| Final/OT | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 34 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 6:25 | Jordan Staal (13)PP Andrei Svechnikov (27), Shayne Gostisbehere (28) · tip-in xG 0.09 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| No scoring | |||
| 3rd Period | |||
| 12:57 | Alexander Nikishin (7) Unassisted · snap xG 0.13 | 0–2 ▶ | |
| 13:21 | Samuel Helenius (3) Jeff Malott (5), Brian Dumoulin (11) · snap xG 0.19 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 16:49 | Quinton Byfield (11) Adrian Kempe (25) · snap xG 0.18 | 2–2 ▶ | |
| Overtime | |||
| 1:25 | Sebastian Aho (19) Seth Jarvis (18), Shayne Gostisbehere (29) · snap xG 0.09 | 2–3 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| LAK | CAR | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.70 | Expected goals | 4.47 |
| 2 | Goals (no shootout) | 3 |
| 1.52 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.65 |
| 37 | Shot attempts | 77 |
| 25 | Unblocked attempts | 51 |
| 13 | Shots on goal | 34 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 19:20 | LAK | No shift | No shift · Anderson, 38:10 on the bench
No shift after 9:13 of the 1st; 4 shifts (2:50) before that |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 4:28 | CAR | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · CAR takes the lead, 61–39%
LAK had led since 3:23 of the 1st, by as much as 63% |
| 6:00 | CAR | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced LAK 1.36–0.09
In xG over 10 minutes, 17:10 of the 1st to 7:10 of the 2nd; neither team scored |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 9:51 | LAK | Goalie | Goalie · Forsberg +2.0 goals saved
1 goal on 3.02 xG, 22 shots on goal |
| 13:00 | CAR | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced LAK 1.08–0.05
In xG over 10 minutes, 3:00 to 13:00 of the 3rd; goals 1–0 |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 55 | Quinton Byfield | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 0.36 | 2 | 1 | 20:00 |
| 9 | Adrian Kempe | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.27 | 2 | 0 | 19:22 |
| 14 | Alex Laferriere | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 3 | 1 | 18:44 |
| 22 | Kevin Fiala | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.15 | 1 | 1 | 18:14 |
| 11 | Anze Kopitar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 3 | 2 | 17:11 |
| 90 | Corey Perry | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.07 | 0 | 1 | 14:51 |
| 12 | Trevor Moore | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | 0 | 0 | 14:35 |
| 40 | Joel Armia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | 2 | 0 | 14:07 |
| 62 | Andrei Kuzmenko | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 14:05 |
| 79 | Samuel Helenius | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.19 | 1 | 0 | 09:05 |
| 17 | Taylor Ward | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 08:30 |
| 39 | Jeff Malott | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.03 | 6 | 1 | 08:26 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 8 | Drew Doughty | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 3 | 25:47 |
| 6 | Joel Edmundson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.03 | 2 | 3 | 23:51 |
| 92 | Brandt Clarke | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 7 | 0.37 | 0 | 6 | 22:35 |
| 2 | Brian Dumoulin | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 22:05 |
| 5 | Cody Ceci | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | 1 | 4 | 19:53 |
| 44 | Mikey Anderson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 02:50 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anton Forsberg | 34 | 3 | 31 | .912 | 4.47 | +1.47 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 27 | Nikolaj Ehlers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0.11 | 1 | 1 | 20:07 |
| 20 | Sebastian Aho | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 0.51 | 0 | 1 | 19:12 |
| 24 | Seth Jarvis | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 9 | 0.97 | 1 | 2 | 19:04 |
| 11 | Jordan Staal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.22 | 0 | 0 | 18:42 |
| 37 | Andrei Svechnikov | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.25 | 1 | 0 | 16:30 |
| 53 | Jackson Blake | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.15 | 0 | 2 | 15:10 |
| 22 | Logan Stankoven | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 1 | 0 | 14:42 |
| 71 | Taylor Hall | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.98 | 2 | 0 | 14:21 |
| 48 | Jordan Martinook | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.53 | 2 | 0 | 14:11 |
| 77 | Mark Jankowski | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 10:03 |
| 82 | Jesperi Kotkaniemi | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 09:20 |
| 28 | William Carrier | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.10 | 2 | 0 | 07:53 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 74 | Jaccob Slavin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.12 | 0 | 1 | 24:38 |
