| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 27 | |
| 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 17 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 7:00 | Connor Bedard (23)PP Teuvo Teravainen (13), Tyler Bertuzzi (17) · snap xG 0.11 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 2:14 | Connor Murphy (4) Matt Grzelcyk (12), Ryan Donato (11) · wrist xG 0.02 | 0–2 ▶ | |
| 9:35 | Ryan Donato (12) Ilya Mikheyev (10), Jason Dickinson (6) · wrist xG 0.06 | 0–3 ▶ | |
| 10:36 | Sam Rinzel (2) Ilya Mikheyev (11) · slap xG 0.20 | 0–4 ▶ | |
| 12:05 | Will Smith (17) Macklin Celebrini (53), Collin Graf (16) · snap xG 0.13 | 1–4 ▶ | |
| 12:41 | Ilya Mikheyev (11) Jason Dickinson (7), Ryan Donato (12) · tip-in xG 0.37 | 1–5 ▶ | |
| 15:11 | Macklin Celebrini (28) Tyler Toffoli (21), William Eklund (24) · wrist xG 0.14 | 2–5 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 2:13 | Shakir Mukhamadullin (3) Philipp Kurashev (10), Vincent Desharnais (3) · backhand xG 0.14 | 3–5 ▶ | |
| 14:41 | Ryan Donato (13) Ilya Mikheyev (12), Connor Murphy (8) · wrist xG 0.28 | 3–6 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| SJS | CHI | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.97 | Expected goals | 2.82 |
| 3 | Goals (no shootout) | 6 |
| 2.10 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.17 |
| 52 | Shot attempts | 35 |
| 43 | Unblocked attempts | 29 |
| 27 | Shots on goal | 17 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 10:36 | SJS | Goalie | Goalie · Askarov −2.8 goals saved
4 goals on 1.22 xG, 10 shots on goal |
| 10:36 | SJS | Goalie change | Goalie change · Nedeljkovic in for Askarov
10:36 of the 2nd; Askarov had allowed 4 goals on 10 shots (1.22 xG) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 71 | Macklin Celebrini | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 9 | 0.45 | 0 | 0 | 23:07 |
| 21 | Alexander Wennberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.07 | 2 | 1 | 21:27 |
| 2 | Will Smith | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 10 | 0.85 | 0 | 0 | 21:12 |
| 73 | Tyler Toffoli | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0.47 | 1 | 0 | 19:29 |
| 51 | Collin Graf | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | 0.04 | 1 | 0 | 18:18 |
| 27 | William Eklund | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 4 | 0 | 15:06 |
| 96 | Philipp Kurashev | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 13:55 |
| 77 | Michael Misa | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.15 | 2 | 0 | 11:31 |
| 84 | Pavol Regenda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | 5 | 0 | 11:23 |
| 23 | Barclay Goodrow | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.13 | 3 | 0 | 09:48 |
| 81 | Adam Gaudette | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.30 | 1 | 0 | 09:26 |
| 75 | Ryan Reaves | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 05:38 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 9 | Dmitry Orlov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 2 | 0.11 | 3 | 2 | 24:27 |
| 38 | Mario Ferraro | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 1 | 2 | 21:15 |
| 27 | Timothy Liljegren | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 19:53 |
| 73 | Vincent Desharnais | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 5 | 0 | 16:57 |
| 6 | Sam Dickinson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 3 | 1 | 15:24 |
| 85 | Shakir Mukhamadullin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 | 14:18 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaroslav Askarov | 10 | 4 | 6 | .600 | 1.22 | -2.78 |
| Alex Nedeljkovic | 7 | 2 | 5 | .714 | 1.60 | -0.40 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 98 | Connor Bedard | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.19 | 1 | 0 | 20:42 |
| 59 | Tyler Bertuzzi | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.20 | 1 | 0 | 19:30 |
| 91 | Frank Nazar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.22 | 1 | 2 | 19:29 |
| 16 | Jason Dickinson | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 16:55 |
| 95 | Ilya Mikheyev | 1 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 4 | 0.64 | 0 | 2 | 16:14 |
| 86 | Teuvo Teravainen | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 14:33 |
| 8 | Ryan Donato | 2 | 2 | 4 | +5 | 4 | 0.57 | 1 | 0 | 13:53 |
| 20 | Ryan Greene | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 13:52 |
| 84 | Landon Slaggert | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.37 | 1 | 1 | 12:09 |
| 95 | Andre Burakovsky | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 11:42 |
| 11 | Oliver Moore | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | 0 | 0 | 11:17 |
| 34 | Colton Dach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.12 | 6 | 0 | 08:47 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 44 | Wyatt Kaiser | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 21:18 |
| 72 | Alex Vlasic | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 20:49 |
