Los Angeles KingsLAK 2–3 Final/OT Carolina HurricanesCAR

Sunday, February 1, 2026

Final/OT 1st2nd3rdOT T SOG
Los Angeles KingsLAK 0020 2 13
Carolina HurricanesCAR 1011 3 34

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
6:25 CAR Jordan Staal (13)PP Andrei Svechnikov (27), Shayne Gostisbehere (28) · tip-in xG 0.09 0–1 ▶
2nd Period
No scoring
3rd Period
12:57 CAR Alexander Nikishin (7) Unassisted · snap xG 0.13 0–2 ▶
13:21 LAK Samuel Helenius (3) Jeff Malott (5), Brian Dumoulin (11) · snap xG 0.19 1–2 ▶
16:49 LAK Quinton Byfield (11) Adrian Kempe (25) · snap xG 0.18 2–2 ▶
Overtime
1:25 CAR Sebastian Aho (19) Seth Jarvis (18), Shayne Gostisbehere (29) · snap xG 0.09 2–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

LAK 11%Deserve to win89% CAR
LAKCAR
1.70Expected goals4.47
2Goals (no shootout)3
1.52Expected goals, 5 on 52.65
37Shot attempts77
25Unblocked attempts51
13Shots on goal34

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
19:20 LAK No shift No shift · Anderson, 38:10 on the bench
No shift after 9:13 of the 1st; 4 shifts (2:50) before that
2nd Period
4:28 CAR Deserve to win Deserve to win · CAR takes the lead, 61–39%
LAK had led since 3:23 of the 1st, by as much as 63%
6:00 CAR xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced LAK 1.36–0.09
In xG over 10 minutes, 17:10 of the 1st to 7:10 of the 2nd; neither team scored
3rd Period
9:51 LAK Goalie Goalie · Forsberg +2.0 goals saved
1 goal on 3.02 xG, 22 shots on goal
13:00 CAR xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced LAK 1.08–0.05
In xG over 10 minutes, 3:00 to 13:00 of the 3rd; goals 1–0

Shot map

LAK shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ CAR shoots
Kevin Fiala: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 1:09) Seth Jarvis: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 1:47) Joel Armia: snap, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 3:14) Brandt Clarke: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 3:23) Andrei Kuzmenko: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 3:37) Seth Jarvis: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 4:15) Trevor Moore: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 5:07) Shayne Gostisbehere: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 5:46) Mark Jankowski: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 7:30) K'Andre Miller: snap, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 8:12) Quinton Byfield: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 9:17) Brandt Clarke: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 9:35) Joel Armia: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 12:44) Jackson Blake: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 13:43) Logan Stankoven: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 14:01) Andrei Svechnikov: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 14:39) Brandt Clarke: wrist, 85 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 19:12) Quinton Byfield: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 19:45) Cody Ceci: snap, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:56) Nikolaj Ehlers: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 0:24) Taylor Hall: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 1:57) Nikolaj Ehlers: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 3:57) Jordan Staal: deflected, 10 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 4:07) Alexander Nikishin: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 4:19) Jackson Blake: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 4:28) Taylor Hall: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.53 (P2 4:31) Jaccob Slavin: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 4:34) Jaccob Slavin: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 5:39) Seth Jarvis: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 5:57) Taylor Hall: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.25 (P2 7:04) Adrian Kempe: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 7:18) Adrian Kempe: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 7:25) Brandt Clarke: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 7:41) William Carrier: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 8:21) Sean Walker: snap, 58 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 12:11) Sean Walker: snap, 47 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 12:14) Jalen Chatfield: snap, 54 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 14:26) Brandt Clarke: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 15:57) Jesperi Kotkaniemi: snap, 49 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 17:30) Sebastian Aho: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 18:29) Sebastian Aho: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 18:32) Corey Perry: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 18:41) Brandt Clarke: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 18:49) Nikolaj Ehlers: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:10) Jordan Martinook: deflected, 6 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 19:16) Adrian Kempe: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 0:49) Jeff Malott: backhand, 17 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 3:55) William Carrier: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 4:04) William Carrier: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 4:18) Jeff Malott: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 4:35) Quinton Byfield: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 5:25) Andrei Svechnikov: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 9:30) Seth Jarvis: slap, 37 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 9:36) Seth Jarvis: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 9:47) Sebastian Aho: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 9:51) Jaccob Slavin: slap, 36 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 10:20) Jordan Martinook: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 10:32) K'Andre Miller: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 11:17) Seth Jarvis: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 11:38) Taylor Hall: snap, 8 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 12:34) Joel Edmundson: slap, 31 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 13:48) Jordan Martinook: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 14:08) Jordan Martinook: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 14:10) Jalen Chatfield: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 14:17) Sebastian Aho: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 14:46) Shayne Gostisbehere: snap, 64 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 14:52) Jordan Martinook: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 18:18) Nikolaj Ehlers: slap, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 18:40) Cody Ceci: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 19:44) Seth Jarvis: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.16 (OT 0:28) Seth Jarvis: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.20 (OT 0:58) Jordan Staal: GOAL, tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 6:25) Alexander Nikishin: GOAL, snap, 33 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 12:57) Samuel Helenius: GOAL, snap, 22 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 13:21) Quinton Byfield: GOAL, snap, 9 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 16:49) Sebastian Aho: GOAL, snap, 36 ft, xG 0.09 (OT 1:25)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Los Angeles Kings

