Ottawa SenatorsOTT 3–2 Final Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT

Monday, February 2, 2026

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Ottawa SenatorsOTT	0	1	2	3	31
Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT	1	0	1	2	16

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
7:57	PIT	Egor Chinakhov (10) Evgeni Malkin (30), Parker Wotherspoon (15) · wrist xG 0.19	0–1 ▶
2nd Period
1:35	OTT	Michael Amadio (8) Tyler Kleven (10), Shane Pinto (13) · wrist xG 0.34	1–1 ▶
3rd Period
6:46	OTT	Tim Stützle (26) Drake Batherson (28), Jordan Spence (14) · backhand xG 0.09	2–1 ▶
8:48	PIT	Tommy Novak (10) Ryan Shea (19), Egor Chinakhov (6) · wrist xG 0.74	2–2 ▶
14:52	OTT	Claude Giroux (11) Tim Stützle (33), Drake Batherson (29) · deflected xG 0.86	3–2 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

OTT 83%Deserve to win17% PIT

OTT		PIT
4.89	Expected goals	2.51
3	Goals (no shootout)	2
3.66	Expected goals, 5 on 5	2.13
66	Shot attempts	39
49	Unblocked attempts	26
31	Shots on goal	16

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
2:01	OTT	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · OTT takes the lead, 62–38% PIT had led since 4:49 of the 1st, by as much as 70%
4:20	OTT	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced PIT 1.22–0.09 In xG over 10 minutes, 14:50 of the 1st to 4:50 of the 2nd; goals 1–0
3rd Period
3:20	PIT	Goalie	Goalie · Silovs +2.1 goals saved 1 goal on 3.10 xG, 23 shots on goal
17:33	PIT	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Silovs, down 3–2 With 2:27 left
18:50	OTT	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced PIT 1.35–0.18 In xG over 10 minutes, 8:50 to 18:50 of the 3rd; goals 1–0

Shot map

OTT shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ PIT shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Ottawa Senators

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
18	Tim Stützle	1	1	2	+2	5	0.34	0	2	20:50
12	Shane Pinto	0	1	1	+1	7	0.45	2	1	20:45
22	Michael Amadio	1	0	1	+1	4	0.34	2	0	18:59
19	Drake Batherson	0	2	2	+2	6	0.28	3	0	17:12
71	Ridly Greig	0	0	0	-1	2	0.38	0	0	17:09
8	Brady Tkachuk	0	0	0	-1	10	0.59	2	0	16:31
24	Dylan Cozens	0	0	0	-1	4	0.25	0	0	16:20
21	Nick Cousins	0	0	0	+1	1	0.05	3	0	15:39
28	Claude Giroux	1	0	1	+2	4	1.46	0	1	14:25
20	Fabian Zetterlund	0	0	0	-1	2	0.00	1	0	09:33
20	Lars Eller	0	0	0	-1	1	0.14	2	0	09:16
34	Stephen Halliday	0	0	0	-1	2	0.20	0	0	06:46
Defense
85	Jake Sanderson	0	0	0	+1	5	0.24	0	1	28:02
2	Artem Zub	0	0	0	+1	1	0.02	0	0	22:34
72	Thomas Chabot	0	0	0	-2	4	0.07	1	2	20:41
10	Jordan Spence	0	1	1	+2	4	0.02	1	1	16:31
4	Nick Jensen	0	0	0	-2	1	0.00	0	1	14:14
43	Tyler Kleven	0	1	1	+2	3	0.03	1	0	12:37

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Linus Ullmark	16	2	14	.875	2.51	+0.51

Pittsburgh Penguins

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
87	Sidney Crosby	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	1	0	19:35
67	Rickard Rakell	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	1	1	19:01
39	Anthony Mantha	0	0	0	-1	7	0.48	0	1	16:47
81	Ben Kindel	0	0	0	0	3	0.19	0	0	15:52
71	Evgeni Malkin	0	1	1	0	1	0.01	1	0	15:51
46	Blake Lizotte	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	3	2	14:29
16	Justin Brazeau	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	14:28
19	Connor Dewar	0	0	0	0	2	0.12	6	1	12:51
52	Noel Acciari	0	0	0	0	2	0.17	1	0	12:19
59	Egor Chinakhov	1	1	2	0	3	0.29	0	0	12:12
18	Tommy Novak	1	0	1	0	1	0.74	0	0	11:52
2	Rutger McGroarty	0	0	0	0	2	0.16	1	2	10:37
Defense
65	Erik Karlsson	0	0	0	-1	7	0.14	0	1	27:20
27	Brett Kulak	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	3	22:01
6	Ryan Shea	0	1	1	+1	2	0.14	0	3	20:00
29	Parker Wotherspoon	0	1	1	0	2	0.00	3	0	18:49
75	Connor Clifton	0	0	0	-1	2	0.00	6	2	15:52
7	Ilya Solovyov	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	12:31

