vasily Podkolzin	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	5	1	14:49
96	Jack Roslovic	1	0	1	0	7	0.44	0	0	14:19
22	Matt Savoie	0	0	0	+1	6	0.49	1	1	13:35
13	Mattias Janmark	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	0	1	10:48
81	Josh Samanski	0	1	1	+1	1	0.05	1	0	10:34
10	Trent Frederic	0	0	0	-1	3	0.00	3	0	10:22
20	Curtis Lazar	0	0	0	0	3	0.42	1	0	09:10
Defense
2	Evan Bouchard	0	1	1	-1	14	0.71	1	0	24:41
96	Jake Walman	0	0	0	0	7	0.07	0	1	22:08
25	Darnell Nurse	0	1	1	-1	2	0.03	1	4	21:27
14	Mattias Ekholm	0	0	0	-1	6	0.08	2	1	21:00
49	Ty Emberson	0	0	0	-1	4	0.06	3	2	12:28
24	Spencer Stastney	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	3	12:26

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Tristan Jarry	20	5	15	.750	3.05	-1.95
Connor Ingram	9	2	7	.778	1.28	-0.72

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Minnesota Wild

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
43 Quinn Hughes D	+3.68	+1.45	+0.13	+1.96	+0.15	0.00	-0.01	—	25:14
36 Mats Zuccarello R	+3.37	+1.30	+0.30	+1.71	0.00	+0.01	+0.05	—	15:17
7 Brock Faber D	+3.24	+1.45	+0.16	+1.62	-0.15	0.00	+0.16	—	25:50
97 Kirill Kaprizov L	+2.47	+0.75	+0.74	+1.01	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	18:21
38 Ryan Hartman R	+2.27	+0.70	+0.29	+1.24	0.00	-0.02	+0.06	—	16:22
30 Jesper Wallstedt G	+1.99	+0.55	—	—	+0.15	—	—	+1.29	60:00
18 Vinnie Hinostroza C	+1.09	+0.55	+0.37	-0.02	0.00	+0.01	+0.17	—	12:42
14 Joel Eriksson Ek C	+0.92	+1.45	+0.18	-0.72	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	17:01
19 Tyler Pitlick C	+0.77	+0.75	+0.13	-0.15	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	9:56
22 Danila Yurov R	+0.58	+0.55	+0.11	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	+0.01	—	14:29
5 Jake Middleton D	+0.34	+0.55	0.00	-0.52	+0.15	0.00	+0.16	—	20:42
17 Marcus Foligno L	+0.32	+0.70	+0.05	-0.46	0.00	-0.01	+0.03	—	12:23
91 Vladimir Tarasenko R	+0.17	+0.75	+0.12	-0.69	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	14:22
13 Yakov Trenin C	+0.03	+0.70	0.00	-0.53	-0.15	+0.01	0.00	—	12:39
12 Matt Boldy L	-0.02	+0.70	+0.13	-0.83	0.00	-0.01	0.00	—	19:30
46 Jared Spurgeon D	-0.24	0.00	+0.01	-0.30	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	19:58
90 Marcus Johansson L	-0.61	0.00	+0.11	-0.70	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	14:11
48 Daemon Hunt D	-1.30	0.00	0.00	-1.41	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	13:12
55 David Jiricek D	-1.46	0.00	0.00	-1.49	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	13:51

Edmonton Oilers

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
28 Jack Roslovic C	+1.88	+0.75	+0.29	+0.84	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	15:19
2 Evan Bouchard D	+1.73	+0.55	+0.46	+0.70	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	24:41
81 Josh Samanski C	+1.64	+0.55	+0.03	+1.05	0.00	-0.01	+0.02	—	11:34
22 Matt Savoie C	+1.53	0.00	+0.32	+1.16	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	14:35
29 Leon Draisaitl C	+1.37	+0.75	+0.33	+0.07	+0.15	+0.05	+0.02	—	17:22
14 Mattias Ekholm D	+0.82	0.00	+0.05	+0.72	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	21:00
97 Connor McDavid C	+0.62	+0.70	+0.37	-0.38	-0.15	-0.02	+0.10	—	22:28
24 Spencer Stastney D	+0.53	0.00	+0.01	+0.35	0.00	0.00	+0.17	—	13:26
18 Zach Hyman L	+0.25	0.00	+0.22	+0.14	-0.15	0.00	+0.03	—	20:33
92 Vasily Podkolzin R	+0.12	0.00	0.00	+0.08	0.00	-0.01	+0.05	—	14:49
20 Curtis Lazar C	+0.06	0.00	+0.27	-0.22	0.00	+0.03	-0.02	—	9:10
25 Darnell Nurse D	+0.05	+0.70	+0.02	-0.83	0.00	0.00	+0.16	—	21:27
49 Ty Emberson D	+0.05	0.00	+0.04	-0.09	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	13:28
93 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C	-0.02	+0.75	+0.24	-0.99	0.00	-0.02	0.00	—	19:01
42 Kasperi Kapanen R	-0.39	0.00	+0.08	-0.47	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	15:24
13 Mattias Janmark C	-0.47	0.00	0.00	-0.52	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	10:48
10 Trent Frederic C	-0.56	0.00	0.00	-0.55	0.00	+0.01	-0.02	—	10:22
96 Jake Walman D	-0.62	0.00	+0.04	-0.71	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	22:08
39 Connor Ingram G	-0.72	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-0.72	24:20
35 Tristan Jarry G	-1.95	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-1.95	35:40

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.