Boston BruinsBOS 5–6 Final/SO Tampa Bay LightningTBL

Sunday, February 1, 2026

Final/SO	1st	2nd	3rd	OT	SO	T	SOG
Boston BruinsBOS	3	2	0	0	0	5	34
Tampa Bay LightningTBL	1	3	1	0	1	6	46

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
0:11	TBL	Brandon Hagel (26) Nikita Kucherov (56), Darren Raddysh (33) · snap xG 0.18	0–1 ▶
11:24	BOS	Alex Steeves (9) Michael Eyssimont (9) · snap xG 0.27	1–1 ▶
15:36	BOS	Morgan Geekie (31) Charlie McAvoy (33), Jonathan Aspirot (5) · tip-in xG 0.08	2–1 ▶
18:03	BOS	Viktor Arvidsson (14)PP Charlie McAvoy (34), Morgan Geekie (21) · tip-in xG 0.10	3–1 ▶
2nd Period
2:22	BOS	Matthew Poitras (1) Mark Kastelic (8) · backhand xG 0.12	4–1 ▶
8:18	BOS	Morgan Geekie (32) David Pastrnak (48), Marat Khusnutdinov (13) · slap xG 0.16	5–1 ▶
10:28	TBL	Oliver Bjorkstrand (8)PP Brandon Hagel (25), Jake Guentzel (32) · wrist xG 0.18	5–2 ▶
15:50	TBL	Darren Raddysh (16)PP Nikita Kucherov (57), Brandon Hagel (26) · slap xG 0.09	5–3 ▶
16:13	TBL	Nick Paul (6)PP Jake Guentzel (33), Nikita Kucherov (58) · tip-in xG 0.18	5–4 ▶
3rd Period
11:50	TBL	Nikita Kucherov (28) Ryan McDonagh (5), Erik Cernak (6) · slap xG 0.02	5–5 ▶
Overtime
No scoring
Shootout
	TBL	Gage Goncalves vs Jeremy Swayman	Saved
	BOS	Casey Mittelstadt vs Andrei Vasilevskiy	No shot
	TBL	Nikita Kucherov vs Jeremy Swayman	No shot
	BOS	Fraser Minten vs Andrei Vasilevskiy	Saved
	TBL	Jake Guentzel vs Jeremy Swayman	Goal
	BOS	David Pastrnak vs Andrei Vasilevskiy	Missed

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

BOS 27%Deserve to win73% TBL

BOS		TBL
3.37	Expected goals	5.07
5	Goals (no shootout)	5
2.58	Expected goals, 5 on 5	1.84
56	Shot attempts	83
43	Unblocked attempts	64
34	Shots on goal	46

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
11:30	BOS	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced TBL 1.32–0.19 In xG over 10 minutes, 2:40 to 12:40 of the 1st; goals 1–0
2nd Period
8:18	TBL	Goalie	Goalie · Vasilevskiy −2.6 goals saved 5 goals on 2.43 xG, 25 shots on goal
8:30	TBL	No shift	No shift · Cirelli, 33:57 on the bench No shift after 18:21 of the 1st; 10 shifts (6:25) before that
3rd Period
3:00	TBL	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced BOS 1.58–0.04 In xG over 10 minutes, 13:50 of the 2nd to 3:50 of the 3rd; goals 2–0
Overtime
1:24	TBL	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · TBL takes the lead, 61–39% BOS had led since 7:45 of the 1st, by as much as 81%
2:10	TBL	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced BOS 1.61–0.04 In xG over 10 minutes, 14:30 of the 3rd to 4:30 of overtime; neither team scored

Shot map

BOS shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ TBL shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Boston Bruins

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
88	David Pastrnak	0	1	1	+2	11	0.32	0	0	23:10
92	Marat Khusnutdinov	0	1	1	+2	2	0.23	0	1	20:07
39	Morgan Geekie	2	1	3	+2	3	0.29	1	1	18:43
93	Fraser Minten	0	0	0	-1	4	0.21	1	1	18:32
84	Tanner Jeannot	0	0	0	+1	3	0.22	1	1	15:24
47	Mark Kastelic	0	1	1	+1	3	0.23	7	2	14:35
33	Viktor Arvidsson	1	0	1	-1	9	0.61	0	1	14:02
11	Casey Mittelstadt	0	0	0	-1	2	0.18	0	0	13:58
52	Sean Kuraly	0	0	0	0	4	0.32	1	0	13:11
51	Matthew Poitras	1	0	1	+1	2	0.23	0	1	11:48
21	Alex Steeves	1	0	1	0	1	0.27	2	1	08:02
81	Michael Eyssimont	0	1	1	0	3	0.08	1	0	07:38
Defense
73	Charlie McAvoy	0	2	2	+2	1	0.10	1	3	30:19
27	Hampus Lindholm	0	0	0	-1	2	0.03	0	4	25:50
91	Nikita Zadorov	0	0	0	+1	2	0.01	3	1	22:10
45	Jonathan Aspirot	0	1	1	+2	1	0.00	1	0	17:09
6	Mason Lohrei	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	0	0	16:28
20	Andrew Peeke	0	0	0	+1	2	0.03	1	2	14:18

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Jeremy Swayman	46	5	41	.891	5.07	+0.07