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
55 Quinton Byfield 101 -1 40.36 2120:00
9 Adrian Kempe 011 0 50.27 2019:22
14 Alex Laferriere 000 0 10.00 3118:44
22 Kevin Fiala 000 0 50.15 1118:14
11 Anze Kopitar 000 0 10.00 3217:11
90 Corey Perry 000 +1 20.07 0114:51
12 Trevor Moore 000 0 10.12 0014:35
40 Joel Armia 000 0 20.05 2014:07
62 Andrei Kuzmenko 000 -1 10.03 0014:05
79 Samuel Helenius 101 +1 10.19 1009:05
17 Taylor Ward 000 +1 00.00 2108:30
39 Jeff Malott 011 +1 20.03 6108:26
Defense
8 Drew Doughty 000 +2 10.00 0325:47
6 Joel Edmundson 000 -1 20.03 2323:51
92 Brandt Clarke 000 -2 70.37 0622:35
2 Brian Dumoulin 011 +1 00.00 0022:05
5 Cody Ceci 000 0 20.03 1419:53
44 Mikey Anderson 000 0 00.00 0102:50
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Anton Forsberg 34331 .912 4.47 +1.47

Carolina Hurricanes

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
27 Nikolaj Ehlers 000 0 80.11 1120:07
20 Sebastian Aho 101 +1 60.51 0119:12
24 Seth Jarvis 011 +1 90.97 1219:04
11 Jordan Staal 101 0 30.22 0018:42
37 Andrei Svechnikov 011 0 50.25 1016:30
53 Jackson Blake 000 0 30.15 0215:10
22 Logan Stankoven 000 0 10.05 1014:42
71 Taylor Hall 000 0 50.98 2014:21
48 Jordan Martinook 000 0 70.53 2014:11
77 Mark Jankowski 000 -1 20.02 0010:03
82 Jesperi Kotkaniemi 000 -1 30.04 0009:20
28 William Carrier 000 -1 30.10 2007:53
Defense
74 Jaccob Slavin 000 0 60.12 0124:38
5 Jalen Chatfield 000 0 20.06 0120:22
26 Sean Walker 000 -1 50.01 0319:56
19 K'Andre Miller 000 -1 20.01 1119:52
4 Shayne Gostisbehere 022 +1 50.13 0018:41
21 Alexander Nikishin 101 0 20.22 0013:31
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Brandon Bussi 13211 .846 1.70 -0.30

