hockeystats.io

Seattle KrakenSEA 3–2 Final Vegas Golden KnightsVGK

Saturday, January 31, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Seattle KrakenSEA 201 3 22
Vegas Golden KnightsVGK 020 2 29

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
6:50 SEA Eeli Tolvanen (11) Ryan Winterton (11), Chandler Stephenson (20) · wrist xG 0.26 1–0 ▶
13:04 SEA Jared McCann (16)PP Vince Dunn (25), Chandler Stephenson (21) · snap xG 0.11 2–0 ▶
2nd Period
8:52 VGK Ivan Barbashev (14) Jack Eichel (43), Ben Hutton (9) · wrist xG 0.36 2–1 ▶
19:48 VGK Mitch Marner (14)PP Jack Eichel (44), Tomas Hertl (26) · wrist xG 0.11 2–2 ▶
3rd Period
3:18 SEA Kaapo Kakko (6) Adam Larsson (10) · backhand xG 0.25 3–2 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

SEA 48%Deserve to win52% VGK
SEAVGK
2.53Expected goals2.65
3Goals (no shootout)2
1.94Expected goals, 5 on 51.88
46Shot attempts60
35Unblocked attempts43
22Shots on goal29

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
18:09 VGK Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Schmid, down 3–2
With 1:51 left

Shot map

SEA shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ VGK shoots
Matty Beniers: tip-in, 25 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 1:12) Tomas Hertl: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 2:06) Ben Hutton: slap, 40 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 2:14) Brandon Montour: slap, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:49) Cole Reinhardt: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:00) Noah Hanifin: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:01) Eeli Tolvanen: slap, 38 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 6:12) Ryan Winterton: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 6:48) Matty Beniers: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 7:17) Ivan Barbashev: tip-in, 20 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 7:38) Jonas Rondbjerg: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 7:54) Mitch Marner: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 9:41) Vince Dunn: snap, 47 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 12:08) Jonas Rondbjerg: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 13:21) Tomas Hertl: wrist, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 13:27) Noah Hanifin: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 15:34) Kaapo Kakko: snap, 17 ft, xG 0.20 (P1 17:12) Rasmus Andersson: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 0:43) Brandon Montour: snap, 57 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 1:13) Jordan Eberle: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 1:25) Braeden Bowman: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:33) Tomas Hertl: deflected, 6 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 3:58) Keegan Kolesar: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 3:58) Jaden Schwartz: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 4:38) Ryan Winterton: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.22 (P2 4:49) Ryan Winterton: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 4:58) Jack Eichel: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 5:12) Frederick Gaudreau: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 9:23) Ryker Evans: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 9:26) Adam Larsson: slap, 72 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 10:10) Mitch Marner: snap, 54 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 11:15) Mark Stone: slap, 46 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 11:27) Braeden Bowman: deflected, 16 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 11:35) Eeli Tolvanen: wrist, 72 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 12:08) Jordan Eberle: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 12:26) Jordan Eberle: deflected, 6 ft, xG 0.21 (P2 13:05) Jordan Eberle: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.20 (P2 13:18) Jack Eichel: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 13:26) Brandon Montour: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 14:30) Jonas Rondbjerg: slap, 6 ft, xG 0.23 (P2 15:11) Jared McCann: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 15:32) Ivan Barbashev: backhand, 20 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 16:35) Tomas Hertl: backhand, 15 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 17:02) Jack Eichel: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 17:43) Pavel Dorofeyev: slap, 42 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 17:49) Rasmus Andersson: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 18:44) Reilly Smith: wrist, 87 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 19:04) Keegan Kolesar: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 19:25) Vince Dunn: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 0:17) Shane Wright: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 0:33) Ben Hutton: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 1:58) Rasmus Andersson: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 2:25) Adam Larsson: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 2:52) Adam Larsson: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 3:15) Keegan Kolesar: backhand, 29 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 4:45) Rasmus Andersson: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 4:52) Adam Larsson: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 5:02) Ivan Barbashev: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 5:09) Frederick Gaudreau: tip-in, 97 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 6:55) Rasmus Andersson: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 8:54) Jack Eichel: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 9:20) Kaapo Kakko: wrist, 89 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 12:36) Jordan Eberle: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 14:07) Jeremy Lauzon: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 14:59) Shane Wright: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 16:23) Jaden Schwartz: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 16:58) Chandler Stephenson: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 17:26) Mitch Marner: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 18:59) Jack Eichel: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.20 (P3 19:02) Tomas Hertl: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 19:14) Tomas Hertl: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 19:46) Mitch Marner: slap, 53 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 19:50) Jack Eichel: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 19:55) Eeli Tolvanen: GOAL, wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.26 (P1 6:50) Jared McCann: GOAL, snap, 29 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 13:04) Ivan Barbashev: GOAL, wrist, 4 ft, xG 0.36 (P2 8:52) Mitch Marner: GOAL, wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 19:48) Kaapo Kakko: GOAL, backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.25 (P3 3:18)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Seattle Kraken

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
10 Matty Beniers 000 0 20.12 0119:13
7 Jordan Eberle 000 0 60.54 0118:28
9 Chandler Stephenson 022 0 10.07 0018:01
19 Jared McCann 101 0 30.15 1017:58
17 Eeli Tolvanen 101 +1 40.32 2115:26
71 Jaden Schwartz 000 0 20.08 0115:22
89 Frederick Gaudreau 000 0 30.02 0214:42
51 Shane Wright 000 +1 20.17 0013:46
84 Kaapo Kakko 101 0 30.45 0013:35
26 Ryan Winterton 011 +1 50.31 0013:05
24 Tye Kartye 000 0 00.00 1010:32
63 Jacob Melanson 000 0 00.00 12009:56
Defense
6 Adam Larsson 011 +1 60.12 2122:13
62 Brandon Montour 000 -1 40.06 1121:12
29 Vince Dunn 011 +1 20.10 0119:52
55 Ryan Lindgren 000 +1 00.00 0219:34
4 Jamie Oleksiak 000 -1 10.00 2217:38
41 Ryker Evans 000 +1 20.04 2217:06
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Joey Daccord 29227 .931 2.65 +0.65