| 6 | Sam Rinzel | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 0.27 | 0 | 0 | 20:38 |
| 46 | Louis Crevier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 19:13 |
| 5 | Connor Murphy | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 18:03 |
| 24 | Matt Grzelcyk | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 13:04 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Knight | 27 | 3 | 24 | .889 | 2.97 | -0.03 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73 Tyler Toffoli C | +1.45 | +0.70 | +0.30 | +0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 19:29 |
| 96 Philipp Kurashev C | +1.23 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:55 |
| 71 Macklin Celebrini C | +1.23 | +1.45 | +0.29 | -0.44 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.10 | — | 23:07 |
| 81 Adam Gaudette R | +0.97 | 0.00 | +0.19 | +0.60 | +0.15 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 9:26 |
| 85 Shakir Mukhamadullin D | +0.60 | +0.75 | +0.11 | -0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 14:18 |
| 5 Vincent Desharnais D | +0.56 | +0.55 | +0.01 | +0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 16:57 |
| 2 Will Smith C | +0.55 | +0.75 | +0.55 | -0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 21:12 |
| 77 Michael Misa C | +0.49 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.59 | -0.15 | -0.02 | -0.02 | — | 11:31 |
| 72 William Eklund L | +0.47 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:06 |
| 38 Mario Ferraro D | +0.46 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 21:15 |
| 6 Sam Dickinson D | +0.42 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 15:24 |
| 23 Barclay Goodrow C | +0.08 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.03 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.02 | — | 9:48 |
| 84 Pavol Regenda L | +0.05 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.10 | -0.15 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 11:23 |
| 75 Ryan Reaves R | -0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 5:38 |
| 33 Alex Nedeljkovic G | -0.40 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.40 | 29:24 |
| 37 Timothy Liljegren D | -0.41 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 19:53 |
| 21 Alexander Wennberg C | -0.44 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.50 | 0.00 | -0.04 | +0.05 | — | 21:27 |
| 9 Dmitry Orlov D | -0.51 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.82 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 24:27 |
| 51 Collin Graf R | -0.81 | +0.55 | +0.03 | -1.36 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 18:18 |
| 30 Yaroslav Askarov G | -2.78 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -2.78 | 30:36 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95 Ilya Mikheyev R | +4.64 | +2.85 | +0.41 | +1.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 16:14 |
| 8 Ryan Donato C | +4.48 | +2.60 | +0.37 | +1.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:53 |
| 16 Jason Dickinson C | +2.16 | +1.25 | 0.00 | +0.95 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.02 | — | 16:55 |
| 6 Sam Rinzel D | +1.39 | +0.75 | +0.17 | +0.58 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.04 | — | 20:38 |
| 5 Connor Murphy D | +1.31 | +1.30 | +0.01 | +0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:03 |
| 48 Matt Grzelcyk D | +1.07 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.47 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 13:04 |
| 98 Connor Bedard C | +0.79 | +0.75 | +0.12 | +0.10 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 20:42 |
| 44 Wyatt Kaiser D | +0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 21:18 |
| 59 Tyler Bertuzzi L | +0.46 | +0.55 | +0.13 | -0.37 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 19:30 |
| 84 Landon Slaggert L | +0.31 | 0.00 | +0.24 | +0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 12:09 |
| 11 Oliver Moore C | +0.17 | 0.00 | +0.09 | +0.10 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | 11:17 |
| 34 Colton Dach C | +0.04 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 8:47 |
| 30 Spencer Knight G | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.03 | 59:52 |
| 91 Frank Nazar C | -0.05 | 0.00 | +0.14 | -0.25 | 0.00 | -0.04 | +0.10 | — | 19:29 |
| 86 Teuvo Teravainen C | -0.22 | +0.70 | 0.00 | -0.93 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 14:33 |
| 20 Ryan Greene C | -0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.66 | +0.15 | +0.04 | +0.03 | — | 13:52 |
| 46 Louis Crevier D | -0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.32 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 19:13 |
| 28 Andre Burakovsky L | -0.48 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:42 |
| 72 Alex Vlasic D | -0.61 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.75 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 20:49 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.