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Los Angeles Kings

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
31 Anton Forsberg G +1.47 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.47 61:25
79 Samuel Helenius C +1.17 +0.75 +0.12 +0.27 0.00 +0.02 0.00 — 9:05
55 Quinton Byfield R +1.07 +0.75 +0.23 0.00 0.00 +0.03 +0.05 — 20:00
39 Jeff Malott L +0.88 +0.70 +0.02 +0.10 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 8:26
9 Adrian Kempe R +0.54 +0.70 +0.17 -0.33 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 19:22
2 Brian Dumoulin D +0.34 +0.55 0.00 -0.25 0.00 0.00 +0.04 — 22:05
8 Drew Doughty D +0.17 0.00 0.00 +0.02 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 25:47
52 Taylor Ward R +0.16 0.00 0.00 +0.12 0.00 +0.01 +0.03 — 8:30
44 Mikey Anderson D +0.05 0.00 0.00 -0.13 +0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 2:50
92 Brandt Clarke D +0.03 0.00 +0.24 -0.66 +0.15 0.00 +0.30 — 22:35
40 Joel Armia R -0.17 0.00 +0.03 -0.18 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:07
22 Kevin Fiala L -0.19 0.00 +0.10 -0.19 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 18:14
5 Cody Ceci D -0.29 0.00 +0.02 -0.47 0.00 0.00 +0.16 — 19:53
12 Trevor Moore L -0.46 0.00 +0.08 -0.53 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 14:35
96 Andrei Kuzmenko L -0.48 0.00 +0.02 -0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:05
11 Anze Kopitar C -0.48 0.00 0.00 -0.58 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 17:11
14 Alex Laferriere R -0.69 0.00 0.00 -0.65 0.00 -0.05 +0.01 — 18:44
10 Corey Perry R -0.71 0.00 +0.05 -0.50 -0.30 +0.01 +0.03 — 14:51
6 Joel Edmundson D -1.03 0.00 +0.02 -1.03 -0.15 0.00 +0.13 — 23:51

Carolina Hurricanes

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
24 Seth Jarvis C +2.02 +0.70 +0.63 +0.59 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 19:04
20 Sebastian Aho C +1.77 +0.75 +0.33 +0.59 0.00 +0.05 +0.05 — 19:12
4 Shayne Gostisbehere D +1.75 +1.10 +0.09 +0.59 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 18:41
11 Jordan Staal C +1.49 +0.75 +0.14 +0.57 0.00 +0.03 0.00 — 18:40
37 Andrei Svechnikov R +1.46 +0.70 +0.16 +0.62 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 16:30
21 Alexander Nikishin D +1.25 +0.75 +0.15 +0.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:31
27 Nikolaj Ehlers L +0.95 0.00 +0.07 +0.82 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 20:07
48 Jordan Martinook L +0.89 0.00 +0.34 +0.57 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:11
74 Jaccob Slavin D +0.61 0.00 +0.08 +0.50 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 24:38
53 Jackson Blake R +0.59 0.00 +0.10 +0.11 +0.30 0.00 +0.08 — 15:10
71 Taylor Hall L +0.53 0.00 +0.64 -0.07 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 14:23
5 Jalen Chatfield D +0.48 0.00 +0.04 +0.52 -0.15 0.00 +0.07 — 20:22
19 K'Andre Miller D +0.19 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 +0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 19:52
22 Logan Stankoven C +0.11 0.00 +0.03 +0.11 0.00 -0.03 0.00 — 14:42
26 Sean Walker D +0.09 0.00 +0.01 -0.05 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 19:56
28 William Carrier L +0.07 0.00 +0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 7:53
82 Jesperi Kotkaniemi C -0.14 0.00 +0.02 -0.18 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 9:20
77 Mark Jankowski L -0.21 0.00 +0.01 -0.18 0.00 -0.05 0.00 — 10:03
32 Brandon Bussi G -0.30 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.30 61:25

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.