Vegas Golden Knights

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
9 Jack Eichel 022 +1 90.39 0221:59
48 Tomas Hertl 011 -1 70.30 4019:14
61 Mark Stone 000 0 10.02 1018:42
93 Mitch Marner 101 -1 60.22 0017:22
49 Ivan Barbashev 101 +1 60.68 2316:21
16 Pavel Dorofeyev 000 -1 30.07 1016:20
55 Keegan Kolesar 000 0 30.07 3015:29
42 Braeden Bowman 000 0 40.08 0014:34
46 Jonas Rondbjerg 000 0 40.45 0013:41
19 Reilly Smith 000 -1 20.00 0011:52
10 Alexander Holtz 000 -1 10.00 3110:05
29 Cole Reinhardt 000 0 10.01 1009:32
Defense
27 Shea Theodore 000 0 00.00 0022:44
15 Noah Hanifin 000 0 30.03 2221:37
4 Rasmus Andersson 000 0 70.08 0020:55
5 Jeremy Lauzon 000 -2 10.07 4217:43
17 Ben Hutton 011 +1 20.18 0115:29
6 Kaedan Korczak 000 -1 00.00 3014:48
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Akira Schmid 22319 .864 2.53 -0.47

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Seattle Kraken

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
6 Adam Larsson D +1.33 +0.70 +0.08 +0.51 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 22:13
26 Ryan Winterton C +1.30 +0.70 +0.20 +0.42 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 13:05
20 Eeli Tolvanen R +1.28 +0.75 +0.21 +0.29 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 15:26
9 Chandler Stephenson C +1.13 +1.10 +0.04 -0.01 0.00 -0.02 +0.02 — 18:01
84 Kaapo Kakko R +1.06 +0.75 +0.29 -0.02 0.00 0.00 +0.04 — 13:35
55 Ryan Lindgren D +0.98 0.00 0.00 +0.73 +0.15 0.00 +0.10 — 19:34
29 Vince Dunn D +0.98 +0.70 +0.07 +0.33 -0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 19:52
19 Jared McCann L +0.78 +0.75 +0.10 -0.04 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 17:58
35 Joey Daccord G +0.65 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.65 60:00
51 Shane Wright C +0.55 0.00 +0.11 +0.46 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 13:46
7 Jordan Eberle R +0.36 0.00 +0.35 -0.04 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 18:28
17 Jaden Schwartz L +0.30 0.00 +0.05 +0.21 0.00 +0.01 +0.03 — 15:22
41 Ryker Evans D +0.24 0.00 +0.03 +0.31 -0.15 0.00 +0.06 — 17:06
10 Matty Beniers C +0.04 0.00 +0.08 -0.10 0.00 +0.03 +0.03 — 19:13
89 Frederick Gaudreau C -0.06 0.00 +0.01 -0.14 0.00 +0.01 +0.06 — 14:42
63 Jacob Melanson R -0.19 0.00 0.00 -0.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:56
12 Tye Kartye L -0.21 0.00 0.00 -0.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 10:32
62 Brandon Montour D -0.47 0.00 +0.04 -0.56 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 21:12
24 Jamie Oleksiak D -0.73 0.00 0.00 -0.83 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 17:38

Vegas Golden Knights

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
9 Jack Eichel C +2.72 +1.40 +0.25 +1.01 0.00 -0.03 +0.08 — 21:59
49 Ivan Barbashev L +2.23 +0.75 +0.44 +0.83 +0.15 -0.01 +0.07 — 16:21
17 Ben Hutton D +2.01 +0.55 +0.11 +1.34 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 15:29
93 Mitch Marner R +0.38 +0.75 +0.14 -0.47 0.00 +0.02 -0.06 — 17:22
55 Keegan Kolesar R +0.28 0.00 +0.04 +0.10 +0.15 -0.01 0.00 — 15:29
46 Jonas Rondbjerg R +0.28 0.00 +0.29 -0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:41
48 Tomas Hertl C +0.27 +0.55 +0.20 -0.52 0.00 +0.04 0.00 — 19:14
15 Noah Hanifin D +0.08 0.00 +0.02 -0.04 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 21:37
61 Mark Stone R +0.08 0.00 +0.01 +0.06 0.00 -0.01 +0.02 — 18:42
42 Braeden Bowman R +0.07 0.00 +0.05 +0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:34
4 Rasmus Andersson D +0.05 0.00 +0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 20:55
6 Kaedan Korczak D -0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:48
23 Cole Reinhardt L -0.19 0.00 +0.01 -0.16 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 9:32
27 Shea Theodore D -0.22 0.00 0.00 -0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 22:44
16 Pavel Dorofeyev R -0.25 0.00 +0.05 -0.15 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 16:20
40 Akira Schmid G -0.47 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.47 58:20
26 Alexander Holtz R -0.60 0.00 0.00 -0.62 0.00 -0.01 +0.03 — 10:05
19 Reilly Smith R -0.83 0.00 0.00 -0.81 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 11:52
5 Jeremy Lauzon D -1.33 0.00 +0.04 -1.48 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 17:43

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.