Tampa Bay Lightning

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
86	Nikita Kucherov	1	3	4	+1	17	0.89	3	0	28:13
59	Jake Guentzel	0	2	2	0	7	0.73	2	0	27:40
38	Brandon Hagel	1	2	3	+1	8	0.58	3	2	27:37
37	Yanni Gourde	0	0	0	-1	1	0.05	1	0	19:40
29	Pontus Holmberg	0	0	0	-2	4	0.36	0	1	19:19
28	Zemgus Girgensons	0	0	0	-1	3	0.12	4	0	17:21
17	Dominic James	0	0	0	-1	5	0.10	1	0	13:41
93	Gage Goncalves	0	0	0	-1	1	0.18	3	0	12:22
28	Oliver Bjorkstrand	1	0	1	-1	4	0.50	2	1	11:43
20	Nick Paul	1	0	1	-2	2	0.20	1	1	10:23
71	Anthony Cirelli	0	0	0	+1	2	0.12	0	0	06:25
Defense
43	Darren Raddysh	1	1	2	-1	12	0.69	0	1	29:38
90	J.J. Moser	0	0	0	-1	5	0.09	1	2	24:21
81	Erik Cernak	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0	2	15:40
27	Ryan McDonagh	0	1	1	0	2	0.14	0	2	14:32
24	Max Crozier	0	0	0	-1	3	0.29	1	0	13:36
72	Declan Carlile	0	0	0	0	3	0.00	0	0	11:18
77	Victor Hedman	0	0	0	-1	4	0.01	0	0	10:18

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Andrei Vasilevskiy	34	5	29	.853	3.37	-1.63

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Boston Bruins

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
39 Morgan Geekie C	+2.68	+2.05	+0.19	+0.41	0.00	+0.01	+0.03	—	18:43
73 Charlie McAvoy D	+2.34	+1.40	+0.07	+0.73	0.00	0.00	+0.15	—	30:19
47 Mark Kastelic C	+1.56	+0.70	+0.15	+0.73	-0.15	+0.03	+0.10	—	14:35
51 Matthew Poitras C	+1.56	+0.75	+0.15	+0.47	+0.15	-0.01	+0.05	—	11:48
92 Marat Khusnutdinov C	+1.25	+0.55	+0.15	+0.51	0.00	+0.01	+0.03	—	20:07
88 David Pastrnak R	+1.07	+0.70	+0.21	+0.21	0.00	-0.01	-0.04	—	23:10
21 Alex Steeves C	+1.04	+0.75	+0.17	+0.07	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	8:02
71 Viktor Arvidsson L	+1.00	+0.75	+0.40	-0.05	-0.15	0.00	+0.05	—	14:02
81 Michael Eyssimont C	+0.95	+0.70	+0.05	+0.30	0.00	0.00	-0.10	—	7:38
45 Jonathan Aspirot D	+0.93	+0.55	0.00	+0.38	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	17:09
84 Tanner Jeannot L	+0.67	0.00	+0.14	+0.65	-0.15	0.00	+0.03	—	15:24
27 Hampus Lindholm D	+0.67	0.00	+0.02	+0.64	-0.15	0.00	+0.16	—	25:50
26 Andrew Peeke D	+0.57	0.00	+0.02	+0.45	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	14:18
52 Sean Kuraly C	+0.27	0.00	+0.21	+0.30	-0.15	-0.09	0.00	—	13:11
6 Mason Lohrei D	+0.08	0.00	0.00	+0.10	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	16:28
11 Casey Mittelstadt C	+0.03	0.00	+0.12	-0.10	0.00	-0.01	+0.02	—	13:58
91 Nikita Zadorov D	-0.02	0.00	+0.01	-0.08	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	22:10
93 Fraser Minten C	-0.02	0.00	+0.13	-0.18	0.00	-0.03	+0.05	—	18:32
1 Jeremy Swayman G	-0.08	0.00	—	—	-0.15	—	—	+0.07	65:00

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
86 Nikita Kucherov R	+3.60	+2.70	+0.58	+0.32	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	28:13
38 Brandon Hagel L	+2.82	+2.00	+0.38	+0.34	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	27:37
59 Jake Guentzel C	+2.25	+1.25	+0.47	+0.56	0.00	+0.01	-0.04	—	27:40
43 Darren Raddysh D	+1.60	+1.30	+0.45	-0.17	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	29:38
27 Ryan McDonagh D	+1.20	+0.70	+0.09	+0.17	+0.15	0.00	+0.08	—	14:32
22 Oliver Bjorkstrand R	+1.00	+0.75	+0.33	-0.28	+0.15	0.00	+0.05	—	11:43
81 Erik Cernak D	+0.41	+0.55	0.00	-0.24	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	15:40
20 Nick Paul L	+0.30	+0.75	+0.13	-0.82	+0.15	+0.07	+0.01	—	10:23
71 Anthony Cirelli C	-0.03	0.00	+0.08	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	—	6:25
24 Max Crozier D	-0.19	0.00	+0.19	-0.36	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	13:36
90 J.J. Moser D	-0.28	0.00	+0.06	-0.57	+0.15	0.00	+0.08	—	24:21
28 Zemgus Girgensons C	-0.36	0.00	+0.08	-0.52	+0.15	-0.01	-0.06	—	17:21
67 Declan Carlile D	-0.39	0.00	0.00	-0.39	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	11:18
93 Gage Goncalves C	-0.60	0.00	+0.11	-0.72	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	12:22
37 Yanni Gourde C	-0.60	0.00	+0.03	-0.64	0.00	+0.03	-0.02	—	19:40
77 Victor Hedman D	-0.65	0.00	+0.01	-0.66	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	10:18
17 Dominic James C	-0.69	0.00	+0.07	-0.60	-0.15	+0.01	-0.02	—	13:41
29 Pontus Holmberg R	-0.77	0.00	+0.24	-0.91	-0.15	0.00	+0.05	—	19:19
88 Andrei Vasilevskiy G	-1.63	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-1.63	64:59

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.