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Detroit Red WingsDET 2–0 Final Colorado AvalancheCOL

Monday, February 2, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Detroit Red WingsDET 101 2 25
Colorado AvalancheCOL 000 0 21

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
0:33 DET Marco Kasper (6) Lucas Raymond (41), Dylan Larkin (24) · tip-in xG 0.35 1–0 ▶
2nd Period
No scoring
3rd Period
19:29 DET Lucas Raymond (19)EN Dylan Larkin (25) · wrist xG 0.93 2–0 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

DET 53%Deserve to win47% COL
DETCOL
3.32Expected goals2.24
2Goals (no shootout)0
1.94Expected goals, 5 on 51.96
59Shot attempts57
42Unblocked attempts37
25Shots on goal21

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
10:39 DET Deserve to win Deserve to win · DET takes the lead, 61–39%
COL had led since 0:24 of the 1st, by as much as 65%
3rd Period
8:38 DET Goalie Goalie · Gibson +2.1 goals saved
0 goals on 2.05 xG, 19 shots on goal
9:20 COL Shortened bench Shortened bench · 2 forwards sat
Bardakov and Makar: last shifts between 15:09 and 17:21 of the 2nd
15:20 COL No shift No shift · Brindley, 11:38 on the bench
No shift from 5:14 to 16:52 of the 3rd; 9 shifts (6:43) before that

Shot map

DET shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ COL shoots
Nathan MacKinnon: backhand, 4 ft, xG 0.30 (P1 0:24) Andrew Copp: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:07) Sam Malinski: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:39) Ben Chiarot: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 3:10) J.T. Compher: deflected, 25 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 3:52) Moritz Seider: wrist, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:58) Joel Kiviranta: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 8:33) Brock Nelson: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 10:07) Emmitt Finnie: deflected, 8 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 10:38) Mason Appleton: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 10:39) Dylan Larkin: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 12:18) Parker Kelly: tip-in, 29 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 12:48) Parker Kelly: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.19 (P1 13:00) Lucas Raymond: deflected, 14 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 13:41) Ben Chiarot: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 13:46) Emmitt Finnie: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 13:51) J.T. Compher: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 13:52) J.T. Compher: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 14:10) Joel Kiviranta: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 16:40) Parker Kelly: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 16:47) Dylan Larkin: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 18:33) Dylan Larkin: slap, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 18:35) Nathan MacKinnon: deflected, 31 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 18:55) J.T. Compher: wrist, 153 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 19:26) Ross Colton: slap, 13 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 19:42) Brent Burns: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 1:01) Cale Makar: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 2:25) Cale Makar: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 2:31) Artturi Lehkonen: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 3:14) Nathan MacKinnon: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 3:20) Elmer Soderblom: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 3:56) Ross Colton: backhand, 99 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 4:04) Ross Colton: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 4:17) Marco Kasper: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 4:32) Moritz Seider: snap, 48 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 5:45) Emmitt Finnie: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 5:59) Moritz Seider: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 6:02) Lucas Raymond: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 6:55) James van Riemsdyk: backhand, 27 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 8:10) Emmitt Finnie: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 9:15) Valeri Nichushkin: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 9:23) Nathan MacKinnon: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 9:40) Brock Nelson: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 10:22) Parker Kelly: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 10:53) Travis Hamonic: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 14:03) Marco Kasper: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 14:37) James van Riemsdyk: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 14:55) James van Riemsdyk: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 14:56) Moritz Seider: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 15:25) Alex DeBrincat: slap, 11 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 15:48) Moritz Seider: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 16:00) James van Riemsdyk: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 17:04) Andrew Copp: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 17:12) J.T. Compher: tip-in, 22 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 17:35) Jacob Bernard-Docker: wrist, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 18:01) Brock Nelson: tip-in, 33 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 18:55) Patrick Kane: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 19:04) Alex DeBrincat: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 0:56) Valeri Nichushkin: wrist, 84 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 1:05) Victor Olofsson: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 1:13) Nathan MacKinnon: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 2:19) Cale Makar: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 2:34) Nathan MacKinnon: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 2:37) Cale Makar: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 3:51) Cale Makar: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 6:36) Valeri Nichushkin: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 6:51) Brent Burns: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 7:33) Parker Kelly: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 7:34) Nathan MacKinnon: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 8:38) Cale Makar: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 9:34) Sam Malinski: wrap-around, 4 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 12:43) James van Riemsdyk: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 13:31) Andrew Copp: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 14:18) Andrew Copp: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 14:20) Ben Chiarot: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 14:25) Devon Toews: backhand, 25 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 16:50) Cale Makar: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 16:56) Marco Kasper: GOAL, tip-in, 4 ft, xG 0.35 (P1 0:33) Lucas Raymond: GOAL, wrist, 4 ft, xG 0.93 (P3 19:29)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Detroit Red Wings

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
71 Dylan Larkin 022 +2 40.19 2121:25
23 Lucas Raymond 112 +2 41.05 2017:31
92 Marco Kasper 101 +1 40.51 3117:14
18 Andrew Copp 000 0 50.34 0117:13
93 Alex DeBrincat 000 0 40.15 0016:40
37 J.T. Compher 000 +1 50.15 0016:14
22 Mason Appleton 000 0 10.07 3114:39
88 Patrick Kane 000 0 10.02 0013:45
58 Emmitt Finnie 000 0 50.27 2013:04
27 Michael Rasmussen 000 0 00.00 1111:31
21 James van Riemsdyk 000 0 50.31 0010:29
25 Elmer Soderblom 000 0 20.02 0008:02
Defense
53 Moritz Seider 000 +2 60.10 4327:34
8 Ben Chiarot 000 +1 50.11 4322:27
25 Jacob Bernard-Docker 000 +1 20.01 2121:41
20 Albert Johansson 000 0 10.00 1218:21
44 Axel Sandin-Pellikka 000 0 20.00 1014:20
52 Travis Hamonic 000 0 30.02 2313:50
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
John Gibson 21021 1.000 2.24 +2.24