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Arturs Silovs	31	3	28	.903	4.71	+1.71

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Ottawa Senators

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
28 Claude Giroux R	+3.18	+0.75	+0.95	+1.40	0.00	-0.01	+0.09	—	14:25
18 Tim Stützle C	+3.06	+1.45	+0.22	+1.33	0.00	-0.01	+0.06	—	20:46
19 Drake Batherson R	+2.74	+1.25	+0.18	+1.31	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	17:12
2 Artem Zub D	+2.33	0.00	+0.01	+2.34	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	22:34
85 Jake Sanderson D	+2.33	0.00	+0.16	+2.12	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	28:02
12 Shane Pinto C	+2.20	+0.55	+0.30	+1.24	0.00	+0.04	+0.07	—	20:45
22 Michael Amadio R	+2.10	+0.75	+0.22	+1.12	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	18:59
43 Tyler Kleven D	+1.60	+0.70	+0.02	+0.91	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	12:37
10 Jordan Spence D	+1.53	+0.55	+0.01	+0.94	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	16:31
21 Nick Cousins C	+1.04	0.00	+0.03	+1.14	-0.15	0.00	+0.02	—	15:39
35 Linus Ullmark G	+0.66	0.00	—	—	+0.15	—	—	+0.51	60:00
7 Brady Tkachuk L	+0.21	0.00	+0.38	-0.21	0.00	+0.04	0.00	—	16:31
71 Ridly Greig C	+0.14	0.00	+0.25	-0.19	+0.15	-0.03	-0.04	—	17:09
24 Dylan Cozens C	+0.04	0.00	+0.16	-0.29	+0.15	0.00	+0.02	—	16:20
89 Lars Eller C	-0.11	0.00	+0.09	-0.35	+0.15	+0.01	-0.02	—	9:16
83 Stephen Halliday C	-0.37	0.00	+0.13	-0.50	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	6:46
20 Fabian Zetterlund L	-0.52	0.00	0.00	-0.50	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	9:33
72 Thomas Chabot D	-1.05	0.00	+0.05	-1.20	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	20:41
3 Nick Jensen D	-1.45	0.00	0.00	-1.50	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	14:14

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
5 Ryan Shea D	+1.72	+0.70	+0.09	+0.75	0.00	0.00	+0.17	—	20:00
37 Arturs Silovs G	+1.71	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+1.71	57:33
59 Egor Chinakhov R	+1.42	+1.30	+0.19	-0.07	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	12:12
18 Tommy Novak C	+0.96	+0.75	+0.48	-0.27	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	11:52
2 Rutger McGroarty R	+0.69	0.00	+0.10	+0.48	0.00	+0.01	+0.10	—	10:37
81 Ben Kindel C	+0.66	0.00	+0.12	+0.57	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	—	15:52
71 Evgeni Malkin C	+0.44	+0.70	+0.01	-0.23	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	15:51
55 Noel Acciari C	+0.21	0.00	+0.11	+0.10	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	12:19
28 Parker Wotherspoon D	+0.18	+0.55	0.00	-0.22	-0.15	0.00	0.00	—	18:49
46 Blake Lizotte C	+0.08	0.00	+0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	+0.12	—	14:29
19 Connor Dewar C	+0.04	0.00	+0.08	-0.09	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	12:51
16 Justin Brazeau R	-0.28	0.00	0.00	-0.33	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	14:28
77 Brett Kulak D	-0.70	0.00	+0.01	-0.84	0.00	0.00	+0.13	—	22:01
75 Connor Clifton D	-0.85	0.00	0.00	-0.76	-0.15	0.00	+0.06	—	15:52
7 Ilya Solovyov D	-0.89	0.00	0.00	-0.72	-0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	12:31
39 Anthony Mantha R	-0.94	0.00	+0.31	-1.27	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	16:47
65 Erik Karlsson D	-1.71	0.00	+0.09	-1.98	+0.15	0.00	+0.03	—	27:20
87 Sidney Crosby C	-2.17	0.00	0.00	-2.14	0.00	+0.01	-0.04	—	19:35
67 Rickard Rakell R	-2.22	0.00	0.00	-2.07	-0.15	-0.01	+0.01	—	19:01

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.