| 5 | Jalen Chatfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | 0 | 1 | 20:22 |
| 26 | Sean Walker | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.01 | 0 | 3 | 19:56 |
| 19 | K'Andre Miller | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.01 | 1 | 1 | 19:52 |
| 4 | Shayne Gostisbehere | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 | 18:41 |
| 21 | Alexander Nikishin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.22 | 0 | 0 | 13:31 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Bussi | 13 | 2 | 11 | .846 | 1.70 | -0.30 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Anton Forsberg G | +1.47 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.47 | 61:25 |
| 79 Samuel Helenius C | +1.17 | +0.75 | +0.12 | +0.27 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 9:05 |
| 55 Quinton Byfield R | +1.07 | +0.75 | +0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.05 | — | 20:00 |
| 39 Jeff Malott L | +0.88 | +0.70 | +0.02 | +0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 8:26 |
| 9 Adrian Kempe R | +0.54 | +0.70 | +0.17 | -0.33 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 19:22 |
| 2 Brian Dumoulin D | +0.34 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 | — | 22:05 |
| 8 Drew Doughty D | +0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 25:47 |
| 52 Taylor Ward R | +0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.03 | — | 8:30 |
| 44 Mikey Anderson D | +0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.13 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 2:50 |
| 92 Brandt Clarke D | +0.03 | 0.00 | +0.24 | -0.66 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.30 | — | 22:35 |
| 40 Joel Armia R | -0.17 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 14:07 |
| 22 Kevin Fiala L | -0.19 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.19 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 18:14 |
| 5 Cody Ceci D | -0.29 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.16 | — | 19:53 |
| 12 Trevor Moore L | -0.46 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.53 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 14:35 |
| 96 Andrei Kuzmenko L | -0.48 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:05 |
| 11 Anze Kopitar C | -0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 17:11 |
| 14 Alex Laferriere R | -0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.65 | 0.00 | -0.05 | +0.01 | — | 18:44 |
| 10 Corey Perry R | -0.71 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.50 | -0.30 | +0.01 | +0.03 | — | 14:51 |
| 6 Joel Edmundson D | -1.03 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -1.03 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 23:51 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Seth Jarvis C | +2.02 | +0.70 | +0.63 | +0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 19:04 |
| 20 Sebastian Aho C | +1.77 | +0.75 | +0.33 | +0.59 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.05 | — | 19:12 |
| 4 Shayne Gostisbehere D | +1.75 | +1.10 | +0.09 | +0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:41 |
| 11 Jordan Staal C | +1.49 | +0.75 | +0.14 | +0.57 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 | — | 18:40 |
| 37 Andrei Svechnikov R | +1.46 | +0.70 | +0.16 | +0.62 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 16:30 |
| 21 Alexander Nikishin D | +1.25 | +0.75 | +0.15 | +0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:31 |
| 27 Nikolaj Ehlers L | +0.95 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 20:07 |
| 48 Jordan Martinook L | +0.89 | 0.00 | +0.34 | +0.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 14:11 |
| 74 Jaccob Slavin D | +0.61 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 24:38 |
| 53 Jackson Blake R | +0.59 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.11 | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 15:10 |
| 71 Taylor Hall L | +0.53 | 0.00 | +0.64 | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 14:23 |
| 5 Jalen Chatfield D | +0.48 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.52 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 20:22 |
| 19 K'Andre Miller D | +0.19 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 19:52 |
| 22 Logan Stankoven C | +0.11 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.11 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | 14:42 |
| 26 Sean Walker D | +0.09 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 19:56 |
| 28 William Carrier L | +0.07 | 0.00 | +0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 7:53 |
| 82 Jesperi Kotkaniemi C | -0.14 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.18 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 9:20 |
| 77 Mark Jankowski L | -0.21 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.18 | 0.00 | -0.05 | 0.00 | — | 10:03 |
| 32 Brandon Bussi G | -0.30 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.30 | 61:25 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.