Colorado Avalanche

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
29 Nathan MacKinnon 000 -2 80.64 0026:07
43 Valeri Nichushkin 000 -2 40.15 1224:02
62 Artturi Lehkonen 000 -2 30.05 1022:01
11 Brock Nelson 000 -1 50.15 1019:56
18 Jack Drury 000 0 20.00 1216:27
17 Parker Kelly 000 0 60.47 5116:05
22 Joel Kiviranta 000 0 20.09 4014:03
95 Victor Olofsson 000 0 20.05 3013:46
79 Ross Colton 000 0 40.23 4012:45
54 Gavin Brindley 000 -1 00.00 0108:47
16 Taylor Makar 000 0 10.00 1005:44
93 Zakhar Bardakov 000 0 00.00 3005:30
Defense
8 Cale Makar 000 -2 100.29 1224:50
7 Devon Toews 000 -1 10.07 2120:19
84 Brent Burns 000 0 20.01 0218:32
49 Samuel Girard 000 0 10.00 1117:33
42 Josh Manson 000 0 20.00 1116:21
70 Sam Malinski 000 0 40.05 0215:58
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Mackenzie Blackwood 24123 .958 2.40 +1.40

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Detroit Red Wings

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
23 Lucas Raymond L +2.33 +1.45 +0.68 +0.22 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 17:31
36 John Gibson G +2.24 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +2.24 60:00
92 Marco Kasper C +1.37 +0.75 +0.33 +0.26 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 17:14
71 Dylan Larkin C +1.32 +1.25 +0.13 -0.05 0.00 -0.06 +0.05 — 21:25
53 Moritz Seider D +0.50 0.00 +0.07 +0.29 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 27:34
8 Ben Chiarot D +0.43 0.00 +0.07 +0.20 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 22:27
25 Jacob Bernard-Docker D +0.40 0.00 +0.01 +0.35 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 21:41
27 Michael Rasmussen C +0.34 0.00 0.00 +0.13 +0.15 -0.03 +0.09 — 11:31
58 Emmitt Finnie C +0.33 0.00 +0.17 +0.18 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 13:04
37 J.T. Compher L +0.26 0.00 +0.10 +0.13 0.00 +0.03 0.00 — 16:14
44 Axel Sandin-Pellikka D +0.23 0.00 0.00 +0.08 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 14:20
21 James van Riemsdyk L +0.20 0.00 +0.20 +0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 10:29
18 Andrew Copp C +0.05 0.00 +0.22 -0.25 0.00 +0.05 +0.03 — 17:13
93 Alex DeBrincat R 0.00 0.00 +0.10 -0.06 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 16:40
85 Elmer Soderblom L -0.07 0.00 +0.01 -0.10 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 8:02
88 Patrick Kane R -0.09 0.00 +0.01 -0.08 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 13:45
22 Mason Appleton C -0.10 0.00 +0.04 -0.04 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 14:39
52 Travis Hamonic D -0.25 0.00 +0.01 -0.41 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 13:50
20 Albert Johansson D -0.28 0.00 0.00 -0.25 -0.15 0.00 +0.12 — 18:21

Colorado Avalanche

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
39 Mackenzie Blackwood G +1.40 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.40 57:14
94 Joel Kiviranta L +0.78 0.00 +0.06 +0.55 +0.15 0.00 +0.02 — 14:03
17 Parker Kelly C +0.74 0.00 +0.31 +0.41 0.00 -0.01 +0.03 — 16:05
18 Jack Drury C +0.41 0.00 0.00 +0.32 0.00 +0.01 +0.08 — 16:27
84 Brent Burns D +0.32 0.00 +0.01 +0.21 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 18:32
54 Gavin Brindley C +0.19 0.00 0.00 +0.14 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 8:47
29 Nathan MacKinnon C +0.19 0.00 +0.42 -0.16 0.00 +0.05 -0.12 — 26:07
42 Josh Manson D +0.16 0.00 0.00 +0.13 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 16:21
20 Ross Colton C +0.15 0.00 +0.15 +0.01 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 12:45
49 Samuel Girard D +0.10 0.00 0.00 +0.05 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 17:33
8 Cale Makar D +0.04 0.00 +0.19 -0.20 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 24:50
13 Valeri Nichushkin R -0.02 0.00 +0.10 -0.22 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 24:02
70 Sam Malinski D -0.04 0.00 +0.03 0.00 -0.15 0.00 +0.08 — 15:58
93 Zakhar Bardakov C -0.08 0.00 0.00 -0.10 0.00 +0.02 0.00 — 5:30
11 Brock Nelson C -0.23 0.00 +0.10 -0.30 0.00 -0.03 0.00 — 19:56
95 Victor Olofsson L -0.27 0.00 +0.03 -0.29 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 13:46
62 Artturi Lehkonen L -0.30 0.00 +0.03 -0.31 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 22:01
7 Devon Toews D -0.37 0.00 +0.04 -0.45 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 20:19
16 Taylor Makar L -0.59 0.00 0.00 -0.44 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 5:44

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.